U.S. equity futures edged lower on Tuesday, with attention squarely on Washington as lawmakers scramble to strike a deal before a potential federal government shutdown. A Monday meeting between Republican and Democratic leaders and President Donald Trump ended without progress, leaving investors wary. The uncertainty has pushed gold prices to fresh record highs and sparked concerns that key economic data could be delayed. At the same time, Trump unveiled a new set of tariffs, while Nike (NYSE:NKE) is due to release its quarterly earnings after markets close.
Futures Under Pressure
By 03:33 ET, Dow futures were down 79 points (0.2%), S&P 500 futures had slipped 10 points (0.1%), and Nasdaq 100 futures had fallen 37 points (0.1%).
This pullback follows a modest advance on Wall Street Monday, supported by falling Treasury yields, which eased by 1–3 basis points across the curve. Rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve and investor enthusiasm around artificial intelligence helped steady sentiment, even against the backdrop of political gridlock.
Among individual movers, Lam Research rose after an analyst upgrade from Deutsche Bank, while AppLovin hit a record high following a bullish revision from Morgan Stanley.
Government Shutdown Concerns
Congress faces a fast-approaching deadline to pass a short-term funding bill and avoid a shutdown. The House of Representatives recently approved a Republican-backed proposal, but the bill is running into opposition in the Senate. While Republicans control 53 seats, at least 60 votes are needed for passage.
Talks on Monday ended in stalemate, with both parties trading blame. Republicans accused Democrats of holding the government “hostage,” while Democrats, pressing for an extension of health care subsidies in return for their support, argued that failure to reach a deal could jeopardize coverage for millions.
After the meeting, Vice President JD Vance remarked that he believed the government is “heading for a shutdown.”
Economists warn that a closure could delay Friday’s scheduled release of the closely watched nonfarm payrolls report. Still, investors will get a fresh look at labor market conditions later Tuesday with new data on job openings.
Gold Hits New Record
Safe-haven demand lifted gold to all-time highs as traders braced for political gridlock and its potential impact on growth. Spot gold rose 0.5% to $3,851.46 per ounce by 03:37 ET, while futures gained 0.7% to $3,880.70. The metal is on track for a roughly 17% gain in the third quarter.
Other metals were less buoyant, with silver and platinum easing after sharp rallies in the prior session. Copper prices also edged lower.
Trump Unveils Tariffs
Adding to market jitters, Trump announced a new round of tariffs targeting lumber, furniture, and kitchen fittings, citing the need to boost domestic production.
On Monday, the president confirmed a 10% tariff on softwood lumber and timber, a 25% levy on kitchen cabinets and vanities, and a 25% duty on upholstered wooden products. The measures, set to take effect October 14, stem from a Commerce Department probe into imports that Trump initiated earlier this year.
Nike Results in Focus
Later Tuesday, Nike is set to deliver its fiscal first-quarter earnings report, with investors looking for signs of progress under CEO Elliott Hill. Hill, who returned to lead the company last October, has been tasked with reviving growth and repairing retailer relationships after a period of weak sales and strategic missteps.
Revenue is expected to decline in the mid-single digits, though Nike has emphasized fresh investment in running and sneaker lines to reignite demand. CFO Matthew Friend cautioned in March that it may take “several quarters” to work through excess inventory, potentially requiring deep discounts. Nike has also pledged to reduce reliance on Chinese production to mitigate exposure to tariffs.
Still, there are early signs of recovery. Executives at JD Sports (LSE:JD.), a major Nike retail partner, recently commented that the brand is doing “all the right things in terms of resetting” its strategy.
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