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  • Sterling Digital: Building the “Off-Grid” Future of Bitcoin

    Sterling Digital: Building the “Off-Grid” Future of Bitcoin

    The digital infrastructure landscape is shifting, and Sterling Digital PLC (AQSE:ASIC) is positioning itself at the intersection of energy independence and high-performance computing. In a recent interview on The Watch List, CEO Stefan Michaelides laid out a vision that moves beyond simple crypto mining toward a resilient, vertically integrated infrastructure model.

    As the company marches toward its first production in Q2 2026, here are the key takeaways from the strategy driving Sterling Digital’s growth.


    Not Just Miners, But Infrastructure

    While many companies in the space act as “tenants” on a power grid, Sterling Digital is taking the role of the “landlord” and “utility” combined. By focusing on stranded natural gas in the U.S., the company is generating its own electricity at the source.

    • Vertical Integration: Sterling isn’t just buying hardware; they are taking gas out of the ground and converting it into electricity on-site.
    • Cost Control: This “off-grid” approach bypasses traditional grid fees and price volatility, securing some of the lowest power costs in the industry—estimated at approximately $0.005 per kWh.
    • ESG Alignment: By utilizing gas that would otherwise be flared or vented (releasing potent methane), Sterling turns an environmental liability into a productive digital asset.

    The Power of Optionality: Bitcoin + AI

    A major milestone recently announced was the purchase of 450 new-generation ASIC mining servers, representing roughly 193,500 TH/s of capacity. However, the hardware is only part of the story. The company is deploying modular, hydro-cooled data centers designed for flexibility.

    “It’s not so much about chasing trends, more about future-proofing the company.” — Stefan Michaelides, CEO

    While Bitcoin remains the core focus, this “compute-agnostic” infrastructure allows Sterling to pivot workloads between Bitcoin mining and AI compute depending on which offers the highest returns at any given time. This resilience is key to surviving the cyclical nature of digital assets.

    The Road to 2026

    The transition from conceptual planning to physical execution is well underway. With the generators secured and the ASIC servers purchased below budget (leveraging market timing), the team is now focused on the ultimate milestone: Energization.

    The target for “turning on the lights” and mining the first Bitcoin is Q2 2026. For investors, the story is shifting from a “concept” phase to a “production” phase, backed by a management team with a track record in energy and fintech.

    For more information visit https://sterlingdigital.com/

  • Oil steadies near multi-month highs as markets await U.S.-Iran negotiations

    Oil steadies near multi-month highs as markets await U.S.-Iran negotiations

    Oil prices held close to seven-month highs on Wednesday as investors remained cautious about the risk of supply disruptions linked to rising tensions between the United States and Iran, with diplomatic talks between the two countries scheduled for Thursday.

    Brent crude futures gained 42 cents, or 0.6%, to $71.19 per barrel at 07:30 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures climbed 41 cents, also 0.6%, to $66.04 per barrel.

    Brent last reached comparable levels on July 31, while WTI touched its highest mark since August 4 earlier this week. Prices have stayed elevated as Washington deployed military forces across the Middle East in an effort to pressure Iran into negotiations over its nuclear and ballistic missile programmes.

    Any prolonged escalation could disrupt exports from Iran — the third-largest crude producer within the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries — and potentially affect output from other major producers across the region.

    U.S. President Donald Trump briefly outlined the justification for potential military action during Tuesday’s State of the Union address, stating that he would not allow what he described as the world’s leading sponsor of terrorism to obtain nuclear weapons.

    “This uncertainty means the market will continue to price in a large risk premium and remain sensitive to any fresh developments,” ING commodities strategists said on Wednesday.

    U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are expected to meet Iranian officials in Geneva on Thursday for a third round of negotiations.

    Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said Tuesday that an agreement with Washington was “within reach, but only if diplomacy is given priority”.

    “(U.S.) President (Donald) Trump has warned that without a deal, there will be ’very bad consequences’. Whether (Iran’s) concessions will meet the U.S.’s ’zero enrichment’ red line remains to be seen,” said Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG, in a research note.

    Amid heightened tensions, Iran and China have accelerated discussions regarding a potential purchase of Chinese anti-ship cruise missiles, according to Reuters sources, weapons that could target U.S. naval forces deployed near Iran’s coastline.

    Analysts note that such systems would enhance Iran’s strike capabilities and increase risks for U.S. naval assets operating in the area.

    While geopolitical risks have helped support oil prices, traders are also monitoring rising inventories as global supply continues to outpace demand.

    Market sources reported that the American Petroleum Institute recorded a sharp increase of 11.43 million barrels in U.S. crude stockpiles for the week ending February 20.

    However, gasoline and distillate inventories declined during the same period, according to the API data cited by sources.

    Official inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration is expected later on Wednesday.

  • Gold rebounds amid tariff uncertainty; silver, platinum and copper extend gains

    Gold rebounds amid tariff uncertainty; silver, platinum and copper extend gains

    Gold prices moved higher on Wednesday, recovering from losses in the previous session as investors evaluated the implications of newly introduced U.S. tariffs and looked ahead to upcoming talks between the United States and Iran later this week.

    At 04:25 ET (09:25 GMT), spot gold climbed 0.9% to $5,187.64 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures rose 0.6% to $5,206.10 per ounce.

    The precious metal had declined 1.6% on Tuesday following four consecutive sessions of gains.

    Markets assess new U.S. tariff measures

    The United States began implementing a temporary 10% global import tariff on Tuesday, with the Trump administration aiming to raise the rate to 15%, a development that has heightened uncertainty surrounding global trade and inflation prospects.

    The move came after a U.S. Supreme Court ruling last week invalidated earlier broad tariffs imposed under emergency powers, prompting the government to reintroduce duties using alternative legal mechanisms.

    Geopolitical developments also remained in focus, with U.S. and Iranian officials scheduled to hold a third round of negotiations in Geneva on Thursday concerning Tehran’s nuclear programme.

    Despite the rebound, gold’s upside was limited by expectations that U.S. interest rates will remain elevated for longer.

    Two Federal Reserve officials indicated on Tuesday that there is little urgency to adjust monetary policy in the near term, reinforcing a higher-for-longer rate outlook that typically pressures non-yielding assets such as gold.

    Silver and platinum surge; copper supported by demand signals

    A slightly weaker U.S. dollar also helped support metals prices, as dollar-denominated commodities become more affordable for international buyers when the currency softens.

    Among other precious metals, silver surged nearly 3.5% to $90.55 per ounce, while platinum jumped more than 5% to $2,309.60 per ounce.

    Copper prices also strengthened, with benchmark London Metal Exchange copper futures rising 0.5% to $13,295.72 per ton and U.S. copper futures gaining 0.6% to $6.0295 per pound.

    “Copper prices on the LME have moved back above $13,000/t as Chinese participants return from the Lunar New Year holidays on Tuesday, increasing import appetite,” said analysts at ING, in a note.

    “Overall, the market is showing early signs of demand recovery. Yet high inventory levels are likely to cap the pace of any near term tightening. The next key indicator will be whether the import arbitrage stays open and leads to sustained LME stock draws, accompanied by a quicker than seasonal decline in SHFE inventories.”

  • Markets eye Nvidia and Salesforce earnings as AI debate intensifies; gold and oil edge higher: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    Markets eye Nvidia and Salesforce earnings as AI debate intensifies; gold and oil edge higher: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    U.S. stock futures pointed modestly upward on Wednesday as investors prepared for key earnings releases from Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) and Salesforce (NYSE:CRM). The announcements come amid ongoing uncertainty about how rapidly artificial intelligence could reshape business models across multiple sectors. Meanwhile, gold and oil prices advanced ahead of scheduled talks between U.S. and Iranian officials later this week.

    Futures steady ahead of major results

    U.S. equity futures traded cautiously higher as markets positioned for a busy earnings calendar led by AI chipmaker Nvidia.

    At 03:01 ET, Dow futures were broadly flat, S&P 500 futures rose by 5 points, or 0.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures gained 29 points, also up 0.1%.

    Wall Street’s main indices closed higher in the previous session after AI firm Anthropic unveiled a series of partnerships, helping to calm fears that its latest models could significantly disrupt software and data companies.

    Investor concern in recent weeks has focused on whether emerging AI products from Anthropic and competitors could weaken demand for traditional software services. At the same time, markets have been closely watching heavy spending on AI infrastructure by major technology companies, with questions emerging over when these investments will translate into meaningful profits and over what some observers describe as the increasingly “circular” structure of AI-sector agreements.

    Illustrating this dynamic, Meta agreed to purchase 6 gigawatts of AI computing capacity from Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) as part of a $100 billion arrangement that could ultimately give the social media group a roughly 10% stake in the chipmaker. AMD shares rallied after the company said the deal would strengthen its competitive position against Nvidia.

    Adding another layer of uncertainty is U.S. trade policy under President Donald Trump. Following a Supreme Court decision that struck down earlier “reciprocal” tariffs, the administration introduced temporary global duties of 10%. In Tuesday’s State of the Union address, Trump said “everything was working well” with his tariff strategy and described the court ruling as “unfortunate.”

    Nvidia earnings seen as market barometer

    Attention now shifts to Nvidia, whose results — scheduled after the U.S. market close — are widely viewed as a key signal for the global AI investment cycle and broader equity market sentiment.

    Shares of the so-called “Magnificent Seven” technology giants have largely moved sideways this year after surging in the wake of OpenAI’s ChatGPT launch in 2022, which sparked a wave of enthusiasm for AI. While these companies have been major beneficiaries of the AI boom and key drivers of equity gains in recent years, momentum has softened in early 2026.

    “It’s not only Nvidia investors who will be nervous ahead of the company’s results; the entire global equity market may be on edge, given the importance of the AI trade,” said Laurence Booth, Global Head of Markets at CMC Markets.

    Salesforce also in focus

    Salesforce is also due to publish quarterly earnings after the closing bell.

    The cloud software company has been among those most affected by investor unease surrounding increasingly advanced AI systems. Shares of the San Francisco-based group have fallen more than 26% so far this year, highlighting concerns about the outlook for the software-as-a-service industry.

    Analysts at Vital Knowledge described sentiment heading into the release as “gloomy,” noting that disappointing guidance from IT services company Workday earlier in the week added to market caution.

    “[T]he AI-linked medium/long-term existential overhang weighing on all of software will not go away anytime soon,” the analysts warned.

    However, they added that if Salesforce delivers “decent” fourth-quarter results, provides “respectable” guidance for the year ahead, and “demonstrate[s]” stronger progress in AI initiatives, “the stock (and the whole software-as-a-service group) could extend the squeeze higher witnessed on Tuesday.”

    Gold recovers

    Gold prices moved higher after slipping in the previous session amid profit-taking, as investors assessed the implications of new U.S. tariffs and awaited developments from upcoming U.S.-Iran discussions.

    Spot gold rose 0.9% to $5,190.21 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures gained 0.6% to $5,209.51 per ounce. The metal had fallen 1.6% on Tuesday after four consecutive sessions of gains.

    The United States began collecting a temporary 10% global import tariff earlier this week, with officials aiming to raise the rate to 15%, increasing uncertainty around global trade flows and inflation prospects. The move followed a Supreme Court ruling that invalidated earlier tariffs imposed under emergency authority, prompting Washington to reintroduce duties under alternative legal grounds.

    Geopolitical tensions also remained a focal point as U.S. and Iranian representatives prepared for a third round of negotiations in Geneva regarding Tehran’s nuclear programme.

    Oil prices near multi-month highs

    Oil prices traded close to seven-month highs ahead of the Switzerland talks.

    Brent crude futures rose 0.4% to $70.86 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained 0.5% to $65.93 per barrel.

    Both benchmarks remain near their highest levels since early August, as the United States has deployed military assets in the Middle East to pressure Iran toward reaching an agreement over its nuclear programme. U.S. envoys, including special representative Steve Witkoff and presidential adviser Jared Kushner, are expected to meet Iranian officials on Thursday.

  • European Stocks Reach Record High as HSBC Outlook Boosts Banks and AI Concerns Ease: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European Stocks Reach Record High as HSBC Outlook Boosts Banks and AI Concerns Ease: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equities climbed to a fresh record on Wednesday, supported by a rebound in banking shares after HSBC (LSE:HSBA) lifted a key lending target, while investor worries about rapid disruption from emerging artificial intelligence models showed signs of easing.

    The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.4% to 631.6 points by 08:24 GMT, after briefly touching an intraday record of 632.40 earlier in the session. Banking stocks advanced by more than 1% as global sentiment improved following announcements from U.S.-based AI startup Anthropic, which partnered with several companies and introduced new AI plug-ins — developments seen as evidence that established businesses are adapting to AI rather than facing immediate displacement.

    Financial institutions are often viewed as particularly exposed to technological disruption. However, indications that companies are integrating AI gradually helped calm concerns about potential margin pressure, improving risk appetite and supporting gains in the banking sector.

    Similar fears around AI-driven disruption have triggered episodes of volatility in global markets several times this year, including sharp declines in European banking stocks during Tuesday’s session.

    Market sentiment was further lifted by HSBC, Europe’s largest lender, which raised an important earnings target after reporting annual profit above expectations despite booking a $4.9 billion one-off charge.

    Among individual movers, onshore wind turbine manufacturer Nordex (TG:NDX1) surged 11.6% after delivering better-than-expected core profit for 2025.

    In contrast, Diageo (LSE:DGE) fell 6.5%, weighing on the broader index after the drinks group lowered its annual sales and profit outlook for the second time in four months and announced a dividend reduction.

  • FTSE 100 rises to record high as earnings drive gains; pound strengthens

    FTSE 100 rises to record high as earnings drive gains; pound strengthens

    UK equities opened higher on Wednesday, supported by a busy corporate earnings schedule led by HSBC, helping markets recover from recent declines linked to geopolitical tensions and concerns surrounding artificial intelligence.

    At 08:36 GMT, the FTSE 100 reached a fresh record, climbing 0.7% to 10,760.70, while sterling strengthened, with GBP/USD rising 0.2% to 1.3520 against the dollar. Elsewhere in Europe, Germany’s DAX added 0.07% and France’s CAC 40 advanced 0.3%.

    UK market roundup

    HSBC Holdings (LSE:HSBA) reported full-year pretax profit of $29.91 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $28.86 billion, although down from $32.38 billion recorded in 2024. Shares rose 5.8% in early London trading.

    The Asia-focused lender’s year-on-year decline reflected $4.9 billion in notable items, including impairments linked to its Bank of Communications stake and restructuring costs. Excluding these factors, pretax profit increased to $36.62 billion from $34.18 billion. HSBC also issued a 2026 net interest income target above analyst forecasts, lifting its Hong Kong-listed shares by more than 2%.

    Aston Martin (LSE:AML) reported a 21% drop in revenue to £1.26 billion in 2025, while wholesale volumes declined 10% to 5,448 vehicles. Gross profit fell 37% to £369.8 million, with gross margin narrowing to 29.4% from 36.9% in 2024. The luxury carmaker posted an adjusted EBIT loss of £189.2 million, widening from a £82.8 million loss the previous year, as lower volumes, fewer high-margin Special models and tariff pressures weighed on performance. Management outlined plans for a recovery in 2026.

    Haleon (LSE:HLN) shares dropped more than 4% in early trading after the consumer health company reported fourth-quarter organic sales growth of 2.1%, missing consensus forecasts of 3.5%. Volumes declined 0.3% versus expectations for growth of about 1%, while pricing increased 2.4%, broadly in line with estimates.

    St. James’s Place (LSE:STJ) posted an underlying cash result of £462.3 million for 2025, up 3% year on year and 4% above consensus expectations. Underlying cash earnings per share rose 6% to 87.0 pence, while revenue climbed 19% to £3.77 billion. Funds under management reached a record £220.0 billion, up 16%, and the wealth manager announced an accelerated increase in shareholder distributions, sending shares up around 4%.

    Hiscox (LSE:HSX) reported full-year earnings per share 7.5% above company-compiled consensus and unveiled a $300 million share buyback programme, exceeding market expectations by 43% compared with the $210 million consensus estimate. The insurer’s retail division delivered insurance contract written premium growth of 6.3% for the full year, accelerating from 6.1% growth recorded during the first nine months. Fourth-quarter retail premiums rose 10.0%.

    Diageo (LSE:DGE) reported a 2.8% decline in organic revenue and earnings before interest and taxes for the first half of fiscal 2026. Organic revenue and EBIT both fell 2.8%, compared with consensus forecasts for a 2.0% revenue decline and a 3.9% EBIT drop. Earnings per share reached 95.3 cents, ahead of the 93.1-cent consensus estimate, while the company also announced a dividend reduction.

    Jet2 (LSE:JET2) said earnings for the financial year ending March 2026 are expected to match analyst consensus forecasts of £439 million. The airline indicated that summer 2026 EBIT will remain broadly flat year on year before accounting for £40 million to £50 million of investment linked to its new Gatwick base, implying EBIT of roughly £400 million for fiscal 2027.

    Bookings for summer 2027 increased 7.9%, broadly in line with capacity growth of 8.0%. The expansion includes 2.0% underlying growth, with 1.1 million additional seats from new bases and a further 0.4 million seats added across established operations.

  • Jet2 Flags Potential FY27 Profit Shortfall Amid Gatwick Expansion Costs

    Jet2 Flags Potential FY27 Profit Shortfall Amid Gatwick Expansion Costs

    Jet2 Plc (LSE:JET2) cautioned on Wednesday that operating profit for the financial year ending March 2027 could come in up to 10% below market expectations, as expenses linked to launching its new London Gatwick base weigh on earnings. The UK package holiday operator nevertheless said profit for the year to March 2026 is expected to meet current forecasts.

    Jefferies estimates FY27 operating profit at around £400 million, compared with company-compiled consensus expectations of £444 million — a shortfall of roughly £44 million — after factoring in £40–50 million of investment related to Gatwick. The broker reiterated a “buy” rating and a 2,100 pence price target. Jet2 shares last closed at 1,287 pence on Tuesday.

    For the year ending March 2026, Jet2 expects operating profit to align with consensus forecasts of £439 million, despite absorbing approximately £10 million of promotional and start-up resourcing costs tied to the Gatwick launch.

    Chief executive Steve Heapy said the company was “very pleased with how the 2026 financial year is concluding,” adding it remained “committed to pricing that is attractive and represents real value to our customers.”

    Analysts view that pricing strategy as a potential risk factor. Jet2 said it is “investing in load factor” for Summer 2026, suggesting pressure on yields as the company prioritises filling expanded capacity, with marketing expenditure being “reinvested into pricing.” During Summer 2025, package holiday prices increased by only 3%, while flight-only fares declined by 7%.

    The airline has expanded capacity by 8% for Summer 2026, bringing total seats to 20 million, compared with estimated UK short- and medium-haul market growth of around 5.5%, according to OAG. Of the additional capacity, 1.1 million seats come from new bases in Bournemouth, London Luton and London Gatwick, while existing bases will grow by roughly 2%, adding a further 0.4 million seats.

    Bookings are currently running 7.9% ahead of the previous year, including more than 260,000 passengers already booked at Gatwick ahead of the base’s launch on 26 March. Package holidays continue to represent approximately 66% of total bookings, broadly unchanged from last summer.

    Jet2 said more than 75% of its FY27 fuel requirements are hedged at favourable prices, partially offsetting cost pressures from rising hotel accommodation expenses as well as higher Sustainable Aviation Fuel and carbon-related costs.

    The company’s Airbus A321neo fleet will expand to 31 aircraft this summer, supporting a peak flying programme of 139 aircraft and delivering average unit cost savings of about £10 per seat.

    Jet2 currently operates from 13 UK bases, and following the Gatwick launch, the company expects more than 90% of the UK population to live within a 90-minute drive of one of its 14 operating bases.

    Jefferies noted that Jet2 shares trade at roughly 6.2 times estimated FY26 earnings, representing about a 50% discount to historical valuation levels.

  • St. James’s Place Tops Forecasts and Increases Shareholder Payout Plans

    St. James’s Place Tops Forecasts and Increases Shareholder Payout Plans

    St. James’s Place PLC (LSE:STJ) reported full-year results ahead of analyst expectations and unveiled plans to accelerate shareholder returns, sending its shares up around 4% on Wednesday.

    The UK wealth manager delivered an underlying cash result of £462.3 million for 2025, a 3% increase from £447.2 million in 2024 and approximately 4% above consensus forecasts. Underlying cash basic earnings per share rose 6% year on year to 87.0 pence from 82.0 pence. Revenue increased 19% to £3.77 billion compared with £3.16 billion the previous year, while funds under management reached a record £220.0 billion, up 16% from £190.2 billion.

    The company announced that, beginning in 2026, total annual shareholder distributions will rise to 70% of the underlying cash result — one year earlier than previously planned. The policy will include ordinary dividends representing at least 40% of total returns, with the remainder delivered through share buybacks.

    The board proposed a final dividend of 12.00 pence per share for 2025, unchanged from the prior year, resulting in a total dividend of 18.00 pence per share for the full year.

    At year-end, St. James’s Place released an additional £18.7 million from its Ongoing Service Evidence provision, which will be returned to shareholders through buybacks alongside a £103.9 million final repurchase programme. Including an earlier £63.4 million release, total shareholder distributions for 2025 amounted to £313.3 million.

    “The combination of another strong financial outcome together with good operational and strategic progress, has enabled the Board to update our shareholder returns guidance a year earlier than originally planned,” said Chief Executive Mark FitzPatrick.

    The company confirmed successful implementation of its revised charging structure in August 2025 and remains on track to remove approximately £100 million of addressable costs by 2027. St. James’s Place also expects to complete its ongoing service evidence review during 2026.

  • Shaftesbury Capital Delivers Strong Earnings Growth and Higher Dividend

    Shaftesbury Capital Delivers Strong Earnings Growth and Higher Dividend

    Shaftesbury Capital (LSE:SHC) on Wednesday reported underlying earnings per share of 4.5 pence for the year ended 31 December 2025, representing a 12% increase compared with 4.0 pence in the previous year.

    The West End-focused property group also announced a 14% rise in its dividend to 4.0 pence per share, supported by solid operational performance across its retail, food and beverage, and office portfolio.

    The value of the company’s property portfolio increased 6.6% on a like-for-like basis to £5.4 billion, driven by a 6.2% uplift in estimated rental values, which reached £270 million.

    Like-for-like revenue grew 5.3% to £215 million, underpinned by 434 leasing transactions generating £39 million in contracted rent. These agreements were signed at levels 10.3% above December 2024 estimated rental values and 13.9% higher than prior passing rents.

    Portfolio occupancy remained strong, with only 2.6% of estimated rental value currently available for leasing.

    Chief Executive Ian Hawksworth stated: “We are pleased to report another excellent year, delivering growth in rental income, earnings, dividends, property valuation and net tangible assets per share. Our West End estates continue to perform, with vibrant destinations supported by high occupancy, footfall and customer sales.”

    EPRA net tangible assets per share rose 7.2% to 214.7 pence, resulting in a total accounting return of 9.1%. The equivalent yield across the portfolio tightened slightly by 2 basis points to 4.43%.

    Administrative expenses declined by 8% year on year on a cash basis, excluding share-based payments, reflecting continued progress in cost efficiency initiatives.

    In April 2025, the company completed a long-term partnership with Norges Bank Investment Management, selling a 25% non-controlling stake in its Covent Garden estate for £574 million.

    The transaction strengthened Shaftesbury Capital’s balance sheet, reducing EPRA loan-to-value to 16.8% from 27.4% and lowering net debt to £813 million from £1.4 billion.

    During the year, the company invested £113.3 million into its portfolio, including £33.1 million in capital expenditure and £80.2 million allocated to acquisitions. Retail assets, which account for 36% of the portfolio, delivered particularly strong performance, with valuations rising 10.4% and estimated rental values increasing 8.1%.

  • HSBC Tops FY25 Profit Expectations and Sets Stronger 2026 NII Outlook; Shares Gain 2%

    HSBC Tops FY25 Profit Expectations and Sets Stronger 2026 NII Outlook; Shares Gain 2%

    HSBC Holdings (LSE:HSBA) exceeded full-year profit forecasts on Wednesday and issued a 2026 net interest income (NII) outlook above market expectations, lifting its Hong Kong-listed shares by more than 2%.

    The Asia-focused banking group reported pretax profit of $29.91 billion for 2025, surpassing the $28.86 billion analyst consensus compiled by Bloomberg, although lower than the $32.38 billion recorded in the previous year.

    The year-on-year decline was largely attributable to $4.9 billion in notable items, including impairments related to its stake in Bank of Communications and restructuring expenses. On an adjusted basis excluding these items, pretax profit increased to $36.62 billion from $34.18 billion.

    Group revenue rose 4% to $68.3 billion, supported by stronger wealth management fees and foreign exchange income. Return on tangible equity reached 13.3% for the full year, or 17.2% when excluding notable items.

    HSBC projected banking net interest income of at least $45 billion for 2026, driven by deposit growth and contributions from its structural hedge. The guidance compares with an analyst consensus currently standing at $43.5 billion.

    Management also indicated operating costs would rise by around 1% in 2026, implying a cost base of approximately $33.8 billion — about $500 million below consensus expectations.

    “This gives management – along with visibility from the structural hedge – the conviction to produce banking NII guidance for ’26E of > $45bn, some $1.5bn higher than the street,” Jefferies analysts said.

    The bank expects credit losses in 2026 to be roughly 40 basis points of loans and reaffirmed its goal of achieving a return on tangible equity of at least 17% through 2028, alongside revenue growth accelerating to around 5% by that time.

    Adjusted pretax profit for the fourth quarter reached $8.59 billion, exceeding consensus forecasts by 9%. Banking net interest income totalled $11.7 billion, about 6% ahead of expectations, supported by higher HIBOR rates and a one-off contribution not expected to recur. Wealth management fees increased 20% year on year, while insurance income surged 49%.

    Reported pretax profit for the fourth quarter rose sharply to $6.8 billion from $2.3 billion a year earlier, when results had been affected by losses linked to the disposal of the Argentina business.

    HSBC’s CET1 capital ratio stood at 14.9%, 20 basis points above consensus estimates. Tangible net asset value per share increased 12% year on year to 964 cents. The board declared a fourth interim dividend of $0.45 per share, bringing total shareholder distributions for 2025 to $0.75 per share.

    The bank also disclosed $500 million in base synergies linked to the Hang Seng transaction, with an additional $400 million in potential synergies targeted by 2028, associated with restructuring costs of $600 million.

    Jefferies reiterated a “hold” rating on the London-listed shares with a price target of 1,120 pence. The stock last closed at 1,291 pence, equivalent to around 1.8 times spot tangible book value.