Author: Fiona Craig

  • Travis Perkins profits fall as balance sheet improves under new leadership

    Travis Perkins profits fall as balance sheet improves under new leadership

    Travis Perkins (LSE:TPK) reported revenue of £4.57bn for 2025, a slight decline of 0.9%, while adjusted operating profit dropped 12.5% to £133m as softer merchanting volumes, increased promotional activity and tighter pricing put pressure on margins. Like-for-like sales across the group edged up 0.3%. Toolstation UK stood out as a stronger performer, with adjusted operating profit rising 29% to £44m. However, restructuring costs and impairments pushed the group to an operating loss of £97m and a post-tax loss of £176m.

    Despite the earnings pressure, the company made notable progress strengthening its financial position. Travis Perkins moved into a small net cash position before leases for the first time in almost three decades and reduced its net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio to 2.1x. The group also secured more than £800m in liquidity and refinanced its £250m bond with US private placement notes. Industry veteran Gavin Slark, who assumed the role of CEO on 1 January 2026, has already streamlined the management structure and outlined priorities centred on cost discipline, operational improvement and targeted capital deployment as the company navigates a challenging UK construction environment.

    The outlook is supported by improved cash flow management and positive strategic developments, even as profitability and valuation remain under pressure. Technical indicators point to constructive momentum, suggesting a favourable market sentiment. Management’s focus on margin recovery and strengthening market share, combined with a more stable balance sheet, may help position the business for longer-term improvement.

    More about Travis Perkins

    Travis Perkins is the UK’s largest distributor of building materials, supplying professional tradespeople and construction markets through its nationwide merchanting branches and the Toolstation retail network. The group provides a broad range of building materials, tools and related services, serving both trade professionals and smaller contractors across the UK.

  • Wickes reports higher profits and ramps up plan to reach 300 UK stores

    Wickes reports higher profits and ramps up plan to reach 300 UK stores

    Wickes Group (LSE:WIX) reported a 5.9% increase in revenue for 2025 to £1.64bn, supported by solid volume growth across its Retail and Design & Installation divisions. Adjusted pre-tax profit climbed 14.4% to £49.9m, with margins also strengthening during the period. The group retained a healthy net cash position, held its full-year dividend steady, and announced a new £10m share buyback programme in addition to planned purchases under its employee share scheme.

    TradePro membership expanded to 643,000 during the year, helping Wickes achieve record retail market share in key categories including timber, tiling, flooring and paint. The Design & Installation segment also recorded continued growth in both ordered and delivered sales. To support future expansion, the company is stepping up investment in technology alongside its established store refit and rollout strategy, with plans to increase its estate from 230 to 300 locations. The expansion programme is expected to create more than 2,000 jobs and strengthen Wickes’ ability to compete in the UK’s large but highly competitive home improvement sector.

    The company’s outlook benefits from strong share price momentum and supportive corporate actions such as the share buyback programme. However, financial performance remains somewhat mixed due to relatively high leverage and uneven revenue growth. Valuation metrics also indicate the possibility of the shares trading at a premium, although the dividend yield provides some offset for investors.

    More about Wickes Group

    Wickes Group is a UK-based, digitally focused home improvement retailer serving trade professionals, DIY customers and clients undertaking larger Design & Installation projects. The business operates 230 stores across the UK, supported by online channels and dedicated apps for trade and DIY users. It targets a domestic market estimated at around £35bn, covering home improvement, kitchens, bathrooms and home energy solutions.

  • GoldStone acquires stake in Sierra Leone gold venture to expand West African presence

    GoldStone acquires stake in Sierra Leone gold venture to expand West African presence

    GoldStone Resources (LSE:GRL) has entered into a binding memorandum of understanding to purchase a 50% interest in Sierra Leone-focused explorer Mincorp (SL) Limited for £600,000, funded from its recent equity raise. The transaction provides GoldStone with exposure to a small-scale artisanal gold operation located next to the 5.8-million-ounce Boamahun deposit, as well as access to highly prospective exploration licences in Sierra Leone’s Eastern Province.

    Funding from the investment will be used to acquire mining and processing equipment aimed at establishing initial production of roughly 2 kilograms of gold per month, creating early-stage cash flow while broader exploration activities are pursued along a seven-mile structural corridor. Under the agreement, GoldStone will receive an overriding royalty on the first 70 ounces of refined gold, obtain a right of first refusal over Mincorp’s gold offtake, and secure representation on the board. The arrangement supports the company’s strategy of building a production-backed exploration platform capable of self-funding growth, while also strengthening its footprint across the West African gold sector.

    The company’s outlook remains constrained by weak financial performance, including ongoing losses, pressure on margins, negative free cash flow, and rising leverage. However, technical indicators provide a counterbalance, with the share price showing solid momentum above key moving averages. Valuation metrics remain challenged by a negative P/E ratio and the absence of dividend support, reflecting the company’s current loss-making position.

    More about GoldStone Resources

    GoldStone Resources Limited is an AIM-listed mining and development company focused on gold assets in Ghana, spanning projects from early-stage exploration through to production. Its flagship Akrokeri-Homase project in south-western Ghana hosts a JORC-compliant gold resource of 602,000 ounces along the Homase Trend, with current production centred at the Homase Mine. The company’s long-term strategy is to build a portfolio of high-quality gold projects along the prolific Birimian Gold Belt.

  • Beehive drilling results strengthen growth outlook for Orom-Cross graphite project

    Beehive drilling results strengthen growth outlook for Orom-Cross graphite project

    Blencowe Resources (LSE:BRES) has announced encouraging early assay results from shallow drilling at the Beehive deposit within its Orom-Cross graphite project in Uganda, highlighting multiple near-surface intersections exceeding 30 metres and grades reaching 10.78% total graphitic carbon. The findings come shortly after a resource upgrade at the nearby Iyan deposit and indicate meaningful near-surface tonnage with additional depth potential, supporting the case for Orom-Cross as a large-scale, multi-deposit graphite system while strengthening the company’s strategic positioning within global critical mineral supply chains.

    Initial results from the first 35 holes of a planned 110-hole shallow drilling programme at Beehive reveal thick, continuous mineralisation beginning at surface, with several holes terminating in graphite. This suggests the possibility of a bulk-mineable deposit situated close to the project’s planned processing infrastructure. Additional assay batches are currently undergoing verification and are expected to contribute to a maiden JORC-compliant resource estimate for Beehive, as well as another expansion of the overall Orom-Cross resource base. Exploration upside remains significant, with potential extensions both along strike and at depth that could extend mine life and improve project economics for future investors and offtake partners.

    Despite the promising exploration progress, the company’s outlook is tempered by financial constraints, including the absence of revenue, continuing losses, and increasing cash burn. Market technical indicators remain supportive, with a sustained upward trend and a positive MACD signal, although highly overbought RSI and stochastic readings suggest a heightened risk of a near-term pullback. Valuation metrics are also limited by a negative P/E ratio and the lack of dividend support.

    More about Blencowe Resources Plc

    Blencowe Resources Plc is a London-listed natural resources company focused on advancing the Orom-Cross graphite project in Uganda. The project aims to develop large-scale graphite resources suitable for downstream processing, targeting supply to Western markets seeking secure and diversified sources of critical battery minerals outside China. The development strategy also benefits from the region’s access to renewable hydropower, supporting the potential for more sustainable graphite production.

  • One of the best silver intercepts in the world year to date

    One of the best silver intercepts in the world year to date

    Hello, I’m Ricki Lee, and this is The Capital Compass. Today we’re speaking with Group Eleven Resources (TSXV:ZNG) (USOTC:GRLVF)— a company undergoing a strategic shift. Long known for its zinc exploration success in Ireland, Group Eleven is now increasingly being recognized for something else: silver.

    Recent drill results have delivered one of the best silver intercepts globally to date, prompting a rebrand that reflects the scale of the opportunity.

    The project is located in Ireland — a stable, mining-friendly jurisdiction — at a time when permitting and geopolitical uncertainty in places like Mexico is forcing investors to think carefully about where their silver exposure sits.

    Joining me now to walk us through the evolution of the story, the current drill program, and what comes next is Bart Jaworski, CEO of Group Eleven Resources. Bart, great to have you with us.

    Bart: Thanks so much Ricki. Great to be here.

    Ricki: So, tell us Bart, we’ll start with the bigger picture first. Group Eleven has historically been associated with zinc, as we mentioned, especially exploration in Ireland, but the silver component of your recent discoveries has really shifted the narrative here. So can you walk us through how the company has evolved and why you’re now positioning as a silver exploration story?

    Bart: Well, we’ve been getting silver all along our zinc discovery for the last three years, but I think it’s fair to say we’ve really started to hit it out of the park on the silver front, pretty much over the last year or so and really come to the fore in the last few months in that we’ve got a 50 meter intercept now of 330 grams per ton silver, which is one of the best silver intercepts in the world year to date on the Canadian, US and the Aussie exchanges. So, we’re batting way above our weight in terms of silver hits. And that is basically an indication of a deeper copper silver system that’s brewing as well underneath our discovery.

    So, the silver numbers are hitting it out of the park. It’s indicative of a deeper copper silver system, which we’ve also intersected now on two drill fences, about 350 meters apart. That’s also a growing story, and we’re also finding parallel zones to the zinc mineralization. Initially it’s emerging, it’s another emerging idea, but we have very strong economic looking hits over 2.6 kilometers so far, and that’s just one part of a six kilometer long perspective trend. So there’s a lot of upside here, and the silver is certainly looking good as well as the copper hits which we’re getting up to 10.5% in some cases.

    Ricki: So, you’re speaking about how great these silver results are, right? And that’s fantastic news, but what is it that really sets these drill intercepts apart from other silver projects on the market today?

    Bart: Well, just the fact that it’s continuous. It’s only 300 meters deep. It seems to be coalescing in one area. It’s not poddy, some discoveries can be in multiple horizons, multiple orientations that can be folded and faulted, quite messy. In our case that’s not the case. It’s pretty much flat as a pancake along the base of a limestone unit. And underneath that pancake, if you will, is another what appears to be a fairly continuous steeply dipping copper silver system.

    So, the continuity seems to be there. The depth is nice, only 300 meters deeper, so it’s hanging together. The shape of it is also conducive to mining on both fronts. So, it’s all looking pretty good. It’s not oxidized, so that could be another problem with new discoveries. This is all pristine sulfides, which lends itself to good flotation and everything else. So again, we’re expecting good things on the recovery front when we do met (metallurgical) work, hopefully in the next 12 months or so. So it’s all lining up to be a really interesting discovery.

    Ricki: And one of the other great things about the project, if I’m not wrong, is that it’s located in sunny Ireland, right? So it’s a safe and established, very established mining jurisdiction maybe not so sunny today. But at a time when we’re seeing challenges in traditional silver producing regions like Mexico, for example, how important is jurisdictional stability in attracting long-term capital?

    Bart: Well, it’s huge. It’s a really good question because obviously we’re seeing flare ups in other parts of the world. Not even talking about what’s going on in the Middle East right now, obviously, but in more close to home [jurisdictions] for North Americans. So it’s definitely a key consideration. I think the other key advantage of Ireland is the infrastructure. So it’s a very much a gating item for base metal projects. For precious, it’s not as important to have key infrastructure, but for base metal projects, it’s absolutely critical. You have the roads and ports here on tidewater, proximity to European smelters. We have all that in Ireland. So that’s a key consideration.

    Plus, obviously it’s a safe democratic country with a first rate mining code, politics sort of down the center, very pro-business. And all those things really come together and that’s why the six discoveries that have been made in Ireland over the last 60 years have all been built into active mines in their time. So, it does have a very good legacy here in the country for producing discoveries and then actually putting them into production.

    Ricki: Okay. So it looks like we are looking for a pot of silver instead. I’ll let them all know. Turning to the current drill program, you’ve completed roughly 5,000 meters, if I’m not mistaken, and still have around 20,000 remaining. Where are you in the program right now and what are you targeting with the remaining drilling?

    Bart: Well, we just closed a $12 million bought deal with Cormark and Beacon, and that really triples our meters. So, we had a funded drill program about, like you say, 20,000 meters going forward, and right now it’s more like 75,000 meters if you take the overallotment. Because there was a $10.4 million deal, which went up to $12 million with the overallotment. So we actually have more meters than we have in the use of proceeds. So, it’s about 75,000 meters from 20,000. So, it’s like almost a 300% increase in the amount of funded meters that we have for the rest of this year and into 2027. So, it’s a pretty significant boost, a huge shot in the arm for us. And we can really roll up our sleeves now and get to work on Ballywire, but also on our neighboring property called Stonepark, where we’re hoping to find the next Pallas Green deposit. Now that Pallas Green deposit is one of the largest undeveloped zinc deposits and we have a geological lookalike to that just south of Pallas Green on our side of the camp. And we’re very much looking forward to being able to drill over 15,000 meters there as well over the next couple of years. So very exciting times for us.

    Ricki: Very exciting indeed. So, we’ve spoken about how Ireland is great for jurisdictional safety, right? But what about the cost structure involved? How does operating in Ireland affect your drill costs and overall exploration efficiency compared to other more remote projects for example?

    Bart: It’s surprising. Most people I think will be very surprised, but it’s actually low. So, it’s actually a good news story. In Ireland, you would think it’s a high cost jurisdiction, but if you think about it, we don’t need helicopters. We don’t need to build roads; we don’t need to build a camp because everybody can drive in. It’s a tiny country. Everyone can drive in from home to get to the drill site every day. And it just so happens, we’re very lucky, the lab that services all of Europe and all of Africa is just outside of where we’re working, about a 45 minute truck ride away. So we’re saving tons on air freight as well. So, it all boils down to about $150 Canadian dollars. The FX obviously is up and down here, but it’s around that $150 per meter mark, including assays and everything else. So, it’s a very efficient use of capital here, we get a lot of bang for the buck here in Ireland.

    Ricki: Wow, amazing. Thank you so much for taking us through that today, Bart.

    Bart: Thanks so much, Ricki, appreciate it.

    Once again, that is Bart Jaworski, CEO of Group Eleven. For more information, visit groupelevenresources.com. I’m Ricki Lee and this has been the Capital Compass. Thanks again for watching and I’ll see you next time.

  • Why industrial gases are the gold of the digital age

    Why industrial gases are the gold of the digital age

    Part 3 of a 3-part investor series

    In the first two installments of this series, we explored how U.S. Energy Corp. (NASDAQ:USEG) has evolved from a traditional E&P company into an emerging industrial gas and carbon management platform — and how its 2026 plan sets the foundation for multi‑stream, long‑duration value creation.

    Part 3 zooms out. Because to understand the full scope of the U.S. Energy opportunity, you have to understand something bigger: industrial gases are becoming the critical materials of the modern world, every bit as essential as the minerals and metals that dominate commodity headlines.

    This article is disseminated in partnership with U.S. Energy Corp. It is intended to inform investors and should not be taken as a recommendation or financial advice.

    Silicon may have powered the information age.

    But helium and CO₂ are increasingly powering the technologies shaping what comes next.

    This is the era where industrial gases behave like scarce, strategic assets — the new gold of a digital, automated, space‑driven global economy.

    The global helium crisis: The lifeblood of high technology

    Helium is unlike any other industrial gas. It is non‑renewable, born not from manufacturing but from geological processes that take millions of years. Once vented into the atmosphere, it escapes into space. It cannot be recovered. And global production is concentrated in just a handful of regions worldwide.

    At the same time, demand is rising in sectors that define the future:

    Semiconductors

    Helium is essential for chip fabrication — used to cool, purge, and stabilize advanced lithography systems. As AI accelerates and next‑generation chips grow more complex, helium demand becomes even more tightly linked to global computing capacity.

    Medical imaging (MRI machines)

    MRIs cannot function without liquid helium. Hospitals, diagnostic labs, and medical centres depend on secure, uninterrupted supply.

    Aerospace and space launch

    Companies like SpaceX, Blue Origin, and NASA rely on helium to pressurize rocket fuel tanks and enable safe launch operations. No helium, no modern commercial space industry.

    Quantum computing

    Ultra‑low‑temperature cooling environments — the core of quantum hardware — require high‑purity helium.

    This creates a supply‑demand environment with a simple, profound implication: helium shortages are no longer temporary market disruptions; they’re structural.

    That’s why helium reserves aren’t just valuable. They’re strategic.

    And that’s why Kevin Dome — one of the few known helium resources of scale in North America — is increasingly viewed as a national‑interest asset hidden in plain sight.

    CO₂: From liability to industrial powerhouse

    For years, CO₂ has been framed almost exclusively as an environmental liability. But that story is incomplete.

    CO₂ is also a critical industrial input — and an irreplaceable one in several large, stable sectors.

    In everyday life, CO₂ keeps food cold, carbonates beverages, and preserves perishables. In advanced manufacturing, it’s indispensable in metal fabrication and welding. And in the energy sector, it plays an essential role in enhanced oil recovery (EOR), unlocking barrels that traditional methods leave behind.

    What’s changed is not CO₂’s usefulness — but how society is choosing to manage it.

    A molecule once viewed as a problem is now a recognized asset, enabling carbon‑neutral food systems, cleaner manufacturing, deep‑decarbonization infrastructure, and measurable climate progress.

    For companies that control both CO₂ supply and sequestration pathways, this shift creates a new class of long‑duration revenue built on:

    • Industrial sales
    • Carbon management incentives
    • EOR uplift
    • Permanent geological storage

    In other words, CO₂ has moved from liability to monetizable commodity.

    And because Kevin Dome contains both massive CO₂ volumes and the geology required for storage, U.S. Energy sits at the centre of this new economic model.

    The investment opportunity: The picks and shovels of the digital frontier

    As investors increasingly chase AI, chips, quantum computing, and commercial space stocks, they often overlook the simple physics that underlie all of these industries: None of them function without helium.

    And many depend on CO₂ as well.

    Industrial gases aren’t competing with AI or space tech — they enable them. They are the “picks and shovels” of the technological frontier. And history has shown that betting on the infrastructure behind the boom often delivers more durable returns than betting on the boom itself.

    Tech cycles fluctuate.

    Industrial gas demand doesn’t.

    It grows — and grows more essential.

    For investors seeking exposure to the growth areas of the future, the case is increasingly clear: industrial gases represent a more stable way to participate in high‑tech mega‑trends without taking high‑tech risk.

    © U.S. Energy Corp. investor presentation

    The shift: How U.S. Energy Corp. is positioning itself to lead

    Few companies have pivoted as decisively as U.S. Energy.

    Once a traditional oil producer, the company is now building a closed‑loop system that monetizes both helium and CO₂ — while using its own CO₂ to enhance production at its own oil fields and permanently sequester the remainder.

    This integrated model matters because it creates:

    • Multiple revenue streams
    • Low decline rates and long‑duration output
    • Infrastructure‑driven margins
    • Deep optionality for future scaling
    • Alignment with global decarbonization and digital manufacturing trends

    In other words, U.S. Energy is constructing a platform, not a project.

    And in a world where industrial gases are becoming major assets, platforms win.

    Conclusion: The era of industrial gas has arrived

    Across the semiconductor fabs of Taiwan, the launch pads of Texas and Florida, the MRI wings of modern hospitals, and the data centres powering AI, helium and CO₂ are no longer background materials. They are front‑line enablers of the technologies defining our century.

    Investors who understand this shift early will see industrial gases not as commodities — but as the gold of the digital age, scarce, essential, and deeply intertwined with the highest‑growth sectors of the global economy.

    For U.S. Energy Corp., this is not a distant vision. It is the business they are building today.

    Further reading:

  • U.S. stocks seen rebounding as oil prices retreat: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    U.S. stocks seen rebounding as oil prices retreat: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    U.S. stock futures are pointing to a solidly higher open on Monday, suggesting that markets may recover part of the ground lost during last week’s downturn.

    The early strength appears to be linked to a notable decline in crude oil prices, which are down about 3.2% after climbing 8.6% over the course of the previous week.

    Oil prices moved lower after President Donald Trump urged other nations to help secure shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz.

    “I’m demanding that these countries come in and protect their own territory, because it is their territory. It’s the place from which they get their energy,” Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on Sunday. “And they should come and they should help us protect it.”

    “Why are we maintaining the Hormuz Strait when it’s really there for China and many other countries?” he asked. “Why aren’t they doing it?”

    Markets may also benefit from bargain hunting following last Friday’s sell-off, which pushed the major U.S. indexes to their lowest closing levels in more than three months.

    After suffering sharp losses on Thursday, equities initially rebounded in early trading on Friday. However, that recovery faded as the session progressed, with the main averages turning negative by the close.

    By the end of the day, the major indexes had extended their previous declines and finished at fresh three-month closing lows. The Nasdaq dropped 206.62 points, or 0.9%, to 22,105.36. The S&P 500 slipped 10.43 points, or 0.6%, to 6,632.19, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 119.38 points, or 0.3%, to 46,558.47.

    Over the course of the week, the Dow lost 2.0%, the S&P 500 fell 1.6%, and the Nasdaq dropped 1.3%.

    Market movements throughout the session were largely influenced by fluctuations in crude oil prices.

    Stocks initially gained momentum as oil prices retreated, with April crude futures dropping as much as 3.9% after surging during the previous two sessions.

    However, oil prices later reversed course and climbed sharply during the day, which contributed to renewed selling pressure in equities.

    The volatility in energy markets came as President Donald Trump intensified his rhetoric toward Iran, referring to the regime as “deranged scumbags” that he has the “great honor” to kill.

    On the economic front, a closely watched report from the Commerce Department indicated that the annual pace of consumer price growth slowed unexpectedly in January.

    According to the data, the PCE price index rose 2.8% year over year in January, down from 2.9% in December. Economists had expected the rate to remain unchanged.

    Meanwhile, the core PCE price index, which excludes food and energy, edged up to 3.1% from 3.0% the previous month, contrary to expectations that it would remain steady.

    Another report from the Commerce Department showed that U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2025 slowed more than previously estimated.

    Among sector moves, gold mining stocks fell sharply in tandem with the price of gold, sending the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index down 5.2% to its lowest closing level in more than a month.

    Steel stocks also posted notable losses, with the NYSE Arca Steel Index declining 2.7%.

    Airline and software shares were also under pressure, while utilities and natural gas companies managed to record gains during the session.

  • European stocks advance as Iran conflict enters third week: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European stocks advance as Iran conflict enters third week: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equity markets traded mostly higher on Monday as the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran moved into its third week and U.S. President Donald Trump urged allied nations to deploy naval escorts to secure shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz.

    Later in the day, foreign ministers from the European Union are scheduled to meet to discuss the possibility of a coordinated naval response to the effective shutdown of the strategic oil transit corridor.

    Investors are also watching upcoming central bank meetings in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe and Australia, as rising energy prices increase concerns about inflation.

    In early trading, the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index gained 0.7%, Germany’s DAX Index climbed 0.6% and France’s CAC 40 Index advanced 0.3%.

    Shares of German lender Commerzbank (TG:CBK) jumped nearly 4% after Italy’s UniCredit launched a €35 billion ($40 billion) takeover proposal for the bank.

    Tecan Group (TG:TEN) declined 4.3%. The Swiss laboratory automation company reported a net loss of CHF 110.7 million for the 2025 financial year and said it expects sales to grow in the low single-digit percentage range in local currencies during 2026.

    Idorsia (TG:19T) plunged 12% after the pharmaceutical research firm announced that CEO Srishti Gupta will step down and leave the board of directors after less than a year in the role.

    Meanwhile, U.K. construction materials producer Marshalls (LSE:MSLH) rose 2.4% after reporting a slight increase in revenue for 2025.

  • Shell projects strong growth in global LNG demand through 2050

    Shell projects strong growth in global LNG demand through 2050

    Shell (LSE:SHEL) said on Monday that worldwide demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) could increase substantially over the coming decades, rising from around 422 million tonnes per year in 2025 to between 610 million and 780 million tonnes annually by 2050.

    According to the company, this would represent an expansion of roughly 45% to 85% over the next quarter century.

    Shell noted that new investment in LNG supply capacity will likely be needed during the 2030s and 2040s to ensure global demand can be met, even under the more conservative end of its long-term outlook.

    The energy group added that its existing LNG operations, as well as projects currently under development, are positioned competitively within the lower half of the industry’s cost structure.

    Shell also said Asia will play a central role in driving LNG demand growth through 2040, accounting for about 70% of the expected increase in consumption.

    Currently, LNG represents about 14% of global natural gas supply, which equates to just over 3% of total primary energy consumption. Shell expects LNG’s share of primary energy to exceed 4% by 2040 and remain around that level through mid-century.

  • Iran conflict enters third week as Nvidia event and Fed decision dominate market outlook: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    Iran conflict enters third week as Nvidia event and Fed decision dominate market outlook: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    U.S. stock futures moved higher early Monday as investors prepared for a week packed with developments that could influence global markets. The ongoing conflict involving Iran continues to push oil prices higher and raise concerns about inflation. Meanwhile, a major developer conference hosted by Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) could provide fresh signals about the direction of the artificial intelligence industry, while the Federal Reserve will headline a series of global central bank policy announcements in the days ahead.

    Futures edge higher

    Futures tied to the main U.S. stock indexes were up in early trading Monday as investors assessed the continued U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran, now entering its third week.

    At 04:19 ET, Dow futures had risen 141 points, or 0.3%. S&P 500 futures advanced 33 points, or 0.5%, while Nasdaq 100 futures gained 131 points, also around 0.5%.

    Wall Street’s main indexes finished last week lower as oil prices surged amid fears of disruptions to global supply. Iran has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic shipping route south of the country through which roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil tanker traffic normally passes. The closure has constrained energy flows and heightened risks to the global economy.

    Although the United States has tried to calm supply concerns—including by easing some sanctions on Russian oil—crude prices have continued to climb. Higher oil costs have also pushed gasoline prices higher, an important factor in inflation data and a key issue for U.S. voters ahead of the November 2026 midterm elections.

    Analysts at ING noted in a report that U.S. strikes carried out over the weekend on Kharg Island—through which most of Iran’s oil exports move—have heightened concerns about supply risks. However, they said the island’s energy facilities appear to have largely escaped damage.

    Trump urges allies to help reopen Strait of Hormuz

    U.S. President Donald Trump has meanwhile called on seven countries to work with Washington to secure the Strait of Hormuz, a critical energy corridor responsible for transporting around one-fifth of the world’s oil supply.

    Speaking with reporters aboard Air Force One on Sunday, Trump did not indicate whether any of the nations had agreed to assist.

    In comments to the Financial Times, Trump also suggested that NATO member states should contribute to reopening the route, warning that “it will be a very bad for the future of NATO” if they fail to respond or decline to support Washington.

    Trump also singled out China, saying he could cancel a planned summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping in April if Beijing does not use its influence to help restore shipping through the strait. According to The New York Times, oil tankers heading toward China have been permitted to pass through the waterway, while others have reportedly come under attack.

    Oil prices rise amid supply concerns

    Oil prices advanced Monday in volatile trading as investors remained alert to potential disruptions to Middle East supply. Prices had briefly dipped after Trump urged several countries—including China—to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

    U.S. officials continued to express confidence that the conflict with Iran would end quickly, while Tehran maintained that it remains capable of defending itself.

    Separately, the International Energy Agency said over the weekend it plans to release 411.9 million barrels of crude from emergency reserves in an effort to offset possible supply shortages.

    Brent crude futures, the global benchmark, climbed 2.7% to $105.90 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures gained 2.0% to $98.75 per barrel at 04:06 ET. Earlier in the session, oil had risen as much as 3% before trimming gains and briefly trading flat.

    Nvidia developer conference draws investor attention

    Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will take center stage at the company’s annual developer conference beginning Monday, as investors look for updates on how the chipmaker plans to maintain its leadership in the rapidly expanding artificial intelligence sector.

    Huang’s presentation comes as Nvidia faces growing competition in the market for AI-focused semiconductors. Rivals such as Advanced Micro Devices and Intel are increasing their presence, while major technology firms—including Alphabet’s Google—are developing their own processors tailored to artificial intelligence applications.

    The increasing importance of “inference” in AI—where systems perform tasks on behalf of users—also presents a challenge for Nvidia. These workloads often rely on different types of chips than those Nvidia has traditionally produced. Some of Nvidia’s largest customers, including OpenAI and Meta Platforms, have also indicated plans to design their own AI processors.

    In December, Nvidia spent $17 billion to acquire Groq, a startup specializing in fast and cost-efficient inference computing. Last month, Huang said he would show how Groq’s technology could be integrated into Nvidia’s CUDA platform.

    “[T]he big deliverable expected at this event is the unveiling by Nvidia of a new inference-focused chip that will contain IP obtained in the recent Groq acquihire deal,” analysts at Vital Knowledge said in a research note.

    Fed policy decision in focus

    Beyond developments in the technology sector, investors are also preparing for several central bank policy decisions this week.

    The Federal Reserve will be the main highlight, with policymakers widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged when their two-day meeting concludes on Wednesday.

    Fed Chair Jerome Powell—who is scheduled to step down in May—is also expected to use one of his final press conferences following a policy announcement to comment on the condition of the U.S. labor market and the outlook for inflation.

    Recent employment data came in significantly weaker than expected, underscoring potential fragility in the job market. At the same time, inflation pressures could intensify due to rising energy prices linked to the conflict involving Iran.

    These developments leave the Fed facing a difficult policy balancing act: lowering interest rates could help support hiring but risk fueling inflation, while raising rates could restrain price growth but potentially weaken the labor market.

    Investors will be watching closely for signals about how the central bank intends to manage these competing risks in the months ahead.