Category: Market News

Despite geopolitical uncertainty weighing on global markets, crude oil prices have stayed within a relatively narrow range, underpinned by firm demand and supply challenges that continue to support energy companies’ earnings outlook.

In a note to clients on Monday, Barclays energy analyst Amarpreet Singh reaffirmed a bullish stance on the sector, highlighting steady consumption trends and ongoing production shortfalls among key suppliers.

Fresh industry data revealed that global oil inventories actually fell during the first half of 2025, defying earlier forecasts that called for a build-up.

“In addition to the lack of inventory build-up in H1 25, evidence of supply constraints among OPEC+ members also bolsters our constructive view on oil prices,” Singh said.

Although OPEC+ officially raised its collective output target by 1.4 million barrels per day by July, the group managed to increase production by only 0.5 million barrels per day, reflecting difficulties among several members in meeting their quotas.

Geopolitics remain a major wildcard. The recent Trump-Putin meeting produced no breakthrough on Ukraine, leaving the door open to fresh sanctions on Russia. At the same time, Iran faces a late-August deadline to return to nuclear negotiations or face broader UN penalties. The U.S. has already moved to tighten restrictions on Iranian crude exports, developments that Barclays believes could further strain supply and keep prices supported.

Outside the OPEC+ alliance, U.S. output has largely followed expectations, though weekly figures suggest a modest pullback since late 2024. Brazil, meanwhile, exceeded forecasts in July, with production approaching 4 million barrels per day as new pre-salt wells began operations.

“Based on the expected development pipeline and our view of base declines, we think oil output growth from Brazil will likely decelerate sharply again next year,” Singh noted.

Looking ahead, Barclays continues to forecast prices above both market futures and the broader consensus. For Brent crude, the bank projects $74 per barrel in Q4 2025 and $70 in Q1 2026, compared with lower levels implied by forward curves. For WTI, the forecast sits at $71 and $67, also topping expectations.

“Oil markets defied expectations of a large surplus in H1 25 and key OPEC+ producers have not been able to keep up with the increase in production targets,” Singh said.

The bank also reiterated its recommendation to remain long WTI calendar spreads, expecting further upside from tightening supply dynamics.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

European equity markets traded mostly lower on Tuesday, as concerns over central bank independence in the U.S. and growing political risks in France weighed on sentiment.

Investor unease deepened after U.S. President Donald Trump took the rare step of attempting to oust Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, raising questions about the Fed’s autonomy.

In France, government bonds came under pressure after Prime Minister François Bayrou announced a September 8 confidence vote tied to his proposed austerity program. Leaders of key opposition parties quickly signaled they would not support the government, heightening fears of political instability.

On the economic front, U.K. shop price inflation accelerated in August, reaching its highest level since March of last year. According to the British Retail Consortium, overall shop price growth rose to 0.9% from 0.7% in July, driven largely by food inflation climbing to 4.2% from 4.0%.

By late morning trading, France’s CAC 40 was down 1.3%, the U.K.’s FTSE 100 had slipped 0.4%, and Germany’s DAX was off 0.3%.

Among individual movers:

• Bunzl (LSE:BNZL) gained after the distribution group announced two acquisitions in Spain and Mexico.
• Halma (LSE:HLMA) also advanced following its £129 million purchase of Dutch gyroscopic systems specialist Brownline.
• Novartis (NYSE:NVS) rose in Zurich after the healthcare group revealed a new collaboration with Sweden’s BioArctic to develop therapies targeting severe neurological conditions.
• British American Tobacco (LSE:BATS) retreated after confirming that Chief Financial Officer Soraya Benchikh resigned with immediate effect after just over a year in the position.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

London equities moved lower on Tuesday as trading resumed after the U.K.’s bank holiday, with investors reacting to fresh political tensions in the U.S. following President Donald Trump’s attempt to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook.

By 11:30 GMT, the FTSE 100 was down 0.5%, while sterling edged up 0.1% against the dollar, holding above 1.34. Elsewhere in Europe, Germany’s DAX slipped 0.3% and France’s CAC 40 tumbled 1.5%.

Cook pushes back against Trump’s dismissal effort

Trump announced that he was firing Fed Governor Lisa Cook, citing alleged irregularities in mortgage dealings.

Cook responded swiftly, stressing that the president has no authority to dismiss a sitting Fed governor. She vowed she would “continue to carry out my duties to support the U.S. economy.”

Ashtead Technology surges on upbeat earnings

Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (LSE:AT.) was among the session’s biggest gainers, with shares jumping over 12% after the subsea equipment provider posted a strong first half.

Revenue rose 23.2% year-on-year to £99.1 million, slightly above forecasts of £98.9 million, supported by organic expansion and recent acquisitions including Seatronics and J2 Subsea. Profits also improved despite tariff-related pressures in the U.S. and weaker offshore wind activity.

Bunzl climbs as results hit forecasts, buyback returns

Bunzl PLC (LSE:BNZL) added more than 4% after its first-half figures landed in line with expectations.

Revenue for the six months to June was £5.76 billion, meeting consensus, while organic growth slipped just 0.2% versus the 0.8% decline projected. Adjusted EBITA reached £404.5 million, close to the £405.3 million estimate, with margins at 7.02%. The company confirmed its 2025 outlook and announced the restart of its share buyback.

ITM Power gains on hydrogen venture

ITM Power (LSE:ITM) advanced over 3% after disclosing that its Hydropulse division entered a partnership with ABO Energy.

The collaboration will aim to roll out decentralized hydrogen production sites at or near customer facilities, combining ITM’s electrolyser expertise with ABO Energy’s project development and industry network.

BAT finance chief departs

British American Tobacco PLC (LSE:BATS) said CFO Soraya Benchikh has stepped down immediately after 15 months in the role.

Javed Iqbal, who previously acted as interim finance director between May 2023 and April 2024, will return to the post temporarily while a permanent successor is appointed.

Sidara lowers John Wood Group bid

John Wood Group PLC (LSE:WG.) reported that Dubai-based Sidara has revised its potential takeover offer to £207.55 million ($279.3 million).

Sidara, owned by Dar Al-Handasah Consultants Shair and Partners, is proposing 30 pence per share following due diligence. Wood indicated it would support the updated proposal should it be formally submitted.

Regulator approves LSE’s new private market platform

The Financial Conduct Authority has given the London Stock Exchange the green light to launch the Private Intermittent Securities and Capital Exchange System (PISCES).

The platform is designed to create a regulated venue for trading shares of private companies on an intermittent basis, providing more structure than traditional private transactions.

Revolution Beauty reinstates Allsworth as CEO

Revolution Beauty Group PLC (LSE:REVB) announced that Tom Allsworth will return as chief executive, with interim CEO Colin Henry stepping down.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

U.S. stock index futures pointed to a slightly weaker open on Tuesday, signaling further downside after Monday’s losses.

Investors are weighing fresh political developments, particularly uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve. Sentiment was rattled after former President Donald Trump announced he would remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook from her role.

In a message posted on Truth Social, Trump alleged Cook made “false statements on one or more mortgage agreements.”

Cook, however, disputed Trump’s authority to dismiss her, saying she would continue to serve in her role.
“I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy as I have been doing since 2022,” Cook said.

Adding to market jitters, Trump escalated his trade rhetoric, warning he could impose “substantial additional tariffs” on countries that maintain digital taxes or regulations targeting U.S. technology firms.
“America, and American Technology Companies, are neither the ‘piggy bank’ nor the ‘doormat’ of the World any longer,” Trump wrote on Truth Social. “Show respect to America and our amazing Tech Companies or, consider the consequences!”

On Monday, Trump also threatened 200% tariffs on China if Beijing restricts exports of rare-earth magnets to the United States.

Stocks struggled in the previous session, with major indexes turning lower into the close after an early stretch of lackluster trading. The Dow dropped 349.27 points, or 0.8%, to 45,282.47, while the S&P 500 slipped 0.4% to 6,439.32 and the Nasdaq eased 0.2% to 21,449.29.

Part of the weakness reflected profit-taking, as traders locked in gains following Friday’s rally, which was fueled by remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinting at a potential rate cut in September.

Still, selling pressure was relatively muted, as investors held back ahead of key events later this week. Nvidia’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) earnings on Wednesday evening will be closely watched, along with upcoming U.S. economic releases. The Commerce Department’s inflation data on Friday will be especially significant, as it includes the Fed’s preferred price gauge. Reports on durable goods orders, consumer confidence, and GDP growth are also expected to influence sentiment.

Tuesday morning, the Commerce Department reported that new home sales dipped 0.6% in July to an annual rate of 652,000, down from a revised 656,000 in June. Economists had forecast a smaller decline, with expectations for 630,000.

Sector performance was mixed on Monday. Biotech stocks retreated sharply, with the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index tumbling 2.2% after reaching a six-month high last week. Transportation shares also slid, with the Dow Jones Transportation Average losing 1.8%. Meanwhile, pharmaceutical, healthcare, and utilities stocks were under pressure, while oil producers found support from a strong rebound in crude prices.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

The London Stock Exchange has received regulatory approval from the U.K.’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to operate a new private market platform, the Private Intermittent Securities and Capital Exchange System (PISCES), the regulator said Tuesday.

The PISCES system will allow investors to buy and sell shares of private companies on a periodic basis, offering a formalized trading venue for transactions that previously took place through informal channels, according to the FCA.

This initiative expands the London Stock Exchange’s reach into private company trading, providing a more structured and transparent environment for investors and companies alike.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

The U.S. dollar stabilized Tuesday after initial declines, following President Donald Trump’s announcement that he had dismissed Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, his latest move questioning the independence of the U.S. central bank.

By 04:35 ET (08:35 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, was nearly unchanged at 98.320, rebounding after earlier losses of up to 0.4% triggered by Trump’s statement. This came after the U.S. currency posted its strongest daily gain of the month on Monday.

Fed independence under scrutiny

In his letter to Cook, Trump cited alleged irregularities in mortgage loans as justification for her removal. Cook rejected the claims, stating that Trump has “no authority” to fire her and that she will not step down.

No U.S. president has ever tried to remove a Fed governor, making the next steps uncertain. Analysts anticipate that Cook may challenge her dismissal, likely bringing the matter to the Supreme Court.

“After the resignation of Adriana Kugler and the appointment of Stephen Miran, the influential governing board is starting to lean towards Trump’s way. Investors will naturally start to increasingly question the independence of the Fed, which would result in a steeper yield curve and a weaker dollar,” ING analysts noted.

Outside of politics, the U.S. economic calendar remains busy this week, with consumer confidence data released today, a revised second-quarter GDP reading on Thursday, and core PCE inflation on Friday.

“We’ll also hear an important speech on monetary policy from the Fed’s Christopher Waller on Thursday,” ING added. “He voted for a rate cut in July and is seen as one of the front-runners to replace Powell as Fed Chair next May.”

Euro pressured by French political uncertainty

In Europe, EUR/USD edged down 0.1% to 1.1607 as political tensions in France weighed on the single currency. This follows news that the three main opposition parties have said they will not support a confidence vote called by Prime Minister François Bayrou for Sept. 8 over budget plans.

Should the government fall, President Emmanuel Macron could appoint a new prime minister, ask Bayrou to lead a caretaker administration, or call a snap election. Macron’s previous prime minister, Michel Barnier, lost a no-confidence vote over the budget in late 2024 after just three months in office, following another early election in July of that year.

“The broader question for the euro is whether recent French news destabilises appetite for the euro more broadly, or whether this is an isolated French issue,” ING added.

GBP/USD held steady at 1.3466, supported by a hawkish Bank of England stance.

“Following this month’s hawkish turn by the BoE, the market struggles to price one 25bp cut this year (just 12bp currently priced) and barely two cuts by next summer,” ING noted.

Quiet trading in Asia

In Asia, USD/JPY eased slightly to 147.76, with the safe-haven yen gaining modestly against the dollar.

USD/CNY rose 0.2% to 7.1616, while AUD/USD slipped to 0.6478 after the Reserve Bank of Australia’s August 11-12 meeting minutes suggested that additional policy easing might be required in the coming year.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

European stocks retreated Tuesday, tracking Wall Street lower as investors weighed the potential for additional U.S. tariffs and renewed political uncertainty in France.

At 07:35 GMT, Germany’s DAX fell 0.5%, France’s CAC 40 lost 1.8%, and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 dropped 0.6%.

Fed Independence Faces Scrutiny

European equities mirrored the negative sentiment from the U.S., following Wall Street losses as concerns mounted over Federal Reserve independence after President Donald Trump announced the dismissal of Governor Lisa Cook.

Cook rejected the president’s authority to remove her, stating she will “continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy.”

No U.S. president has previously attempted to remove a Fed governor, leaving the next steps uncertain. Analysts expect Cook may challenge the dismissal, potentially taking the case to the Supreme Court.

Digital Tax Disputes Fuel Tariff Fears

Across Europe, investors remained cautious after Trump warned that countries imposing digital taxes could face “subsequent additional tariffs” on their exports if the taxes are not rescinded.

Several European nations have levied such taxes on revenues from digital giants, including Alphabet’s Google, Meta’s Facebook, Apple, and Amazon. The move is widely seen as a direct challenge to the European Union’s Digital Services Act, a long-standing point of contention for U.S. administrations.

French Political Tensions Rise

In France, political instability resurfaced after the three main opposition parties announced they would not support a confidence vote called by Prime Minister Francois Bayrou on September 8 concerning his budget plans.

Should the government fall, President Emmanuel Macron could either appoint a new prime minister, ask Bayrou to remain as head of a caretaker government, or call an early election. Macron previously lost Prime Minister Michel Barnier to a no-confidence vote over budget issues in late 2024, just three months into office following a snap election in July of that year.

Corporate Updates: BAT CFO Departs and Earnings Reports

British American Tobacco (LSE:BATS) confirmed that CFO Soraya Benchikh is stepping down immediately after 15 months in the role.

Bakkafrost (TG:6BF) reported weaker second-quarter earnings, pressured by lower salmon prices and incident-related costs in Scotland. Meanwhile, TX Group announced a three-year share buyback program following a sharp decline in first-half results, with revenues, operating income, and net profit all down.

Oil Retreats as Gold Benefits from Safe-Haven Demand

Oil prices slipped, reversing some of the previous session’s gains, as traders monitored the Russia-Ukraine conflict for potential impacts on regional fuel supplies.

At 03:35 ET, Brent crude fell 0.6% to $67.78 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate dropped 0.8% to $64.29 a barrel. Both benchmarks had surged nearly 2% on Monday, reaching two-week highs after Ukraine struck Russian energy infrastructure amid expectations of further U.S. sanctions on Russian oil.

Gold prices climbed, supported by safe-haven demand amid concerns over Fed independence following Trump’s announcement on Cook. Spot gold rose 0.2% to $3,373.99 an ounce, having earlier hit two-week highs, while October gold futures gained 0.1% to $3,419.22/oz.

The dismissal of Cook marks Trump’s latest move to exert influence over the Fed’s rate-setting activities.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

U.S. stock futures dipped on Tuesday as investors reacted cautiously to President Donald Trump’s decision to dismiss Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, while gold surged to a two-week high amid safe-haven demand. Trump also hinted at potential new tariffs, possibly targeting the European Union and China, while Nissan shares tumbled following Mercedes Benz’s announcement that it would begin selling its stake in the Japanese automaker.

Trump fires Fed Governor Cook

Late Monday, President Trump announced he was terminating Fed Governor Lisa Cook over alleged mortgage improprieties, marking his latest challenge to the Fed’s independence.

In a letter to Cook, the first African-American woman to serve on the Federal Reserve’s board, Trump stated he had “sufficient cause to remove you from your position” after U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency director William Pulte raised questions about her mortgages last week.

Cook, appointed by former President Joe Biden in 2022, responded: “I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy.”

No U.S. president has previously attempted to remove a Fed governor, leaving the path forward uncertain. Analysts suggest that Cook may challenge the firing in the Supreme Court.

This action follows multiple threats by Trump to dismiss Fed Chair Jerome Powell and represents a clear escalation in his efforts to pressure the central bank, which he criticizes for not cutting interest rates quickly enough.

U.S. futures decline

U.S. stock futures fell Tuesday, extending Monday’s losses as concerns about the Fed’s independence weighed on sentiment. At 02:35 ET, S&P 500 futures were down 8 points (0.1%), Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 45 points (0.2%), and Dow futures lost 70 points (0.2%).

Major indices closed lower Monday after Friday’s rally: the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.8%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.4%, and the NASDAQ Composite edged down 0.2%.

Investors are also awaiting a slate of economic reports ahead of the September Federal Reserve meeting, including durable goods orders, consumer confidence, the Case-Shiller Home Price Index, and the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin is scheduled to speak as well.

Potential new tariffs

Trump warned that countries imposing digital taxes could face “subsequent additional tariffs” if such laws are not removed.

“With this TRUTH, I put all Countries with Digital Taxes, Legislation, Rules, or Regulations, on notice that unless these discriminatory actions are removed, I, as President of the United States, will impose substantial additional Tariffs on that Country’s Exports to the U.S.A., and institute Export restrictions on our Highly Protected Technology and Chips,” Trump said in a social media post.

Earlier this year, Trump instructed his trade team to resume investigations into tariffs on countries that levy digital service taxes affecting U.S. tech firms. He has also threatened China with 200% tariffs if Beijing does not export rare-earth magnets to the U.S., amid ongoing trade tensions.

Mercedes begins selling Nissan stake

Nissan (USOTC:NNCHY) shares fell sharply Tuesday after Mercedes Benz (TG:MBG), the automaker’s second-largest shareholder, said it would start divesting its 3.8% stake, valued at roughly $346 million.

Mercedes Benz confirmed the stake was transferred to its pension unit and deemed “not of strategic importance.” The sale adds pressure to Nissan shares, already weighed down by U.S. tariffs, falling sales, and global EV competition, particularly from Chinese rivals. A previously planned merger with Honda (NYSE:HMC), which would have created the world’s second-largest automaker, largely unraveled in early 2025.

Gold climbs to two-week high

Gold prices climbed Tuesday as safe-haven buying accelerated amid concerns over the Fed’s independence after Trump announced Cook’s dismissal.

At 02:35 ET, spot gold rose 0.3% to $3,375.71 an ounce, while October gold futures gained 0.2% to $3,423.95/oz.

The firing represents Trump’s latest attempt to exert influence over Fed policy. Replacing Cook with his own nominee could increase his sway on the Fed’s seven-member board, which already includes his appointees, Governor Christopher Waller and Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman.

Waller and Bowman both voted for a rate cut during the Fed’s July meeting, aligning with Trump’s preferences.

Earlier, Trump had raised the possibility of removing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, raising concerns about the central bank’s independence, which could ultimately impact U.S. economic credibility.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Gold prices rose in Asian trading on Tuesday, supported by safe-haven demand after concerns intensified over Federal Reserve independence following President Donald Trump’s announcement that he was firing Governor Lisa Cook.

A weaker dollar also boosted gold and other metal prices, which had been volatile in recent sessions amid uncertainty over the U.S. interest rate trajectory.

Spot gold increased 0.3% to $3,375.29 per ounce, while October gold futures added 0.2% to $3,423.95 per ounce by 00:24 ET (04:24 GMT). Spot prices briefly touched a two-week high of $3,386.49 per ounce.

Trump Moves to Remove Fed Governor Cook

In a public letter, Trump stated he was calling for Cook’s immediate removal, citing alleged mortgage fraud as sufficient cause.

Cook dismissed the allegations, saying Trump had “no authority” to fire her and that she would remain in her position.

The firing represents Trump’s latest challenge to the Fed as he seeks more sway over its rate-setting decisions. Replacing Cook with a nominee of his choice could increase his influence over the Fed’s seven-member board, which already includes two of his appointees—Governor Christopher Waller and Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman.

Waller and Bowman both voted for a rate cut during the Fed’s July meeting, in line with Trump’s preferences.

Earlier, Trump had suggested he might remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell, after the chair largely rejected immediate rate cuts. Powell last week partially yielded, signaling a possible September rate reduction amid some labor market weakness, but he remained largely non-committal on further easing.

The president’s repeated attacks on the Fed have raised fresh concerns over central bank independence, potentially undermining long-term U.S. economic credibility. This uncertainty has driven safe-haven demand for gold and other precious metals.

Metal Prices Benefit from Dollar Weakness

Other metals also gained from dollar softness following Trump’s move, although the dollar index later recovered above 98 points.

Spot platinum rose 0.1% to $1,346.40 per ounce, while spot silver jumped 0.7% to $38.8525 per ounce. Both metals have outperformed gold in recent months, as investors sought opportunities in other precious metals after years of relative underperformance.

Among industrial metals, London Metal Exchange copper futures rose 0.7% to $9,848.85 per ton, and COMEX copper futures gained 0.4% to $4.550 per pound. Industrial metals rallied sharply last week following Fed signals of potential rate cuts, a trend that had delivered only modest gains to gold and other precious metals.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.