Blog

  • UK Business Confidence Falls to 17-Month Low as Cost Concerns Increase

    UK Business Confidence Falls to 17-Month Low as Cost Concerns Increase

    UK business confidence fell to its lowest level in 17 months in September as companies reported concerns over higher energy costs, inflation and economic uncertainty, according to the latest Lloyds Business Barometer.

    The headline confidence measure declined 12 points to 41%, from 53% in August, marking its lowest reading since April 2025. Despite the decline, confidence remained above the survey’s long-term average of 30%, although it was below the 12-month average of 47%.

    The survey followed renewed tensions in the Middle East, which have contributed to higher energy costs and increased uncertainty over the economic outlook.

    Economic Optimism Declines to 31%

    Businesses’ confidence in the wider economy fell 18 points to 31%, compared with a 12-month average of 37%.

    The proportion of companies expressing optimism about the economy declined to 52% from 64%, while the proportion reporting pessimism increased to 21% from 15%.

    Businesses cited factors including energy prices, broader cost pressures, inflation and global uncertainty.

    Companies’ expectations for their own trading performance also weakened. The measure declined eight points to 50%, below its 12-month average of 56%.

    The proportion of businesses expecting higher output over the next 12 months fell nine points to 57%, while the share anticipating lower activity edged down to 7%.

    Price Expectations Edge Higher

    The proportion of companies expecting to increase prices during the next 12 months rose one percentage point to 52%, ending three consecutive months of declines.

    Price expectations nevertheless remained below their levels from a year earlier, as companies balanced increased costs against competitive pressures.

    Manufacturing and Services Confidence Falls

    Confidence declined across most of the sectors covered by the survey.

    Manufacturing recorded a 19-point decline to 36%, while services fell 21 points to 35%. Construction confidence decreased eight points to 47%.

    Retail was the exception, with confidence increasing three points to 51%, supported by stronger customer demand and improved economic news.

    Smaller Businesses Record Larger Decline

    Confidence among companies with annual turnover below £5 million declined 14 points to 39%.

    Businesses with turnover between £5 million and £25 million recorded a five-point decrease to 54%, while confidence among companies generating between £25 million and £100 million increased three points to 75%.

    Domestic-focused businesses recorded a 12-point decline in confidence to 32%, while the measure for internationally active companies fell 10 points to 49%.

    Confidence Falls Across Most UK Regions

    Business confidence declined across 10 of Britain’s 12 regions and nations.

    The South West recorded a 30-point decline to 25%, while confidence in the East Midlands fell 31 points to 20%. Wales recorded the lowest reading at 16%, following a 38-point decrease.

    The West Midlands recorded a 22-point increase to 69%, while confidence in the North East rose five points to 50%.

    The latest decline in overall business confidence was comparable with the fall recorded earlier in 2026 following the initial escalation of the Middle East conflict.

  • UK Prime Minister Burnham Says EU Rejoining Among Options for Future Relationship

    UK Prime Minister Burnham Says EU Rejoining Among Options for Future Relationship

    British Prime Minister Andy Burnham said the government could consider rejoining the European Union as part of a longer-term review of Britain’s relationship with the bloc.

    Speaking to BBC Radio 4’s Today programme on Wednesday, Burnham said he wanted to examine “what is doable”, with potential options including maintaining the current arrangements, joining a customs union, pursuing a single-market relationship or going further and rejoining the EU.

    Burnham previously supported Britain rejoining the EU within his lifetime, although he said this was “not necessarily” his position now.

    Government to Examine UK-EU Options

    Burnham’s comments mark a change from the position set out in Labour’s 2024 election manifesto, which pledged to “make Brexit work” and ruled out rejoining the EU customs union or single market.

    At the Labour Party conference on Tuesday, Burnham said the current relationship with the EU was “not good enough” and linked Brexit to difficulties surrounding immigration and the economy.

    He plans to use a delayed EU summit later this year to set out different options for Britain’s future relationship with the bloc and seek consensus on a longer-term approach.

    Burnham’s Position on Brexit Develops

    During his campaign in the Makerfield by-election, Burnham pledged not to reopen the Brexit debate and said he was not proposing that Britain consider rejoining the EU.

    Last week, however, he left open the possibility of seeking a mandate at the next general election to rejoin the bloc.

    The government has not announced a policy to seek EU membership, with Burnham instead presenting rejoining as one of several possible longer-term arrangements to be considered.

    Previous Government Pursued Limited EU Reset

    Former prime minister Keir Starmer pursued closer cooperation with Brussels while stopping short of seeking membership of the single market or customs union.

    Measures under that approach included closer alignment on food standards, a youth mobility agreement and reconnecting British industry with the EU’s carbon trading system.

    The EU summit, which was delayed following Starmer’s departure, is expected to provide an opportunity for Burnham to outline his proposals for the future relationship.

    Burnham has also said he intends to publish a 10-year plan for the British economy.

    Conservatives Criticise Burnham’s Comments

    Conservative deputy leader Alex Burghart criticised Burnham’s position, arguing that Labour should not attribute current economic problems to the Brexit vote, which took place more than a decade ago.

    The Conservatives also accused Labour of reopening political divisions over Britain’s departure from the EU.

  • Greggs Reports 7.7% Q3 Sales Growth and Proposes Manufacturing Restructuring

    Greggs Reports 7.7% Q3 Sales Growth and Proposes Manufacturing Restructuring

    Greggs (LSE:GRG) reported a 7.7% increase in total sales during the third quarter of 2026 and announced proposals to restructure its manufacturing operations, which could result in four site closures and around 740 redundancies.

    Like-for-like sales at company-managed shops increased 3.4% during the quarter. Greggs said trading was supported by menu development and stable summer weather.

    The company now expects a modest improvement in its financial outcome for 2026, while reporting that cost inflation remains within its expectations.

    Greggs Targets Up to 110 Net New Shops

    Greggs has opened a net 57 new shops during the year to date and continues to expect between 100 and 110 net openings during 2026.

    The retailer operates more than 2,700 shops across the UK through company-managed and franchised locations.

    Its expansion includes formats such as drive-thru locations, smaller supermarket outlets and Greggs Express installations within franchised sites.

    Manufacturing Proposals Could Affect Around 740 Roles

    Alongside its trading update, Greggs announced proposals to consolidate its manufacturing network and has begun a consultation process with affected employees.

    Under the proposals, four manufacturing sites could close and approximately 740 roles could be made redundant over a period of around two and a half years.

    As the proposals remain subject to consultation, the site closures and redundancies have not been presented as final decisions.

    Restructuring Expected to Cost Around £60 Million

    Greggs estimates that the proposed manufacturing changes would require approximately £60 million of restructuring expenditure.

    If implemented, the company expects the programme to generate annual pre-tax operating cost savings of approximately £20 million from 2028 to 2029.

    The proposed changes form part of wider investment in Greggs’ supply chain and manufacturing capacity.

    New Distribution Centres Support Capacity Expansion

    Greggs is investing in new national distribution centres in Derby and Kettering as it expands its logistics infrastructure.

    The company said the facilities will incorporate additional storage and automation and are intended to provide supply chain capacity for at least 3,500 shops.

    Greggs operates a vertically integrated model incorporating manufacturing and logistics alongside its retail estate, selling bakery products, hot and cold food and beverages.

  • Goodwin Reports Higher Refractory Profits as Mechanical Engineering Disposal Progresses

    Goodwin Reports Higher Refractory Profits as Mechanical Engineering Disposal Progresses

    Goodwin PLC (LSE:GDWN) reported higher profits across parts of its continuing operations for the four months ended 31 August 2026 as the company prepares for the proposed disposal of a substantial portion of its Mechanical Engineering Division.

    Profit from Goodwin’s overseas refractory operations increased 19% to £3.1 million during the period, despite maintenance-related interruptions and lower demand in some markets associated with precious metals.

    AVD Fire and Dupré Minerals generated combined profit of £1.0 million, representing an increase of 30%.

    Duvelco Reports £1.7 Million Loss

    Goodwin said production at its Duvelco operation remains constrained by an issue at the drying stage of its manufacturing process.

    As a result, throughput is currently running at approximately 20% of plant capacity. Duvelco recorded a £1.7 million loss during the four-month period.

    The company is relocating polyimide presses to the UK and assessing equipment solutions intended to address the production constraint and increase plant utilisation.

    Goodwin said Duvelco’s polyimide product is technically competitive with the product offered by the global market leader.

    Mechanical Engineering Disposal Valued at Up to £1.1 Billion

    Goodwin is progressing the previously agreed disposal of a substantial part of its Mechanical Engineering Division to an affiliate of Cerberus.

    The transaction is expected to generate cash consideration of up to approximately £1.1 billion, subject to its terms.

    Completion is expected in early 2027 and remains subject to the required approvals.

    Goodwin expects that no UK corporation tax will be payable on the gain arising from the disposal.

    Goodwin Considers Return of Disposal Proceeds

    The company is considering options to return a significant proportion of the net proceeds from the transaction to shareholders.

    Goodwin’s engineering training school will transfer to the buyer as part of the business being sold.

    The proposed transaction will leave Goodwin with a smaller group focused on its remaining refractory and technology-related operations.

    Board Reviews Management Structure

    In preparation for the proposed disposal, Goodwin’s board is reviewing the leadership structure, corporate governance and remuneration arrangements for the continuing group.

    The company has begun recruiting a chief executive officer and finance director for the remaining operations.

    Following completion of the transaction, Goodwin’s continuing businesses will include its refractory operations alongside AVD Fire, which develops lithium-ion battery fire protection products, and Duvelco, which develops high-performance polyimide materials.

  • Tullow Oil Receives Ghana Tax Arbitration Ruling on $196.5 Million Assessment

    Tullow Oil Receives Ghana Tax Arbitration Ruling on $196.5 Million Assessment

    Tullow Oil (LSE:TLW) has received a ruling from an International Chamber of Commerce arbitration tribunal concerning a $196.5 million corporate income tax assessment in Ghana relating to business interruption insurance proceeds.

    The assessment concerns insurance proceeds received by Tullow between 2016 and 2019 and associated penalties imposed by the Ghanaian authorities.

    The tribunal determined that the corporate income tax assessment does not breach Tullow’s Petroleum Agreements in Ghana.

    Tribunal Rules on Tax Assessment and Penalties

    Tullow had challenged the tax treatment of the business interruption insurance proceeds and the related penalties through arbitration.

    According to the ruling, the $196.5 million corporate income tax assessment is not inconsistent with the contractual protections contained in Tullow’s Petroleum Agreements.

    The tribunal also determined that the 100% penalties assessed in connection with the tax matter fall outside the scope of the contractual protections provided by those agreements.

    Tullow to Engage With Ghanaian Government

    Tullow said it was disappointed with the outcome of the arbitration.

    The company plans to engage further with the Government of Ghana before determining its next steps following the tribunal’s decision.

    No further course of action was specified in the supplied update.

    Ghana Remains Core Market for Tullow

    Tullow Oil is an independent energy company focused on oil and gas production, with Ghana representing its principal operating market.

    The company holds interests in producing assets in Ghana and is listed on both the London and Ghanaian stock exchanges under the symbol TLW.

    Its operations are primarily focused on West African hydrocarbons, with its Ghanaian producing fields contributing to the group’s operations and revenue.

  • Saga Raises Full-Year Profit Guidance After First-Half Earnings Increase

    Saga Raises Full-Year Profit Guidance After First-Half Earnings Increase

    Saga plc (LSE:SAGA) raised its full-year profit guidance after reporting higher revenue and earnings for the six months ended 31 July 2026, supported by its cruise, holidays, insurance and financial services operations.

    Underlying revenue increased 14% to £366.3 million, while trading EBITDA rose 35% to £90.9 million.

    Underlying profit before tax increased to £46.6 million, almost double the level reported for the comparable period.

    Net debt decreased by £70.4 million during the period, reducing the group’s leverage ratio to 2.7 times.

    Full-Year Profit Guidance Raised to £65-70 Million

    Following the first-half performance, Saga upgraded its expectations for the full financial year.

    The company now expects underlying profit before tax of between £65 million and £70 million.

    Management also said it expects to achieve its medium-term targets for higher profitability and lower leverage earlier than its original January 2030 timetable.

    Cruise and Holidays Support First-Half Performance

    Saga reported continued demand across its cruise and holidays businesses during the first half, contributing to the increase in group revenue and earnings.

    The company is continuing to restructure its operations around a business model that makes greater use of partnerships in areas including insurance and financial services.

    The transition of new motor and home insurance business to Ageas has now been completed.

    Saga Adds Allianz UK Pet Insurance Partnership

    Saga also entered into a new pet insurance arrangement with Allianz UK as it continues to develop its partnership-based insurance operations.

    In financial services, the company reported customer uptake of savings products offered through its relationship with NatWest.

    Saga is also expanding its use of media content, including podcasts, as part of its engagement with customers.

    Saga Continues Business Transformation

    Saga provides products and services primarily for people aged over 50 across cruises, holidays, insurance, personal finance and publishing.

    Its travel operations include ocean and river cruises alongside holidays, while its insurance and financial services activities increasingly operate through partnerships with third-party providers.

    The company said its current strategy is focused on simplifying its operations, reducing risk and lowering leverage while developing its products and services for its customer base.

  • Chariot Expands Angola Oil Exposure Through Blocks 14 and 14K Transactions

    Chariot Expands Angola Oil Exposure Through Blocks 14 and 14K Transactions

    Chariot (LSE:CHAR) reported progress in repositioning its portfolio towards upstream oil and gas operations during the first half of 2026, including two financing transactions providing economic exposure to producing offshore assets in Angola.

    The AIM-listed energy company is working alongside Etu Energias, BW Energy and Shell Trading in connection with interests in Angola’s Blocks 14 and 14K.

    Chariot said the arrangements are expected to provide cash flows linked to approximately 8,000 barrels per day of current oil production.

    The company estimates an indicative net asset value of more than $200 million for its economic exposure to the assets based on an oil price of $60 per barrel. This figure represents a company estimate rather than a realised valuation.

    Chariot Raises $24.3 Million

    Chariot raised $24.3 million to support its strategy and the transactions associated with the Angolan assets.

    The company is increasing its focus on upstream operations that are expected to generate cash while continuing work across other parts of its African energy portfolio.

    Chariot also appointed a new chief operating officer as part of changes to its operational leadership during the period.

    Renewables Business Sale Progresses

    The company is progressing the proposed sale of its renewable energy business as it changes the composition of its portfolio.

    Meanwhile, Etana Energy is continuing to develop its electricity trading platform in South Africa alongside related power generation projects.

    Chariot also retains activities in green hydrogen and solar energy projects in Africa.

    Moroccan Gas Activities Continue

    Alongside its expansion in Angola, Chariot continues to progress its gas interests in Morocco.

    The company holds offshore licences in the country as part of its upstream portfolio.

    Chariot is an Africa-focused energy company with activities spanning upstream oil and gas, electricity trading and renewable and green hydrogen projects. Its current strategy is increasingly focused on upstream operations, including its new economic exposure to producing oil assets in Angola.

  • Eco Buildings Reports €1.2 Million Interim Revenue as International Projects Progress

    Eco Buildings Reports €1.2 Million Interim Revenue as International Projects Progress

    Eco Buildings Group (LSE:ECOB) reported unaudited revenue of €1.2 million for the six months ended 30 June 2026, down from €1.8 million a year earlier, as the construction technology company continued investment in manufacturing capacity and international projects.

    The group recorded a loss of €0.94 million, which widened from the prior-year period. Eco Buildings attributed the change to the timing of revenue recognition and higher finance costs.

    The company said its order book and project pipeline continued to expand during the period.

    Eco Buildings Invests £2.35 Million in Durrës Production Line

    Eco Buildings is investing £2.35 million in a second-generation manufacturing line in Durrës, Albania, incorporating artificial intelligence technology.

    The company intends to use the facility as a model for manufacturing lines that could subsequently be replicated in other international markets.

    Eco Buildings is also progressing its Rolling Hills apartment development in Albania. The project covers at least six residential blocks and has a potential value of up to €13.2 million.

    Indonesia and Senegal Ventures Advance

    The group also reported progress on expansion initiatives in Southeast Asia and West Africa.

    In Indonesia, Eco Buildings is participating in a manufacturing venture supported by US$5 million of funding from its partner.

    In Senegal, the company is progressing a joint venture backed by €1.75 million. A demonstration hospital project has also been used to demonstrate the company’s modular construction system for social infrastructure applications.

    Gambia Agreement Covers Minimum 10,000 Homes

    Following the end of the reporting period, Eco Buildings signed a Strategic Investment Framework Agreement with The Gambia and Lumen Holdings.

    The agreement covers a programme for a minimum of 10,000 homes and plans to establish a West African headquarters and an AI-powered Centre of Excellence.

    Separately, the company reported delays to an initiative in Sudan amid political risks affecting the project.

    Eco Buildings Expands Modular Construction Operations

    Eco Buildings develops prefabricated glass fibre reinforced gypsum, or GFRG, modular wall systems for residential and infrastructure construction.

    The AIM-listed company is headquartered in Albania and is developing manufacturing and project partnerships in markets including West Africa and Southeast Asia.

    Its expansion model includes joint ventures and locally based manufacturing operations, with partners providing funding for certain projects.

  • Novacyt Reports 18% First-Half Revenue Growth as Southern Cross Adds £1.8 Million

    Novacyt Reports 18% First-Half Revenue Growth as Southern Cross Adds £1.8 Million

    Novacyt (LSE:NCYT) reported an 18% increase in unaudited group revenue to £11.6 million for the first half of 2026, supported by growth across its regions and a contribution from its acquisition of Southern Cross Diagnostics.

    Underlying revenue, excluding the acquisition contribution, increased by approximately 9%. The molecular diagnostics group reported growth across all geographic regions, with demand for instrumentation and clinical reproductive health products contributing to the performance.

    Southern Cross Diagnostics, the Australian distributor acquired by Novacyt, contributed £1.8 million of revenue during the period.

    Southern Cross Acquisition Affects Gross Margin

    Novacyt said the addition of Southern Cross Diagnostics reduced the group’s overall gross margin because of the distributor’s different margin profile.

    The company completed the integration of Southern Cross during the period, expanding its operations in the Asia-Pacific region.

    Novacyt also reduced operating expenses through cost-saving measures, contributing to a narrower EBITDA loss.

    Cash declined to £8.9 million, and the company undertook a small rights issue during the period.

    Restructuring Targets £4 Million in Annual Savings

    Novacyt is implementing a restructuring programme targeting approximately £4 million of annual cost savings.

    The company said initiatives representing up to £3.4 million of those targeted savings have already been identified.

    The programme forms part of measures to reduce the group’s operating cost base alongside its product development and geographic expansion activities.

    Novacyt Launches DPYD Assay and Signs Illumina Collaboration

    During the first half, Novacyt launched its IVDR-certified Yourgene Insight DPYD assay in Europe, expanding its precision oncology product range.

    The group also entered into a five-year collaboration with Illumina.

    Novacyt develops and commercialises molecular diagnostics products, including assays, instrumentation and diagnostic workflows. Its activities cover clinical diagnostics, instrumentation and research-use-only products across areas including reproductive health, precision medicine and infectious diseases.

  • Water Intelligence Reports 7% First-Half Revenue Growth and Launches Preventive Maintenance Business

    Water Intelligence Reports 7% First-Half Revenue Growth and Launches Preventive Maintenance Business

    Water Intelligence (LSE:WATR) reported a 7% increase in revenue for the first half of 2026 and launched a preventive maintenance business combining water monitoring technology with its existing leak detection and repair services.

    Revenue increased to $48.2 million for the period, while adjusted EBITDA rose 6% to $9.8 million.

    The company said growth was supported by corporate and franchise-related sales, with international corporate revenue increasing 40%.

    Statutory profit before tax declined 22%, reflecting higher investment and costs during the period, while margins decreased slightly.

    Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA Stands at 1.29

    Water Intelligence reported a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.29 and said its balance sheet provides capacity to continue pursuing acquisitions.

    The group also continued its share buyback programme during the period.

    Water Intelligence operates through a combination of corporate-owned operations and franchises, with its American Leak Detection business providing leak detection and remediation services across the U.S.

    Preventive Maintenance Business Launched

    Alongside its interim results, Water Intelligence formally launched a preventive maintenance operation based on its technology-enabled services platform.

    The new business follows paid pilot programmes with large customers and combines wireless water monitoring devices with data-based subscription aftercare services.

    The offering also incorporates Water Intelligence’s installation, leak detection and response capabilities to provide monitoring and repair services through a single platform.

    Insurance Channels Form Part of New Service Model

    Water Intelligence plans to use its existing U.S. insurance relationships and direct workforce to support the rollout of its preventive maintenance services.

    The company said the model is designed to provide customers with water monitoring, leak identification and subsequent repair services.

    Water Intelligence provides leak detection and remediation services for potable and non-potable water systems, serving residential, commercial and municipal customers.

    Its operations include American Leak Detection in the U.S. alongside its international activities.