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  • One of the best silver intercepts in the world year to date

    One of the best silver intercepts in the world year to date

    Hello, I’m Ricki Lee, and this is The Capital Compass. Today we’re speaking with Group Eleven Resources (TSXV:ZNG) (USOTC:GRLVF)— a company undergoing a strategic shift. Long known for its zinc exploration success in Ireland, Group Eleven is now increasingly being recognized for something else: silver.

    Recent drill results have delivered one of the best silver intercepts globally to date, prompting a rebrand that reflects the scale of the opportunity.

    The project is located in Ireland — a stable, mining-friendly jurisdiction — at a time when permitting and geopolitical uncertainty in places like Mexico is forcing investors to think carefully about where their silver exposure sits.

    Joining me now to walk us through the evolution of the story, the current drill program, and what comes next is Bart Jaworski, CEO of Group Eleven Resources. Bart, great to have you with us.

    Bart: Thanks so much Ricki. Great to be here.

    Ricki: So, tell us Bart, we’ll start with the bigger picture first. Group Eleven has historically been associated with zinc, as we mentioned, especially exploration in Ireland, but the silver component of your recent discoveries has really shifted the narrative here. So can you walk us through how the company has evolved and why you’re now positioning as a silver exploration story?

    Bart: Well, we’ve been getting silver all along our zinc discovery for the last three years, but I think it’s fair to say we’ve really started to hit it out of the park on the silver front, pretty much over the last year or so and really come to the fore in the last few months in that we’ve got a 50 meter intercept now of 330 grams per ton silver, which is one of the best silver intercepts in the world year to date on the Canadian, US and the Aussie exchanges. So, we’re batting way above our weight in terms of silver hits. And that is basically an indication of a deeper copper silver system that’s brewing as well underneath our discovery.

    So, the silver numbers are hitting it out of the park. It’s indicative of a deeper copper silver system, which we’ve also intersected now on two drill fences, about 350 meters apart. That’s also a growing story, and we’re also finding parallel zones to the zinc mineralization. Initially it’s emerging, it’s another emerging idea, but we have very strong economic looking hits over 2.6 kilometers so far, and that’s just one part of a six kilometer long perspective trend. So there’s a lot of upside here, and the silver is certainly looking good as well as the copper hits which we’re getting up to 10.5% in some cases.

    Ricki: So, you’re speaking about how great these silver results are, right? And that’s fantastic news, but what is it that really sets these drill intercepts apart from other silver projects on the market today?

    Bart: Well, just the fact that it’s continuous. It’s only 300 meters deep. It seems to be coalescing in one area. It’s not poddy, some discoveries can be in multiple horizons, multiple orientations that can be folded and faulted, quite messy. In our case that’s not the case. It’s pretty much flat as a pancake along the base of a limestone unit. And underneath that pancake, if you will, is another what appears to be a fairly continuous steeply dipping copper silver system.

    So, the continuity seems to be there. The depth is nice, only 300 meters deeper, so it’s hanging together. The shape of it is also conducive to mining on both fronts. So, it’s all looking pretty good. It’s not oxidized, so that could be another problem with new discoveries. This is all pristine sulfides, which lends itself to good flotation and everything else. So again, we’re expecting good things on the recovery front when we do met (metallurgical) work, hopefully in the next 12 months or so. So it’s all lining up to be a really interesting discovery.

    Ricki: And one of the other great things about the project, if I’m not wrong, is that it’s located in sunny Ireland, right? So it’s a safe and established, very established mining jurisdiction maybe not so sunny today. But at a time when we’re seeing challenges in traditional silver producing regions like Mexico, for example, how important is jurisdictional stability in attracting long-term capital?

    Bart: Well, it’s huge. It’s a really good question because obviously we’re seeing flare ups in other parts of the world. Not even talking about what’s going on in the Middle East right now, obviously, but in more close to home [jurisdictions] for North Americans. So it’s definitely a key consideration. I think the other key advantage of Ireland is the infrastructure. So it’s a very much a gating item for base metal projects. For precious, it’s not as important to have key infrastructure, but for base metal projects, it’s absolutely critical. You have the roads and ports here on tidewater, proximity to European smelters. We have all that in Ireland. So that’s a key consideration.

    Plus, obviously it’s a safe democratic country with a first rate mining code, politics sort of down the center, very pro-business. And all those things really come together and that’s why the six discoveries that have been made in Ireland over the last 60 years have all been built into active mines in their time. So, it does have a very good legacy here in the country for producing discoveries and then actually putting them into production.

    Ricki: Okay. So it looks like we are looking for a pot of silver instead. I’ll let them all know. Turning to the current drill program, you’ve completed roughly 5,000 meters, if I’m not mistaken, and still have around 20,000 remaining. Where are you in the program right now and what are you targeting with the remaining drilling?

    Bart: Well, we just closed a $12 million bought deal with Cormark and Beacon, and that really triples our meters. So, we had a funded drill program about, like you say, 20,000 meters going forward, and right now it’s more like 75,000 meters if you take the overallotment. Because there was a $10.4 million deal, which went up to $12 million with the overallotment. So we actually have more meters than we have in the use of proceeds. So, it’s about 75,000 meters from 20,000. So, it’s like almost a 300% increase in the amount of funded meters that we have for the rest of this year and into 2027. So, it’s a pretty significant boost, a huge shot in the arm for us. And we can really roll up our sleeves now and get to work on Ballywire, but also on our neighboring property called Stonepark, where we’re hoping to find the next Pallas Green deposit. Now that Pallas Green deposit is one of the largest undeveloped zinc deposits and we have a geological lookalike to that just south of Pallas Green on our side of the camp. And we’re very much looking forward to being able to drill over 15,000 meters there as well over the next couple of years. So very exciting times for us.

    Ricki: Very exciting indeed. So, we’ve spoken about how Ireland is great for jurisdictional safety, right? But what about the cost structure involved? How does operating in Ireland affect your drill costs and overall exploration efficiency compared to other more remote projects for example?

    Bart: It’s surprising. Most people I think will be very surprised, but it’s actually low. So, it’s actually a good news story. In Ireland, you would think it’s a high cost jurisdiction, but if you think about it, we don’t need helicopters. We don’t need to build roads; we don’t need to build a camp because everybody can drive in. It’s a tiny country. Everyone can drive in from home to get to the drill site every day. And it just so happens, we’re very lucky, the lab that services all of Europe and all of Africa is just outside of where we’re working, about a 45 minute truck ride away. So we’re saving tons on air freight as well. So, it all boils down to about $150 Canadian dollars. The FX obviously is up and down here, but it’s around that $150 per meter mark, including assays and everything else. So, it’s a very efficient use of capital here, we get a lot of bang for the buck here in Ireland.

    Ricki: Wow, amazing. Thank you so much for taking us through that today, Bart.

    Bart: Thanks so much, Ricki, appreciate it.

    Once again, that is Bart Jaworski, CEO of Group Eleven. For more information, visit groupelevenresources.com. I’m Ricki Lee and this has been the Capital Compass. Thanks again for watching and I’ll see you next time.

  • Why industrial gases are the gold of the digital age

    Why industrial gases are the gold of the digital age

    Part 3 of a 3-part investor series

    In the first two installments of this series, we explored how U.S. Energy Corp. (NASDAQ:USEG) has evolved from a traditional E&P company into an emerging industrial gas and carbon management platform — and how its 2026 plan sets the foundation for multi‑stream, long‑duration value creation.

    Part 3 zooms out. Because to understand the full scope of the U.S. Energy opportunity, you have to understand something bigger: industrial gases are becoming the critical materials of the modern world, every bit as essential as the minerals and metals that dominate commodity headlines.

    This article is disseminated in partnership with U.S. Energy Corp. It is intended to inform investors and should not be taken as a recommendation or financial advice.

    Silicon may have powered the information age.

    But helium and CO₂ are increasingly powering the technologies shaping what comes next.

    This is the era where industrial gases behave like scarce, strategic assets — the new gold of a digital, automated, space‑driven global economy.

    The global helium crisis: The lifeblood of high technology

    Helium is unlike any other industrial gas. It is non‑renewable, born not from manufacturing but from geological processes that take millions of years. Once vented into the atmosphere, it escapes into space. It cannot be recovered. And global production is concentrated in just a handful of regions worldwide.

    At the same time, demand is rising in sectors that define the future:

    Semiconductors

    Helium is essential for chip fabrication — used to cool, purge, and stabilize advanced lithography systems. As AI accelerates and next‑generation chips grow more complex, helium demand becomes even more tightly linked to global computing capacity.

    Medical imaging (MRI machines)

    MRIs cannot function without liquid helium. Hospitals, diagnostic labs, and medical centres depend on secure, uninterrupted supply.

    Aerospace and space launch

    Companies like SpaceX, Blue Origin, and NASA rely on helium to pressurize rocket fuel tanks and enable safe launch operations. No helium, no modern commercial space industry.

    Quantum computing

    Ultra‑low‑temperature cooling environments — the core of quantum hardware — require high‑purity helium.

    This creates a supply‑demand environment with a simple, profound implication: helium shortages are no longer temporary market disruptions; they’re structural.

    That’s why helium reserves aren’t just valuable. They’re strategic.

    And that’s why Kevin Dome — one of the few known helium resources of scale in North America — is increasingly viewed as a national‑interest asset hidden in plain sight.

    CO₂: From liability to industrial powerhouse

    For years, CO₂ has been framed almost exclusively as an environmental liability. But that story is incomplete.

    CO₂ is also a critical industrial input — and an irreplaceable one in several large, stable sectors.

    In everyday life, CO₂ keeps food cold, carbonates beverages, and preserves perishables. In advanced manufacturing, it’s indispensable in metal fabrication and welding. And in the energy sector, it plays an essential role in enhanced oil recovery (EOR), unlocking barrels that traditional methods leave behind.

    What’s changed is not CO₂’s usefulness — but how society is choosing to manage it.

    A molecule once viewed as a problem is now a recognized asset, enabling carbon‑neutral food systems, cleaner manufacturing, deep‑decarbonization infrastructure, and measurable climate progress.

    For companies that control both CO₂ supply and sequestration pathways, this shift creates a new class of long‑duration revenue built on:

    • Industrial sales
    • Carbon management incentives
    • EOR uplift
    • Permanent geological storage

    In other words, CO₂ has moved from liability to monetizable commodity.

    And because Kevin Dome contains both massive CO₂ volumes and the geology required for storage, U.S. Energy sits at the centre of this new economic model.

    The investment opportunity: The picks and shovels of the digital frontier

    As investors increasingly chase AI, chips, quantum computing, and commercial space stocks, they often overlook the simple physics that underlie all of these industries: None of them function without helium.

    And many depend on CO₂ as well.

    Industrial gases aren’t competing with AI or space tech — they enable them. They are the “picks and shovels” of the technological frontier. And history has shown that betting on the infrastructure behind the boom often delivers more durable returns than betting on the boom itself.

    Tech cycles fluctuate.

    Industrial gas demand doesn’t.

    It grows — and grows more essential.

    For investors seeking exposure to the growth areas of the future, the case is increasingly clear: industrial gases represent a more stable way to participate in high‑tech mega‑trends without taking high‑tech risk.

    © U.S. Energy Corp. investor presentation

    The shift: How U.S. Energy Corp. is positioning itself to lead

    Few companies have pivoted as decisively as U.S. Energy.

    Once a traditional oil producer, the company is now building a closed‑loop system that monetizes both helium and CO₂ — while using its own CO₂ to enhance production at its own oil fields and permanently sequester the remainder.

    This integrated model matters because it creates:

    • Multiple revenue streams
    • Low decline rates and long‑duration output
    • Infrastructure‑driven margins
    • Deep optionality for future scaling
    • Alignment with global decarbonization and digital manufacturing trends

    In other words, U.S. Energy is constructing a platform, not a project.

    And in a world where industrial gases are becoming major assets, platforms win.

    Conclusion: The era of industrial gas has arrived

    Across the semiconductor fabs of Taiwan, the launch pads of Texas and Florida, the MRI wings of modern hospitals, and the data centres powering AI, helium and CO₂ are no longer background materials. They are front‑line enablers of the technologies defining our century.

    Investors who understand this shift early will see industrial gases not as commodities — but as the gold of the digital age, scarce, essential, and deeply intertwined with the highest‑growth sectors of the global economy.

    For U.S. Energy Corp., this is not a distant vision. It is the business they are building today.

    Further reading:

  • Don’t expect any pleasant surprises from the Fed.

    Don’t expect any pleasant surprises from the Fed.

    Jerome Powell and Co were right to be cautious about cutting rates. Inflation rose to 3.1% in January from 3% in December, above the 2.9% consensus. Headline PCE fell slightly to 2.8%, just below forecasts, but there’s a real risk things could worsen quickly and affect sentiment around the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and the Dow Jones.

    First, major U.S. companies such as Walmart continue to pass on to consumers the costs resulting from last year’s increase in import tariffs. An end to the trade wars could resolve this situation, but the current administration shows no signs of backing down, even after the Supreme Court has ruled on the matter.

    Second, tensions in the Middle East, which, according to analysts cited by Reuters, have led to estimated oil production cuts of 7 to 10 million barrels per day, roughly 7% to 10% of global demand, while Qatar has also fully suspended its liquefied natural gas production, pushing up a critical input cost for many goods.

    In addition, Qatar and Saudi Arabia are major exporters of urea, ammonia, and diammonium phosphate, key nitrogen and phosphorus fertilizers. Any shortage could drive food prices higher. Qatar also produces more than 30% of the world’s helium, which is widely used in the manufacture of computer chips.

    Thus, we are in a highly inflationary environment, meaning the Federal Reserve may adopt a more hawkish stance.  The market is already pricing in rate cuts no earlier than the end of this year. For the US Dollar Index, that could be good news, but it is less positive for the bond market and, above all, for the stock market.

    And it’s not just the Fed feeling the heat. If the Middle East crisis drags on, other central banks may face a tough choice over whether to return to tighter monetary policy, as the Reserve Bank of Australia did back in February.

  • U.S. stocks seen rebounding as oil prices retreat: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    U.S. stocks seen rebounding as oil prices retreat: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    U.S. stock futures are pointing to a solidly higher open on Monday, suggesting that markets may recover part of the ground lost during last week’s downturn.

    The early strength appears to be linked to a notable decline in crude oil prices, which are down about 3.2% after climbing 8.6% over the course of the previous week.

    Oil prices moved lower after President Donald Trump urged other nations to help secure shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz.

    “I’m demanding that these countries come in and protect their own territory, because it is their territory. It’s the place from which they get their energy,” Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on Sunday. “And they should come and they should help us protect it.”

    “Why are we maintaining the Hormuz Strait when it’s really there for China and many other countries?” he asked. “Why aren’t they doing it?”

    Markets may also benefit from bargain hunting following last Friday’s sell-off, which pushed the major U.S. indexes to their lowest closing levels in more than three months.

    After suffering sharp losses on Thursday, equities initially rebounded in early trading on Friday. However, that recovery faded as the session progressed, with the main averages turning negative by the close.

    By the end of the day, the major indexes had extended their previous declines and finished at fresh three-month closing lows. The Nasdaq dropped 206.62 points, or 0.9%, to 22,105.36. The S&P 500 slipped 10.43 points, or 0.6%, to 6,632.19, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 119.38 points, or 0.3%, to 46,558.47.

    Over the course of the week, the Dow lost 2.0%, the S&P 500 fell 1.6%, and the Nasdaq dropped 1.3%.

    Market movements throughout the session were largely influenced by fluctuations in crude oil prices.

    Stocks initially gained momentum as oil prices retreated, with April crude futures dropping as much as 3.9% after surging during the previous two sessions.

    However, oil prices later reversed course and climbed sharply during the day, which contributed to renewed selling pressure in equities.

    The volatility in energy markets came as President Donald Trump intensified his rhetoric toward Iran, referring to the regime as “deranged scumbags” that he has the “great honor” to kill.

    On the economic front, a closely watched report from the Commerce Department indicated that the annual pace of consumer price growth slowed unexpectedly in January.

    According to the data, the PCE price index rose 2.8% year over year in January, down from 2.9% in December. Economists had expected the rate to remain unchanged.

    Meanwhile, the core PCE price index, which excludes food and energy, edged up to 3.1% from 3.0% the previous month, contrary to expectations that it would remain steady.

    Another report from the Commerce Department showed that U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2025 slowed more than previously estimated.

    Among sector moves, gold mining stocks fell sharply in tandem with the price of gold, sending the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index down 5.2% to its lowest closing level in more than a month.

    Steel stocks also posted notable losses, with the NYSE Arca Steel Index declining 2.7%.

    Airline and software shares were also under pressure, while utilities and natural gas companies managed to record gains during the session.

  • European stocks advance as Iran conflict enters third week: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European stocks advance as Iran conflict enters third week: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equity markets traded mostly higher on Monday as the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran moved into its third week and U.S. President Donald Trump urged allied nations to deploy naval escorts to secure shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz.

    Later in the day, foreign ministers from the European Union are scheduled to meet to discuss the possibility of a coordinated naval response to the effective shutdown of the strategic oil transit corridor.

    Investors are also watching upcoming central bank meetings in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe and Australia, as rising energy prices increase concerns about inflation.

    In early trading, the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index gained 0.7%, Germany’s DAX Index climbed 0.6% and France’s CAC 40 Index advanced 0.3%.

    Shares of German lender Commerzbank (TG:CBK) jumped nearly 4% after Italy’s UniCredit launched a €35 billion ($40 billion) takeover proposal for the bank.

    Tecan Group (TG:TEN) declined 4.3%. The Swiss laboratory automation company reported a net loss of CHF 110.7 million for the 2025 financial year and said it expects sales to grow in the low single-digit percentage range in local currencies during 2026.

    Idorsia (TG:19T) plunged 12% after the pharmaceutical research firm announced that CEO Srishti Gupta will step down and leave the board of directors after less than a year in the role.

    Meanwhile, U.K. construction materials producer Marshalls (LSE:MSLH) rose 2.4% after reporting a slight increase in revenue for 2025.

  • Shell projects strong growth in global LNG demand through 2050

    Shell projects strong growth in global LNG demand through 2050

    Shell (LSE:SHEL) said on Monday that worldwide demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) could increase substantially over the coming decades, rising from around 422 million tonnes per year in 2025 to between 610 million and 780 million tonnes annually by 2050.

    According to the company, this would represent an expansion of roughly 45% to 85% over the next quarter century.

    Shell noted that new investment in LNG supply capacity will likely be needed during the 2030s and 2040s to ensure global demand can be met, even under the more conservative end of its long-term outlook.

    The energy group added that its existing LNG operations, as well as projects currently under development, are positioned competitively within the lower half of the industry’s cost structure.

    Shell also said Asia will play a central role in driving LNG demand growth through 2040, accounting for about 70% of the expected increase in consumption.

    Currently, LNG represents about 14% of global natural gas supply, which equates to just over 3% of total primary energy consumption. Shell expects LNG’s share of primary energy to exceed 4% by 2040 and remain around that level through mid-century.

  • Iran conflict enters third week as Nvidia event and Fed decision dominate market outlook: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    Iran conflict enters third week as Nvidia event and Fed decision dominate market outlook: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    U.S. stock futures moved higher early Monday as investors prepared for a week packed with developments that could influence global markets. The ongoing conflict involving Iran continues to push oil prices higher and raise concerns about inflation. Meanwhile, a major developer conference hosted by Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) could provide fresh signals about the direction of the artificial intelligence industry, while the Federal Reserve will headline a series of global central bank policy announcements in the days ahead.

    Futures edge higher

    Futures tied to the main U.S. stock indexes were up in early trading Monday as investors assessed the continued U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran, now entering its third week.

    At 04:19 ET, Dow futures had risen 141 points, or 0.3%. S&P 500 futures advanced 33 points, or 0.5%, while Nasdaq 100 futures gained 131 points, also around 0.5%.

    Wall Street’s main indexes finished last week lower as oil prices surged amid fears of disruptions to global supply. Iran has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic shipping route south of the country through which roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil tanker traffic normally passes. The closure has constrained energy flows and heightened risks to the global economy.

    Although the United States has tried to calm supply concerns—including by easing some sanctions on Russian oil—crude prices have continued to climb. Higher oil costs have also pushed gasoline prices higher, an important factor in inflation data and a key issue for U.S. voters ahead of the November 2026 midterm elections.

    Analysts at ING noted in a report that U.S. strikes carried out over the weekend on Kharg Island—through which most of Iran’s oil exports move—have heightened concerns about supply risks. However, they said the island’s energy facilities appear to have largely escaped damage.

    Trump urges allies to help reopen Strait of Hormuz

    U.S. President Donald Trump has meanwhile called on seven countries to work with Washington to secure the Strait of Hormuz, a critical energy corridor responsible for transporting around one-fifth of the world’s oil supply.

    Speaking with reporters aboard Air Force One on Sunday, Trump did not indicate whether any of the nations had agreed to assist.

    In comments to the Financial Times, Trump also suggested that NATO member states should contribute to reopening the route, warning that “it will be a very bad for the future of NATO” if they fail to respond or decline to support Washington.

    Trump also singled out China, saying he could cancel a planned summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping in April if Beijing does not use its influence to help restore shipping through the strait. According to The New York Times, oil tankers heading toward China have been permitted to pass through the waterway, while others have reportedly come under attack.

    Oil prices rise amid supply concerns

    Oil prices advanced Monday in volatile trading as investors remained alert to potential disruptions to Middle East supply. Prices had briefly dipped after Trump urged several countries—including China—to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

    U.S. officials continued to express confidence that the conflict with Iran would end quickly, while Tehran maintained that it remains capable of defending itself.

    Separately, the International Energy Agency said over the weekend it plans to release 411.9 million barrels of crude from emergency reserves in an effort to offset possible supply shortages.

    Brent crude futures, the global benchmark, climbed 2.7% to $105.90 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures gained 2.0% to $98.75 per barrel at 04:06 ET. Earlier in the session, oil had risen as much as 3% before trimming gains and briefly trading flat.

    Nvidia developer conference draws investor attention

    Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will take center stage at the company’s annual developer conference beginning Monday, as investors look for updates on how the chipmaker plans to maintain its leadership in the rapidly expanding artificial intelligence sector.

    Huang’s presentation comes as Nvidia faces growing competition in the market for AI-focused semiconductors. Rivals such as Advanced Micro Devices and Intel are increasing their presence, while major technology firms—including Alphabet’s Google—are developing their own processors tailored to artificial intelligence applications.

    The increasing importance of “inference” in AI—where systems perform tasks on behalf of users—also presents a challenge for Nvidia. These workloads often rely on different types of chips than those Nvidia has traditionally produced. Some of Nvidia’s largest customers, including OpenAI and Meta Platforms, have also indicated plans to design their own AI processors.

    In December, Nvidia spent $17 billion to acquire Groq, a startup specializing in fast and cost-efficient inference computing. Last month, Huang said he would show how Groq’s technology could be integrated into Nvidia’s CUDA platform.

    “[T]he big deliverable expected at this event is the unveiling by Nvidia of a new inference-focused chip that will contain IP obtained in the recent Groq acquihire deal,” analysts at Vital Knowledge said in a research note.

    Fed policy decision in focus

    Beyond developments in the technology sector, investors are also preparing for several central bank policy decisions this week.

    The Federal Reserve will be the main highlight, with policymakers widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged when their two-day meeting concludes on Wednesday.

    Fed Chair Jerome Powell—who is scheduled to step down in May—is also expected to use one of his final press conferences following a policy announcement to comment on the condition of the U.S. labor market and the outlook for inflation.

    Recent employment data came in significantly weaker than expected, underscoring potential fragility in the job market. At the same time, inflation pressures could intensify due to rising energy prices linked to the conflict involving Iran.

    These developments leave the Fed facing a difficult policy balancing act: lowering interest rates could help support hiring but risk fueling inflation, while raising rates could restrain price growth but potentially weaken the labor market.

    Investors will be watching closely for signals about how the central bank intends to manage these competing risks in the months ahead.

  • Oil advances as markets refocus on risks to Middle East export infrastructure

    Oil advances as markets refocus on risks to Middle East export infrastructure

    Oil prices moved higher on Monday as investor attention shifted back to threats facing energy export facilities in the Middle East, despite U.S. President Donald Trump’s call for international cooperation to protect the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important oil shipping routes.

    Brent crude futures rose $2.73, or 2.7%, to $105.87 per barrel by 07:30 GMT after gaining $2.68 in Friday’s session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude climbed $1.65, or 1.7%, to $100.36 per barrel following a near-$3 advance in the previous trading day.

    Both benchmarks have rallied more than 40% this month, reaching their highest levels since 2022. The surge followed U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran, which prompted Tehran to suspend shipping through the Strait of Hormuz—cutting off roughly one-fifth of global oil supply in what has become the largest disruption on record.

    “U.S. strikes over the weekend on Kharg Island raised supply concerns, as most of Iran’s oil exports pass through it,” ING commodity strategists said on Monday.

    Although the strikes appear to have targeted military installations rather than oil infrastructure, ING noted that supply risks remain elevated because Iranian crude is currently among the few shipments still moving through the Strait of Hormuz.

    Over the weekend, Trump warned that additional attacks on Iran’s Kharg Island could follow. The island, which handles around 90% of Iran’s oil exports, had already been targeted in strikes on military sites, prompting Tehran to issue fresh threats of retaliation.

    Shortly after the attacks on Kharg, Iranian drones struck a key oil terminal in Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates. According to four sources, oil loading operations at Fujairah have resumed, although it remains uncertain whether activity has fully returned to normal.

    Located outside the Strait of Hormuz, Fujairah serves as the export outlet for roughly 1 million barrels per day of the UAE’s flagship Murban crude—equivalent to about 1% of global oil demand.

    “The U.S. is weighing high-risk ground options, including raiding nuclear sites for Iran’s enriched uranium, seizing the Kharg Island oil hub, and occupying southern Iran to protect the Strait of Hormuz,” SEB analyst Erik Meyersson said in a note.

    “All of these imply significant escalation and require a tolerance for substantially higher risk.”

    On Sunday, Trump said Washington was urging other countries to help secure the strategic maritime corridor and noted that discussions with several governments were already underway regarding potential patrol efforts.

    He also said the United States remains in contact with Iran, but questioned whether Tehran is prepared to engage in serious negotiations aimed at ending the conflict.

    Meanwhile, the International Energy Agency announced on Sunday that more than 400 million barrels of crude from strategic reserves would soon be released to the market—a record draw intended to offset price spikes caused by the Middle East conflict.

    According to the agency, stocks held in Asia and Oceania will be deployed immediately, while supplies from Europe and the Americas are expected to reach the market by the end of March.

    “As the conflict enters its third week, the lack of a clear denouement has left global markets increasingly worried about an uncontrollable escalatory spiral,” SEB’s Meyersson said.

    Still, U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said on Sunday he expected the conflict to end within “the next few weeks,” after which oil supply should recover and energy prices could ease.

  • Gold steadies as Iran conflict persists and markets look to Fed decision

    Gold steadies as Iran conflict persists and markets look to Fed decision

    Gold prices were largely stable in Asian trading on Monday after briefly dipping below an important psychological threshold earlier in the session. Investors remained focused on developments surrounding the ongoing conflict involving the United States, Israel and Iran.

    Caution also prevailed ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve policy meeting, with markets concerned that the central bank could maintain a hawkish tone as inflation pressures remain persistent.

    Spot gold was little changed at $5,016.84 per ounce at 01:47 ET (05:47 GMT), while gold futures slipped 0.8% to $5,020.76 per ounce. Earlier in the session, spot prices briefly dropped below the $5,000 per ounce mark.

    Iran conflict continues, Trump seeks support over Hormuz

    The conflict involving Iran showed no clear signs of easing after U.S. and Israeli forces reportedly struck a major export facility over the weekend, prompting warnings of retaliation from Tehran.

    Oil prices remained comfortably above $100 per barrel, although they pared some gains on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump said discussions were underway to form a coalition aimed at reopening a crucial shipping route that Iran has blocked.

    Trump said the conflict with Iran could be nearing an end—claims that Iranian officials have repeatedly rejected.

    Despite heightened geopolitical tensions, gold has not fully benefited from safe-haven demand. The metal has been weighed down by concerns that inflation linked to the conflict could keep interest rates higher for longer.

    “Gold has struggled as it is being overshadowed by a stronger USD, rising yields and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy,” ANZ analysts wrote in a note, adding that liquidations by traders, to meet margin calls, had also contributed to weakness in bullion prices.

    However, ANZ analysts stressed that the broader case for gold as protection against geopolitical risk remains intact. The metal is still up roughly 16% so far in 2026.

    Other metals show mixed performance

    Other precious metals traded unevenly on Monday as the U.S. dollar strengthened.

    Spot silver declined 0.3% to $80.2605 per ounce, while spot platinum climbed 1.8% to $2,064.22 per ounce.

    Attention turns to Federal Reserve meeting

    Market focus this week is firmly on the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, where the central bank is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged.

    Expectations for a pause have been driven largely by growing uncertainty over the outlook for the U.S. economy, particularly as investors worry that higher energy prices linked to the Iran conflict could push inflation higher.

    The Fed’s independence also came under scrutiny last week after a U.S. judge blocked subpoenas issued by the Department of Justice against Chair Jerome Powell over alleged cost overruns.

    Powell argued that the subpoenas were intended to pressure the central bank into cutting interest rates, and the court ruled in his favor.

    The legal dispute had raised fresh questions about the Fed’s independence. The Justice Department said it plans to appeal the decision, and the case may ultimately be decided by the Supreme Court.

  • Bitcoin tops $74K, reaching six-week high as short squeeze lifts crypto market

    Bitcoin tops $74K, reaching six-week high as short squeeze lifts crypto market

    Bitcoin climbed above $74,000 on Monday, marking its highest level in around six weeks, as a surge in short liquidations pushed prices higher. The move came even as investors remained cautious amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

    The largest cryptocurrency was trading 3.4% higher at $73,892.4 at 02:21 ET (06:21 GMT), after earlier touching a session high of $74,336.9.

    Bitcoin advanced roughly 6% over the past week, defying weakness in global equity markets that have been pressured by rising oil prices and renewed concerns about inflation.

    Short squeeze fuels crypto gains

    The broader crypto market also moved higher as traders who had positioned for further declines were forced to unwind their short bets.

    Figures from CoinGlass showed that about $344 million worth of crypto positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours, with short positions making up nearly 83% of the total.

    Liquidations occur when leveraged positions are automatically closed after prices move against traders, often accelerating price momentum in the market.

    Despite the rally, investor sentiment remained guarded as the Middle East conflict entered its third week, heightening worries over global energy supply and inflation.

    U.S. President Donald Trump has urged allied nations to help secure the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic route for global oil shipments, as fighting in the region continues.

    Oil holds firm above $100 amid Iran tensions

    Reports indicated that drone attacks persisted across Gulf states on Monday, despite repeated statements from U.S. officials claiming that Iran’s military capacity had been significantly weakened.

    Oil prices also remained elevated above $100 per barrel amid fears of supply disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, a key corridor for global crude exports.

    U.S. stock futures traded slightly higher during Asian hours on Monday as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting. The central bank is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged while monitoring inflation pressures.

    Analysts said that geopolitical uncertainty and broader macroeconomic risks could keep cryptocurrency markets volatile in the near term, even as short covering supports prices in the short run.

    Altcoins rally; Ether leads gains

    Most major altcoins also posted gains on Monday as the crypto market rebounded.

    Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, surged 8% to $2,265.88.

    XRP, the third-largest token, slipped 5% to $1.48.

    Solana and Polygon each rose about 6%, while Cardano jumped close to 10%.

    Among meme coins, Dogecoin climbed roughly 7%.