Author: Fiona Craig

  • Serval Resources reports £3 million fundraise and Kalahari Copper acquisition

    Serval Resources reports £3 million fundraise and Kalahari Copper acquisition

    Serval Resources (LSE:SRVL) reported interim results for the six months ended 31 May 2026, covering a period that included the acquisition of Kalahari Copper Limited, the company’s admission to AIM and a £3 million equity and retail fundraise.

    Following the acquisition, Serval holds exploration interests across copper-focused areas in Namibia and Botswana, alongside its existing project exposure in Côte d’Ivoire.

    Exploration and evaluation assets increased to more than £5.1 million during the period, while net assets stood at £5.9 million.

    Operating loss rises following AIM admission

    Serval reported an operating loss of £2.1 million for the six-month period. The increase included costs associated with the company’s AIM admission and share-based payments.

    The £3 million fundraise completed alongside the transaction provided additional capital for the group’s planned exploration activities.

    Serval Resources, formerly Oscillate PLC, is an AIM-quoted exploration and development company focused on copper and associated metals.

    Its portfolio includes a land position in Namibia’s Kaoko Basin and the Kalahari Copper Belt in Botswana, as well as exposure to the Duékoué iron oxide copper gold and porphyry-style project in Côte d’Ivoire.

    Namibia drilling targeted before year-end

    The company plans to use part of the capital raised to fund an exploration programme during the second half of the year.

    Planned activities include geological mapping, geophysical work and soil sampling. According to Serval, these programmes are intended to refine mineralised corridors and reduce geological uncertainty ahead of drilling.

    The company is targeting its first drilling campaign in Namibia before the end of the year.

    Serval described the Kaoko Basin and Kalahari Copper Belt as under-explored regions that it considers prospective for copper mineralisation and comparable with the Central African Copper Belt.

    Serval outlines copper-focused strategy

    Management said its strategy is focused on exploration for copper and other strategic metals, with the company linking its portfolio to expected longer-term demand associated with electrification, renewable energy and expanding electricity networks.

    Serval also said its operating approach includes engagement with local communities and regulators, alongside the implementation of health, safety and environmental systems.

    The company expects exploration activities across its portfolio to provide additional information on its projects as its planned work programmes progress.

  • Wall Street futures climb as Nvidia fuels renewed AI optimism: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq

    Wall Street futures climb as Nvidia fuels renewed AI optimism: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq

    U.S. equity futures moved higher on Thursday, putting Wall Street on course for a positive start as investors welcomed another strong set of results from Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) and renewed their enthusiasm for artificial intelligence-related stocks.

    Technology shares were positioned to lead the advance, with Nasdaq 100 futures gaining around 1%. Nvidia jumped 6.5% in pre-market trading after second-quarter results surpassed expectations and the company issued an upbeat revenue forecast for the current quarter.

    The performance offered fresh evidence that spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure remains robust and helped lift sentiment across the wider technology sector.

    “Nvidia once again delivered stronger-than-expected results, providing some reassurance that the AI investment cycle remains intact,” said Daniela Hathorn, Senior Market Analyst at Capital.com.

    Nvidia results put technology stocks back in focus

    Nvidia’s latest numbers have taken on particular importance for the wider market because of the company’s position at the centre of the AI infrastructure boom. Strong demand for its technology is being closely watched as an indicator of whether heavy investment in artificial intelligence continues to translate into growth.

    The earnings release also arrived after a subdued Wall Street session in which investors appeared reluctant to take significant positions before seeing Nvidia’s numbers.

    “Assuming there is no major movement in either a positive or negative direction in geopolitical terms, tonight’s second quarter results from Nvidia are likely to set the tone for markets through the remainder of the week,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

    Federal Reserve outlook remains another key catalyst

    Nvidia may dominate the immediate market narrative, but monetary policy remains firmly on investors’ radar ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s appearance at the Jackson Hole economic symposium on Friday.

    Warsh has generally avoided offering extensive forward guidance, although markets will be looking for any indications about whether interest rates are likely to remain unchanged or move higher.

    CME Group’s FedWatch Tool currently assigns a 66.1% probability to the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged next month, while the probability of a quarter-point increase stands at 33.9%.

    PCE inflation remains sticky

    The latest U.S. inflation figures reinforced the uncertainty surrounding the rate outlook. The headline personal consumption expenditures price index increased 0.2% in July after falling 0.1% in June. Economists had expected a smaller 0.1% increase.

    Annual PCE inflation remained at 3.7%, rather than easing to the expected 3.6%.

    Core PCE inflation, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.2% month over month, matching expectations. The annual core rate remained unchanged at 3.3%, also in line with forecasts.

    The figures suggest inflationary pressures remain persistent, giving the Federal Reserve another reason to maintain a careful approach to future policy decisions.

    Major indices look to recover from modest losses

    Wall Street finished the previous session slightly lower following a day of narrow and indecisive trading. The Dow fell 113.52 points, or 0.2%, to 53,463.88, while the Nasdaq declined 21.10 points, or 0.1%, to 26,130.20. The S&P 500 slipped 1.58 points, or less than 0.1%, to 7,675.70.

    There were nevertheless areas of strength beneath the surface. Computer hardware stocks advanced, pushing the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware Index up 1.9%, while the NYSE Arca Networking Index gained 1.6%. Natural gas shares also performed well, with the NYSE Arca Natural Gas Index rising 1.5%.

    Gold stocks were among the weaker performers as precious metal prices declined, sending the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index down 2.9%. Pharmaceutical stocks also struggled, with the NYSE Arca Pharmaceutical Index falling 2%.

    With Nvidia providing a fresh catalyst for AI and technology shares, U.S. markets appear positioned to regain momentum at the opening bell. Investors will now be watching whether the technology-led advance can broaden while awaiting Friday’s Jackson Hole speech for the next major signal on monetary policy.

  • European stocks ease as investors weigh geopolitical risks and Fed outlook: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European stocks ease as investors weigh geopolitical risks and Fed outlook: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equities moved mostly lower on Thursday as investors balanced lingering geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook against encouraging earnings and guidance from Nvidia.

    Stronger-than-anticipated U.S. inflation figures have kept expectations of another Federal Reserve rate increase before the end of the year in focus. Markets are now looking towards Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s speech at Jackson Hole for further clues on the direction of monetary policy.

    DAX advances as German consumer confidence improves

    France’s CAC 40 fell 1.1%, while the UK’s FTSE 100 declined 0.4%. Germany’s DAX bucked the wider trend, rising 0.3% after fresh data pointed to an improvement in German consumer sentiment heading into September.

    The forward-looking GfK consumer sentiment index increased to -26.6 for September from -29.4 in August, supported by improving income expectations and changes in consumers’ willingness to save.

    The stronger German reading provided a positive domestic signal at a time when European markets continue to navigate global political and monetary-policy uncertainty.

    Corporate earnings drive individual share moves

    Pernod Ricard (EU:RI) shares moved sharply lower after the French wine and spirits group reported a 3.9% decline in annual sales for fiscal 2026, reflecting weaker demand in China and the United States.

    Swedish medical technology company Elekta (TG:EJXB) also declined after first-quarter sales came in below expectations.

    Prudential (LSE:PRU) moved lower after the insurer reported slower growth in new business profit, while Belgian insurer Ageas (EU:AGS) also lost ground. Ageas’ combined ratio increased to 95.2% in the first half of 2026 from 92.1% a year earlier, reflecting weather-related claims across Europe.

    Halfords and Plus500 outperform

    Elsewhere, Halfords Group (LSE:HFD) provided a notable bright spot for the London market. Shares in the British cycling and automotive products retailer surged after the company forecast 2027 profit above market expectations.

    Plus500 (LSE:PLUS) also posted a strong advance after the trading and betting firm announced a new $100 million share buyback programme.

    While major European indices traded cautiously overall, encouraging German consumer confidence and strong company-specific performances provided areas of optimism. Investors will now turn their attention to Jackson Hole for further indications of how the Federal Reserve could approach interest rates during the remainder of the year.

  • Computacenter hits new 52-week high after Peel Hunt upgrade and AI sector boost

    Computacenter hits new 52-week high after Peel Hunt upgrade and AI sector boost

    Computacenter (LSE:CCC) shares climbed 4.8% to 5,465p, reaching a fresh 52-week high of 5,500p during the session after Peel Hunt upgraded the technology group and significantly increased its price target.

    The brokerage raised its recommendation on Computacenter to “buy” from “add” and lifted its target price to 6,000p from 4,400p, highlighting stronger confidence in the company’s earnings and spending outlook.

    Peel Hunt said Computacenter’s half-year trading update showed that it had underestimated the scale of the company’s first-half earnings outperformance. However, the broker maintained its full-year adjusted pre-tax profit forecast at £324 million ($440.38 million).

    Looking further ahead, Peel Hunt said “conviction is now for a materially higher spend in FY 27E for key customers, vs FY 26E.”

    Nvidia results strengthen technology sector sentiment

    Computacenter’s rally also came amid renewed enthusiasm across European technology stocks following Nvidia’s latest quarterly results.

    Nvidia reported second-quarter revenue of $96.2 billion for the three months to July 26, representing growth of 106% from the previous year and comfortably exceeding analyst expectations.

    Data centre revenue, which includes the hardware supporting artificial intelligence computing infrastructure, surged 117% to $89 billion.

    Investors were particularly encouraged by Nvidia’s forward guidance. The semiconductor group expects third-quarter revenue of approximately $108 billion, ahead of the $104.2 billion consensus forecast, while gross margins are projected to remain around 74%.

    Although the direct commercial read-across between Computacenter and Nvidia’s data centre operations is limited, the results reinforced confidence in the broader AI infrastructure investment cycle.

    AI infrastructure demand adds to Computacenter momentum

    The positive technology backdrop followed a cautious previous session for London equities. The FTSE 100 had closed 0.1% lower at 10,878.12 after stronger-than-expected US inflation figures tempered market sentiment ahead of Nvidia’s results.

    The US PCE price index increased 3.7% year on year in July, slightly above the consensus forecast of 3.6%, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a measured approach to monetary policy.

    For Computacenter, however, the combination of Peel Hunt’s upgrade, Nvidia’s strong results and growing expectations for enterprise AI infrastructure spending provided a supportive backdrop for the shares.

    Blue-chip status increases investor attention

    Computacenter’s recent promotion to the FTSE 100 has also increased its visibility among investors at a time when companies are committing more resources to AI-ready computing and technology infrastructure.

    As an enterprise technology infrastructure integrator, Computacenter is positioned to participate in corporate investment in areas including computing capacity, data centres and wider IT modernisation.

    With the shares reaching a new 52-week high and Peel Hunt setting a substantially higher price target, investor sentiment towards the company has strengthened as expectations build for increased customer spending in FY27 and continued expansion of the global AI infrastructure market.

  • Oil falls for fourth session as diplomatic progress boosts hopes for Middle East supply recovery

    Oil falls for fourth session as diplomatic progress boosts hopes for Middle East supply recovery

    Oil prices extended their retreat on Thursday, recording a fourth consecutive session of declines as investors became more optimistic that diplomatic efforts in the Middle East could eventually restore disrupted crude supply routes.

    By 04:54 ET, benchmark Brent crude futures were down 0.5% at $87.37 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate futures also fell 0.5% to $81.79 a barrel.

    Both contracts have declined more than 6% over the past week. Expectations of progress towards a diplomatic solution have increasingly outweighed persistent tensions between the US and Iran, raising hopes that regional energy supplies could gradually normalise.

    The US tightened economic sanctions against Iran earlier this week and warned other countries against conducting trade with Tehran. However, subsequent reports have suggested that relations between Washington and Tehran could be moving towards a less confrontational phase.

    Russian state media reported that the US and Iran had reached a new ceasefire agreement that could be announced in the coming days.

    Strait of Hormuz remains central to supply outlook

    Attention is particularly focused on the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran and Oman are reportedly moving closer to an agreement covering commercial shipping routes.

    Iran has cautioned that any agreement would not necessarily result in an immediate reopening of the crossing. Even so, signs of diplomatic progress have strengthened expectations that maritime traffic could eventually begin returning towards normal levels.

    Pakistan, which has played an important role as a regional mediator, has also indicated that progress is being made in peace discussions involving Iran.

    Physical supply conditions remain constrained for now. Shipping data showed that traffic through Hormuz continues to run at only a fraction of the levels recorded before the war.

    The strategic waterway handled roughly 20% of global crude supplies before the conflict, making any sustained recovery in shipping activity potentially significant for international oil markets.

    A reopening could allow greater volumes of Middle Eastern crude to reach global buyers, easing some of the supply pressures that have influenced prices throughout the conflict.

    Markets keep watch on Russia and Ukraine

    Geopolitical developments elsewhere also remain in focus, with reports suggesting Russia could increase its attacks against Ukraine after concluding that negotiations have made limited progress.

    Moscow is reportedly considering a greater number of ballistic missile strikes against Kyiv and other infrastructure targets, keeping another potential source of commodity-market uncertainty on investors’ radar.

    “The Russia-Ukraine conflict has been completely sidelined by markets for a while, and there was little to suggest hopes of a resolution were building up. The commodity markets continue to look only at the Middle East situation,” analysts at ING said in a note.

    For oil markets, developments in the Middle East remain the dominant near-term driver. Further diplomatic progress and a recovery in shipping through Hormuz could improve the global supply picture, giving traders a clearer view of how quickly disrupted crude flows might return.

  • Gold stays firm as investors look to Warsh for fresh Fed policy signals

    Gold stays firm as investors look to Warsh for fresh Fed policy signals

    Gold prices remained resilient on Thursday as investors turned their attention to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s upcoming Jackson Hole speech for fresh clues on the direction of US monetary policy.

    By 05:30 ET, spot gold had edged 0.1% higher to $4,597.39 an ounce, while gold futures eased 0.1% to $4,649.64 an ounce.

    Bullion remains on track to gain more than 1% over the week, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve could keep interest rates unchanged at its September meeting rather than immediately tighten policy in response to energy-related inflation pressures.

    The recent retreat in oil prices has provided some relief on the inflation front, with investors increasingly hopeful that diplomatic progress in the Middle East could eventually lead to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Nevertheless, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge continues to indicate persistent price pressures.

    Even if policymakers leave rates unchanged in September, markets continue to anticipate the possibility of increases later in the year. Higher borrowing costs can help contain inflation but may also moderate broader economic activity.

    For gold, elevated interest rates traditionally represent a headwind because the metal generates no income, making interest-bearing assets comparatively more attractive.

    David Morrison, Senior Market Analyst at Trade Nation, said gold has developed a “strong inverse relationship” with the U.S. dollar. Strength in the greenback can make bullion more expensive for international buyers and potentially limit demand.

    Jackson Hole takes centre stage

    Friday’s Jackson Hole address from Warsh is now the main event for precious metals investors, marking his first major speech since becoming Federal Reserve chair.

    Markets will be looking for greater clarity on how the central bank intends to tackle inflation after price growth remained above its 2% target for an extended period.

    Investors are also seeking more detail on Warsh’s approach to monetary policy communication after his move away from conventional forward guidance.

    Another key area of interest will be the relationship between Federal Reserve policy and the bond market, particularly after the US Treasury doubled its planned purchases of longer-dated debt.

    ANZ said the Treasury’s recent intervention, together with concerns about the broader US fiscal outlook, has continued to support the debasement trade.

    The strategy reflects investor demand for assets such as gold as protection against the possibility that persistent fiscal deficits, rising government borrowing and attempts to manage long-term yields could gradually erode the dollar’s purchasing power.

    That demand has provided a counterbalance to pressure from expectations of higher interest rates. Gold remains around 14% higher this month despite Wednesday’s pullback, with concerns surrounding US fiscal policy helping maintain positive momentum.

    Bullion also continues to trade above its 200-day moving average, a widely followed technical indicator that points to continued strength in the longer-term trend.

    Meanwhile, gold-backed ETFs have attracted substantial inflows during the latest advance. Continued purchases by central banks and concerns surrounding the sustainability of US government finances are also providing support for the metal’s longer-term investment case.

  • China’s demand shifts reshape oil market as OPEC+ influence weakens during Iran war

    China’s demand shifts reshape oil market as OPEC+ influence weakens during Iran war

    Six months into the Iran war, the global oil market is being shaped less by OPEC+ policy signals and increasingly by physical supply constraints and changing demand from China.

    The conflict has disrupted a major Middle Eastern export route and damaged energy infrastructure in several OPEC countries, reducing the alliance’s share of world production and limiting its ability to influence prices through output decisions alone.

    At the same time, a sharp decline in Chinese crude imports has helped offset some of the impact of what analysts describe as an unprecedented supply shock.

    OPEC+, which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and partners such as Russia, accounted for roughly 40% of global oil production in July, according to Reuters calculations based on International Energy Agency data.

    That compares with more than 48% before the US and Israel attacked Iran in late February. Around four to five percentage points of the decline reflected the United Arab Emirates’ withdrawal from OPEC in May.

    The core seven-member OPEC+ group, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, represented only around 25% of global oil output in July.

    Hormuz blockade changes the role of OPEC+

    A key challenge for OPEC+ has been the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which has restricted exports from Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait and other major regional producers.

    This has weakened the traditional link between production targets and actual market supply. Even when OPEC+ announces higher output, physical export constraints can prevent those additional barrels from reaching buyers.

    OPEC was established in 1960, while the broader OPEC+ alliance took shape in 2016 when Russia and other producers joined coordinated supply efforts.

    Historically, OPEC’s share of global crude production peaked at around 50% during the oil crises of the 1970s before declining to approximately 30% by the mid-1980s as production expanded in areas such as the North Sea, Alaska and Siberia.

    OPEC did not respond to a Reuters request for comment. OPEC+ has repeatedly said its decisions are aimed at supporting market stability rather than targeting a specific oil price.

    The group has dealt with wartime disruptions before, including Kuwait during the Gulf War and Iraq following the 2003 US-led invasion. The difference today is that several producers are constrained at the same time, making it more difficult for the alliance to compensate for outages elsewhere.

    Since March, the core OPEC+ members have announced six production increases. Most have had limited market impact because the Hormuz disruption has prevented much of the additional output from being exported.

    The notable exception came in July, when a brief US-Iran ceasefire raised expectations that the strait might reopen and temporarily restored greater importance to OPEC+ announcements.

    Physical supply now matters more than quotas

    The current environment differs sharply from 2019, when traders closely followed OPEC+ decisions to determine how much crude the alliance intended to produce.

    Today, the more important issue is how much oil can physically reach the market.

    The war has shifted attention away from headline quotas and towards export infrastructure, shipping capacity and the practical availability of crude.

    That change has reduced the immediate power of OPEC+ policy decisions and created a market where logistics can be more important than stated production targets.

    China’s imports become a major price signal

    China has emerged as another crucial force in the market.

    Since the war began, Chinese crude purchases have fallen by roughly 400 million barrels compared with the same period last year.

    The decline has been linked to restrictions on fuel exports, lower refinery activity and increasing adoption of electric transport.

    Weaker Chinese demand has helped prevent oil prices from rising even further despite the major disruption to Middle Eastern supply.

    The situation marks a reversal from last year, when strong Chinese buying may have accounted for as much as half of global oil demand growth and provided significant support to crude prices.

    “They’ve become the swing demand centre,” said June Goh, an analyst at Sparta Commodities.

    The shift highlights a broader transformation in global energy markets, with OPEC+ retaining substantial importance but China increasingly influencing prices through changes in consumption rather than production.

  • Nvidia results lift US futures as Salesforce raises guidance and oil extends decline: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street

    Nvidia results lift US futures as Salesforce raises guidance and oil extends decline: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street

    US stock futures advanced on Thursday as strong results from Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) gave fresh momentum to the artificial intelligence trade, while Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) added to the positive tone by lifting its annual outlook and expanding its partnership with Anthropic.

    Oil prices moved in the opposite direction, extending their decline as investors monitored signs of diplomatic progress in the Middle East and the possibility of improved commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz.

    Wall Street futures move higher

    At 02:49 ET, Dow futures were up 124 points, or 0.2%, while S&P 500 futures gained 26 points, or 0.3%. Nasdaq 100 futures rose 195 points, or 0.7%, reflecting renewed strength across technology-related assets.

    The move followed a weaker close on Wednesday, when investors were balancing expectations for Nvidia’s results against fresh US inflation data.

    The headline personal consumption expenditures price index for July came in slightly above forecasts, while the core reading matched expectations.

    Markets continued to expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at its September meeting. However, expectations for possible rate increases later in the year strengthened following a series of resilient economic indicators.

    Deutsche Bank analysts pointed to a “solid slate of data,” including stronger-than-expected durable goods orders and an upward revision to second-quarter consumer spending. They said the figures were “hard to square with a view that Fed policy is restrictive.”

    Investors are now looking ahead to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday. Vital Knowledge analysts said they expect Warsh to maintain his focus on controlling inflation.

    Nvidia delivers stronger-than-expected growth outlook

    Nvidia shares rose in extended trading after the company reported second-quarter revenue above Wall Street forecasts and issued an upbeat outlook for the current quarter.

    The semiconductor group expects quarterly revenue of $108 billion, ahead of market expectations.

    The longer-term guidance attracted particular attention. Chief financial officer Colette Kress said Nvidia expects fiscal 2028 revenue growth of 70%, compared with the 45% forecast indicated by FactSet data, according to the Wall Street Journal.

    The update helped strengthen confidence that spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure can remain elevated, despite recent concerns about the financial burden of large-scale data-centre investment on major technology groups.

    Nvidia has also been deploying capital to support customers building the infrastructure needed for AI workloads. Kress said large frontier AI laboratories could ultimately become “the largest technology companies in history.”

    “Management delivered a compelling vision of how strategic investments help Nvidia secure its dominance in this once-in-a-generation AI buildout,” BofA analysts said.

    BofA nevertheless highlighted memory chip inflation as a possible risk to profitability. Nvidia expects gross margin to decline to 74% in the third quarter from 75%, before falling to between 71% and 72% in the fourth quarter.

    Salesforce raises full-year outlook

    Salesforce added to the positive market backdrop after posting second-quarter revenue and earnings above expectations.

    The enterprise software group increased its full-year sales and profit guidance, while chief executive Marc Benioff said “AI is delivering value across every layer of our platform.”

    Shares climbed more than 13% in after-hours trading.

    Raymond James analysts said Salesforce continues to expect growth metrics to accelerate during the second half of fiscal 2027.

    “The news comes in stark contrast to other front-office software vendors that referenced extended sales cycles through 2026, and points to potential advantages for Salesforce,” the analysts said.

    Salesforce also announced a deeper partnership with Anthropic to develop “Claudeforce,” which will combine Anthropic’s advanced plug-ins with Salesforce’s business software tools.

    Selected pilot customers already have access to the platform, with a beta release expected next month.

    Marvell Technology prepares to report

    Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL) is another major technology name in focus, with the company scheduled to report earnings after Thursday’s closing bell.

    Its shares have surged more than 174% so far this year, taking the company’s market capitalisation to just under $215 billion.

    Marvell, which has received financial backing from Nvidia, develops custom AI chips and high-speed interconnect technologies used in data centres.

    The company previously forecast that custom chip revenue could exceed $10 billion by 2029 as cloud providers increase spending on specialised AI hardware.

    Oil prices fall on improving diplomatic expectations

    Oil prices declined for a fourth consecutive session as markets became more optimistic that diplomatic progress could improve supply conditions in the Middle East.

    Reports suggested that Iran and Oman had reached an agreement covering commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, although Tehran cautioned that this would not necessarily mean an immediate reopening.

    Brent crude and US West Texas Intermediate futures have both lost more than 6% this week as hopes for improved shipping flows have outweighed continuing tensions between the US and Iran.

    Washington introduced tighter economic sanctions on Tehran earlier in the week and warned other countries against trading with Iran.

    At the same time, reports of potential progress in US-Iran relations have helped improve sentiment. Russian state media said the two sides had reached a new ceasefire deal that could be announced in the coming days, although the claim had not been independently verified.

  • Eurozone bank lending strengthens in July following ECB rate increase

    Eurozone bank lending strengthens in July following ECB rate increase

    Bank lending across the eurozone accelerated in July, with both businesses and households recording stronger credit growth, according to data released by the European Central Bank.

    The improvement came during the first full month following the ECB’s first interest rate increase in nearly three years, providing an encouraging indication that credit activity remained resilient despite the shift in monetary policy.

    Loans to non-financial companies increased at an annual rate of 4.4% in July, strengthening from 4.0% in June.

    Household borrowing also continued to expand, with annual lending growth edging up to 3.1% from 3.0% in the previous month.

    The figures point to continued demand for financing across the eurozone economy, with corporate lending showing the clearest acceleration during the period.

    The latest data will provide policymakers with further insight into how the ECB’s recent rate increase is feeding through to borrowing conditions, while the continued expansion in credit suggests lending activity entered the second half of the year with positive momentum.

  • European gas steadies above one-week lows as markets assess Hormuz diplomacy

    European gas steadies above one-week lows as markets assess Hormuz diplomacy

    European natural gas prices stabilised on Thursday, holding above the one-week lows reached in the previous session as traders weighed encouraging diplomatic developments in the Persian Gulf against continued challenges in rebuilding regional gas inventories.

    The benchmark Dutch front-month contract was virtually unchanged at €65.61 per megawatt-hour, while equivalent British wholesale gas futures held broadly steady at 160.50 pence per therm.

    The stabilisation followed a wider pause in the recent energy-market sell-off as investors assessed the potential impact of ongoing diplomatic efforts in the Middle East.

    European wholesale gas prices had fallen around 3% on Wednesday alongside a sharp decline in global crude prices. The move followed reports that Washington and Tehran were making progress towards an interim ceasefire agreement that could include protections for commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

    Sentiment received additional support on Thursday after Qatar’s Prime Minister travelled to Tehran to assist negotiations aimed at restoring unrestricted maritime transit through the strategically important waterway.

    Brent crude also stabilised around $87.40 per barrel following four consecutive sessions of declines. The more stable oil market encouraged energy traders to adopt a cautious stance while awaiting clearer evidence that seaborne LNG and crude flows can return to normal.

    European storage remains a key focus

    Despite the more constructive diplomatic backdrop, Europe’s gas supply position remains relatively tight as the region moves closer to the autumn heating season.

    Data from Gas Infrastructure Europe showed underground storage facilities across the bloc at approximately 62% capacity.

    Strong electricity-generation demand during intense summer heatwaves, combined with delays to Qatari LNG cargoes, has slowed the seasonal pace of storage injections.

    ING analysts have highlighted that injections remain behind schedule, potentially making it more challenging for European storage facilities to reach EU targets before colder weather arrives.

    The situation could maintain a structural risk premium in European gas prices through the 2026/27 winter, even if geopolitical pressures continue to ease.

    US LNG capacity could provide additional support

    Energy markets are also closely following international supply trends ahead of the fourth quarter as European utilities continue competing with Asian buyers for spot LNG cargoes.

    Strong US inventories offer a potentially supportive source of additional supply. UBS research indicates that American natural gas stockpiles are almost 8% above their five-year average, supported by robust domestic production.

    Additional US LNG export terminals and pipeline infrastructure are expected to complete commissioning towards the end of the year, increasing America’s capacity to supply international markets.

    Greater US export availability could help ease supply constraints in Western Europe, particularly if major shipping routes remain open and secure.

    With diplomatic efforts progressing and additional global LNG capacity expected to become available, European gas markets have potential sources of support even as traders continue monitoring the pace of storage rebuilding ahead of winter.