Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, U.S. Markets Preview: Israel-Iran Conflict Enters Sixth Day, Fed Decision Looms

Stock Futures Rise

U.S. stock futures edged higher on Wednesday amid escalating tensions in the Middle East and anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. By 03:30 ET, Dow futures were up 0.2%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.3%.

Recent Market Moves

On Tuesday, major indexes fell due to renewed Israel-Iran fighting and weak U.S. retail sales data. The S&P 500 dropped 0.8%, Nasdaq 0.9%, and Dow 0.7%. Volatility spiked to the highest level since late May.

Oil Prices

After a 4% jump on Tuesday driven by supply concerns amid the conflict, oil prices retreated slightly. Brent crude was down 0.3% to $76.20/barrel; WTI dipped 0.3% to $73.02/barrel.

Middle East Conflict

Israel’s air force struck Iranian nuclear and weapons sites as part of efforts to curb Iran’s missile and nuclear programs. The conflict has intensified since last Friday, with reciprocal missile attacks and casualties reported. U.S. President Trump demands “unconditional surrender” from Iran and asserts U.S. air superiority, though the role of U.S. military involvement remains under debate.

Federal Reserve Outlook

The Fed is widely expected to keep rates steady at the conclusion of its meeting, monitoring tariff impacts on inflation and growth. The Fed’s updated “dot plot” forecasts will be closely watched; markets currently price in the next rate cut around September. Rising oil prices could complicate inflation dynamics and temper easing expectations.

Crypto Regulation

The U.S. Senate passed bipartisan legislation creating a regulatory framework for stablecoins, requiring issuers to back tokens with liquid assets and disclose reserves monthly. This marks a significant milestone for cryptocurrency regulation.

Bank Capital Rule Adjustment

According to Bloomberg, U.S. regulators plan to ease the enhanced supplementary leverage ratio (ESLR) for major banks like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs, reducing capital buffer requirements to ease constraints on Treasury trading.

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