The U.S. dollar edged higher early Wednesday, hovering near its strongest level in more than two weeks as global markets digested renewed trade tensions triggered by President Donald Trump’s tariff threats—including a potential 50% duty on copper imports.
As of 04:45 ET (08:45 GMT), the Dollar Index—which measures the greenback against six major currencies—was up 0.1% at 97.267, after hitting its highest level since June 25 during Tuesday’s session.
Greenback Buoyed by Safe-Haven Demand Ahead of Fed Minutes
The dollar gained ground after Trump signaled a more aggressive trade stance, announcing plans for new tariffs on copper and hinting that duties on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals could follow soon. In a social media post late Tuesday, the president said a list of countries facing new trade restrictions would be published Wednesday, with more names to come later in the day. He had already sent formal tariff letters to 14 countries—including Japan and South Korea—earlier this week.
While markets continue to monitor developments on trade, attention is also turning to the Federal Reserve, which is set to publish minutes from its June policy meeting later in the session. Investors are eager for clues about the Fed’s next steps on interest rates.
At the June meeting, policymakers left the benchmark rate unchanged in a range of 4.25%–4.50%, emphasizing caution amid growing uncertainty around how tariffs may impact the broader U.S. economy.
According to analysts at ING, “The consensus expectation is probably that two members, Bowman and Waller, will have flagged their dissent at the meeting before delivering dovish comments to the media a few days later. But if the minutes show a greater dovish front, then the dollar could take a hit as the bar for data to justify a summer cut would be lower.”
Euro Slides as Trade Uncertainty Looms
The euro slipped against the dollar, with EUR/USD falling 0.2% to 1.1703. The single currency came under pressure after Trump suggested a formal tariff notice targeting the European Union was imminent, adding tension to ongoing transatlantic trade talks.
ING strategists noted, “Tariffs on the EU would mark an important escalation that can also harm the dollar, offsetting the hit on the euro. Anyway, the market’s baseline will probably remain that a EU-US deal should be agreed by the 1 August deadline, and EUR/USD may not drift far from the 1.16-1.18 area unless U.S. data surprises in either direction.”
Sterling Rises on Trade Deal Advantage
The British pound saw modest gains, with GBP/USD up 0.2% to 1.3595. The U.K.’s existing trade agreement with the Trump administration has insulated it somewhat from the current tariff headlines, providing a slight lift to sterling.
Asian Currencies Mixed as CPI Data Hits
In Asia, the Japanese yen weakened slightly, with USD/JPY up 0.1% to 146.70, while the Chinese yuan also edged lower, with USD/CNY gaining 0.1% to 7.1813. China’s June consumer price index showed a modest rise, buoyed by government subsidies and easing trade concerns, which helped sustain consumer activity.
Meanwhile, the Australian dollar held its ground after a sharp rally on Tuesday, trading 0.1% higher. The Reserve Bank of Australia unexpectedly left interest rates unchanged, giving the currency a short-term boost.
The New Zealand dollar (NZD/USD) also moved 0.1% higher to 0.6002 after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept its benchmark rate steady, though officials suggested they could cut rates if inflation continues to trend lower.
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