Category: Market News

UK equities were little changed in early trading on Friday, while sterling edged lower against the US dollar after fresh data showed an unexpected decline in retail sales during November.

By 09:04 GMT, the FTSE 100 was marginally down 0.02%, while the pound slipped 0.06% against the dollar, trading just above the 1.33 level. Elsewhere in Europe, Germany’s DAX fell 0.04% and France’s CAC 40 eased 0.05%.

UK round-up

UK retail sales declined by 0.1% month-on-month in November, according to figures published by the Office for National Statistics. The data followed a revised 0.9% fall in October, previously reported as a 1.1% drop. Economists had been expecting a modest rebound of 0.3%, making the latest reading a negative surprise.

In corporate news, shares in Metro Bank PLC (LSE:MTRO) and OSB Group PLC (LSE:OSB) rose sharply, gaining around 2% and 3% respectively. The rally followed confirmation that both lenders have received regulatory approval to exit the Minimum Requirement for Own Funds and Eligible Liabilities (MREL) regime, which has weighed on profits through elevated interest costs. The Prudential Regulation Authority said the banks will be reclassified as transfer firms with effect from 1 January 2026.

By contrast, WH Smith PLC (LSE:SMWH) came under pressure after reporting weaker full-year earnings and issuing a sharply reduced profit outlook. The travel retailer now expects headline profit of £100–115 million for the year ahead, well below previous guidance of £182.6 million and market expectations of roughly £157 million.

The company posted headline group profit before tax and non-underlying items of £108 million for the year ended 31 August. Headline trading profit fell to £159 million from £170 million a year earlier, while diluted headline earnings per share before non-underlying items dropped 28% to 43.4p. Shares in WH Smith declined in morning trade following the update.

On the currency front, the pound later found some support after the Bank of England released a statement that was seen as less dovish than markets had anticipated. According to ING, several policymakers expressed concern about persistently strong wage growth expectations and structural inflation pressures, lending some resilience to sterling.

ING analysts added that they expect wage growth expectations to begin easing in early 2026 as headline inflation continues to trend lower.

Shares in Metro Bank (LSE:MTRO) and OSB Group (LSE:OSB) rose sharply on Friday, gaining around 2% and 3% respectively, after both lenders secured regulatory approval to leave a debt structure that has been weighing heavily on their interest costs.

The Prudential Regulation Authority confirmed that the two banks will be reclassified as transfer firms under the Minimum Requirement for Own Funds and Eligible Liabilities (MREL), with the change taking effect from 1 January 2026.

The move is expected to deliver meaningful financial relief. Metro Bank, the UK challenger lender, currently services £525 million of MREL debt issued in November 2023 at a coupon of 12%. OSB Group, which focuses on specialist buy-to-let lending, has £700 million of MREL instruments outstanding, carrying a weighted average interest rate of 9.14% and resulting in roughly £64 million of gross annual interest expense.

RBC analysts said removing the burden of MREL interest “should provide a c.4pp annualised uplift” to Metro Bank’s return on tangible equity from FY28E. For OSB, the analysts estimate that avoiding interest payments on both existing and potential future MREL issuance “is equivalent to c.13% of FY27E PBT.”

The regulatory shift follows the Bank of England’s announcement on 15 July to increase the MREL total asset threshold to a range of £25–40 billion from the previous £15–25 billion. Metro Bank reported assets of about £16 billion at the end of the third quarter of 2025, while OSB’s balance sheet stood at roughly £31 billion, leaving both institutions either below or close to the revised threshold.

MREL rules require banks to maintain a layer of loss-absorbing debt to protect taxpayers in the event of a resolution, but the framework applies on an all-or-nothing basis, meaning banks must either comply in full or not at all.

With the reclassification secured, both lenders now face strategic decisions over whether to allow their existing MREL bonds to mature naturally or to redeem them early. Calling the debt ahead of schedule would immediately affect capital ratios, as the securities are currently trading above par.

RBC estimates that an early redemption would result in an initial hit of more than 110 basis points to Metro Bank’s Common Equity Tier 1 ratio, while OSB would see an impact of around 60 basis points. That said, the earnings upside would start straight away. For OSB, RBC calculates “a CET1 payback from lower interest of c.1.1yrs,” indicating that the capital impact could be recouped relatively quickly through interest savings.

OSB said it “will update the market on what this means for its capital and funding plans” alongside its FY25 results. Metro Bank has yet to outline its intentions.

Beyond the immediate profit effect, RBC analysts believe OSB may now have scope to lower its CET1 capital target of around 14%, which currently sits above peer averages. They note that the higher target was driven by rating agency considerations linked to potential MREL issuance, a constraint that has now been removed.

“A 100bps reduction in the CET1 target would free up c.£120m of capital,” equivalent to about 5.5% of the group’s market capitalisation, the brokerage said.

WH Smith (LSE:SMWH) reported a 5% increase in group revenue to £1.55 billion for the year ended 31 August 2025, marking the completion of its transition to a pure-play travel retail business. However, headline pre-tax profit from continuing operations eased to £108 million, with trading profits coming under pressure, particularly in North America.

The group outlined a more targeted regional strategy. In the UK, WH Smith is focused on strengthening its leadership in travel essentials while expanding higher-growth categories such as health and beauty and food-to-go. In North America, the company is exiting loss-making fashion and specialist stores within its Resorts division and is reviewing the future of the InMotion business. Elsewhere, international growth is being concentrated on core markets, with a greater emphasis on capital-light, franchise-led expansion.

Current trading shows like-for-like revenue growth of around 3%. Looking ahead, the company is guiding to headline profit before tax of £100 million to £115 million in FY26, alongside total revenue growth of 4–6%. Alongside operational changes, WH Smith is implementing a remediation programme following a Deloitte review and has disclosed that the Financial Conduct Authority has opened an investigation, placing governance and internal controls under closer scrutiny.

Despite these challenges, the board has proposed a final dividend of 6.0 pence, maintaining its reset dividend policy of 2.5 times cover on continuing earnings. Management said this reflects confidence in the longer-term sustainability of the streamlined, travel-focused model and its ability to generate shareholder returns.

From a market perspective, WH Smith’s solid revenue base is offset by softer profit trends, high leverage and bearish technical indicators. Valuation remains elevated, and the absence of recent earnings call detail limits additional near-term insight, resulting in a more cautious overall assessment.

More about WH Smith

WH Smith is a global travel retailer specialising in travel essentials, health and beauty and food-to-go. The group operates stores in high-footfall locations such as airports, railway stations and hospitals across the UK, North America and international markets. Following the disposal of its UK High Street and funkypigeon.com businesses, WH Smith is now fully focused on travel retail, where it holds leading category positions and is pursuing capital-efficient growth through core formats and selected overseas franchise partnerships.

Rockfire Resources (LSE:ROCK) has completed its third drill hole, HMO-010, at the wholly owned Molaoi zinc deposit in Greece, intersecting several mineralised zones consistent with the existing geological model. Portable XRF readings recorded strong grades of zinc, lead, silver and copper, including peak zinc values exceeding 36%, alongside notable silver and copper intervals.

The company said the results reinforce confidence in the continuity and quality of mineralisation at Molaoi and are expected to support its objective of upgrading the current zinc, silver and lead resource from Inferred to Indicated status. In addition, the drilling programme is intended to define what could become Europe’s only reported Inferred germanium resource, adding a critical minerals dimension to the project.

Laboratory assays are pending to confirm the portable XRF results. Rockfire said drilling will pause over the Christmas period before resuming in January 2026, with the potential deployment of a second drill rig. Management highlighted Molaoi’s growing strategic relevance in the supply of both base and critical metals.

More about Rockfire Resources PLC

Rockfire Resources PLC is a London-listed exploration company with a focus on gold, base metals and critical minerals. Its flagship asset is the high-grade Molaoi zinc, lead, silver and germanium deposit in Greece. The company also holds a portfolio of gold, copper and silver projects in Queensland, Australia, including the Plateau and Marengo prospects, which are subject to farm-in arrangements with ASX-listed partners.

Strix Group (LSE:KETL) has reached an agreement to sell its Billi business to Birmingham Bidco Pty Ltd, a vehicle backed by Crescent Capital Partners, for £110 million on a cash-free, debt-free basis. Billi, which supplies premium instant boiling, chilled and sparkling filtered water systems, was acquired by Strix in 2022. The agreed price represents an approximate threefold return on the original investment and an 18% premium to Strix’s prevailing share price.

The transaction, which is subject to shareholder approval, is expected to materially strengthen the group’s balance sheet. Strix said net proceeds of around £107 million will be used to repay its existing debt facilities, moving the company into a net cash position and improving financial flexibility after a period of macroeconomic headwinds and currency pressures.

While Billi has delivered double-digit growth under Strix’s ownership and benefited from expanded capacity, distribution and management capability, the board said the business would require further investment that Strix is less well positioned to provide. As a result, it has opted to crystallise value at this stage, while also securing an ongoing manufacturing and development partnership with Billi under its new ownership.

Following completion, Strix plans to concentrate capital and management attention on its core Controls and Consumer Goods divisions. Strategic priorities include broadening the addressable market for controls and filtration technologies beyond kettles, accelerating the rollout of new heating and safety innovations, tightening cost discipline, defending market share—particularly in the US—through action against copycat products, and working toward the restoration of dividend capacity over time.

From an investment standpoint, Strix continues to face profitability and revenue growth challenges, reflected in weak valuation metrics and bearish technical indicators. Although the shares appear oversold and cash generation provides some underpinning, sustained improvement in earnings will be required to materially enhance the group’s financial profile.

More about Strix Group

Strix Group Plc is an AIM-listed global specialist in kettle safety controls and related components for water heating, temperature control, steam management and filtration. The group supplies both OEM and consumer markets through its Controls and Consumer Goods divisions and leverages proprietary intellectual property, established manufacturing capabilities and strong customer relationships, including its LAICA-branded consumer products, to maintain a leading position in small domestic appliances and water technology markets.

Atalaya Mining (LSE:ATYM) has issued a follow-up statement addressing shareholder feedback from its June 2025 annual general meeting, where all resolutions were approved but four items linked to governance and executive pay attracted less than 80% support. The board said it had carefully considered the concerns raised by investors.

The company acknowledged questions around the historic meeting attendance of director Jesús Fernández and said he has committed to improving participation going forward. The board also recognised shareholder unease relating to legacy long-term incentive arrangements and a one-off transitional share award made to the chief executive.

Since the AGM, Atalaya said it has updated its remuneration framework and received strong support for a new Directors’ Remuneration Policy. Management expects this to translate into improved voting outcomes on future remuneration resolutions. The company added that no major shareholders have requested further engagement on the matter, indicating that the issues are largely resolved for the time being.

From a broader perspective, Atalaya Mining’s outlook continues to be underpinned by a solid financial recovery, supportive technical indicators and positive corporate developments. These factors strengthen its positioning within a constructive copper price environment, although historical share price volatility and relatively modest valuation metrics suggest a balanced, cautiously optimistic outlook.

More about Atalaya Mining

Atalaya Mining Copper, S.A. is a European copper producer that owns and operates the Proyecto Riotinto mining complex in southwest Spain. The group’s assets include the Cerro Colorado open-pit mine and a 15 million tonne-per-year processing plant, which serves as a central hub for ore from surrounding projects.

The company is listed on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange and is a constituent of the FTSE 250. In addition to Proyecto Riotinto, Atalaya holds interests in Proyecto Masa Valverde, Proyecto Riotinto East, a phased earn-in to Proyecto Touro in northwest Spain, and a 99.9% stake in Proyecto Ossa Morena.

Plexus Holdings (LSE:POS) reported revenue of £4.48 million for the year ended 30 June 2025 and a pre-tax loss of £3.3 million, reflecting the absence of a one-off licence transaction recorded in the prior year and a planned investment phase to rebuild its rental wellhead fleet. The company said the period was also affected by softer market conditions and project delays in the UK North Sea, driven in part by ongoing uncertainty around the Energy Profits Levy.

Despite the challenging backdrop, Plexus completed a £9 million North Sea project and a £1.9 million plug-and-abandonment phase in the Dutch sector. During the year, the group raised £3.5 million in equity to expand its Exact rental fleet, finished the period with cash of £2.5 million and strengthened its balance sheet, supported by a new £2 million loan facility to enhance financial flexibility.

Operationally, the group is increasingly focused on overseas growth. A US$1 million Middle East gas exploration contract and a North American rental agreement are both expected to commence in the first quarter of 2026. Plexus has also established a business development presence in the UAE and secured a two-year framework agreement with a North Sea operator.

Management said these steps, alongside continued investment in research and development, retention of API Q1 accreditation and the ongoing strategic value of its POS-GRIP intellectual property and collaboration with SLB, are intended to underpin future rental-led revenue growth across offshore oil and gas, carbon capture and storage and geothermal markets.

From an investment standpoint, Plexus is seen to benefit from positive corporate developments and signs of financial recovery. However, the absence of dividends and a negative earnings multiple weigh on valuation, while revenue and cash flow volatility remain key factors to watch, despite technical indicators supporting a cautiously optimistic outlook.

More about Plexus Holdings

Plexus Holdings PLC is an AIM-listed wellhead services provider focused on offshore oil and gas markets. The company supplies jack-up and subsea wellhead equipment and rental services for exploration, intervention and plug-and-abandonment activities. Its proprietary POS-GRIP and Exact technologies support a range of production, subsea and decommissioning solutions across the North Sea, Middle East, North America and other international regions.

Costain Group (LSE:COST) has set out its reporting timetable for the year ended 31 December 2025. The company said it will publish a trading update on 26 January 2026, followed by the release of its full-year results on 10 March 2026.

The announcement provides clarity for investors as Costain continues to execute its strategy focused on delivering sustainable and resilient infrastructure solutions across key UK markets. Management said the schedule reflects its commitment to timely and transparent communication on financial performance.

From an outlook perspective, Costain benefits from a solid financial base, supportive technical indicators and positive corporate developments, including recent contract awards. These strengths are balanced against relatively modest margins and some pressure on cash flow efficiency. Overall, the shares appear fairly valued, with a constructive technical backdrop supporting a broadly positive assessment.

More about Costain

Costain Group is a UK infrastructure solutions provider offering construction, consultancy, engineering and digital services across sectors including transport, water, energy and defence. The company focuses on developing connected and sustainable infrastructure that supports a more resilient and lower-carbon UK, working in partnership with customers and suppliers to address critical national requirements.

Arc Minerals (LSE:ARCM) has named existing non-executive director Rémy Welschinger as its new Chief Executive Officer, with the appointment set to take effect on 2 January 2026. As part of the change, Welschinger will move into an executive director position, while current Executive Chairman Nick von Schirnding will step into a non-executive chairman role on the same date.

The board reshuffle follows Arc’s recent actions to reassert control over what it describes as some of Africa’s most attractive copper exploration licences. The company said the leadership transition marks a strategic reset and reflects its intention to strengthen execution as it advances its copper-focused portfolio across the continent.

With a background in finance and commodities, Welschinger is expected to bring relevant experience to the role as Arc Minerals seeks to unlock value from its repositioned African copper assets.

More about Arc Minerals

Arc Minerals Ltd (LSE:ARCM) is a mineral exploration company focused primarily on copper projects in Africa. The group is working to advance a portfolio of exploration licences that it considers to be among the most prospective copper opportunities in the region.

Georgina Energy plc (LSE:GEX) has agreed a 24-month extension to its offtake memorandum of understanding with Halo Capital Investments Ltd, widening the scope of the arrangement to include all existing and future projects. The expanded coverage also takes in recently announced Central Petroleum acquisitions, including Mt Kitty, Dukas and Mahler, subject to completion.

Under the extended, non-exclusive MOU, Halo retains an option over 100% of helium, hydrogen and natural gas production. Halo would be responsible for funding and operating processing, storage, transportation and export infrastructure at its own cost, while also potentially providing prepayment and development finance. This structure allows Georgina to sell gas at the wellhead and limits its exposure to capital-intensive infrastructure requirements.

Alongside the offtake discussions, Georgina Energy said funding efforts are continuing for its priority Hussar and Mt Winter projects. Management said the extended agreement supports the company’s strategy to build scale across its helium and hydrogen portfolio and progress toward becoming a meaningful producer in these markets.

From an investment perspective, Georgina Energy continues to face material financial challenges, including ongoing losses and negative cash flow. While technical indicators point to broadly neutral momentum and recent strategic steps suggest longer-term growth potential, the company’s current financial position underpins a high-risk profile that warrants caution.

More about Georgina Energy plc

Georgina Energy plc is an Australia-focused helium, hydrogen and natural resources development company seeking to establish itself as a leading global producer in these critical energy segments. Through its wholly owned subsidiary Westmarket Oil & Gas, the group holds onshore interests including the Hussar prospect in Western Australia and the Mt Winter prospect in the Northern Territory, positioning it to benefit from tightening supply-demand dynamics in global hydrogen and helium markets.