A busy trading week unfolds against the backdrop of a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, which continues to block major economic releases, including the nonfarm payrolls report. Meanwhile, the U.S. Supreme Court will take up a case examining the legality of Donald Trump’s tariff powers, while investors gear up for quarterly earnings from Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) and Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ:PLTR). In the UK, attention centers on the Bank of England’s next policy decision, which remains too close to call.
1. U.S. economic blackout deepens
The federal government shutdown—now approaching historic length—continues to cloud the economic outlook. With key data delayed, investors and policymakers alike are flying blind. The September inflation report has already been published, but crucial employment figures, including the nonfarm payrolls and JOLTS job openings data, remain stuck in limbo.
This data drought complicates the Federal Reserve’s ability to adjust policy. After a 25-basis point rate cut last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted that officials could move more cautiously going forward if the shutdown persists and essential indicators remain unavailable.
Analysts at Vital Knowledge said the situation has created confusion, noting that “in some ways, people are feeling even more confused than before.” The lack of visibility has left markets uneasy despite last week’s major developments, including central bank decisions, blockbuster tech earnings, and renewed U.S.-China trade talks.
Although The Wall Street Journal reported modest progress toward ending the shutdown, President Donald Trump’s push for Republicans to sidestep Democrats has complicated negotiations.
2. Supreme Court revisits Trump’s tariff authority
Trade policy returns to the spotlight this week as the U.S. Supreme Court hears arguments over the legality of Trump’s broad tariff powers. Lower courts have ruled that the former president exceeded his authority when he invoked emergency measures to impose higher tariffs on several nations.
The justices will consider whether Trump’s use of the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) was constitutional. While the 6-3 conservative majority has often supported Trump’s policies, the outcome remains uncertain. Trump, the first president to rely on IEEPA for trade measures, justified his actions by citing the $1.2 trillion U.S. trade deficit and deaths linked to fentanyl.
If the Court strikes down the tariffs, it could remove one of Trump’s key tools for leveraging trade negotiations during his second term.
3. AMD earnings take center stage
Chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices will report quarterly results on Tuesday, becoming the next major player in the AI semiconductor race to disclose performance. The company recently entered a $1 billion partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy to build two supercomputers for advanced research in cancer treatment and national security.
AMD has also partnered with OpenAI to supply AI chips in a deal that could generate billions in annual revenue while giving the ChatGPT-maker a 10% equity stake. Executives described the partnership as “certainly transformative,” emphasizing its potential to accelerate AI adoption across industries.
Despite the optimism, some analysts have drawn parallels to the dot-com bubble, warning that the flood of AI-related alliances could fuel speculative excess. Still, AMD’s stock has surged over 112% year-to-date, reflecting investor confidence in its growth trajectory.
4. Palantir earnings in focus
Palantir Technologies will also be in the earnings spotlight, with results due Monday after the market close. The data analytics and AI software firm—known for its deep ties to the U.S. defense sector—has been one of the year’s top-performing tech stocks.
In August, Palantir raised its full-year revenue guidance for the second time in 2025, citing strong demand from both corporate clients and government agencies. The company has benefited from the Trump administration’s renewed focus on national security and the Pentagon’s shift toward commercial and “non-traditional” technology suppliers.
Palantir is projected to post $1.09 billion in revenue and $255.6 million in operating profit, according to Bloomberg consensus. Shares have more than doubled this year as investors bet on its leadership in the AI software space.
5. Bank of England decision approaches
After last week’s expected moves by the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and Bank of Japan, investors now turn their attention to the Bank of England (BoE).
Markets are leaning toward a pause in rate cuts, though there remains a 30% chance of a 25-basis point reduction. Holding rates steady would mark a break from the BoE’s year-long cycle of monetary easing. However, recent declines in inflation and wage growth—though still high—could strengthen the case for another cut.
BoE Governor Andrew Bailey cautioned in September that the policy path ahead is “more uncertain,” reflecting challenges in balancing persistent inflation with slowing economic growth.
As the week unfolds, investors will navigate a landscape shaped by missing U.S. data, shifting monetary signals, and the latest developments in the fast-evolving world of artificial intelligence.