ADVFN UK Market News

Author: Fiona Craig

  • Gold Recovers as Investors Look Ahead to US Inflation and Fed Signals

    Gold Recovers as Investors Look Ahead to US Inflation and Fed Signals

    Gold prices edged higher on Tuesday after falling to a two-week low, with bargain hunters returning to the market ahead of a series of key US economic events that could shape the outlook for interest rates.

    Investors remain focused on June’s inflation report and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s congressional testimony, while ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to support demand for traditional safe-haven assets.

    Spot gold (XAU/USD) climbed 0.5% to $4,021.87 an ounce by 09:58 GMT, while Gold Futures rose 0.55% to $4,027.22. Silver (XAG/USD) gained 0.78% and platinum (XPT/USD) added 0.34%.

    Rising Energy Prices Keep Inflation Risks Alive

    Gold regained ground after Monday’s nearly 3% decline, its steepest one-day loss in more than a month, during which prices briefly slipped below $4,000 an ounce.

    The rebound came as markets continued to assess developments in the Middle East. President Donald Trump reinstated a blockade targeting Iranian shipping and described the United States as the “Guardian of the Hormuz Strait,” while proposing a 20% charge on cargo passing through the strategic shipping route.

    The renewed geopolitical tensions have lifted crude oil prices, raising concerns that higher energy costs could keep inflation elevated and complicate the Federal Reserve’s path toward price stability.

    For precious metals, this creates opposing forces. Inflation often increases demand for gold as a defensive asset, but expectations of tighter monetary policy typically strengthen the US dollar and bond yields, reducing bullion’s relative appeal.

    Markets Reprice Interest Rate Expectations

    Additional pressure came after Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller suggested policymakers may need to raise interest rates if inflation remains stubbornly high.

    According to ANZ, escalating geopolitical tensions have increased the risk of persistently higher energy prices, leading markets to assign a 43% probability of a rate hike at the Fed’s July 28-29 meeting.

    Higher interest rates generally weigh on gold by increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets while supporting the dollar.

    Attention now turns to June’s Consumer Price Index report and Kevin Warsh’s congressional appearance, both of which are expected to provide fresh insight into the Federal Reserve’s next policy moves.

  • Oil Prices Jump to One-Month High as Hormuz Risks Return to the Forefront

    Oil Prices Jump to One-Month High as Hormuz Risks Return to the Forefront

    Oil prices climbed to their strongest levels in a month on Tuesday as renewed military tensions between the United States and Iran heightened concerns over global energy supplies and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

    Brent crude rose $2.74, or 3.29%, to $86.04 per barrel by 07:51 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained $2.21, or 2.83%, to trade at $80.35 a barrel.

    The move pushed Brent to its highest level since 12 June and WTI to its strongest level since 16 June, despite the memorandum of understanding signed by Washington and Tehran on 17 June to ease hostilities.

    Geopolitical Risks Drive the Oil Rally

    “Despite signing the memorandum of understanding and having a deal, this did not last for even a few weeks. So that’s the concern the market is trying to price right now,” said ANZ analyst Soni Kumari.

    “What we think is that the peak of the escalation is behind us, but there are upside risks to oil prices if these disruptions continue and that will keep prices in the $85-$90 range.”

    Market sentiment deteriorated after President Donald Trump reinstated a naval blockade targeting Iranian shipping and proposed a 20% security fee for commercial vessels using the Strait of Hormuz.

    The strategic waterway carries roughly one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas exports, making any disruption a significant risk for global energy markets.

    Tanker Attacks Add to Supply Concerns

    According to the UAE Ministry of Defence, two Emirati oil tankers were struck by Iranian cruise missiles in Omani territorial waters, killing one Indian crew member and injuring eight others.

    Shipping data also showed tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to its lowest level in two months, adding to fears over supply chain disruptions.

    Citi said the likelihood of Iran abandoning the memorandum of understanding before the US midterm elections has increased, a scenario that could keep oil prices elevated for longer.

    However, Iranian Oil Minister Mohsen Paknejad said the country’s crude exports continue uninterrupted despite the recent removal of a temporary US sanctions waiver.

    China Demand Remains a Headwind

    Beyond geopolitical developments, investors are also monitoring demand trends.

    China’s crude oil imports plunged 41.3% in June to their lowest level in nearly a decade as refinery activity slowed sharply amid weak domestic demand and tighter export restrictions on refined fuels.

    Meanwhile, Yemen’s Houthi movement launched missiles toward Saudi Arabia, prompting fresh concerns over the security of oil infrastructure in the region.

    “If the Houthis extend their attacks to Saudi’s crude products in the Red Sea, it could put (further) uncertainties on crude flows from the region,” said Simon Wong, portfolio manager at Gabelli Funds.

  • Wall Street Faces Critical Week as Earnings, Inflation and Geopolitics Dominate: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Futures

    Wall Street Faces Critical Week as Earnings, Inflation and Geopolitics Dominate: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Futures

    US markets entered a pivotal week on Tuesday with investors balancing geopolitical risks, the start of earnings season and fresh inflation data that could influence the Federal Reserve’s next policy decision.

    Stock index futures traded mixed as traders prepared for quarterly results from the country’s largest banks, while the latest Consumer Price Index report and testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh are expected to provide important signals on the direction of interest rates.

    Meanwhile, Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) has reportedly tightened access to its artificial intelligence chips, reflecting the continuing impact of US export restrictions on the global semiconductor industry.

    Investors Brace for a Heavy Calendar

    Market participants remain cautious ahead of a packed economic and corporate calendar.

    Alongside earnings from leading financial institutions, investors are monitoring developments in the technology sector after recent volatility linked to artificial intelligence stocks.

    The combination of earnings reports, inflation figures and central bank commentary could determine whether US equities regain positive momentum during the coming weeks.

    Middle East Tensions Continue to Influence Sentiment

    Geopolitical concerns remain elevated after US forces conducted a third consecutive round of military strikes against Iranian targets, saying the operation was aimed at facilities connected to attacks on commercial shipping.

    US Central Command said the action was intended to reduce threats to vessels travelling through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global energy supplies.

    President Donald Trump also announced the restoration of a US naval blockade targeting Iranian shipping and proposed introducing a 20% charge on commercial vessels using the Strait of Hormuz.

    The developments have reinforced concerns that any disruption to one of the world’s busiest shipping corridors could lift oil prices, increase inflationary pressures and trigger further volatility across global financial markets.

    Nvidia Tightens Export Compliance

    According to the Financial Times, Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) has significantly reduced the number of approved Asian customers eligible to purchase its AI processors.

    The company has reportedly introduced a stricter approval system covering Singapore, Malaysia and Japan, with many previous customers removed pending additional compliance checks.

    The move highlights how export controls are becoming an increasingly important factor for semiconductor manufacturers, even as demand for AI infrastructure continues to grow rapidly.

    Bank Earnings Take Centre Stage

    Attention is now turning to quarterly earnings from JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) and Citigroup (NYSE:C).

    Because banks provide insight into lending, consumer activity, investment banking and credit quality, their results are often viewed as one of the earliest indicators of broader economic conditions.

    Strong earnings could reinforce confidence in the resilience of the US economy, while disappointing figures may raise concerns that higher interest rates are beginning to weigh on growth.

    Inflation Remains the Key Market Driver

    June’s Consumer Price Index report is expected to be one of the week’s most closely watched releases.

    Investors continue to debate whether the Federal Reserve will keep rates elevated well into next year or consider additional tightening if inflation remains persistent.

    Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller recently said further rate increases could become necessary should inflation stay well above the central bank’s 2% objective.

    Markets will also closely follow Kevin Warsh’s congressional testimony for additional clues about future monetary policy.

    A stronger-than-expected inflation report would likely reduce expectations for future rate cuts and pressure equity markets, particularly technology shares. Conversely, softer inflation data could revive hopes that the Fed may eventually begin easing monetary policy.

  • European Stocks Fall as Middle East Tensions Push Oil Higher and Fuel Interest Rate Concerns: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European Stocks Fall as Middle East Tensions Push Oil Higher and Fuel Interest Rate Concerns: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equity markets moved lower on Tuesday as escalating conflict in the Middle East drove oil prices sharply higher, while investors remained cautious ahead of key US inflation data and closely watched Federal Reserve testimony.

    The pan-European STOXX 600 index fell 0.6% in early trading. Energy and defence stocks outperformed the broader market, benefiting from the surge in oil prices.

    Germany’s DAX declined 0.3%, France’s CAC 40 lost 0.6%, London’s FTSE 100 slipped 0.1% and Italy’s FTSE MIB eased 0.3%.

    Airline shares came under pressure, with Air France-KLM (EU:AF) falling around 3% as rising fuel costs threatened to squeeze profit margins.

    Hormuz Shipping Measures Lift Oil Prices

    Investor sentiment deteriorated after US President Donald Trump announced the reinstatement of a naval blockade targeting Iranian shipping routes in the Gulf.

    The US administration also confirmed it would impose a 20% fee on commercial cargo transported through the Strait of Hormuz, a key global shipping corridor for crude oil and liquefied natural gas.

    The latest developments follow a third consecutive night of military strikes in the region, intensifying concerns over global energy supplies. Brent crude futures climbed more than 2% to around $85 per barrel, their highest level in a month, extending the previous session’s 9.6% rally.

    Inflation Data and Fed Testimony in Focus

    Market participants also remained cautious ahead of several important US economic events.

    Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller warned that interest rates may need to rise further if inflation continues to remain significantly above the central bank’s 2% target.

    His comments have placed greater emphasis on the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, due later in the day, which is expected to provide fresh insight into underlying inflation trends.

    Investors are also preparing for two days of congressional testimony from newly appointed Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, with markets looking for further guidance on the outlook for US monetary policy.

    Earnings Season Set to Drive Market Volatility

    Beyond geopolitical and macroeconomic developments, attention is turning to the start of the second-quarter earnings season.

    Investors are closely watching major US banks, which are due to release quarterly results later in the day. Their performance is expected to provide an important indication of how corporate America is coping with higher interest rates and a more restrictive monetary environment.

    Among individual European stocks, Hapag-Lloyd (TG:HLAG) gained nearly 6% after reaffirming its full-year outlook.

    Evotec (TG:EVT) plunged around 30% after releasing earnings results and providing a weaker-than-expected outlook.

  • European Gas Prices Hit One-Month High as Hormuz Shipping Measures Raise LNG Supply Concerns

    European Gas Prices Hit One-Month High as Hormuz Shipping Measures Raise LNG Supply Concerns

    European wholesale natural gas prices climbed to their highest levels in more than a month on Tuesday as escalating tensions in the Middle East and new US shipping measures heightened concerns over global liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies.

    The front-month contract at the Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF), Europe’s benchmark gas hub, rose 3.3% to €56 per megawatt hour, breaking above recent trading ranges. The UK wholesale gas market also advanced, with front-month prices increasing 3.5% to 128.50 pence per therm.

    The rally followed a sharp rise in global oil prices after renewed geopolitical tensions disrupted confidence in key maritime trade routes.

    Hormuz Shipping Measures Fuel Supply Fears

    Energy markets turned more defensive after US President Donald Trump announced the reinstatement of a naval blockade targeting Iranian shipping routes.

    Adding to concerns, the US administration said it would impose a 20% cargo fee on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, the strategic waterway through which around one-fifth of global LNG shipments pass.

    Following a third consecutive night of military strikes in the region, traders increasingly began pricing in the possibility of prolonged shipping disruptions and longer transit times for LNG cargoes from the Middle East.

    Stronger Dollar Adds Pressure to European Buyers

    The outlook for gas prices has also been influenced by expectations that US monetary policy could remain restrictive. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller indicated that persistent inflation pressures may require interest rates to rise in the near term.

    The prospect of higher US interest rates, together with the release of the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, has strengthened the US dollar.

    A firmer dollar increases the cost of dollar-denominated LNG imports for European utilities, adding further upward pressure to regional gas prices. Investors are also closely watching incoming Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s two-day testimony before Congress, which is expected to reinforce expectations of tighter global financial conditions.

  • Market Open: BP Q2 Update, Debenhams Summer Trading

    Market Open: BP Q2 Update, Debenhams Summer Trading

    FTSE 100 opens steady as BP updates second-quarter outlook, Debenhams reports strong trading and Brent crude rises on Middle East tensions.

    Market Overview

    The FTSE 100 opened broadly flat at 10,498.70, while the Euronext 100 slipped 0.13 per cent and Germany’s DAX fell 0.48 per cent. Overnight, the Nasdaq closed lower at 25,873.18 and the S&P 500 finished at 7,515.34, both declining as investors reacted to renewed tensions in the Middle East. European markets also remained under pressure amid concerns that disruption around the Strait of Hormuz could keep energy prices elevated and complicate the outlook for interest rates.

    Commodity markets reflected the geopolitical backdrop, with copper and Brent crude advancing while gold edged lower and natural gas was little changed. Sterling weakened slightly against the US dollar but strengthened against the euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen and Australian dollar, while Bitcoin rose. Rising oil prices remained the dominant macro driver as investors assessed the potential impact on inflation and global growth.

    Market Numbers

    FTSE 100: Up (+0.001%), 10,498.70

    Euronext 100: Down (-0.13%), 1,907.05

    DAX: Down (-0.48%), 24,993.99

    NASDAQ: Down, 25,873.18

    S&P 500: Down, 7,515.34

    In the Headlines

    Trading Update – BP (LSE:BP.)

    BP said second-quarter upstream production is expected to be lower, although oil trading should be slightly stronger than the first quarter. Higher oil prices and stronger refining margins may help offset weaker production ahead of its August results.

    Retail Update – Debenhams (LSE:DEBS)

    Debenhams reported strong summer trading as its turnaround strategy continued to gain momentum. The update suggests improving consumer demand and operational progress, providing a positive signal for the UK retail sector.

    Currencies (vs GBP)

    USD: Up (+0.04%), $1.335

    CHF: Down (-0.11%), Fr.1.0876

    EUR: Down (-0.05%), €1.1728

    JPY: Down (-0.04%), ¥216.833

    AUD: Down (-0.01%), $1.9293

    Bitcoin (BTC/GBP): Up, £46,794.59

    Commodities

    Copper: Up

    Gold: Down

    Brent Crude: Up

    Natural Gas: Up

  • FTSE 100 Falls as Middle East Tensions Lift Oil Prices

    FTSE 100 Falls as Middle East Tensions Lift Oil Prices

    UK equities moved lower on Tuesday as escalating conflict in the Middle East drove oil prices higher and weighed on investor sentiment across European markets.

    The FTSE 100 declined 0.21% by 07:20 GMT, while Germany’s DAX lost 0.36% and France’s CAC 40 slipped 0.62%. Sterling edged 0.03% higher against the US dollar to $1.3352.

    Market sentiment weakened after the United States launched a third consecutive night of military strikes on Iran. According to US Central Command, the attacks targeted missile and drone facilities, including sites near the ports of Bandar Abbas and Bushehr.

    The latest strikes followed Iranian attacks on Bahrain and Jordan, while the United Arab Emirates reported that Iranian missiles struck two oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, leaving one crew member dead and eight others injured.

    US President Donald Trump said the United States would reinstate a naval blockade on Iranian ports from Tuesday and proposed imposing a 20% charge on cargo passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran’s foreign minister rejected the proposal as “too much,” while the International Maritime Organization stated there was “no legal basis” for such a toll.

    The renewed hostilities come after President Trump formally notified Congress in a letter dated 10 July that military action against Iran had resumed on 7 July following the collapse of an April ceasefire, according to CBS News.

    Away from geopolitics, UK retail sales growth slowed sharply in June, according to data released by the British Retail Consortium and KPMG. Total retail sales increased 1.9% year-on-year, down from 3.7% in May and below the 3.1% growth recorded in June 2025. In-store non-food sales declined 1.1%, while online non-food sales rose 5.1% as consumers shifted spending online during the hot weather.

    Oil prices continued to climb, with Brent crude rising 2.94% to $85.75 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate gaining 2.83% to $80.36. Gold also advanced as investors sought safe-haven assets, with gold futures adding 0.68% to $4,032.72 an ounce and spot gold rising 0.66% to $4,027.42.

    UK Company Round-Up

    Robert Walters (LSE:RWA) reported a 3.9% decline in first-half net fee income, while second-quarter net fees were down 4.5%.

    Ashmore (LSE:ASHM) exceeded expectations for net inflows as strong investor demand for emerging market assets supported client inflows.

    Watches of Switzerland (LSE:WOSG) said strong demand in the United States continued into the new financial year, while trading conditions in the UK showed signs of improvement.

    Debenhams (LSE:DEBS) reported that positive trading momentum extended through June and July, with its marketplace model continuing to support growth in gross merchandise value and margins.

    Spire Healthcare (LSE:SPI) announced the appointment of Debbie White as chair, replacing Ian Cheshire, as takeover discussions with Toscafund continue.

  • AstraZeneca Secures Global Rights to Lung Cancer Therapy in $600m Deal (AZN)

    AstraZeneca Secures Global Rights to Lung Cancer Therapy in $600m Deal (AZN)

    AstraZeneca (LSE:AZN) has agreed to pay Chinese biotechnology company Dizal Pharmaceutical $600 million upfront to acquire the worldwide development and commercialisation rights to its lung cancer treatment, Sunvozertinib, according to a filing made by Dizal with the Shanghai Stock Exchange.

    Sunvozertinib, marketed as Zegfrovy, is already approved in both the United States and China for the treatment of adults with locally advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

    According to the American Cancer Society, non-small cell lung cancer accounts for around 77% of all lung cancer cases, making it the most common form of the disease.

    Clinical data from a late-stage multinational trial involving 324 patients demonstrated that those treated with Sunvozertinib achieved a median progression-free survival of 10.3 months, compared with 7.5 months for patients receiving chemotherapy.

    Under the terms of the agreement, Dizal will receive an initial payment of $600 million and could earn up to an additional $900 million through development, regulatory and commercial milestone payments.

    The transaction gives AstraZeneca exclusive global rights to further develop and commercialise the therapy, expanding the company’s oncology portfolio and strengthening its position in targeted lung cancer treatments.

    Dave Fredrickson, Executive Vice President of AstraZeneca’s Oncology Haematology Business Unit, said: “With this agreement, we will bring a differentiated, oral targeted treatment to these patients with limited options across the globe.”

  • Capita Wins Role in £2bn British Army Collective Training Programme (CPI)

    Capita Wins Role in £2bn British Army Collective Training Programme (CPI)

    Capita plc (LSE:CPI) has been selected to join the Omnia Training consortium, led by Raytheon UK, to help deliver the British Army’s new Collective Training System under a 15-year contract valued at £2 billion.

    As part of the programme, Capita expects to receive approximately £54 million for providing a range of training support services. The award strengthens the company’s position within the UK defence sector and builds on its existing work supporting military training programmes.

    Capita will be responsible for carrying out strategic training needs analysis, coordinating training schedules, managing programme delivery and evaluating performance across the Army’s collective training activities. These services are designed to help ensure personnel are prepared for future operational requirements through more effective planning and assessment.

    The latest contract expands Capita’s defence portfolio, adding to its existing work supporting Royal Navy training and the Army Adventurous Training programme. Management believes the award reinforces the company’s expertise in defence support services and could improve long-term revenue visibility while strengthening its position in the UK military training market.

    Although the new contract represents a positive strategic development, Capita’s broader financial outlook remains affected by declining revenue, a return to losses, inconsistent cash generation and relatively high leverage compared with its equity base. Technical indicators also remain weak, with the shares continuing to trade in a downward trend and momentum remaining negative. Valuation is also constrained by the company’s loss-making position and the absence of a dividend.

    About Capita plc

    Capita plc is a UK-based outsourcing and professional services company that delivers technology-enabled business solutions to clients across the public and private sectors. Operating primarily in the UK and Europe, the group provides services that help organisations manage complex processes more efficiently, with expertise spanning customer services, government operations, defence, education and digital transformation.

  • IQE Secures $14 Million AI and Datacentre Semiconductor Contract (IQE)

    IQE Secures $14 Million AI and Datacentre Semiconductor Contract (IQE)

    IQE plc (LSE:IQE) has won a multi-year production contract worth $14 million from a strategic global technology customer, further strengthening its position in the rapidly expanding artificial intelligence and datacentre semiconductor markets.

    The order will be manufactured at the company’s Newport foundry in Wales and will supply advanced semiconductor wafers for AI and datacentre applications. Rising demand for data processing, cloud computing and hyperscale infrastructure continues to drive investment in high-performance storage and data communications technologies, providing a favourable backdrop for the agreement.

    The new contract further expands IQE’s role within the AI supply chain while reinforcing its position as a supplier of advanced semiconductor materials for next-generation digital infrastructure. In addition to the production order, the company is collaborating with the customer on future technologies spanning multiple stages of the data lifecycle.

    IQE said the partnership highlights the strength of its epitaxy technology portfolio, which includes indium phosphide solutions for optical communications, silicon photonics and gallium arsenide vertical-cavity surface-emitting laser (VCSEL) technologies used in high-speed data communications applications.

    Despite securing a significant commercial agreement, the company’s financial outlook continues to reflect ongoing challenges. IQE remains loss-making, with negative gross profit reported during 2025, negative free cash flow, increasing debt and declining shareholders’ equity. However, recent share price momentum has improved, with the stock trading above key moving averages and supported by positive technical indicators. Valuation remains difficult to assess given the company’s negative earnings and the absence of a dividend.

    About IQE plc

    IQE plc is a Cardiff-based manufacturer of advanced compound semiconductor wafers used in communications, smart connected devices, automotive, industrial, aerospace and security applications. The company operates large-scale epitaxy manufacturing facilities in the UK, the United States and Taiwan and supplies semiconductor materials to leading global chipmakers and original equipment manufacturers. IQE is listed on the AIM market of the London Stock Exchange.