The euro and the yen strengthened slightly against the U.S. dollar on Friday but remained on track for sharp weekly declines as political turbulence in France and shifting monetary policy expectations in Japan kept traders on edge.
By 05:27 ET (09:27 GMT), the euro was trading at $1.1571 against the greenback, posting only a modest rise. Even so, the single currency is still set for its biggest weekly slide in nearly a year.
In France, President Emmanuel Macron faces a self-imposed deadline today to name his sixth Prime Minister in under two years, following the collapse of the government led by short-lived premier Sébastien Lecornu.
François Villeroy de Galhau, Governor of Banque de France, warned that the current political turmoil could shave at least 0.2 percentage points off the country’s growth and further undermine business and consumer confidence. “Markets will be keeping close tabs on the situation,” he told a French radio station.
Yen trims losses on stronger inflation data and intervention talk
The yen edged higher as well, with USD/JPY falling about 0.3% from its eight-month peak. Fresh producer price data for September came in stronger than expected, hinting at an acceleration in broader inflation.
The Bank of Japan has reiterated its stance that any rate increases will depend on price growth, but the government is widely expected to push back on tightening. Expectations for resistance grew after fiscal dove Sanae Takaichi emerged as the frontrunner to become the next Prime Minister.
Her election as leader of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (Japan) sparked a sharp selloff in the yen earlier this week, as markets priced in the likelihood of more fiscal stimulus and loose monetary policy. The yen is still down nearly 4% for the week, its steepest drop since October 2024.
That weakness has fueled speculation about possible intervention to stabilize the currency. Finance Minister Katsunobu Katō added to market chatter, saying the government was concerned about “one-sided, rapid moves” in currency markets.
Dollar heads for best week in a year
The greenback remains well-supported, helped by pressure on the euro and yen and renewed debate over how far Federal Reserve System will go in cutting rates. The U.S. Dollar Index slipped 0.2% to 99.34 but hovered near two-month highs.
“Markets are quite clearly rethinking popular short-USD trades, but further gains may prove harder to sustain unless markets start to price out Fed easing,” analysts at ING Group said in a note.
“The dollar can consolidate some gains today, but remains at risk of corrections in our view, and another rally would start to bring the greenback dangerously far from what short-term rate differentials justify.”
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