Oil prices climbed modestly in Asian markets on Friday, supported by signs of steady demand in the United States. However, both Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude remain on track for sharp weekly declines after easing concerns over supply disruptions in the Middle East.
As of 21:10 ET (01:10 GMT), Brent crude for August delivery gained 0.5%, trading at $68.07 per barrel, while WTI rose 0.5% to $65.57 per barrel.
The recent boost to oil prices came partly from a significant drop in U.S. crude inventories, indicating robust domestic demand. Additionally, optimism about potential economic stimulus measures in China, the world’s largest oil importer, helped buoy market sentiment.
A softer U.S. dollar—falling to its lowest point in over three years on Thursday—also lent support, fueled by growing speculation that the Federal Reserve may consider cutting interest rates. Investors are now awaiting new inflation data from the PCE price index later on Friday, which could influence the Fed’s next steps.
Weekly Decline Exceeds 12% as Geopolitical Risks Subside
Despite Friday’s modest gains, Brent and WTI futures have each dropped by more than 12% this week. The losses followed U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, which helped ease fears of supply interruptions in a region critical to global oil shipments.
The ceasefire, initially uncertain, appeared stable by Friday morning. Trump also indicated that Iran might continue selling oil to China—a bearish factor for oil prices—and highlighted upcoming nuclear negotiations with Tehran scheduled for next week.
Furthermore, Iran refrained from closing the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial shipping route, ensuring uninterrupted oil flows to Asian and European markets.
Market watchers are now focusing on the outcomes of recent U.S. military strikes targeting Iran’s nuclear infrastructure. Early reports suggested these strikes had not fully halted Iran’s nuclear capabilities, though the White House disputed those claims.
No Immediate Plans to Replenish U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve
Adding to the pressure on oil prices, the Trump administration announced it does not intend to immediately refill the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). The reserve currently sits at its lowest level since the 1980s after substantial drawdowns by the Biden administration aimed at tempering gas prices amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
With depleted SPR stocks, the U.S. has fewer emergency supplies available to counter sudden supply shocks or price spikes.
Nevertheless, Trump has advocated for boosting U.S. oil production, a strategy that could help mitigate some risks associated with low reserve levels.