U.S. equity markets closed higher on Friday, rounding out a robust week driven by strong corporate earnings and encouraging trade developments.
The S&P 500 climbed 0.40%, closing at a record 6,388.64—its 14th all-time high of 2025. The Nasdaq Composite also hit new record territory, finishing up 0.24% at 21,108.32. Both indexes set fresh intraday peaks during Friday’s session. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 208.01 points (0.47%) to 44,901.92, within a quarter percent of its December record close.
Over the course of the week, the Dow gained approximately 1.3%, the Nasdaq added 1%, and the S&P 500 rose 1.5%.
Looking ahead, investors face a week packed with potentially market-moving events. Foremost is the August 1 deadline when President Donald Trump plans to impose higher tariffs on numerous U.S. trading partners unless new trade accords are finalized. This looming threat could introduce volatility into an otherwise steady market.
Key scheduled events also include the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, the July jobs report, and a heavy slate of earnings from some of the largest U.S. corporations.
“August 1 could mean higher tariffs on nearly 60 U.S. trading partners including the EU, as a bloc, the biggest. A rise from the current ~16% US weighted average tariff to perhaps as much as ~21% is a risk,”
UBS economists highlighted in their market note.
Regarding the employment report, UBS expects a “soggy” result but anticipates underlying figures won’t deteriorate beyond June’s levels. The firm forecasts 95,000 new nonfarm payroll jobs for July and a slight uptick in the unemployment rate to 4.2%.
“Unexpected strength in the data could upend September rate cut calls,”
the analysts added.
Mag-7 Tech Titans Set to Report Earnings
Investor attention will also focus on earnings from four of the so-called “Magnificent Seven” technology leaders: Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META). Their results carry significant weight in the major indexes due to their massive market capitalizations.
A disappointing set of results or tariff-related worries could unsettle the markets.
“Everything can go right for this astoundingly resilient market,”
said Evercore ISI strategists,
“but as our Investor poll last Friday showed a likelihood that punitive tariffs on at least one country could rattle investors, as could an adverse price reaction from Mag 7 reporters.”
So far, roughly 30% of S&P 500 companies have reported second-quarter earnings, with earnings growth expected at 7.7% year-over-year, according to LSEG IBES. This is an improvement on the 5.8% forecast made at the start of July.
Other notable companies reporting this week include Boeing (NYSE:BA), Spotify (NYSE:SPOT), Booking (NASDAQ:BKNG), Visa (NYSE:V), ARM Holdings (LSE:ARM), and Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM).
Analysts’ Take on Market Direction
Morgan Stanley commented:
“The rolling recovery is underway, and we lean more toward our 12-month bull case (7200). Drivers are positive operating leverage, AI adoption, dollar weakness, cash tax savings, easy growth comparisons, pent-up demand and Fed cuts. Industrials remains our top sector pick.”
RBC Capital Markets observed:
“Even though the S&P 500 has crept higher over the past week, the ability to manage through tariffs has not been uniform. Additionally, discussion of 2026 has been fairly light so far. That makes sense to us given that we are only midway through 2025, but it also poses a risk to the path of stock prices if company outlooks for 2026 don’t end up being as rosy as investors have been anticipating. We continue to be ready for choppy conditions in the stock market in the back half of 2025.”
Evercore ISI noted:
“FOMO and Speculation does not mean that stocks move in a straight line higher, even as it does increase the probability that the long term destination is higher. A market trading at nearly 25x and where complacency is reflected by plunging index volatility faces a barrage of events in the week ahead.”
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