Author: Fiona Craig

  • U.S. futures tick higher ahead of Trump’s Davos remarks; Netflix guidance and Berkshire move draw focus: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street

    U.S. futures tick higher ahead of Trump’s Davos remarks; Netflix guidance and Berkshire move draw focus: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street

    Futures tied to major U.S. equity indices edged higher on Wednesday as investors cautiously looked ahead to President Donald Trump’s speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos. Markets remain on edge over Trump’s renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland and his threats to impose additional tariffs on several European countries — issues expected to feature prominently in his meetings with world leaders on the sidelines of the event. Elsewhere, Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) issued restrained financial guidance after enhancing its bid for Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD), while a regulatory filing suggested Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.B) could reduce or exit its stake in Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ:KHC).

    Futures edge up

    U.S. stock futures pointed modestly higher, indicating a tentative rebound after Wall Street suffered its sharpest one-day decline since October in the previous session.

    By 02:21 ET, Dow futures were up 103 points, or 0.2%, S&P 500 futures had risen 27 points, or 0.4%, and Nasdaq 100 futures were higher by 114 points, or 0.5%.

    Markets were rattled on Tuesday as geopolitical and trade concerns resurfaced following President Trump’s warning that he could impose fresh tariffs on several European countries if his demands regarding Greenland were not met. U.S. Treasury yields climbed sharply, pushing the benchmark 10-year yield to its highest level since August, while the dollar weakened against a basket of major currencies.

    Investors are now weighing how likely Trump is to follow through on his threats and how aggressively European governments might respond. Adding to the cautious mood, Japanese government bond yields have also been rising ahead of a snap election scheduled for early next month.

    Trump in the spotlight at Davos

    Trump is set to take center stage later on Wednesday as he attends the World Economic Forum in Switzerland.

    He is expected to meet with a number of global leaders and continue pressing his case for Greenland, the semi-autonomous Danish territory he argues the U.S. needs for national security reasons.

    On Tuesday, Trump struck a slightly softer tone, saying he wanted to reach an agreement that would make America’s NATO allies “very happy.” However, when asked how far he would be willing to go to secure Greenland, he replied simply, “You’ll find out.”

    Despite the more conciliatory language, markets remain nervous. Trump has warned he could impose additional 10% tariffs on eight European countries over the issue, potentially lifting them to 25% in June if his demands are not met. European leaders have described the threat as blackmail, a message echoed at Davos by French President Emmanuel Macron.

    According to the Wall Street Journal, Trump’s speech is also expected to outline elements of his second-term economic agenda, where tariffs continue to play a central role.

    Netflix posts “mixed” outlook

    Netflix shares fell in after-hours trading after the streaming giant released guidance that investors viewed as cautious, as it pursues a major acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery.

    The company forecast first-quarter operating margins of 32.1% and revenue of $12.16 billion, both below Wall Street expectations. For 2026, Netflix projected revenue with a midpoint of $51.2 billion, ahead of forecasts, but an operating margin of 31.5%, nearly 100 basis points below analyst estimates due in part to roughly $275 million in acquisition-related costs.

    That said, Netflix reported strong fourth-quarter results, with revenue rising to $12.05 billion and net income to $2.42 billion, supported by popular releases including the final season of “Stranger Things” and the launch of “Frankenstein.” Paid memberships also surpassed 325 million.

    The results followed Netflix’s move to improve its roughly $72 billion offer for Warner Bros.’ studios and streaming assets, as it competes in a bidding battle with Paramount Skydance.

    Jefferies analysts described the earnings as “mixed,” adding that “[i]ncreased deal certainty” would be a “positive catalyst” for the stock.

    Later on Wednesday, attention will also turn to earnings reports from Johnson & Johnson and Charles Schwab.

    Berkshire signals possible Kraft Heinz exit

    After U.S. markets closed, Berkshire Hathaway disclosed that it could sell up to 325 million shares of Kraft Heinz — effectively its entire holding in the food group and about 27.5% of the company’s outstanding shares.

    Berkshire has previously written down the value of its Kraft Heinz stake and has been critical of the company’s strategy, including plans to break up its operations. Kraft Heinz shares fell more than 3% in after-hours trading following the filing.

    Analysts at Vital Knowledge said the potential divestment would mark the “first major corporate action” under Berkshire’s new chief executive, Greg Abel, successor to Warren Buffett. They added that the move suggests Abel is “already working to put his imprint on the firm’s sprawling portfolio” and reflects “purely” a pessimistic outlook for the packaged food sector, rather than any need for liquidity.

    Gold hits fresh records

    Gold prices surged to new all-time highs on Wednesday, breaking above $4,800 an ounce and nearing $4,900, as escalating tensions linked to Greenland and renewed trade frictions unsettled markets and boosted demand for safe-haven assets.

    Spot gold rose 2.3% to $4,862.75 an ounce by 03:35 ET, after earlier touching a record $4,887.82. U.S. gold futures also climbed 2.1% to a new high of $4,865.91.

    Oil prices, meanwhile, fell sharply on concerns that U.S. tariff threats could weigh on global growth. The declines followed gains of nearly 1.5% in the previous session, after OPEC+ producer Kazakhstan temporarily halted output at two oilfields, raising supply worries.

    Beyond geopolitics, markets are awaiting the International Energy Agency’s monthly report later in the day, as well as upcoming data on U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories.

  • European markets trade mixed as investors brace for Trump’s Davos appearance: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European markets trade mixed as investors brace for Trump’s Davos appearance: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equities showed a mixed performance on Wednesday, with investors adopting a cautious stance ahead of U.S. President Donald Trump’s speech at the World Economic Forum later in the day.

    By 08:05 GMT, Germany’s DAX was down 0.3%, France’s CAC 40 was broadly flat, while the UK’s FTSE 100 edged 0.1% higher.

    Trump heads to Davos

    Market sentiment has been under pressure this week after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to escalate tariffs on several European allies unless the United States is allowed to purchase Greenland, the autonomous Danish territory.

    Speaking at a press conference late Tuesday, Trump reiterated his position that the island needs to become U.S. territory.

    “I think we will work something out where NATO is going to be very happy and where we’re going to be very happy. But we need it for security purposes. We need it for national security,” he said.

    When asked how far he would go to secure Greenland, Trump offered a brief response: “You’ll find out,”

    raising concerns that he may use the Davos platform to intensify his push — a move that could further strain relations with European allies.

    Earlier on Wednesday, Christine Lagarde, head of the European Central Bank, said the European economy needs a “deep review” to confront “the dawn of a new international order”. Lagarde added that U.S. tariffs would likely have only a modest inflationary impact overall, though Germany would be more affected than France, and argued that Europe would be stronger if it dismantled non-tariff trade barriers within the bloc.

    UK inflation accelerates in December

    UK inflation surprised to the upside in December, with consumer prices rising more than expected. The annual CPI rate climbed to 3.4% from 3.2% in November, above forecasts of 3.3%, according to data released earlier in the session.

    Inflation in Britain remains the highest among the G7 economies, despite weak economic growth. However, economists expect price pressures to ease in the coming months as last year’s increases in energy costs and other regulated prices drop out of the annual comparison.

    Corporate movers in focus

    In company news, Burberry (LSE:BRBY) exceeded expectations for sales growth during the crucial holiday quarter and guided for full-year profit in line with forecasts, helped by improved demand from China and a strategic refocus on its British heritage.

    Premier Foods (LSE:PFD) posted a strong third-quarter performance, reporting a 5.2% increase in branded revenue after better-than-expected Christmas trading.

    Atos (EU:ATO) said preliminary fiscal 2025 revenue reached €8 billion, meeting its target, while net cash outflow was lower than anticipated.

    Barry Callebaut (BIT:1BARN) reported a 9.9% decline in first-quarter sales volumes and announced that Hein Schumacher will take over as chief executive later this month.

    InPost (EU:INPST) said full-year 2025 parcel volumes jumped 25%, driven by strong international growth and a sharp rise in UK deliveries, with total volumes reaching a record 1.4 billion parcels.

    Outside Europe, Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) drew attention after beating expectations for fourth-quarter revenue and earnings, while also signalling a pause in share buybacks as it builds cash amid intense bidding competition for Warner Bros Discovery.

    Oil prices slide on Greenland tensions

    Oil prices fell sharply on Wednesday amid concerns that escalating trade tensions linked to the Greenland dispute could weigh on global growth.

    Brent crude futures dropped 1.5% to $63.95 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate fell 1.3% to $59.56. Both benchmarks had closed nearly 1.5% higher in the previous session after OPEC+ producer Kazakhstan temporarily halted output at two oilfields, raising supply concerns.

    Beyond geopolitics, markets are awaiting a monthly report from the International Energy Agency later in the day, as well as updates on U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories. Weekly data from the American Petroleum Institute is due later Wednesday, with official figures from the Energy Information Administration scheduled for Thursday, both delayed by one day due to a U.S. federal holiday earlier in the week.

  • JD Sports shares gain as FY26 profit outlook holds and North America momentum improves

    JD Sports shares gain as FY26 profit outlook holds and North America momentum improves

    JD Sports Fashion (LSE:JD.) said on Wednesday that it expects full-year profit to come in line with market expectations, after reporting resilient trading over the peak period and a pickup in sales momentum in North America, its largest market. The update lifted the retailer’s shares by more than 2%.

    The group said profit before tax and adjusting items for the 2025–26 financial year should align with current market forecasts, with company-compiled consensus standing at £849m.

    “Overall sales during the peak period were in line with our expectations, against a volatile consumer backdrop. Black Friday saw strong customer engagement across all regions, but demand softened in the first half of December, particularly in Europe and the UK,” said Régis Schultz, chief executive of JD Sports Fashion, in a statement.

    Group organic sales increased 1.4% in the nine weeks to 3 January, while like-for-like sales declined 1.8%. JD Sports noted that like-for-like trends in North America improved versus the previous quarter, helping to offset ongoing weakness in Europe and the UK.

    North America accounted for 39% of fourth-quarter-to-date sales and delivered like-for-like growth of 1.5%, alongside organic sales growth of 5.3%. Excluding standalone Finish Line stores, like-for-like sales in the region rose 4.1%.

    “JD’s brand awareness continues to grow in the US and, building on this momentum, we have decided to increase our marketing initiatives in North America in the coming year to accelerate our growth plans in the region,” Schultz added.

    The company pointed to resilient demand for footwear and a strong online performance over the holiday period. In Europe, which represented 32% of sales, like-for-like revenue fell 3.4%, although organic sales edged up 0.9%. The UK, accounting for 25% of sales, saw like-for-like sales decline 5.3% and organic sales drop 4.8%, reflecting weaker consumer conditions and higher levels of promotional activity.

    JD Sports said it expects its full-year gross margin to be around 50 basis points lower year on year, mainly due to controlled price investments, particularly online. As of 1 November 2025, group gross margin was already 60 basis points below the prior year.

    The retailer also reiterated that it remains on track to generate around £400m of free cash flow in FY26, up from £339m the previous year, supported by ongoing cost discipline and inventory management.

  • Experian posts in-line Q3 growth, maintains outlook as shares slip

    Experian posts in-line Q3 growth, maintains outlook as shares slip

    Experian (LSE:EXPN) reported third-quarter organic revenue growth of 8%, broadly matching the Visible Alpha consensus, with solid performances in North America and Latin America’s consumer segment offsetting weaker conditions in EMEA/APAC.

    The stock came under pressure following the update, with shares down 5.5% in London by 08:53 GMT.

    In North America B2B, Experian delivered 11% organic growth. The group pointed to a strong contribution from Clarity, good commercial traction in new cashflow and mortgage profile products, and resilient underlying client activity. North America B2C recorded 8% organic growth, easing from the previous quarter, which Jefferies said was expected after a one-off insurance catch-up.

    Latin America again stood out on the consumer side, with LatAm B2C organic growth of 23%, ahead of expectations. This was driven by strength at Limpa Nome, healthy growth in premium subscription revenues and a robust credit marketplace. LatAm B2B, however, was flat, which Jefferies analysts attributed to the macroeconomic backdrop and persistently high interest rates.

    “3Q organic revenue growth of 8% is in line with expectations and underlying trends remain solid,” Jefferies analyst Allen Wells said in a note. “We note continued strength in North America with B2B and LatAm B2C as standout; partially offset by softness in EMEA/APAC.”

    Experian reported organic revenue growth of 3% in both EMEA/APAC and the UK and Ireland during the quarter.

    The group reaffirmed its FY26 guidance, including total revenue growth of 11% and organic revenue growth of 8%, compared with consensus expectations of 7.7%. Margin guidance was also unchanged, with the company still targeting a year-on-year improvement of 30–50 basis points excluding foreign exchange.

    “FY26e guidance reiterated, with continued strong momentum expected. Overall we see results as reassuring,” Wells added.

  • Drax buys UK flexibility specialist Flexitricity to bolster energy storage ambitions

    Drax buys UK flexibility specialist Flexitricity to bolster energy storage ambitions

    Drax Group (LSE:DRX) said on Wednesday that it has agreed to acquire Flexitricity Limited, a UK-based specialist in optimising flexible energy assets, from Quinbrook for £36 million ($45.6 million). The transaction is expected to complete during the first quarter of 2026.

    Flexitricity operates a proprietary control platform that provides optimisation and route-to-market services for owners of flexible assets, allowing them to participate efficiently in wholesale power markets as well as balancing and ancillary services. Its capabilities are seen as highly complementary to Drax’s strategy in flexible power.

    Drax said the acquisition will play a key role in supporting the development of its gigawatt-scale pipeline of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS), enhancing the group’s ability to capture value from volatility and system flexibility in the UK power market.

    The company added that the deal is expected to generate returns well above its weighted average cost of capital, strengthening Drax’s competitive position in the fast-growing flexible energy segment. The transaction also fits with Drax’s broader strategy of expanding its flexibility offering as the UK accelerates its transition towards a low-carbon, renewable-based energy system.

  • Capgemini plans up to 7% reduction in French headcount as it pivots toward AI

    Capgemini plans up to 7% reduction in French headcount as it pivots toward AI

    Capgemini (EU:CAP) is preparing to reduce its workforce in France by as many as 2,400 roles through a voluntary departure programme, as the IT services group adjusts its operations to reflect the growing impact of artificial intelligence and softer demand in certain activities.

    The planned cuts would account for roughly 7% of Capgemini’s employees in France. Affected staff will either exit the company or be redeployed and retrained into faster-growing areas such as data analytics, cloud services and AI-related technologies. The move mirrors similar initiatives announced by peers, including Accenture, which previously outlined job reductions affecting around 12,000 positions.

    Capgemini has not disclosed the precise cost of the restructuring, but analysts estimate it is likely to exceed €100m. The bulk of the cost savings are expected to emerge from late 2026 and into 2027. The programme is aimed at lifting profitability in France, where margins have been trailing those of other regions within the group and are thought to be below 10% in 2025.

    Management is seen as positioning the French business to reach operating margins of around 11–12% by 2027, supported by better utilisation rates. This would allow further margin expansion following an anticipated improvement in 2026, partly driven by the full-year consolidation of WNS.

    The restructuring is expected to have a modest negative effect on Capgemini’s free cash flow in 2026. Analysts now forecast free cash flow slightly above €2bn for that year, reflecting the likelihood that total restructuring costs will be higher than those incurred in 2025.

  • Atos hits FY25 revenue goal and reins in cash burn in preliminary figures

    Atos hits FY25 revenue goal and reins in cash burn in preliminary figures

    Atos (EU:ATO) said on Wednesday that it achieved its fiscal 2025 revenue objective, while net cash outflow came in better than expected, according to preliminary results.

    The French IT group reported estimated full-year revenue of €8.0bn, or €8.03bn at September 30 exchange rates, in line with its stated target of generating more than €8bn of sales. Fourth-quarter revenue was put at around €2.0bn, representing an organic decline of 9.3% year on year. The company attributed the contraction to contract losses recorded in 2024, voluntary exits from certain agreements and a still-challenging market backdrop.

    Within the Atos Strategic Business Unit, fourth-quarter revenue was estimated at €1.74bn, down 9% organically compared with the same period last year, but an improvement from the 19.3% organic decline reported in the third quarter. Eviden, the group’s product-led division, generated €265m of revenue in the quarter, an organic decrease of 11.2% year on year.

    For the full year, Atos SBU revenue was estimated at €6.96bn, marking an organic decline of 16.2% versus fiscal 2024. By contrast, Eviden posted estimated full-year revenue of €1.04bn, up 6.7% year on year.

    Order intake totalled €2.44bn in the fourth quarter, lifting the group’s book-to-bill ratio to 122%, four percentage points higher than a year earlier. The Atos SBU recorded a book-to-bill ratio of 106%, while Eviden reached 229%, supported in particular by the signing of the Alice Recoque supercomputer contract in high-performance computing.

    Atos also reported an estimated net cash outflow of about €327m for fiscal 2025, which it said was better than its internal expectations. The figure includes an estimated €431m impact from restructuring costs and excludes the use of receivables factoring or specific optimisation of trade payables.

    As of 31 December 2025, group liquidity was estimated at €1.71bn, down from €2.19bn a year earlier but still comfortably above the €650m minimum required under its financing agreements. The company added that its operating margin for fiscal 2025 is expected to exceed its target, stating it should be above €340m, equivalent to more than 4% of revenues.

  • Lagarde urges Europe to carry out a deep review as global order shifts

    Lagarde urges Europe to carry out a deep review as global order shifts

    Christine Lagarde has called for a “deep review” of Europe’s economic model to respond to what she described as “the dawn of a new international order”. Speaking on French radio RTL on Wednesday, the president of the European Central Bank said the changing global landscape requires a fundamental reassessment of how the European economy is structured.

    Lagarde said that potential U.S. tariffs are likely to have only a limited inflationary impact on the euro area overall, although she noted that Germany would probably be more affected than France.

    She also underlined that Europe could substantially improve its economic position by removing non-tariff barriers that still exist within the bloc, arguing that deeper internal integration would strengthen competitiveness and resilience across member states.

  • Serica Energy eyes step-change in output and cash flow following softer 2025

    Serica Energy eyes step-change in output and cash flow following softer 2025

    Serica Energy (LSE:SQZ) reported average production of 27,600 barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2025, with revenue of $601m, both lower than the prior year but broadly in line with guidance. Reduced volumes, weaker realised oil prices and higher operating costs led to slightly negative free cash flow for the year and a move to a net debt position of around $200m, despite the continuation of dividend payments.

    Operational performance has improved materially entering 2026. Maintenance and reliability work at the Bruce and Triton hubs has now been completed, with year-to-date production already averaging around 43,000 boepd and current rates close to 50,000 boepd. By contrast, the Lancaster field is expected to cease production in the second quarter of 2026 as the FPSO departs.

    Strategically, Serica is positioning for a significant uplift in scale and diversification. Recently announced acquisitions are expected to more than double the number of producing fields in the portfolio, materially enhancing cash generation and reducing reliance on individual assets. Alongside this, the group is advancing a pipeline of organic growth opportunities, including potential infill drilling at Bruce and life-extension and emissions-reduction investments across the Bruce and Triton hubs.

    Based on these developments, management is guiding to average production in 2026 well above 40,000 boepd, with potential peak rates exceeding 65,000 boepd. With hedging in place and meaningful free cash flow anticipated at current commodity prices, Serica also reiterated its intention to migrate its listing to the London Stock Exchange Main Market, aiming to establish itself as a larger and more resilient UK North Sea operator while continuing to balance growth and shareholder returns.

    More about Serica Energy

    Serica Energy is a UK-focused independent oil and gas company listed on AIM. Its producing asset base is centred on the Bruce and Triton hubs, alongside assets West of Shetland, generating revenues from a mix of Brent-linked oil and NBP gas. The group is pursuing a more diversified and cash-generative portfolio through a combination of organic investment and acquisitions, with plans to move its listing to the London Stock Exchange’s Main Market.

  • Volex upgrades full-year expectations after strong Q3 led by AI-driven data centre demand

    Volex upgrades full-year expectations after strong Q3 led by AI-driven data centre demand

    Volex plc (LSE:VLX) delivered a robust third-quarter performance, with group revenue reaching $902.7m for the nine months to 31 December 2025, representing organic constant-currency growth of 14.8% year on year. The outturn was driven primarily by strong demand within Complex Industrial Technology, particularly from data centre customers increasing investment in AI and digital infrastructure.

    Additional organic growth was recorded across electric vehicles and off-highway markets. Medical and consumer electricals were comparatively softer versus the prior year, reflecting customer destocking and weaker appliance demand in Europe. Despite this mixed end-market backdrop, underlying operating margins remained at the upper end of Volex’s 9–10% target range, supported by disciplined pricing, efficiency improvements and tight cost control.

    Balance sheet strength continued to improve, with net debt reduced further and covenant leverage falling to around 1.0x. Management said this provides ample capacity to invest in additional production capability, automation, vertical integration and selective bolt-on acquisitions.

    Given the trading momentum and good visibility into the year end, the board now expects both full-year revenue and underlying operating profit to exceed current market expectations. The update reinforces Volex’s exposure to structurally attractive growth sectors and underpins confidence in its five-year growth strategy and long-term value creation plans.

    More about Volex plc

    Volex plc is a UK-headquartered integrated manufacturer specialising in mission-critical power and data connectivity solutions. The group serves global blue-chip customers across electric vehicles, consumer electricals, medical, complex industrial technology and off-highway markets, operating 25 manufacturing facilities with around 13,000 employees worldwide to support increasingly data-intensive and electrified applications.