U.S. equity futures edged lower Monday as investors braced for potential disruptions tied to the expiration of President Donald Trump’s tariff moratorium. The White House is reportedly preparing to notify countries of new trade levies by July 9, a key date that could reshape global trade dynamics. Meanwhile, tensions rise as Trump criticizes Elon Musk, who hinted at launching a new political party.
Futures Dip Ahead of Key Tariff Deadline
Wall Street appeared set for a soft open to the week, with futures contracts under pressure amid growing speculation around U.S. trade policy. As of 03:30 ET (07:30 GMT), futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were down 149 points (-0.3%), S&P 500 futures slipped 31 points (-0.5%), and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 126 points (-0.5%).
U.S. markets remained closed on Friday in observance of Independence Day, but attention has already shifted to what’s expected to be a volatile period ahead. Despite strong seasonal trends—July is historically the best month for the S&P 500, with an average gain of 2.5%—investors are closely watching policy risks and macroeconomic uncertainty.
The recent passage of a large spending and tax package has provided some relief, but questions remain about the path of inflation and corporate earnings for Q2, both of which could heavily influence sentiment in the coming weeks.
Tariff Uncertainty Lingers
President Trump reiterated that letters detailing new tariff rates will be sent out soon, though the timing of their enforcement remains murky. While the 90-day pause on the so-called “reciprocal” tariffs is officially set to expire July 9, some reports suggest implementation may be delayed until August 1.
“We’ll have deals or letters to most countries by the 9th,” Trump said, while Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick added that the effective date for new tariffs will be August 1.
The U.S. has made headway with Vietnam, the United Kingdom, and China, reaching preliminary arrangements, but talks are still ongoing with several other trading partners. According to ING analysts, “There’s still a wide range of possible outcomes—last-minute deals, substantial tariff hikes, or further extensions.”
Trump has floated tariff increases from 10% up to 70%, amplifying concerns among businesses about long-term trade policy unpredictability.
BRICS Nations Targeted With Additional Duties
In a separate development, Trump announced plans to impose an extra 10% tariff on countries aligned with BRICS, accusing them of pursuing policies hostile to U.S. interests.
The BRICS bloc—comprising Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa—has expanded to include Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. The group had previously explored creating an alternative currency to the U.S. dollar, though that initiative now appears shelved.
“Any country supporting the anti-American agenda of BRICS will face an additional 10% duty, no exceptions,” Trump wrote on his social media platform. The remarks coincide with a BRICS summit in Brazil, where member states criticized rising protectionism and condemned U.S. policies targeting Iran.
Trump Slams Musk Over New Party Plans
Tensions also escalated between Trump and Elon Musk, following Musk’s announcement that he intends to launch a new political organization, the America Party.
Musk, who was a key financial backer of Trump’s 2024 campaign, has since distanced himself, criticizing the president’s economic policies. Trump responded sharply on Truth Social, saying he was “disappointed to see Elon Musk going off the rails,” and alluded to how Musk could be impacted by the removal of EV subsidies in the latest fiscal bill.
Oil Markets Fluctuate After OPEC+ Supply Move
Crude oil prices traded near flat early Monday after OPEC+ announced plans to boost production by 548,000 barrels per day (bpd) in August—a larger increase than previous months and one that raised concerns of oversupply.
At 03:31 ET, Brent crude was down 0.1% at $68.25 per barrel, while WTI edged up 0.1% to $66.56.
The production increase follows prior monthly hikes of 411,000 bpd in May, June, and July, and may be followed by another similar rise in September, pending the outcome of the group’s next meeting on August 3.
The move continues the gradual rollback of a 2.2 million bpd voluntary cut led by Saudi Arabia and Russia earlier this year to stabilize markets.