Category: Market Summary

  • European stocks muted as Middle East attacks weigh on sentiment: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European stocks muted as Middle East attacks weigh on sentiment: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equities traded with little overall direction on Wednesday as fresh attacks on shipping involving the U.S. and Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis renewed concerns about potential supply disruptions and reduced hopes of bringing the months-long Iran conflict to an end.

    Major regional indices were mixed. France’s CAC 40 Index slipped 0.2%, while the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index edged 0.1% higher and Germany’s DAX Index advanced 0.5% following confirmation that German inflation accelerated in July.

    German inflation rises to 2.8%

    Final figures from Destatis showed German consumer prices increased 2.8% year on year in July, accelerating from 2.3% in June and matching previous estimates.

    The rise was partly driven by higher energy prices following the end of the government’s fuel tax measures. The July reading was the highest since April, when inflation reached 2.9%.

    EU-harmonised inflation also increased as expected, reaching a three-month high of 2.8% in July compared with 2.4% in June.

    Balfour Beatty and ABN AMRO shares climb

    In corporate trading, Balfour Beatty (LSE:BBY) shares surged after the British construction group raised its annual operating profit forecast following a sharp increase in first-half earnings.

    Dutch lender ABN AMRO (EU:ABN) also advanced strongly after delivering solid second-quarter results and upgrading its full-year income guidance.

    Germany’s Indus Holding (TG:INH) rallied after reporting a substantial improvement in first-half earnings and raising its outlook for the full 2026 financial year.

    Bechtle and Bilfinger move lower

    Elsewhere, IT services provider Bechtle (TG:BC8) declined despite reporting higher second-quarter bottom-line earnings and increasing its guidance for the full financial year.

    Industrial services group Bilfinger (TG:GBF) also fell after indicating that its full-year EBITA margin is now expected to finish at the lower end of its guidance range.

  • Market Open: Balfour Beatty Guidance, Evoke Gaming Duties

    Market Open: Balfour Beatty Guidance, Evoke Gaming Duties

    UK markets open mixed as Balfour Beatty raises guidance, Evoke faces higher gaming duties and Brent crude rises on Hormuz risks.


    Market Overview

    The FTSE 100 opened unchanged at 10,844.19, while the Euronext 100 edged 0.01 per cent lower to 1,976.84 and Germany’s DAX gained 0.19 per cent to 26,442.42. European markets remained cautious as investors monitored the escalating US-Iran standoff over the Strait of Hormuz and awaited US inflation data. Overnight on Wall Street, the Nasdaq closed lower at 26,445.45, while the S&P 500 declined to 7,728.20.

    Commodity markets were mixed, with copper and natural gas higher, gold slightly lower and Brent crude rising as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and continuing Houthi strikes kept supply risks in focus. Against sterling, the US dollar, Japanese yen and Australian dollar strengthened marginally, the Swiss franc weakened slightly and the euro was unchanged, while Bitcoin rose slightly.


    Market Numbers

    FTSE 100: Unchanged (0.00%), 10,844.19
    Euronext 100: Down (-0.01%), 1,976.84
    DAX: Up (+0.19%), 26,442.42
    NASDAQ: Down, 26,445.45
    S&P 500: Down, 7,728.20


    In the Headlines

    Guidance raised – Balfour Beatty (LSE:BBY)
    Infrastructure group Balfour Beatty raised its 2026 guidance after first-half underlying profit from its earnings-based businesses increased 42 per cent, supported by stronger UK and US operations. Higher expectations for profit growth and cash generation, alongside increased shareholder returns, strengthen visibility for the year ahead.

    Gaming duties weigh – Evoke (LSE:EVOK)
    Betting and gaming group Evoke reported broadly stable first-half revenue, with online growth helping offset retail closures, but higher UK gaming duties weighed on profitability. The company is pursuing efficiency measures while progressing towards the proposed Bally’s Intralot transaction.


    Currencies (vs GBP)

    USD: Up (+0.01%), $1.3508
    CHF: Down (-0.00%), Fr.1.0957
    EUR: Unchanged (0.00%), €1.1703
    JPY: Up (+0.00%), ¥215.154
    AUD: Up (+0.00%), $1.9125
    Bitcoin (BTC/GBP): Up, £47,118.43


    Commodities

    Copper: Up
    Gold: Down
    Brent Crude: Up
    Natural Gas: Up

  • Markets await U.S. inflation data as CoreWeave rallies and Hormuz risks persist: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    Markets await U.S. inflation data as CoreWeave rallies and Hormuz risks persist: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    U.S. equity futures traded mostly higher as investors awaited July inflation data that could influence expectations for Federal Reserve monetary policy. CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV) rallied after artificial intelligence demand helped the cloud infrastructure provider deliver another quarter of record revenue, while high investment costs remained in focus. In the Middle East, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz declined to a one-week low as hopes of a near-term reopening continued to fade.

    Wall Street futures advance ahead of CPI

    U.S. stock futures were largely in positive territory ahead of the consumer price index release, with markets assessing how the latest inflation reading could affect the Fed’s policy path for the rest of 2026.

    At 03:09 ET (07:09 GMT), Dow futures were little changed. S&P 500 futures rose 13 points, or 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 futures gained 117 points, or 0.4%.

    The advance followed a weaker previous session for Wall Street’s main indices, with volatile crude prices contributing to uncertainty. Conflicting developments in the Middle East caused oil to swing sharply, adding to fears that prolonged high energy prices could keep inflation elevated and increase pressure on central banks.

    Some economic indicators offered encouragement, however. Deutsche Bank analysts said recent U.S. releases “generally came in on the positive side,” with small business optimism among the figures exceeding forecasts.

    Inflation figures could shape Fed expectations

    July’s CPI report is now the key focus for investors, with headline inflation forecast to slow marginally to 3.4% year on year from 3.5%.

    Energy costs remain an important component of the inflation outlook. Gasoline prices have been elevated since the Iran war started in late February, raising the prospect that higher energy costs could feed into broader price pressures.

    “Core” CPI, which excludes food and energy, is expected to ease to 2.5% from 2.6%.

    Vital Knowledge analysts said inflation would remain substantially above the Fed’s target even if the forecasts prove accurate. While higher rates could be used to tackle persistent price growth, tighter policy could also put additional pressure on economic activity and an increasingly fragile labour market.

    Deutsche Bank noted that policymakers generally favour the core personal consumption expenditures price index over CPI when assessing inflation. However, the PCE figures are not scheduled for release for another couple of weeks.

    “But today’s CPI and tomorrow’s [producer price index] (where a few components feed into the PCE) will offer us an initial steer on prices in July and will help to shape the upcoming market narrative,” the analysts wrote in a note.

    AI boom drives another record quarter for CoreWeave

    CoreWeave shares climbed more than 15% in extended-hours trading after the company reported record revenue for a fifth consecutive quarter, supported by intense demand for AI computing capacity.

    Its backlog of contracted future sales increased to $104 billion, almost double the level recorded in November. The company also reported $25 billion in net new customer commitments secured so far during the current quarter.

    Chief Executive Michael Intrator called it the “strongest bookings quarter” in CoreWeave’s history.

    CoreWeave’s business involves acquiring advanced Nvidia AI processors, installing them in data centres and renting the resulting computing capacity to customers. June-quarter revenue reached $2.58 billion, surpassing analysts’ forecasts.

    The scale of the investment required to satisfy demand remains a key concern. Vital Knowledge analysts said capital expenditure was “elevated and ran ahead of expectations.” CoreWeave has recorded $1.64 billion in net losses since its initial public offering in March 2025 as it continues spending heavily to expand capacity.

    Hormuz vessel numbers decline further

    Only eight vessels were tracked through the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday, according to shipping data reported by Reuters, marking the lowest level for a week.

    Ship operators have increasingly sought to avoid the strategically important passage as violence in the Middle East continues. Fresh attacks announced by the U.S. and the Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen on Tuesday further reduced optimism that shipping through the strait could soon return to normal.

    Hormuz carried around one-fifth of the world’s oil before the Iran war erupted in late February. The latest vessel count was below the 10-day average of roughly 12 and was the lowest recorded since August 5, Reuters said.

    Brent crude rebounds as reopening hopes fade

    Brent crude futures gained 0.6% to $89.46 a barrel after another volatile session driven by developments surrounding Hormuz.

    Comments from Qatar’s Foreign Ministry and Pakistan’s Defense Minister initially encouraged hopes of progress towards an agreement to reopen the strait, briefly pushing oil prices lower. Brent fell as far as $86.60 a barrel during the session.

    Those losses were subsequently reversed after Iranian state media indicated that Tehran would keep Hormuz blocked until conditions presented over the weekend were fulfilled. Iran’s Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council separately said that any agreement with Oman concerning the waterway would “remain a separate issue from the strait’s closure.”

  • European stocks tread cautiously as oil rally and US inflation take centre stage: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European stocks tread cautiously as oil rally and US inflation take centre stage: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equities were subdued on Wednesday, holding close to record highs as a six-session advance in crude oil and worsening tensions in the Middle East kept investors cautious ahead of a crucial US inflation report.

    The pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 Index edged 0.1% higher, with major regional markets showing similarly limited moves. Germany’s DAX gained 0.2%, France’s CAC 40 moved 0.1%, while London’s FTSE 100 was virtually unchanged.

    Economic figures from Europe offered some stability before attention shifted towards the US data. Final inflation readings for July confirmed annual headline consumer price growth of 2.8% in both Germany and Italy. However, those figures were overshadowed by renewed volatility in energy markets, with crude oil recording its longest run of consecutive gains since late April.

    Brent crude climbed towards $89 a barrel as the conflict involving Iran and shipping routes through the Persian Gulf showed little sign of easing. Despite repeated claims from U.S. President Donald Trump that a peace agreement was close, negotiations appeared to have reached a deadlock.

    Prospects for a diplomatic breakthrough weakened further after Trump introduced tougher counter-conditions, including a demand for Tehran to pay direct compensation related to the conflict. Iran responded by warning that the Strait of Hormuz would remain closed until Washington satisfied its demands.

    Tensions at sea also intensified after Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis carried out fresh attacks against military supply vessels.

    The continued increase in energy and other input costs adds another challenge to an already uncertain economic environment, with investors now turning their attention to Wednesday’s US Consumer Price Index report.

    The inflation figures are particularly important because of the increasingly difficult policy decision facing the Federal Reserve. Last week’s unexpectedly weak US employment report showed the economy lost 23,000 jobs in July and included substantial downward revisions to previous figures. Following the report, market-implied expectations for a September Fed rate increase fell to around 45%, compared with 67% beforehand.

    A weaker-than-anticipated inflation reading could reinforce expectations that slowing labour demand is helping bring price pressures closer to target, potentially allowing central banks on both sides of the Atlantic to keep interest rates unchanged into the autumn.

    In contrast, stronger inflation driven by persistent energy and services costs could increase concerns about “stagflation,” a scenario in which policymakers are forced to maintain elevated borrowing costs even as economic growth deteriorates.

    Despite Wednesday’s cautious trading, the STOXX 600 has gained approximately 11% since the beginning of the year, highlighting the resilience of European equities following a particularly volatile July.

    The index has advanced 1.75% so far in August, although that trails the roughly 3% rise recorded by the S&P 500 Index over the same period.

    US markets have benefited significantly from gains among mega-cap technology companies and artificial intelligence-related stocks. European indices, by comparison, have greater exposure to industrial, automotive and consumer discretionary companies, leaving them more sensitive to weak regional growth, tariffs and rising raw-material costs.

    The approaching end of the second-quarter earnings season is also reducing one source of support for European equities.

    Corporate results have helped underpin markets during the past month, with aggregate STOXX 600 earnings showing growth of almost 21% year-on-year. Banking groups have benefited from healthy net interest margins, while defence and power-grid infrastructure companies have experienced strong demand.

    However, most European companies have now released their quarterly results. As a result, the flow of positive earnings surprises that helped support equities through late July is fading, increasing the market’s dependence on economic data and geopolitical developments for its next significant move.

    European stocks on the move

    Among individual companies, Vestas (TG:VWSB) surged 15% after upgrading its full-year earnings outlook.

    Bilfinger (TG:GBF) dropped more than 6% following the release of its second-quarter results, while Balfour Beatty (LSE:BBY) climbed almost 10% after raising its profit forecasts.

  • FTSE 100 slips as US-Iran tensions over Strait of Hormuz escalate

    FTSE 100 slips as US-Iran tensions over Strait of Hormuz escalate

    UK equities moved slightly lower on Wednesday as worsening tensions between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz took attention away from closely watched US inflation figures due later in the day.

    The FTSE 100 was 0.08% lower as of 03:25 ET (07:25 GMT). Elsewhere in Europe, Germany’s DAX advanced 0.12%, while France’s CAC 40 declined 0.19%. Sterling was broadly steady against the US dollar, with GBP/USD edging 0.03% higher to 1.3510.

    Geopolitical concerns intensified early on Wednesday after U.S. Central Command said American forces had disabled the steering system of the Panama-flagged cargo ship M/V Vela Nova in the Gulf of Oman. According to CENTCOM, the vessel had attempted to breach the US blockade affecting Iran-bound shipping.

    CENTCOM said a US Navy MH-60 helicopter fired two Hellfire missiles into the ship’s engine room after its crew failed to respond to repeated warnings. It added that, as of August 11, US forces had redirected 55 vessels, disabled three and boarded another two.

    U.S. President Donald Trump reinforced Washington’s position on Tuesday, reiterating that the United States had “total control” of the strategic waterway. Trump said, “We have total control over the Strait of Hormuz right now… We own it,” while warning that any Iranian retaliation would face a “forceful” response.

    Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei disputed Washington’s account of the situation, blaming the closure of the Strait on “US-Israeli military aggression”. He also said negotiations between Tehran and Oman over a new transit route were progressing “smoothly and constructively,” although reopening the waterway would depend on the removal of conditions imposed on Iran.

    In a separate development, Trump confirmed reports that his aircraft was secretly changed during his departure from last month’s NATO summit in Turkiye because of an alleged Iranian assassination threat.

    Jefferies strategist Mohit Kumar cautioned that a lasting resolution could prove difficult. In a note to clients, he said “there is no easy way out of the current situation, with Iran unlikely to give up control over the Strait and US unwilling to accept tolls,” adding that any agreement reached in the near term would probably be “more a fudge… rather than a long-lasting peaceful solution.”

    Energy prices moved higher as traders continued to assess potential disruption to oil supplies through the Strait. Brent crude gained 0.66% to $89.50, while WTI crude increased 0.77% to $83.83. Gold futures rose 0.41% to $4,459.47, with spot gold advancing 0.73% to $4,399.69.

    UK round-up

    Balfour Beatty (LSE:BBY) lifted its 2026 operating profit growth guidance to the low double digits, supported by robust demand across its US building operations and UK power infrastructure activities.

  • European stocks hold near flat as rising oil prices lift energy shares: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European stocks hold near flat as rising oil prices lift energy shares: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equities traded with little overall direction on Tuesday, as gains across the energy sector helped offset weakness elsewhere in the market.

    Oil prices moved sharply higher after U.S. President Donald Trump said he had instructed American representatives to firmly include compensation demands from Iran in future negotiations. The move added another obstacle to efforts to reach an agreement that could allow the Strait of Hormuz to reopen.

    Brent crude futures climbed almost 3% towards $90 a barrel as uncertainty persisted over when shipping through the strategically important waterway could return to normal.

    Major European indices trade in narrow ranges

    European benchmarks remained close to the flatline despite the renewed rise in energy prices.

    France’s CAC 40 slipped 0.1%, while the UK’s FTSE 100 gained 0.1% and Germany’s DAX advanced 0.2%.

    The relatively muted index moves masked sharper swings among individual companies, particularly in London.

    International Workplace Group (LSW:IWG) shares tumbled after the British office-space provider reported a pre-tax loss of $20 million, compared with a pre-tax profit of $12 million in the previous year.

    InterContinental Hotels Group (LSE:IHG), the owner of Holiday Inn, also traded lower after growth in room revenue, an important performance measure for the hotel operator, slowed during the second quarter.

    Spirax falls despite maintaining full-year guidance

    Spirax Group (LSE:SPX) was another notable decliner after releasing improved first-half results.

    The thermal energy and fluid technology company maintained its full-year expectations for mid-single-digit organic revenue growth and an improvement in margins, but its shares nevertheless fell sharply.

    The reaction added to the mixed tone across European markets, with investors weighing individual corporate updates against a renewed increase in geopolitical and energy-market risks.

    BP, Shell and TotalEnergies gain as crude approaches $90

    Energy companies were among the strongest performers as higher crude prices improved sentiment towards the sector.

    BP Plc (LSE:BP.), Shell (LSE:SHEL) and TotalEnergies (EU:TTE) all moved higher as Brent crude approached $90 a barrel.

    The divergence between rising energy shares and weakness in several major companies left European indices broadly subdued, with developments surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz remaining an important near-term driver for both oil prices and market sentiment.

  • Market Open: Bellway Completions, Seeing Machines Royalties

    Market Open: Bellway Completions, Seeing Machines Royalties

    UK markets open flat as Bellway lifts completions, Seeing Machines reports record royalties and Brent crude remains sensitive to Iran tensions.

    Market Overview

    The FTSE 100 opened broadly unchanged, up 0.001 per cent at 10,862.85, while the Euronext 100 was also effectively flat at 1,972.91 and Germany’s DAX edged 0.01 per cent higher to 26,327.10. European markets remained cautious as renewed US-Iran tensions and uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz kept energy risks in focus, while softer UK retail sales added pressure domestically. Overnight in the US, the Nasdaq closed lower at 26,605.36 and the S&P 500 also declined to 7,753.11, with investors looking ahead to US inflation data and assessing elevated technology valuations.

    Commodity markets were softer at the open, with copper, gold, Brent crude and natural gas all declining from their previous closes. Oil nevertheless remained supported by fading hopes of a US-Iran agreement and continuing concerns over flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Bitcoin rose against sterling. Currency moves were limited, with the US dollar, Swiss franc, euro and Japanese yen strengthening marginally against sterling, while the Australian dollar weakened slightly.


    Market Numbers

    FTSE 100: Up (0.001%), 10,862.85
    Euronext 100: Up (0.001%), 1,972.91
    DAX: Up (0.01%), 26,327.10
    NASDAQ: Down, 26,605.36
    S&P 500: Down, 7,753.11


    In the Headlines

    Higher completions and cash – Bellway (LSE:BWY)
    The housebuilder reported a 10.8% increase in housing completions to 9,695 homes, while housing revenue rose to £3.14 billion and net cash strengthened to £157.7 million. Stronger cash generation is supporting continued share buybacks, although Bellway remains cautious over subdued demand and housing market conditions.

    Record automotive royalties – Seeing Machines (LSE:SEE)
    The driver and occupant monitoring technology group reported adjusted revenue growth of 45%, with automotive production volumes rising sharply and royalty revenue more than doubling. The improved revenue mix helped Seeing Machines achieve a profitable second half and move closer to full-year breakeven, supported by growing automotive adoption and European driver-monitoring requirements.


    Currencies (vs GBP)

    USD: Up (0.001%), $1.3511
    CHF: Up (0.001%), Fr.1.0942
    EUR: Up (0.01%), €1.1702
    JPY: Up (0.001%), ¥215.0305
    AUD: Down (-0.01%), $1.9151
    Bitcoin (BTC/GBP): Up, £47,442.65


    Commodities

    Copper: Down
    Gold: Down
    Brent Crude: Down
    Natural Gas: Down

  • Wall Street Futures Steady as Iran Tensions Lift Oil and Intel Completes $20 Billion Share Sale: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq

    Wall Street Futures Steady as Iran Tensions Lift Oil and Intel Completes $20 Billion Share Sale: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq

    U.S. equity futures showed little movement on Tuesday as markets balanced another increase in oil prices against major developments in artificial intelligence and semiconductors, with upcoming inflation figures also keeping investors cautious.

    At 03:05 ET (07:05 GMT), Dow futures slipped 51 points, or 0.1%, while futures tracking the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 were broadly unchanged.

    Stocks had finished lower in the previous session after prospects for reopening the Strait of Hormuz deteriorated, sending crude prices higher. The renewed energy rally raised concerns that more expensive fuel could add to inflationary pressures and make the monetary policy outlook more difficult for central banks.

    Treasury yields also moved higher, creating another headwind for equities.

    Nvidia financing plan puts AI spending back under the spotlight

    Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) confirmed an extensive AI infrastructure arrangement involving financial groups including Apollo, BlackRock, Goldman Sachs and KKR.

    The initiative is designed to mobilise more than $500 billion in third-party capital for infrastructure needed to support the continued expansion of artificial intelligence.

    Nvidia shares declined more than 2% after the Financial Times first reported the development.

    Vital Knowledge analysts described the move as another case of Nvidia “extending its balance sheet to drive AI infrastructure demand.”

    The reaction highlights growing sensitivity towards the scale of spending required to support the AI boom. Questions around the sustainability of these investments have weighed on technology sentiment in recent weeks, despite broadly resilient quarterly results from S&P 500 companies.

    Iran reparations dispute reduces hopes for rapid agreement

    Geopolitical risk remains another major consideration for markets after U.S. President Donald Trump rejected fresh demands from Iran, reducing expectations for an imminent breakthrough in peace negotiations.

    Tehran’s proposals included a demand for the United States to pay reparations for damage caused during the conflict, which has continued for more than five months.

    Trump said Iranian negotiators had not previously raised the issue and argued that Iran should instead compensate Washington “for all of the people that they have killed and gravely wounded with their roadside bombs and many conflicts.”

    The continued diplomatic deadlock has kept the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed, restricting an important route for global energy supplies. Before fighting began in late February, roughly one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas moved through the waterway.

    Brent crude futures rose another 1.8% to $89.34 a barrel as traders responded to the reduced likelihood of a near-term agreement.

    Riot Platforms rallies after Anthropic identified as data centre customer

    Riot Platforms (NASDAQ:RIOT) surged more than 20% in after-hours trading after Anthropic was reportedly identified as the customer behind Riot’s previously announced data centre contract.

    Bloomberg reported that the AI company agreed to pay $9.1 billion under a long-term arrangement securing computing capacity as it expands infrastructure for its Claude products.

    The contract covers 191 megawatts at Riot’s Rockdale campus in Texas and is scheduled to run until June 2048.

    Riot expects $9.1 billion of revenue from the initial contract period. Two five-year extension options could potentially increase total sales to as much as $16.1 billion.

    Intel expands equity raise to $20 billion

    Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) completed an upsized $20 billion stock offering as the semiconductor manufacturer seeks additional financial capacity for its manufacturing plans.

    The company priced 210.5 million common shares at $95 each, representing a 2.6% discount to its previous closing price. Underwriters also received a 30-day option covering up to another 31.6 million shares.

    Intel had initially targeted proceeds of $15 billion before increasing the offering. The company said the funds would be available for general corporate purposes.

    Intel shares declined more than 4% on Monday. The stock has nevertheless risen sharply this year as investors assess the company’s plans for substantial spending on manufacturing facilities and advanced chip packaging as it competes with foundry rivals including TSMC.

    RBA pauses after 75 basis points of rate increases

    The Reserve Bank of Australia kept its benchmark interest rate at 4.35%, matching market expectations after recent inflation figures showed signs of moderation.

    The decision was unanimous and follows a cumulative 75 basis points of rate increases this year.

    A softer-than-expected second-quarter consumer inflation reading had strengthened expectations for the RBA to hold rates, while policymakers also lowered their inflation projections for the end of 2026.

    The central bank nevertheless warned that headline and underlying inflation remain high and could stay elevated in the near term.

    Fuel costs associated with the Iran conflict were highlighted as an important source of inflationary pressure, meaning policymakers have not ruled out further interest-rate increases.

  • European Stocks Stall Near Records as Hormuz Tensions and Oil Rally Test AI Momentum: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European Stocks Stall Near Records as Hormuz Tensions and Oil Rally Test AI Momentum: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equities hovered around the flatline near record highs as renewed Middle East tensions and another jump in crude oil prices tempered market momentum, while a volatile earnings season increased scrutiny of elevated technology and artificial intelligence valuations.

    The pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 Index was little changed, remaining just below its all-time highs. Energy stocks outperformed as crude prices climbed to their highest levels since July 31, while capital-goods companies, media stocks and technology suppliers lagged.

    Hormuz negotiations keep markets on edge

    The subdued performance across European markets reflects growing sensitivity to developments surrounding the Strait of Hormuz.

    Stocks have repeatedly responded positively to preliminary reports of progress in Gulf diplomatic negotiations, only for geopolitical risk to return when discussions encounter political obstacles.

    The latest setback followed U.S. President Donald Trump’s response to an Iranian draft proposal with Oman concerning new transit coordinates through the Strait of Hormuz.

    Trump pushed for more stringent terms, including demands that Tehran provide direct financial compensation for lives lost in regional conflicts, attacks and protests. The tougher position represents an escalation in rhetoric that could complicate mediation efforts being pursued by Muscat and Qatar.

    Brent crude subsequently moved towards multi-week highs above $84 a barrel, adding another source of uncertainty for European investors.

    Higher oil prices add pressure during earnings season

    The increase in energy costs comes as markets are already dealing with substantial individual stock volatility during the second-quarter earnings season.

    European corporate results have produced solid headline beats overall, with healthcare, power infrastructure and defence among the areas providing support.

    Technology companies and industrial suppliers, however, are facing greater scrutiny. Mixed results from major global hardware companies have triggered pronounced moves throughout semiconductor supply chains.

    Investor attitudes towards artificial intelligence spending are also becoming more selective. Markets are showing greater reluctance to reward large capital expenditure commitments to AI infrastructure when there is limited visibility over how quickly those investments will translate into revenue.

    That shift is adding pressure to a technology sector that has been a major contributor to this year’s equity rally.

    Investors await U.S. inflation data

    Rapid sector rotations are making the environment more difficult for fund managers, who are balancing inflation risks from higher energy prices against signs of slowing global economic growth.

    Attention is now turning to Wednesday’s U.S. Consumer Price Index report.

    Following last week’s unexpected contraction in U.S. payrolls, investors are looking for clearer evidence that underlying inflation is slowing sufficiently to allow central banks in the United States and Europe to keep monetary policy unchanged through the autumn.

    Until there is greater clarity on inflation and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, European equity markets could remain particularly sensitive to geopolitical headlines, energy prices and company earnings.

  • FTSE 100 Slips as U.S.-Iran Tensions and Weak UK Retail Sales Weigh

    FTSE 100 Slips as U.S.-Iran Tensions and Weak UK Retail Sales Weigh

    UK equities moved modestly lower on Tuesday as renewed tensions between the United States and Iran combined with disappointing British retail sales data to dampen investor sentiment.

    As of 03:23 ET (07:23 GMT), the FTSE 100 was down 0.08%. Germany’s DAX declined 0.06%, while France’s CAC 40 fell 0.07%. Sterling was unchanged against the dollar at $1.3501.

    Geopolitical risk remained firmly in focus after the Washington Post reported that U.S. President Donald Trump used a decoy operation when leaving Turkiye following the NATO summit on July 8 because of a potential Iranian threat.

    According to the report, Trump was covertly transferred by catering truck to a smaller C-32A aircraft, while the traditional Air Force One continued its journey carrying journalists and some White House personnel.

    A U.S. official described the situation as involving a “credible threat” from Iran.

    A White House spokesperson defended the security measures, saying “there are many enemies of America who have their sights on him, and we use every tool at our disposal to address those threats.”

    Tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz also remained elevated. Trump told reporters on Monday that the U.S. Navy has “100 per cent control” of the strategically important waterway, describing the blockade as “infallible” and a “steel wall.”

    Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps, meanwhile, maintained that the Strait would remain a “theatre of war” until Washington meets Tehran’s conditions, including financial restitution.

    Trump also reiterated his demand for reparations in a Truth Social post, saying Iran should provide compensation for the “last five month Military Conflict.”

    In a separate post, he said Iran “should be responsible for the damages and death caused to the people of Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, and Gaza.”

    Weak retail data adds pressure on UK stocks

    Domestic economic data provided another headwind after UK retail sales growth slowed considerably in July.

    Total sales increased 1.3% year on year, according to BRC-KPMG data, compared with growth of 2.5% a year earlier and below the 12-month average of 1.8%.

    Food sales increased 3.8%, helped by the closing stages of the World Cup, but non-food sales declined 0.7%.

    “Consumer demand has struggled in the heat, leaving retailers facing a challenging start to the second half of the year,” said Helen Dickinson, chief executive of the British Retail Consortium.

    Dickinson added that “household budgets remain stretched” and called on the government to reduce business rates and regulatory costs.

    IGD chief executive Sarah Bradbury also warned that “pressures are building across the food supply chain” because of the Middle East conflict and hot weather, creating a risk of “higher food costs” heading into autumn.

    Oil prices climb as Middle East risks remain in focus

    Energy markets reflected the continued geopolitical uncertainty, with Brent crude rising 2.15% to $89.62 a barrel and U.S. WTI gaining 2.24% to $83.95.

    Gold prices were softer. Gold futures slipped 0.02% to $4,418.82, while spot gold declined 0.65% to $4,360.46.

    UK stocks in focus

    Bellway (LSE:BWY) highlighted uncertainty around near-term housing demand as higher construction costs and moderating consumer demand weighed on the outlook. The housebuilder indicated that operating profit was likely to come in at the lower end of its guidance range.

    IHG (LSE:IHG) reported higher second-quarter RevPAR, supported by demand from affluent travellers and activity associated with the 2026 Soccer World Cup.

    With geopolitical uncertainty pushing oil prices higher and domestic retail data pointing to softer consumer demand, investors are balancing external risks against company-specific developments as the FTSE 100 trades close to flat.