Blog

  • Market Open: Greggs Q3 Sales, Goodwin Refractory Profits

    Market Open: Greggs Q3 Sales, Goodwin Refractory Profits

    FTSE 100 rises as UK growth beats forecasts, while Greggs reports higher Q3 sales, Goodwin updates investors and Brent crude falls.

    Market Overview

    The FTSE 100 opened 0.69 per cent higher at 10,709.87, supported by stronger-than-expected UK economic growth and gains among mining shares. In Europe, the Euronext 100 rose 0.43 per cent and Germany’s DAX gained 0.59 per cent as regional equities advanced amid supportive signals for the technology sector. On Wall Street, the Nasdaq closed lower at 26,797.54, while the S&P 500 declined to 7,670.84.

    Commodity trading was mixed, with copper and gold higher, Brent crude lower and natural gas broadly unchanged. Oil markets remained focused on recovering Middle East exports and disruption around the Strait of Hormuz. Against sterling, the US dollar, Swiss franc, euro and Australian dollar weakened, while the Japanese yen strengthened. Bitcoin also declined against sterling.


    Market Numbers

    FTSE 100: Higher (+0.69%), 10,709.87
    Euronext 100: Higher (+0.43%), 1,905.80
    DAX: Higher (+0.59%), 25,547.80
    NASDAQ: Lower, 26,797.54
    S&P 500: Lower, 7,670.84


    In the Headlines

    Q3 sales growth – Greggs (LSE:GRG)
    Greggs reported third-quarter total sales growth of 7.7 per cent, with like-for-like sales in company-managed shops up 3.4 per cent. The food-on-the-go retailer also proposed a manufacturing restructuring that could affect around 740 roles as it seeks to consolidate production and reduce costs.

    Higher refractory profits – Goodwin (LSE:GDWN)
    Goodwin reported higher profits from its refractory operations as the engineering group continued work towards the disposal of a substantial part of its Mechanical Engineering division. The transaction would leave the group focused on its Refractory Engineering and Technological divisions following completion.


    Currencies (vs GBP)

    USD: Lower (-0.28%), $1.3267
    CHF: Lower (-0.17%), Fr.1.1056
    EUR: Lower (-0.18%), €1.1687
    JPY: Higher (+0.08%), ¥208.082
    AUD: Lower (-0.46%), $1.9018
    Bitcoin (BTC/GBP): Lower, £62,837.88


    Commodities

    Copper: Higher
    Gold: Higher
    Brent Crude: Lower
    Natural Gas: Broadly unchanged

  • European Gas Prices Rise as British Contract Heads for Third Monthly Gain

    European Gas Prices Rise as British Contract Heads for Third Monthly Gain

    European and British wholesale natural gas prices moved higher on Wednesday as traders continued to monitor geopolitical developments in the Middle East and gas supply conditions ahead of the northern hemisphere winter.

    The benchmark Dutch front-month gas contract rose 1.1% to €73.33 per megawatt-hour, extending its gains following an earlier pullback.

    In Britain, the day-ahead wholesale gas contract increased 3.5% to 187.24 pence per therm.

    British Gas Prices Head for 7.3% September Gain

    The British wholesale gas contract was on course to end September 7.3% higher, which would mark its third consecutive monthly increase.

    The supplied information cited demand from the power sector and regional export flows among the factors affecting the British gas market during the month.

    By comparison, the benchmark Dutch contract was on track to finish September broadly unchanged following a month in which LNG flows and changing weather forecasts contributed to price movements.

    European Gas Storage Remains Below Year-Ago Levels

    European underground gas storage inventories were around 12 percentage points below their levels at the same point last year, according to the supplied information.

    The lower storage level has maintained market attention on potential supply disruptions as Europe approaches the winter period.

    European gas markets are also sensitive to changes in global liquefied natural gas flows, with competition for cargoes from Asian buyers representing another factor affecting supply availability.

    Middle East Developments Remain in Focus

    Geopolitical developments surrounding the Strait of Hormuz continued to be monitored by energy markets following the breakdown of recent ceasefire negotiations.

    Brent crude remained above $106 a barrel, while traders assessed the potential implications of regional developments for global energy transportation and LNG cargo flows.

    Potential changes to LNG shipping routes and competition for supplies ahead of winter remain among the factors being monitored as European gas markets enter the fourth quarter.

  • European Stocks Rise as Technology Shares Advance Ahead of Economic Data: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European Stocks Rise as Technology Shares Advance Ahead of Economic Data: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equity markets moved higher on Wednesday, with major indices approaching one-week highs as investors awaited a series of European and U.S. economic releases and assessed developments affecting the technology sector.

    The pan-European STOXX 600 rose 0.7%, following two sessions of limited movement. Germany’s DAX and the UK’s FTSE 100 also gained 0.7%.

    Technology and semiconductor equipment stocks contributed to the gains after U.S. President Donald Trump said leading technology executives had agreed to establish voluntary safety standards for artificial intelligence development.

    Technology Sector Responds to U.S. AI Policy Signals

    Trump also reiterated his support for expanding data-centre infrastructure in the United States.

    The comments provided investors with further information on the U.S. administration’s approach to AI infrastructure and followed recent pauses in model training at OpenAI.

    Technology hardware suppliers and energy providers are among the sectors with exposure to investment in data-centre capacity as demand for computing infrastructure increases.

    European Inflation and Employment Data in Focus

    Investors were also preparing for a series of economic releases across Europe.

    The calendar included German retail sales figures for August, German employment data, preliminary French inflation figures and Germany’s September consumer price index.

    European Central Bank official Frank Elderson was also scheduled to speak later in the session, with investors monitoring his comments for indications regarding the eurozone economic outlook.

    U.S. PCE Inflation Data Awaited

    In the United States, attention was focused on the August Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, an inflation measure monitored by the Federal Reserve.

    Expectations cited in the supplied information indicated that underlying price pressures were forecast to remain unchanged from the previous month.

    U.S. Treasury yields remained elevated ahead of the release, increasing the market’s focus on inflation data and their potential implications for monetary policy expectations.

    STOXX 600 Heads for Monthly Decline

    Despite Wednesday’s gains, the STOXX 600 was on course for a decline of nearly 2% in September, which would represent its first monthly decrease in six months.

    European equities faced higher sovereign bond yields, elevated energy costs and uncertainty surrounding investment and development trends in the artificial intelligence sector during the month.

    These factors coincided with a pullback in the broader European equity market following gains during the summer.

  • FTSE 100 Rises as UK GDP Beats Forecasts and Mining Stocks Advance

    FTSE 100 Rises as UK GDP Beats Forecasts and Mining Stocks Advance

    UK stocks moved higher on Wednesday after data showed the British economy grew faster than expected during the second quarter, while mining companies were among the leading gainers.

    The FTSE 100 rose 0.70% as of 03:18 ET (07:18 GMT). Elsewhere in Europe, Germany’s DAX gained 0.71% and France’s CAC 40 increased 0.32%.

    Sterling rose 0.31% against the US dollar to $1.3271.

    UK Economy Grows 0.5% in Second Quarter

    UK gross domestic product increased 0.5% between April and June, exceeding expectations for growth of 0.4%. The economy had expanded 0.6% during the first quarter.

    Net trade provided the largest contribution to expenditure growth, with export volumes rising 2.8%. Services output increased 0.6%, while production declined 0.1%.

    Household spending rose 0.3%, while government borrowing increased to 5.2% of GDP from 4.2%.

    Among other European economies, Germany recorded second-quarter growth of 0.3%, while France was unchanged.

    Middle East Developments Remain in Focus

    Developments involving the US and Iran remained in focus after US President Donald Trump said the war with Iran would end “very soon”, without providing further details. He also repeated his position that Iran would not obtain a nuclear weapon.

    Iran’s Revolutionary Guards issued an open letter calling on US voters to change the administration ahead of the midterm elections.

    University of Tehran researcher Mohammad Eslami said the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz was reducing Iran’s oil revenue.

    Trump also denied reports that the US could ease sanctions on Iran. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said Washington and Israel were attempting to create internal divisions in Iran after failing to achieve their objectives militarily.

    In the UK, counterterrorism police said no explosives had been found in vans near RAF Fairford following the arrest of five people over a suspected plot. Petrol was found in the vehicles, and the five people were subsequently released on bail.

    Mining Shares Lead FTSE 100 Gains

    Mining companies were among the strongest performers on the FTSE 100.

    Rio Tinto (LSE:RIO) gained 2.1%, while Antofagasta (LSE:ANTO) rose 2.7% and Fresnillo (LSE:FRES) increased 1.4%.

    Anglo American (LSE:AAL) advanced 1.8%, while Glencore (LSE:GLEN) gained 1.0%. InterContinental Hotels Group (LSE:IHG) rose 2.3%.

    Gold Rises as Oil Prices Decline

    Brent crude futures fell 0.88% to $95.31 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude declined 0.69% to $88.75.

    Gold futures increased 1.14% to $4,227.09 an ounce, while spot gold rose 0.32% to $4,195.15.

    UK Corporate Updates

    Saga (LSE:SAGA) reported that underlying profit before tax nearly doubled during the first half of 2026 and raised its profit and cash-flow outlook.

    Greggs (LSE:GRG) raised its 2026 outlook following higher summer sales and proposed a restructuring of its manufacturing operations that could result in four site closures and around 740 redundancies.

    Pinewood Technologies (LSE:PINE) reported a wider first-half loss as spending on its North American expansion and acquisition-related costs increased. The company maintained its outlook for the 2026 financial year.

  • Pinewood Technologies Reports Wider First-Half Loss as North America Investment Increases

    Pinewood Technologies Reports Wider First-Half Loss as North America Investment Increases

    Pinewood Technologies (LSE:PINE) reported a wider preliminary loss for the first half of 2026 as costs associated with its North American expansion and acquisitions increased, while revenue and underlying EBITDA rose.

    The automotive technology company recorded a loss of £7.7 million for the period, compared with a £0.7 million loss a year earlier.

    Revenue increased 16.8% to £22.9 million, while underlying revenue rose 18.4% to £23.2 million. Underlying EBITDA increased 11.4% to £8.8 million.

    Underlying Profit Before Tax Falls to £3.8 Million

    Despite higher revenue, underlying profit before tax declined 13.6% to £3.8 million from £4.4 million a year earlier.

    Underlying administrative expenses increased 23.3% to £15.9 million, reflecting spending associated with Pinewood’s expansion in North America.

    The underlying gross margin declined to 85.3% from 86.7%, primarily reflecting the contribution from Seez following its acquisition.

    Non-Underlying Costs Reach £13.5 Million

    Pinewood recorded £13.5 million of non-underlying costs during the first half.

    These included £9.1 million of expenses relating to Pinewood North America, £4.0 million of acquisition-related amortisation and £2.2 million of share-based payment costs.

    The impact was partly offset by a £2.8 million fair-value gain on financial instruments and a £3.2 million non-underlying tax credit.

    Lithia Rollout Expected to Begin in 2027

    Pinewood said two Lithia dealerships in the US are scheduled to go live with its technology during the fourth quarter of 2026.

    A broader rollout across Lithia’s North American dealership network is expected to begin during the first half of 2027, with completion planned for 2028.

    Pinewood maintained its outlook for the current financial year, with underlying EBITDA expected to be in line with its previous expectation of £21 million.

    The company also reaffirmed its target of £62 million in underlying EBITDA for the 2028 financial year.

    Ridgeview Partners Acquisition Awaits Court Approval

    The results come as Pinewood prepares for its proposed acquisition by Ridgeview Partners.

    Shareholders approved the transaction on 25 September. The £4.48-per-share cash offer remains subject to sanction by the High Court, with a hearing scheduled for 7 October.

  • UK Economy Grows 0.5% in Second Quarter as Services and Exports Rise

    UK Economy Grows 0.5% in Second Quarter as Services and Exports Rise

    The UK economy grew 0.5% in the second quarter of 2026, exceeding expectations as services activity and exports increased, according to figures from the Office for National Statistics.

    Gross domestic product expanded 0.5% between April and June compared with the previous quarter, above expectations for growth of 0.4%. This followed growth of 0.6% in the first quarter.

    The level of UK GDP in the second quarter was 2.0% above its level in the fourth quarter of 2024.

    Services Output Rises 0.6%

    Services output increased 0.6% during the quarter, led by professional, scientific and technical activities, where output rose 2.3%.

    Scientific research and development increased 6.7%, advertising and market research rose 5.4%, and legal activities advanced 3.3%.

    Information and communication output grew 2.5%, supported by a 3.6% increase in computer programming and consultancy. Overall services output was 1.7% higher than a year earlier.

    Construction output increased 0.8% quarter on quarter but remained 1.0% below its level a year earlier.

    Production declined 0.1%, with lower output from electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply and from water, sewerage and waste management offsetting increases in manufacturing and mining.

    Exports Increase 2.8%

    Net trade provided the largest contribution to expenditure growth during the quarter.

    Export volumes increased 2.8%, including a 3.7% rise in goods exports, primarily reflecting fuels. Services exports increased 2.0%.

    Import volumes were unchanged overall. Goods imports declined 0.5%, led by machinery and transport equipment, while services imports increased 1.0%.

    Household spending rose 0.3%, while business investment increased 1.8% during the quarter and was 5.2% higher than a year earlier.

    Government consumption declined 0.5%, largely reflecting lower education activity following some school closures during June’s heatwave.

    Inventories decreased by £3.40 billion, primarily due to lower manufacturing inventories.

    Household Disposable Income Recovers

    Nominal GDP increased 0.8% during the second quarter and was 3.8% higher than a year earlier.

    Compensation of employees was unchanged overall. Wages and salaries increased 0.9%, while employers’ social contributions declined 3.4%.

    Real household disposable income per head increased 1.0% to £6,577, reversing a 0.8% decline during the first quarter.

    The household saving ratio increased to 8.8% from 8.6%.

    Government Borrowing Rises

    Government borrowing increased to 5.2% of GDP from 4.2% in the previous quarter.

    Central government borrowing rose to £38.50 billion from £28.30 billion.

    The ONS also revised its estimate of UK economic growth for the whole of 2025 down by 0.1 percentage points to 1.2%.

    Among other G7 economies, second-quarter GDP increased 0.8% in Canada, 0.4% in the United States and Japan, 0.3% in Germany and 0.2% in Italy, while France recorded no growth.

  • Glencore and Yancoal Receive Approval for Hunter Valley Coal Mine Expansion

    Glencore and Yancoal Receive Approval for Hunter Valley Coal Mine Expansion

    Glencore Plc (LSE:GLEN) and Yancoal Australia Ltd. (LSE:ASX:YAN) have received approval for an expansion of their jointly owned coal mining operations in Australia’s Hunter Valley, allowing production to continue until 2045.

    The New South Wales Independent Planning Commission approved the Hunter Valley Operations Continuation Project following a six-year assessment process.

    The project will allow the operations to extract an additional 430 million tonnes of coal over their extended operating period.

    Hunter Valley Operations Produce Around 42 Million Tonnes Annually

    The Hunter Valley mines currently produce approximately 42 million tonnes of coal annually, with output exported for use by power stations and steel producers.

    Glencore operates the mines and holds a 49% interest in the joint venture, while Yancoal owns the remaining 51%.

    The approval extends the operating life of the mines until 2045 and provides for additional extraction from the existing Hunter Valley operations.

    Approval Includes Environmental Conditions

    The project approval includes several conditions relating to greenhouse gas emissions and energy use.

    Coal exports from the operations will be restricted to jurisdictions with greenhouse gas reduction policies consistent with the objectives of the Paris Agreement.

    The mines will also be required to maximise the use of renewable energy and purchase additional carbon offsets.

    Expansion Follows Six-Year Approval Process

    Approval of the continuation project follows a six-year planning and assessment process in New South Wales.

    The decision enables Glencore and Yancoal to proceed with the planned extension subject to the conditions attached to the approval.

    The Hunter Valley operations produce coal for international energy and steelmaking markets, with the additional approved extraction extending production from the jointly owned assets for almost two decades.

  • UK Business Confidence Falls to 17-Month Low as Cost Concerns Increase

    UK Business Confidence Falls to 17-Month Low as Cost Concerns Increase

    UK business confidence fell to its lowest level in 17 months in September as companies reported concerns over higher energy costs, inflation and economic uncertainty, according to the latest Lloyds Business Barometer.

    The headline confidence measure declined 12 points to 41%, from 53% in August, marking its lowest reading since April 2025. Despite the decline, confidence remained above the survey’s long-term average of 30%, although it was below the 12-month average of 47%.

    The survey followed renewed tensions in the Middle East, which have contributed to higher energy costs and increased uncertainty over the economic outlook.

    Economic Optimism Declines to 31%

    Businesses’ confidence in the wider economy fell 18 points to 31%, compared with a 12-month average of 37%.

    The proportion of companies expressing optimism about the economy declined to 52% from 64%, while the proportion reporting pessimism increased to 21% from 15%.

    Businesses cited factors including energy prices, broader cost pressures, inflation and global uncertainty.

    Companies’ expectations for their own trading performance also weakened. The measure declined eight points to 50%, below its 12-month average of 56%.

    The proportion of businesses expecting higher output over the next 12 months fell nine points to 57%, while the share anticipating lower activity edged down to 7%.

    Price Expectations Edge Higher

    The proportion of companies expecting to increase prices during the next 12 months rose one percentage point to 52%, ending three consecutive months of declines.

    Price expectations nevertheless remained below their levels from a year earlier, as companies balanced increased costs against competitive pressures.

    Manufacturing and Services Confidence Falls

    Confidence declined across most of the sectors covered by the survey.

    Manufacturing recorded a 19-point decline to 36%, while services fell 21 points to 35%. Construction confidence decreased eight points to 47%.

    Retail was the exception, with confidence increasing three points to 51%, supported by stronger customer demand and improved economic news.

    Smaller Businesses Record Larger Decline

    Confidence among companies with annual turnover below £5 million declined 14 points to 39%.

    Businesses with turnover between £5 million and £25 million recorded a five-point decrease to 54%, while confidence among companies generating between £25 million and £100 million increased three points to 75%.

    Domestic-focused businesses recorded a 12-point decline in confidence to 32%, while the measure for internationally active companies fell 10 points to 49%.

    Confidence Falls Across Most UK Regions

    Business confidence declined across 10 of Britain’s 12 regions and nations.

    The South West recorded a 30-point decline to 25%, while confidence in the East Midlands fell 31 points to 20%. Wales recorded the lowest reading at 16%, following a 38-point decrease.

    The West Midlands recorded a 22-point increase to 69%, while confidence in the North East rose five points to 50%.

    The latest decline in overall business confidence was comparable with the fall recorded earlier in 2026 following the initial escalation of the Middle East conflict.

  • UK Prime Minister Burnham Says EU Rejoining Among Options for Future Relationship

    UK Prime Minister Burnham Says EU Rejoining Among Options for Future Relationship

    British Prime Minister Andy Burnham said the government could consider rejoining the European Union as part of a longer-term review of Britain’s relationship with the bloc.

    Speaking to BBC Radio 4’s Today programme on Wednesday, Burnham said he wanted to examine “what is doable”, with potential options including maintaining the current arrangements, joining a customs union, pursuing a single-market relationship or going further and rejoining the EU.

    Burnham previously supported Britain rejoining the EU within his lifetime, although he said this was “not necessarily” his position now.

    Government to Examine UK-EU Options

    Burnham’s comments mark a change from the position set out in Labour’s 2024 election manifesto, which pledged to “make Brexit work” and ruled out rejoining the EU customs union or single market.

    At the Labour Party conference on Tuesday, Burnham said the current relationship with the EU was “not good enough” and linked Brexit to difficulties surrounding immigration and the economy.

    He plans to use a delayed EU summit later this year to set out different options for Britain’s future relationship with the bloc and seek consensus on a longer-term approach.

    Burnham’s Position on Brexit Develops

    During his campaign in the Makerfield by-election, Burnham pledged not to reopen the Brexit debate and said he was not proposing that Britain consider rejoining the EU.

    Last week, however, he left open the possibility of seeking a mandate at the next general election to rejoin the bloc.

    The government has not announced a policy to seek EU membership, with Burnham instead presenting rejoining as one of several possible longer-term arrangements to be considered.

    Previous Government Pursued Limited EU Reset

    Former prime minister Keir Starmer pursued closer cooperation with Brussels while stopping short of seeking membership of the single market or customs union.

    Measures under that approach included closer alignment on food standards, a youth mobility agreement and reconnecting British industry with the EU’s carbon trading system.

    The EU summit, which was delayed following Starmer’s departure, is expected to provide an opportunity for Burnham to outline his proposals for the future relationship.

    Burnham has also said he intends to publish a 10-year plan for the British economy.

    Conservatives Criticise Burnham’s Comments

    Conservative deputy leader Alex Burghart criticised Burnham’s position, arguing that Labour should not attribute current economic problems to the Brexit vote, which took place more than a decade ago.

    The Conservatives also accused Labour of reopening political divisions over Britain’s departure from the EU.

  • Greggs Reports 7.7% Q3 Sales Growth and Proposes Manufacturing Restructuring

    Greggs Reports 7.7% Q3 Sales Growth and Proposes Manufacturing Restructuring

    Greggs (LSE:GRG) reported a 7.7% increase in total sales during the third quarter of 2026 and announced proposals to restructure its manufacturing operations, which could result in four site closures and around 740 redundancies.

    Like-for-like sales at company-managed shops increased 3.4% during the quarter. Greggs said trading was supported by menu development and stable summer weather.

    The company now expects a modest improvement in its financial outcome for 2026, while reporting that cost inflation remains within its expectations.

    Greggs Targets Up to 110 Net New Shops

    Greggs has opened a net 57 new shops during the year to date and continues to expect between 100 and 110 net openings during 2026.

    The retailer operates more than 2,700 shops across the UK through company-managed and franchised locations.

    Its expansion includes formats such as drive-thru locations, smaller supermarket outlets and Greggs Express installations within franchised sites.

    Manufacturing Proposals Could Affect Around 740 Roles

    Alongside its trading update, Greggs announced proposals to consolidate its manufacturing network and has begun a consultation process with affected employees.

    Under the proposals, four manufacturing sites could close and approximately 740 roles could be made redundant over a period of around two and a half years.

    As the proposals remain subject to consultation, the site closures and redundancies have not been presented as final decisions.

    Restructuring Expected to Cost Around £60 Million

    Greggs estimates that the proposed manufacturing changes would require approximately £60 million of restructuring expenditure.

    If implemented, the company expects the programme to generate annual pre-tax operating cost savings of approximately £20 million from 2028 to 2029.

    The proposed changes form part of wider investment in Greggs’ supply chain and manufacturing capacity.

    New Distribution Centres Support Capacity Expansion

    Greggs is investing in new national distribution centres in Derby and Kettering as it expands its logistics infrastructure.

    The company said the facilities will incorporate additional storage and automation and are intended to provide supply chain capacity for at least 3,500 shops.

    Greggs operates a vertically integrated model incorporating manufacturing and logistics alongside its retail estate, selling bakery products, hot and cold food and beverages.