Author: Fiona Craig

  • Market Open: HSBC Sells Singapore Insurance Business, Burford Capital Cameroon Arbitration Award

    Market Open: HSBC Sells Singapore Insurance Business, Burford Capital Cameroon Arbitration Award

    UK markets opened mixed as HSBC agreed its Singapore insurance sale and Burford reported a major arbitration award while Brent crude continued to rise.

    Market Overview

    The FTSE 100 opened marginally lower, slipping 0.001 per cent to 10,638.86, while the Euronext 100 eased 0.03 per cent to 1,910.51. Germany’s DAX advanced 0.55 per cent. Overnight, the Nasdaq closed lower at 25,137.69 and the S&P 500 finished at 7,408.30 after renewed geopolitical tensions and tariff concerns weighed on sentiment. In Europe, investors balanced stronger UK retail sales against ongoing US-Iran tensions, rising oil prices and concerns that higher energy costs could complicate the interest rate outlook.

    Commodity markets remained focused on supply risks, with Brent crude continuing to strengthen as Red Sea shipping disruptions and Kazakhstan production cuts supported prices. Copper edged higher, while gold was little changed. Natural gas also moved higher. Bitcoin rose against sterling, while the pound weakened slightly against the US dollar and Swiss franc but strengthened against the euro, yen and Australian dollar.


    Market Numbers

    FTSE 100: Down (-0.001%), 10,638.86
    Euronext 100: Down (-0.03%), 1,910.51
    DAX: Up (+0.55%), 24,900.03
    NASDAQ: Down, 25,137.69
    S&P 500: Down, 7,408.30


    In the Headlines

    Insurance sale – HSBC (LSE:HSBA)

    HSBC has agreed to sell its Singapore insurance business to Allianz for US$2.1 billion. The disposal supports the bank’s strategy of simplifying operations and focusing capital on its core banking businesses while strengthening Allianz’s presence in Asia.

    Arbitration award – Burford Capital (LSE:BUR)

    Burford Capital said an arbitration tribunal has awarded approximately US$600 million in a Cameroon mining dispute. The potential recovery could represent a significant financial outcome for the litigation finance group, although enforcement and collection remain ongoing.


    Currencies (vs GBP)

    USD: Down (-0.02%), $1.3312
    CHF: Down (-0.06%), Fr.1.0876
    EUR: Up (+0.16%), €1.1701
    JPY: Up (+0.02%), ¥218.104
    AUD: Up (+0.01%), $1.9107
    Bitcoin (BTC/GBP): Up, £49,064.15


    Commodities

    Copper: Up
    Gold: Down
    Brent Crude: Up
    Natural Gas: Up

  • Ubisoft shares decline as unchanged outlook overshadows Assassin’s Creed success

    Ubisoft shares decline as unchanged outlook overshadows Assassin’s Creed success

    Ubisoft (EU:UBI) shares fell more than 4% on Friday after the company’s first-quarter results failed to convince investors that the strong commercial launch of Assassin’s Creed Black Flag Resynced would translate into improved financial guidance.

    The French video game publisher reported first-quarter net bookings of €255.8 million, a decline of 9.2% compared with the same period last year. However, the figure was slightly ahead of both the company’s guidance of around €250 million and the market consensus of €254.8 million.

    Performance was supported by a record quarter for Invincible: Guarding the Globe, while the remainder of Ubisoft’s portfolio, including Rainbow Six Siege, broadly met expectations.

    Back catalogue weakness offsets recent game success

    Revenue from Ubisoft’s back catalogue continued to weaken, with net bookings falling 15.1% to €221.0 million. Digital net bookings also declined 17.6% year-on-year to €206.2 million.

    Investor attention quickly shifted to the company’s forward guidance. Ubisoft forecast second-quarter net bookings of approximately €370 million, well below analysts’ consensus estimate of €399.3 million, despite the reporting period including the launch of Assassin’s Creed Black Flag Resynced.

    The company also left its full-year outlook unchanged, continuing to forecast a high single-digit percentage decline in net bookings, a high single-digit negative non-IFRS operating margin and free cash flow consumption of no more than €500 million.

    Analysts question guidance after strong game launch

    “This is where the numbers stop adding up,” Bernstein analyst Aleksander Peterc said.

    He noted that Assassin’s Creed Black Flag Resynced sold 3.5 million copies during its first 14 days on sale and achieved an 84 rating on OpenCritic and Metacritic, the highest score for the Assassin’s Creed franchise since the original Black Flag launched in 2013. Ubisoft said the game had “already exceeded the annual expectations we had.”

    According to Peterc, only around €15 million of Black Flag pre-shipments were recognised during the first quarter, meaning the title contributed only modestly to the reported financial results. He argued that maintaining second-quarter guidance below market expectations and leaving the full-year outlook unchanged appears difficult to reconcile with the game’s early commercial performance.

    The analyst suggested that weaker trends across Ubisoft’s broader game portfolio and partnership activities may be offsetting the success of the latest Assassin’s Creed release.

    “Our readthrough is that the group’s broader operational recovery remains unproven and highly reliant on a narrow set of hits,” Peterc wrote.

    Restructuring strategy continues

    Chief Executive Yves Guillemot said the performance of Assassin’s Creed Black Flag Resynced demonstrated the effectiveness of Ubisoft’s restructuring programme, cost reduction initiatives and strategy of concentrating development resources on larger franchises.

    The company has reorganised its operations into five dedicated “creative houses”, each responsible for a specific category of games. The first of these, Vantage Studios, is backed by Tencent Holdings and oversees franchises including Assassin’s Creed, Far Cry and Rainbow Six.

    Ubisoft continues to reduce costs across the business. Last month, the publisher announced the closure of its Winnipeg and Belgrade studios, together with the restructuring of its Barcelona operations.

    After benefiting from exceptionally strong player engagement during the pandemic, Ubisoft has since faced increasing competition, development delays, technical issues and project cancellations, leading to multiple profit warnings. The company’s shares have fallen by almost 50% over the past 12 months.

  • Carrefour shares fall after first-half results disappoint investors

    Carrefour shares fall after first-half results disappoint investors

    Carrefour (EU:CA) shares dropped 5.3% to €15.635 after the retailer’s first-half 2026 results prompted a negative market reaction. Although the company delivered higher earnings and operating profit, investors focused on weaker underlying trends, particularly margin pressure and mixed sales performance in several of its key markets.

    Margin weakness overshadows earnings growth

    Adjusted earnings per share increased 18.3% year-on-year to €0.49, while recurring operating income rose 4.0% to €757 million.

    Despite these improvements, the group’s gross margin declined by 28 basis points, becoming the main concern for investors. In France, which generates around half of Carrefour’s net sales, legacy hypermarkets recorded almost flat like-for-like growth during the second quarter. Meanwhile, Brazil returned to positive comparable sales only marginally after a weaker first quarter.

    The results reinforced concerns that had emerged ahead of the earnings release, including expectations that operating income in France and Brazil could fall short of market forecasts.

    Limited market support amplifies share price decline

    The broader equity market offered little assistance, with France’s CAC 40 trading broadly unchanged and U.S. markets delivering mixed performances.

    At the same time, major European food retailers, including Ahold Delhaize and Colruyt Group, did not release significant news, leaving Carrefour’s decline largely company-specific rather than part of a wider sector sell-off.

    Investor expectations reset after strong share price performance

    While Carrefour delivered stronger headline profitability, the combination of margin compression and softer operating trends disappointed investors who had anticipated a more pronounced recovery.

    Following a strong run in the shares before the results, the earnings announcement prompted profit-taking, sending the stock as low as €15.215 during the session and leaving it well below its 52-week high of €17.535.

  • Volex completes transition to London Stock Exchange Main Market

    Volex completes transition to London Stock Exchange Main Market

    Volex plc (LSE:VLX) has officially transferred its listing from AIM to the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange, with its ordinary shares now admitted to the Financial Conduct Authority’s Official List. The move leaves the company’s ticker symbol and ISIN unchanged, ensuring continuity for shareholders, while its issued share capital now comprises 184,377,640 ordinary shares, each carrying voting rights.

    Main Market listing marks next stage of corporate growth

    The company said the transfer reflects the significant progress it has made in recent years and aligns its market listing with the scale of its operations and long-term ambitions.

    Management believes joining the Main Market will increase Volex’s visibility among institutional investors while broadening its appeal to a larger pool of UK and international shareholders. The move is also expected to strengthen the company’s position in the capital markets as it continues to execute its growth strategy.

    Enhanced market profile supports future opportunities

    By moving to the Main Market, Volex aims to reinforce its corporate profile and improve access to a wider investor base, which could support future strategic initiatives and capital allocation plans.

    The transition follows a period of sustained business expansion and is intended to better reflect the company’s development into a larger international manufacturing group.

    Financial outlook remains broadly positive

    Volex continues to benefit from improving revenue growth, stronger profitability and a healthier balance sheet, although cash flow conversion remains an area for management to improve.

    From a technical perspective, the shares remain in a broader downtrend relative to key moving averages, although oversold momentum indicators suggest some of the recent weakness may have eased. Valuation appears broadly reasonable, while recent trading updates have highlighted positive operational momentum and encouraging guidance, despite ongoing working capital and customer concentration risks.

    About Volex plc

    Volex plc is a UK-based manufacturer of power and data connectivity solutions for mission-critical applications. The company supplies international original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and electronics manufacturing services (EMS) providers across sectors including electric vehicles and electrification, consumer electrical products, medical technology, industrial automation and off-highway equipment. Volex operates 23 manufacturing facilities serving customers worldwide.

  • Renishaw delivers record fourth-quarter revenue and stronger FY2026 earnings

    Renishaw delivers record fourth-quarter revenue and stronger FY2026 earnings

    Renishaw (LSE:RSW) has reported a strong finish to its 2026 financial year, achieving record fourth-quarter revenue of approximately £243 million. Sales increased 27% compared with the same period last year and were 18% higher than the previous quarter, supported by robust demand from semiconductor and electronics manufacturing equipment customers, as well as continued strength in the aerospace and defence sectors.

    Full-year profits exceed expectations

    For the full year, Renishaw expects revenue of around £815 million, representing growth of approximately 14% year-on-year.

    The company reported growth across all business segments, with particularly strong performances from its Specialised Technologies and Position Measurement divisions. Adjusted operating profit is expected to reach approximately £152 million, while adjusted profit before tax is forecast at around £167 million, both representing increases of roughly 31% compared with the previous financial year.

    Management said the results reflect improving operational performance and continued demand across several key industrial markets.

    Strong balance sheet supports future growth

    Renishaw continues to benefit from a strong financial position, underpinned by low leverage and a healthy balance sheet that provides flexibility for future investment.

    The company’s outlook is further supported by ongoing cost efficiency measures and expectations for continued earnings growth. However, management acknowledged that margin pressure remains a factor to monitor despite the improvement in overall profitability.

    Technical indicators also suggest the shares may be approaching overbought levels following their recent performance, while valuation and dividend yield provide more moderate support.

    About Renishaw

    Renishaw plc is a global engineering technology company specialising in precision measurement and manufacturing systems. Its products enable customers to improve accuracy, quality and traceability across a wide range of manufacturing processes. The company serves customers throughout the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia-Pacific, with the majority of its research and development carried out in the UK and major manufacturing operations located in the UK, Ireland and India.

  • Burford Capital reports potential US$600 million arbitration award in Cameroon mining dispute

    Burford Capital reports potential US$600 million arbitration award in Cameroon mining dispute

    Burford Capital (LSE:BUR) has announced that an International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) arbitration tribunal has issued an award of more than US$600 million in favour of one of its counterparties in a mining dispute involving Cameroon. Based on the award being paid in full today, the company estimates its share of the proceeds would exceed AUD$250 million, with any recovery flowing directly to Burford’s own balance sheet rather than to its managed investment funds.

    Award remains subject to significant legal and enforcement risks

    Despite the size of the arbitration award, Burford emphasised that no cash has yet been received and warned that the outcome remains subject to considerable uncertainty.

    The company noted that the award could face annulment proceedings, post-award legal challenges and potentially lengthy enforcement actions across multiple jurisdictions. As a result, there is no certainty that the full amount—or any amount—will ultimately be recovered.

    Management cautioned that final recoveries could be materially below the headline value of the award and, in the worst-case scenario, the investment could generate no recovery at all.

    Litigation finance outcomes remain inherently uncertain

    Burford said the announcement illustrates both the potential upside and the risks associated with litigation finance investments.

    While successful arbitration awards can generate substantial returns, investors should also recognise that collection risks, legal appeals and enforcement delays can significantly affect both the timing and value of any realised proceeds.

    About Burford Capital

    Burford Capital is a global finance and asset management company specialising in legal finance, litigation funding, asset recovery, risk management and advisory services. Listed on both the London Stock Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange, the company partners with corporations and law firms worldwide through an international network of offices.

  • Team Internet improves margins despite lower revenue as strategic review continues

    Team Internet improves margins despite lower revenue as strategic review continues

    Team Internet Group (LSE:TIG) reported first-half 2026 results in line with market expectations, with revenue declining as legacy AdSense for Domains income reduced to an immaterial level. Despite the lower top-line performance, the company delivered stronger profit margins, supported by growth across its DIS and Comparison businesses and improving performance within its Search division.

    Management said the Search business returned to profitability in June following the completion of a major operational transition and cost optimisation programme, reinforcing confidence in a stronger performance during the second half of the year.

    Margin improvement offsets revenue decline

    Gross revenue for the first half totalled US$179.1 million, while adjusted EBITDA came in at US$19.5 million.

    Although earnings declined year-on-year, net revenue margins improved significantly to 34.1%, reflecting the changing mix of the business and the benefits of operational efficiencies. The company also noted that its financial performance remains weighted towards the second half of the financial year, in line with normal seasonal trends.

    Strategic review and deleveraging remain priorities

    Net debt increased to US$117.5 million during the period, primarily as a result of tax settlements and working capital movements rather than additional borrowing.

    The board expects leverage to reduce significantly during the second half as cash generation improves. At the same time, Team Internet continues to progress its strategic review of the DIS division while also managing changes to its board, including the retirement of non-executive director Claire MacLellan.

    Management believes these initiatives will help strengthen the group’s long-term operating model and capital position.

    Financial outlook remains mixed

    The company’s financial outlook continues to reflect declining revenue, wider losses and higher leverage following a reduction in shareholder equity. However, the business continues to generate positive cash flow, albeit at lower levels than previously.

    Technical indicators remain moderately supportive over the near term, while valuation continues to be affected by negative earnings despite the company maintaining a modest dividend yield.

    About Team Internet Group

    Team Internet Group is a global internet services company focused on online identity and digital discovery solutions. The business operates through two principal segments: DIS, which provides domain name management, identity and software services, and its Comparison and Search divisions, which deliver digital advertising solutions. The group generates a significant proportion of its income through recurring subscriptions and revenue-sharing arrangements with business and consumer customers worldwide.

  • Kendrick Resources reports high-grade rare earth drilling at Teufelskuppe project

    Kendrick Resources reports high-grade rare earth drilling at Teufelskuppe project

    Kendrick Resources (LSE:KEN) has announced further encouraging drilling results from its Teufelskuppe rare earth project in Namibia, confirming extensive zones of near-surface light rare earth oxide (LREO) mineralisation within the project’s carbonatite complex. Recent diamond drilling intersected consistent mineralised intervals grading between 2.5% and 3.5% LREO across several dykes and sills, providing additional evidence of the continuity and scale of the deposit.

    Resource definition work continues

    The company is advancing a JORC-compliant mineral resource estimate for the Teufelskuppe project while continuing both diamond and reverse circulation drilling programmes.

    The ongoing exploration campaign is designed to define the depth and lateral extent of the mineralised system, with the latest results supporting confidence in the project’s geological continuity and future resource potential.

    Project targets growing demand for critical minerals

    Teufelskuppe is predominantly enriched in the light rare earth elements cerium, lanthanum, neodymium and praseodymium, which are essential raw materials for technologies including electric vehicles, renewable energy systems and defence applications.

    According to Kendrick Resources, the grades reported to date place the project among the higher-grade rare earth deposits globally, strengthening its potential to become an important future supplier of critical minerals to international markets seeking diversified supply outside traditional sources.

    Financial profile reflects exploration-stage status

    Kendrick Resources remains an exploration-stage company without operating revenue, and its financial profile continues to be characterised by ongoing losses, negative cash flow and a weakened balance sheet with negative equity.

    Although technical indicators remain supportive, reflecting positive share price momentum, valuation remains difficult to assess due to continued losses and the absence of a dividend.

    About Kendrick Resources PLC

    Kendrick Resources PLC is a mineral exploration and development company focused on identifying, acquiring and advancing resource projects through exploration, technical evaluation and resource development. The company has a portfolio of critical minerals projects in southern Africa, including the Teufelskuppe and Bonya rare earth projects in Namibia and the Blue Fox licence in northwest Zambia.

  • Victoria extends debt maturities as weaker flooring demand impacts annual results

    Victoria extends debt maturities as weaker flooring demand impacts annual results

    Victoria PLC (LSE:VCP) reported a challenging performance for the 2026 financial year, with underlying revenue declining 6.3% and EBITDA margins coming under pressure as softer demand during the second half weighed on trading. The group also recorded losses after impairment charges, refinancing expenses and restructuring costs affected its reported results.

    Despite the weaker performance, management pointed to resilient pricing, operational improvements and encouraging signs of recovery, noting that the first quarter of FY2027 has delivered growth in both volumes and revenue alongside improved profitability.

    Refinancing strengthens long-term financial position

    Victoria has completed a comprehensive refinancing programme that extends its principal debt maturities to 2031, providing greater financial flexibility as the business works through the current market cycle.

    Subject to the necessary approvals, the refinancing is expected to reduce balance sheet liabilities by approximately £300 million while lowering annual finance costs by around £34 million.

    The company said these measures form part of a broader strategy to strengthen its capital structure and support future growth.

    Cost reductions and asset sales support recovery strategy

    Alongside the refinancing, Victoria is implementing additional efficiency measures, including cost-saving initiatives and planned asset disposals expected to generate approximately £70 million.

    The group also continues to focus on increasing market share across its key markets in the UK, Australia and the United States as flooring demand gradually improves.

    Management expects the business to generate at least £115 million of EBITDA during FY2027, reflecting confidence that operational improvements and stronger trading conditions will support the next phase of recovery while reducing leverage over time.

    Financial outlook remains mixed

    Victoria’s outlook continues to be influenced by declining revenue, significant losses and elevated leverage, alongside negative equity. While recent share price momentum has been positive, technical indicators suggest the stock may be approaching overbought territory, increasing the potential for short-term volatility.

    Management’s latest earnings update provided a more constructive tone, highlighting improving EBITDA, margin recovery and operational efficiency initiatives. However, valuation remains constrained by the company’s loss-making position.

    About Victoria PLC

    Victoria PLC is an international manufacturer, designer and distributor of flooring products, including carpets, rugs, underlay, ceramic tiles, luxury vinyl tiles, artificial grass and related accessories. Headquartered in Worcester, the company operates across the UK, continental Europe, the United States and Australia, employs approximately 5,000 people across more than 30 sites and is Europe’s largest carpet manufacturer.

  • Kazera Global to distribute 80% of Aftan settlement proceeds to shareholders

    Kazera Global to distribute 80% of Aftan settlement proceeds to shareholders

    Kazera Global (LSE:KZG) has announced plans to return approximately 80% of the net cash proceeds from its US$10.5 million settlement with African Tantalum’s counterparty, Hebei, to eligible shareholders through a dedicated Aftan Shareholder Return Programme. The initiative is intended to reward investors who remained supportive throughout the lengthy arbitration process while using contingent value rights (CVRs) to preserve shareholders’ entitlement to future distributions, even if they sell their shares after the qualifying dates.

    Contingent value rights to secure future distributions

    The company has established ex-entitlement and record dates for late July and early August 2026 as part of the programme.

    The timing of shareholder payments will depend on when Hebei fulfils its settlement obligations. If payment is received in full within the expected timeframe, qualifying shareholders are anticipated to receive a single distribution during early 2027. Alternatively, if settlement proceeds are received over a longer period, distributions are expected to be made in three instalments between early 2028 and early 2030.

    The use of contingent value rights is designed to ensure that eligible shareholders retain their claim to future payments regardless of any subsequent share transactions.

    Remaining funds to support future growth

    Kazera intends to retain approximately 20% of the settlement proceeds to strengthen its balance sheet and provide funding for future development opportunities.

    Management believes this approach balances returning capital to shareholders with maintaining financial flexibility to support the company’s long-term growth strategy. Retained funds are expected to contribute to the development of its investment portfolio, including its flagship heavy mineral sands project in South Africa, while reducing the need for future equity fundraising.

    Financial outlook reflects early-stage investment profile

    Kazera’s financial profile continues to be influenced by the characteristics of an early-stage resource investment company, with no current revenue generation, ongoing operating losses and continued cash outflows. Rising debt levels also limit balance sheet flexibility.

    Technical indicators remain broadly supportive, with the shares trading above major moving averages and momentum supported by a positive MACD reading. However, elevated RSI and stochastic indicators suggest the stock may be approaching overbought conditions. Valuation also remains constrained by negative earnings and the absence of a dividend.

    About Kazera Global plc

    Kazera Global plc is an AIM-listed investment company focused on building and developing a portfolio of resource-related assets, including heavy mineral sands operations in South Africa. The company aims to create shareholder value by advancing its investments, returning realised proceeds where appropriate and reinvesting capital into opportunities with long-term growth potential.