Author: Fiona Craig

  • Sabre Insurance Posts Strong H1 2025 Results, Doubles Interim Dividend

    Sabre Insurance Posts Strong H1 2025 Results, Doubles Interim Dividend

    Sabre Insurance Group plc (LSE:SBRE) delivered solid results for the first half of 2025, with profit before tax climbing 26.2% year-on-year. This performance supports the company’s progress toward its long-term “Ambition 2030” goals. Key drivers included the successful rollout of its direct-to-consumer Motorcycle product and a continued emphasis on preserving healthy profit margins. Reflecting its strong financial footing, Sabre has doubled its interim dividend and launched a £5 million share buyback program.

    Despite ongoing softness in the broader insurance market, Sabre remains focused on underwriting discipline and operational efficiency, leaving it well-positioned to capitalize on future market improvements.

    The outlook for Sabre is strengthened by strong profitability trends, robust revenue growth, and a compelling valuation with attractive dividend returns. Although the stock is trading below certain moving averages, which may signal caution from a technical perspective, recent strategic developments and insider share purchases point to confidence in the company’s direction. The lack of earnings call details, however, limits deeper analysis.

    About Sabre Insurance Group plc

    Sabre Insurance Group plc is a UK-based specialist in motor insurance underwriting. Renowned for its consistent underwriting discipline, the company delivers auto insurance products with a focus on balancing premium income and margins to maximize profitability and shareholder value.

    This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • Fintel PLC Delivers Strong H1 2025 Results and Secures Expanded Credit Facility

    Fintel PLC Delivers Strong H1 2025 Results and Secures Expanded Credit Facility

    Fintel PLC (LSE:FNTL) posted a robust performance for the first half of 2025, with total revenue rising by 18.6% to £42.4 million. This growth was primarily fueled by recent acquisitions and the rollout of new product offerings. The company also finalized a planned refinancing, increasing its revolving credit facility to £120 million. This expansion strengthens its financial position and supports future investment in strategic growth initiatives.

    Key developments during the period included scaling up its services for intermediaries and introducing new software solutions, reinforcing Fintel’s position in the highly fragmented UK financial services landscape.

    Looking ahead, the company maintains a solid financial foundation with potential for enhanced profitability and stronger cash generation. While recent strategic moves and positive corporate developments inspire confidence, a relatively high market valuation and mixed technical signals suggest a balanced outlook.

    About Fintel PLC

    Fintel PLC is a leading UK-based fintech and support services provider specializing in the retail financial services industry. It delivers a suite of technology solutions, regulatory compliance support, and data services to intermediary firms and product providers, helping consumers make smarter financial choices.

    This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • DAX, CAC, FTSE 100 Trade Mixed as Investors Weigh Earnings and Regional Data

    DAX, CAC, FTSE 100 Trade Mixed as Investors Weigh Earnings and Regional Data

    European markets showed a mixed trend on Wednesday as investors reacted to a wave of corporate earnings reports and macroeconomic data across the region.

    In Germany, preliminary data from Destatis showed that Q2 GDP contracted by 0.1%, matching forecasts and reversing the 0.3% growth seen in Q1 after revisions. However, German retail sales in June surprised to the upside, rising 1.0% month-over-month, a turnaround from May’s revised 0.6% decline.

    France posted Q2 GDP growth of 0.3% compared to the previous quarter, thanks in part to a rebound in household spending, according to INSEE.

    On the index level, the FTSE 100 in the U.K. was down 0.3%, while Germany’s DAX inched up 0.1% and France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.4%.

    Casino Group (EU:CO) soared 36% in Paris after reiterating its goal to return to break-even free cash flow before financial expenses by 2026, as part of its “Renouveau 2028” strategy.

    On the downside, luxury goods giant Hermès International (EU:RMS) slid 3.2% following a dip in first-half profit. Payments firm Worldline (EU:WLN) lost 5.7% after widening its first-half net loss.

    Food and beverage giant Danone (EU:BN) surged 7% as its Q2 comparable sales exceeded analyst expectations.

    Adidas (TG:ADS) dropped over 6% after warning that U.S. tariffs could inflict a double-digit million euro loss in Q2.

    Automakers Mercedes-Benz (TG:MBG) and Porsche (TG:P911) traded lower after both companies downgraded their profit forecasts.

    Despite reporting a mixed performance across its business units, BASF (TG:BAS) advanced 1%.

    Medical tech firm Siemens Healthineers (TG:SHL) rose 1.3% after posting stronger-than-expected revenue in Q3.

    In Spain, Banco Santander (LSE:BNC) declined nearly 3% after revealing an unexpected charge related to its Brazilian unit during the second quarter.

    UBS (BIT:W3XAU4) added 1.1% after the Swiss bank beat Q2 profit estimates.

    Among U.K. stocks, Taylor Wimpey (LSE:TW.) slumped 5% after issuing a profit warning for FY2. BAE Systems (LSE:BA.) fell nearly 2%, even though it upgraded its full-year guidance.

    GSK (LSE:GSK) gained 1% after beating Q2 estimates and projecting full-year sales and profits near the top of its forecast range.

    Finally, HSBC (LSE:HSBA) slipped 2.6% after reporting a 26% decline in first-half pretax earnings.

    This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, U.S. Stock Futures Hover Flat Ahead of Fed Decision, Tech Earnings in Focus

    Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, U.S. Stock Futures Hover Flat Ahead of Fed Decision, Tech Earnings in Focus

    U.S. index futures were trading flat early Wednesday, suggesting a muted start to the session as investors hold off on major bets ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement this afternoon.

    With markets broadly expecting the central bank to keep interest rates steady, traders remain focused on the Fed’s accompanying statement for any clues on the path forward for monetary policy.

    Caution is also prevailing as investors await earnings updates from major tech players Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), which are due after the market closes today. Meanwhile, Friday’s July jobs report and trade policy developments are also weighing on sentiment.

    In a post on Truth Social this morning, former President Donald Trump announced that a 25% tariff on imports from India will go into effect this Friday, adding to growing trade tensions.

    Stocks finished Tuesday in the red after failing to hold early gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 204.57 points, or 0.5%, to close at 44,632.99. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 80.29 points, or 0.4%, to 21,098.29, while the S&P 500 fell 18.91 points, or 0.3%, to 6,370.86.

    The retreat marked a modest correction after recent record highs for both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, as investors locked in profits and turned cautious ahead of today’s Fed meeting.

    Traders are also monitoring U.S.–China trade talks currently taking place in Stockholm, ahead of a reciprocal tariff deadline set for Friday. Trump reiterated earlier in the week that countries lacking individual trade agreements with the U.S. could soon face tariffs ranging from 15% to 20% on their exports.

    On the economic front, July saw a slight uptick in consumer sentiment. The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index rose to 97.2, up from a revised 95.2 in June. Economists had forecast a more modest rise to 95.8.

    Separately, the Labor Department reported that U.S. job openings in June dipped slightly, but not as much as economists had anticipated.

    Sector performance was mixed. Pharmaceutical stocks led the laggards, dragging the NYSE Arca Pharmaceutical Index down 2.6%. Transportation shares also saw a notable pullback, with the Dow Jones Transportation Average declining 2.3%.

    In contrast, commercial real estate, natural gas, and utilities stocks posted solid gains. Oil services and steel stocks also lost ground on the day, contributing to the broader market’s cautious tone.

    This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • Bodycote shares surge 13% following £30 million buyback and reaffirmed guidance

    Bodycote shares surge 13% following £30 million buyback and reaffirmed guidance

    Bodycote (LSE:BOY) saw its stock jump about 13% on Wednesday in London after announcing an additional £30 million share repurchase program and confirming its full-year outlook. This latest buyback raises the total allocation to £120 million.

    The company reiterated that it remains on track to meet full-year expectations, anticipating stronger performance in the second half, supported by a continued recovery in aerospace markets and recent contract wins.

    In the first half, Bodycote reported sales of £369 million, EBITA of £55.1 million, and an operating margin of 14.9%. Headline earnings per share came in at 21.3p.

    Net debt increased to £112.5 million, reflecting the effects of the buyback and dividend payouts.

    RBC analysts viewed the results positively and in line with guidance. “We continue to see Bodycote as having an attractive end market mix, with further earnings growth potential from self-help,” said Mark Fielding’s team.

    They maintained an Outperform rating with a price target of 650p.

    Although shares have rebounded from April lows, they still trade 13% below this year’s peak, suggesting potential for a re-rating if Bodycote delivers on second-half expectations.

    This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • Smurfit Westrock slips as earnings disappoint despite revenue edge

    Smurfit Westrock slips as earnings disappoint despite revenue edge

    Smurfit Westrock plc (LSE:SWR) saw its shares decline by 1.89% in U.S. premarket trading Wednesday after posting a second-quarter net loss that came in below analysts’ earnings projections, even as the company slightly outperformed revenue forecasts.

    For the three months ended June 30, the packaging firm reported a net loss of $26 million, or -$0.05 per share, missing the consensus expectation of $0.59 in earnings per share. Revenue for the quarter totaled $7.94 billion, narrowly surpassing the forecast of $7.9 billion. The year-over-year comparison reflects the impact of Smurfit Kappa’s merger with WestRock (NYSE:WRK), finalized in July 2024. Last year’s Q2 revenue was $2.97 billion before the consolidation.

    Adjusted EBITDA came in at $1.21 billion with a 15.3% margin, down from 16.2% a year earlier. The company noted that $280 million in charges related to facility closures and restructuring efforts weighed on performance.

    “I am pleased to report a strong second quarter performance as we continue to deliver in line with our Adjusted EBITDA guidance,” said Tony Smurfit, President and CEO. “This performance is driven by the significant improvement in our North American business and continued excellent results from our Latin American operations, somewhat offset by a resilient performance from our EMEA and APAC businesses.”

    By region, North America posted Adjusted EBITDA of $752 million with a margin of 15.8%, while Latin America reported $123 million with an impressive 23.7% margin.

    Looking to Q3, the company expects Adjusted EBITDA to reach around $1.3 billion. Its full-year target remains unchanged, with a projected range of $5.0 billion to $5.2 billion.

    Smurfit Westrock also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.4308 per ordinary share, to be paid on September 18, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 15, 2025.

    This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • Taylor Wimpey lowers 2025 profit outlook after unforeseen remediation costs

    Taylor Wimpey lowers 2025 profit outlook after unforeseen remediation costs

    Shares of British homebuilder Taylor Wimpey (LSE:TW.) dropped over 6% on Wednesday following a revision to its annual operating profit forecast, which was reduced by £20 million due to unexpected expenses linked to remediation work at a historic site.

    The company now anticipates operating profits of £424 million for 2025, down from earlier market expectations of £444 million, after reporting an adjusted operating profit of £161 million for the first half of the year.

    Despite the revised profit projection, Taylor Wimpey upheld its UK housing delivery forecast, expecting between 10,400 and 10,800 units excluding joint ventures, and reaffirmed its average selling price target of £340,000.

    During the first six months, the company delivered 5,264 homes, accounting for 46% of the midpoint of its full-year target.

    The average selling price in the UK declined 1.3% to £313,000, falling short of the prior estimate of £330,000. Taylor Wimpey attributed this decrease to delayed London deliveries pushed into the second half and a greater share of affordable housing in the mix.

    Sales velocity has softened recently, with weekly sales per site dropping to 0.59 units for the four weeks ending July 27, marking a 7.8% decline compared to last year. This contrasts with a 4% rise year-on-year to 0.77 units per week seen in the January-April period.

    As of July 27, the company’s order backlog rose 4.2% in value but contracted 2.8% in volume relative to the same timeframe last year. This reflects a deceleration from April, when backlog growth stood at 11.5% in value and 5.3% in volume.

    Taylor Wimpey reported net cash reserves of £326 million in the first half and expects this to reach £350 million by year-end 2025. The firm approved land acquisitions totaling about 3,000 lots during this period and declared an interim dividend aligned with its dividend policy.

    Additionally, the company boosted its fire safety provision by £222.2 million but clarified that cash outflows related to remediation efforts in 2025 would remain unchanged.

    This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • DAX, CAC, FTSE100, European shares dip slightly amid earnings reports and economic data anticipation

    DAX, CAC, FTSE100, European shares dip slightly amid earnings reports and economic data anticipation

    European stock markets edged down modestly on Wednesday as investors processed a wave of corporate earnings and awaited critical regional growth figures alongside the wrap-up of the latest Federal Reserve meeting.

    By 07:02 GMT, Germany’s DAX slipped 0.2%, France’s CAC 40 fell by 0.2%, and the UK’s FTSE 100 declined 0.4%.

    Second-quarter earnings roundup

    The recently announced trade deal between the U.S. and the European Union over the weekend has provided a boost to sentiment among European companies. However, uncertainty tied to the Trump administration’s unpredictable trade tactics has already influenced corporate profits in Q2.

    Switzerland’s largest bank, UBS (NYSE:UBS), saw its second-quarter earnings more than double compared to last year, benefiting from heightened trading volumes amid turbulent markets.

    HSBC (LSE:HSBA) posted a 27% drop in first-half profits, impacted by one-time charges linked to its investment in China’s Bank of Communications, though it also unveiled a new $3 billion share buyback program.

    Adidas (TG:ADS) revealed that increased U.S. tariffs are expected to add about €200 million ($231 million) in costs during the second half of the year, noting the impact had already shaved “double-digit” millions of euros from its Q2 results.

    Mercedes-Benz (TG:MBG) projected a 4% to 6% profit margin for its automotive division this year, down from its April forecast in the company’s first estimate of losses caused by the U.S. trade conflict.

    Porsche (BIT:1PORS) revised downward its full-year profit forecast after reporting a €400 million ($462 million) tariff-related hit in the first half.

    Luxury car maker Aston Martin (LSE:AML) lowered its profit expectations, citing “evolving and disruptive” U.S. tariffs and now anticipates adjusted operating profit will roughly break even.

    France’s Danone (EU:BN) beat expectations with second-quarter sales growth, fueled by strong demand for infant formula and medical nutrition in China, which offset weaker performance in the competitive U.S. coffee creamer market.

    French luxury brand Hermès (EU:RMS) posted a 9% increase in quarterly sales, reflecting continued strong demand for its iconic Birkin handbags among wealthy buyers.

    Mining giant Rio Tinto (LSE:RIO) reported its smallest first-half underlying profit in five years, as soft iron ore prices driven by oversupply and weaker Chinese demand offset gains from its copper segment.

    French IT consultancy Capgemini (EU:CAP) narrowed its full-year outlook, expressing caution amid a slowdown in Q2 demand.

    Investors will also keep a close watch on major U.S. tech earnings, with Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Meta (NASDAQ:META) set to release their results after markets close Wednesday.

    Eurozone growth data in spotlight

    Economically, the key focus in Europe is the preliminary estimate of second-quarter GDP growth for the eurozone, as markets look for clues on the European Central Bank’s future rate moves.

    Earlier Wednesday, data showed France’s economy expanded by 0.3% in Q2, surpassing forecasts thanks to a rebound in household spending, strengthening the eurozone’s second-largest economy.

    Meanwhile, German retail sales rose 1.0% in June compared to the previous month, beating expectations ahead of the release of Germany’s Q2 GDP figures.

    Last week, the ECB kept its main interest rate steady at 2%, pausing after a year of easing to await greater clarity on Europe’s trade ties with the U.S.

    Across the Atlantic, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates unchanged as its policy meeting concludes later today.

    Oil prices steady amid Russia sanctions watch

    Oil markets paused on Wednesday after sharp gains the previous day, as traders awaited developments on potential new sanctions against Russia aimed at pressuring an end to the Ukraine conflict.

    At 03:02 ET, Brent crude futures ticked up 0.1% to $71.77 a barrel, with U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures also rising 0.1% to $69.29 a barrel.

    Both benchmarks had closed Tuesday at their highest levels since June 20, jumping over 3% following President Trump’s announcement that he would impose additional sanctions on Russia if progress toward ending the war was not made within 10 to 12 days, shortening the earlier 50-day deadline.

    This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures, Trade negotiations, Fed decision, and major earnings set to shape markets

    Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures, Trade negotiations, Fed decision, and major earnings set to shape markets

    U.S. stock futures edged slightly higher Wednesday as investors braced for a series of significant events, including the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate announcement, key economic reports, and earnings releases from leading tech giants. The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady despite growing pressure from President Donald Trump to lower borrowing costs swiftly. Meanwhile, investors are keenly watching earnings reports from two “Magnificent Seven” tech leaders, Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), with particular attention on their AI development plans.

    Futures show mild gains

    By early Wednesday, Dow futures held steady, S&P 500 futures gained about 0.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures were up approximately 0.2%. This came after the major indexes dipped on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite retreating from record highs.

    Several Dow components, including Merck (NYSE:MRK), UnitedHealth (NYSE:UNH), and Boeing (NYSE:BA), declined following their earnings reports. United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) notably dropped over 10% after once again withholding annual revenue and margin forecasts, fueling concerns about the impact of volatile U.S. trade policies on its performance.

    Consumer goods company Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) slid after issuing lower-than-expected annual guidance, also warning of imminent price increases on select products to offset tariff effects. Appliance manufacturer Whirlpool (NYSE:WHR) cut its full-year outlook, sending shares down more than 13%, attributing some of the pressure to tariffs.

    Trade talks yield limited progress

    A new round of trade discussions between the U.S. and China in Sweden ended without any major breakthroughs after two days of talks. Still, both parties described the exchanges as constructive efforts to extend the current 90-day trade truce.

    U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted after the meetings, “It’s just that we haven’t given the signoff.” Officials indicated that President Trump will ultimately decide whether to extend the truce, which expires on August 12. Without an extension, U.S. tariffs on China could jump back to triple-digit levels.

    Trade negotiations have remained a central focus of the Trump administration, highlighted by a recent framework agreement with the European Union. On Tuesday, Trump stated that a deal with India was still pending, after Reuters reported India is preparing to accept tariffs between 20% and 25% on exports to the U.S.

    Despite some agreements, many trade deals remain unresolved, with the August 1 deadline for Trump’s elevated “reciprocal” tariffs fast approaching.

    Fed decision takes center stage

    Attention now turns to the Federal Reserve, expected to keep interest rates unchanged at the end of its two-day meeting on Wednesday. Several Fed officials have suggested a more cautious stance on future rate changes, citing the need to assess the effects of Trump’s aggressive tariff policies on the broader economy.

    Concerns persist that tariffs may drive inflation higher and hamper growth. So far, price increases have been modest, and economic activity remains relatively resilient, though there is apprehension that businesses will pass rising costs on to consumers.

    The Fed has maintained borrowing costs between 4.25% and 4.5%, a policy defended publicly by Chair Jerome Powell but criticized by Trump, who has urged a swift rate cut to stimulate growth.

    Economic data in focus

    This week brings a stream of economic reports offering insights into the U.S. economy. On Wednesday, markets will digest the first estimate of second-quarter GDP, expected to show growth of 2.5% after a 0.5% contraction in Q1.

    July’s private payrolls are projected to increase by 77,000 following a 33,000 decline in June, with ADP data serving as a lead indicator ahead of Friday’s crucial nonfarm payrolls report.

    Investors have also noted rising consumer confidence this month, though job openings and hiring figures have decreased, hinting at some labor market cooling.

    Tech earnings spotlight on Microsoft and Meta

    Wednesday’s earnings calendar is highlighted by results from key members of the “Magnificent Seven” tech group.

    Microsoft’s AI initiatives will receive close scrutiny, especially since partner OpenAI has recently relied on cloud services from competitors such as Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL), CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV), and Oracle (NYSE:ORCL). OpenAI’s success has fueled growth in Microsoft’s Azure cloud business, making the company a major beneficiary of the AI boom.

    Artificial intelligence will also be a key theme in Meta Platforms’ earnings. CEO Mark Zuckerberg has made massive AI investments a cornerstone of the company’s strategy, aiming to spend around $55 billion on new AI data centers over the last three quarters of 2025. How Meta plans to monetize these investments remains a critical focus for investors.

    In addition to Microsoft and Meta, other earnings releases expected after the bell include chip designer Arm Holdings (NASDAQ:ARM) and trading platform Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ:HOOD).

    This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • Oil prices hold steady as US inventory build emerges and Fed decision looms

    Oil prices hold steady as US inventory build emerges and Fed decision looms

    Oil prices stabilized during Wednesday’s Asian trading session, easing after sharp gains seen earlier in the week. Market attention shifted toward a surprising increase in U.S. crude stockpiles and the Federal Reserve’s imminent interest rate announcement.

    Earlier this week, crude surged on news that the U.S. planned sanctions targeting key purchasers of Russian oil, aiming to pressure Moscow over the Ukraine conflict. Additionally, positive momentum came from improved U.S.-EU trade relations following a recently finalized agreement.

    However, the upward trend lost some steam after industry figures revealed an unexpected rise in U.S. oil inventories. Market participants also exercised caution ahead of the Fed’s policy meeting scheduled for Wednesday, alongside expectations of several important economic data releases throughout the week.

    September Brent crude futures edged up 0.2% to $72.68 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures increased slightly by 0.1% to $69.28 per barrel as of 20:53 ET (00:53 GMT).

    US crude stocks rise unexpectedly — API data

    The American Petroleum Institute reported on Tuesday evening that U.S. crude inventories expanded by roughly 1.5 million barrels in the week ending July 25. This rise contrasted with forecasts predicting a 2.5 million barrel decline and reversed the modest drawdown seen the prior week.

    The API figures often precede official government inventory reports due later Wednesday. An inventory build raises concerns about demand strength in the world’s largest oil consumer amid ongoing economic uncertainties.

    A series of crucial U.S. economic indicators is expected this week, culminating with the Fed’s two-day meeting wrap-up on Wednesday, where interest rates are widely anticipated to remain steady.

    Meanwhile, a robust U.S. dollar ahead of the Fed announcement put mild downward pressure on crude prices.

    Friday’s calendar includes the all-important nonfarm payrolls report, a key gauge of labor market health. The same day also marks the deadline for President Trump’s steep trade tariffs, coinciding with Washington’s recent signing of limited trade agreements.

    Asia eyes China PMIs and Bank of Japan decision

    In Asia, attention turns to the purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data from China, the world’s top oil importer, due on Thursday. This release is expected to shed light on China’s economic outlook following the recent easing of trade tensions with the U.S.

    The Bank of Japan is also scheduled to announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, with expectations favoring no change amid uncertainty surrounding trade developments and Japan’s political leadership.

    This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. It should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.