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  • Bargain buying could help Wall Street stage an early rebound: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Futures

    Bargain buying could help Wall Street stage an early rebound: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Futures

    U.S. stock index futures pointed modestly higher on Tuesday, suggesting markets may attempt to recover after the sharp losses recorded in the previous trading session.

    Investors may be tempted to step back into equities at lower valuations following Monday’s sell-off, which pushed the Dow to its weakest closing level in a month.

    Still, any recovery could remain tentative as ongoing uncertainty surrounding trade tariffs continues to weigh on market sentiment.

    Market participants may also avoid making aggressive bets ahead of quarterly earnings from artificial intelligence heavyweight Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), due after Wednesday’s closing bell.

    “Investors have plenty to worry about, and Nvidia’s results on Wednesday have the potential to make or break the market depending on what it says about AI,” said Dan Coatsworth, head of markets at AJ Bell.

    He added, “The market has this year shown widespread concerns about all things linked to AI, from excessive spending to business models being disrupted, so Nvidia needs to retain its uber-bullish stance if it wants to avoid stirring the pot of worry for investors.”

    After posting solid gains last week, equities retreated sharply on Monday, with all three major U.S. benchmarks ending the session significantly lower and the Dow recording its lowest close in roughly a month.

    Although stocks rebounded somewhat from intraday lows, losses remained substantial. The Dow dropped 821.91 points, or 1.7%, to 48,804.06, the Nasdaq declined 258.80 points, or 1.1%, to 22,627.27, and the S&P 500 fell 71.76 points, or 1.0%, to 6,837.75.

    The downturn followed renewed trade uncertainty after the U.S. Supreme Court last Friday invalidated most of President Donald Trump’s sweeping global tariff measures.

    In a Truth Social post on Saturday, Trump said he would raise worldwide tariffs to the “fully allowed” and “legally tested” 15 percent level, up from the 10 percent rate announced shortly after the ruling.

    “During the next short number of months, the Trump Administration will determine and issue the new and legally permissible Tariffs, which will continue our extraordinarily successful process of Making America Great Again – GREATER THAN EVER BEFORE!!!” Trump said.

    While a White House fact sheet acknowledged the president may impose tariffs for only 150 days without congressional approval, Trump later asserted that he would not need to seek authorization from Congress.

    He also warned that any country attempting to “play games” would face a “much higher Tariff, and worse, than that which they just recently agreed to.”

    Meanwhile, the European Commission called for “full clarity” regarding Washington’s next steps following the court decision.

    In a statement, the Commission said the current situation was “not conducive” to delivering “fair, balanced, and mutually beneficial” transatlantic trade and investment relations outlined in the EU-U.S. Joint Statement of August 2025.

    “A deal is a deal,” the European Commission said. “As the United States’ largest trading partner, the EU expects the U.S. to honour its commitments set out in the Joint Statement – just as the EU stands by its commitments.”

    Market sentiment was further pressured by a steep decline in IBM Corp. (NYSE:IBM), whose shares plunged 13.2%.

    The technology company came under pressure after Anthropic’s Claude introduced COBOL capabilities, targeting a programming language widely used in enterprise data processing — a key area of IBM’s business.

    Financial stocks were among the worst performers, with the KBW Bank Index tumbling 4.4% and the NYSE Arca Securities Broker/Dealer Index falling 3.4%.

    Software companies also faced heavy selling pressure, reflected by a 3.9% drop in the Dow Jones U.S. Software Index.

    Airline, computer hardware, and networking shares also declined notably, while gold-related stocks moved higher, supported by a strong rise in the price of the precious metal.

  • European stocks trade sideways amid trade uncertainty and AI disruption worries: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European stocks trade sideways amid trade uncertainty and AI disruption worries: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equities showed muted movement on Tuesday as renewed trade tensions and ongoing concerns about artificial intelligence-driven disruption kept investor sentiment cautious.

    With markets also monitoring geopolitical risks related to Iran, tariff developments and the broader economic outlook, investors are now looking ahead to U.S. President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address to Congress for further direction.

    Germany’s DAX Index slipped 0.1%, while the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index edged up 0.1% and France’s CAC 40 Index gained 0.2%.

    Banking stocks came under pressure, with Commerzbank (TG:CBK), Deutsche Bank (TG:DBK) and BNP Paribas (EU:BNP) declining between 1% and 2% amid concerns about the potential long-term impact of AI on employment, consumer trends, economic growth, corporate earnings and equity markets.

    Automakers, meanwhile, posted broad gains. Shares of BMW (TG:BMW), Mercedes Benz (TG:MBG), Volkswagen (TG:VOW3) and Renault (EU:RNO) each rose more than 1%, even after new data showed European car sales declined year-on-year in January for the first time since June.

    Spanish telecommunications group Telefonica (BIT:1TEF) advanced nearly 2% after reporting accelerating core profit growth in the fourth quarter.

    France-based vouchers and employee benefits provider Edenred (EU:EDEN) jumped around 7% after delivering core profit results for 2025 that exceeded expectations.

    Shares of Belgian chemicals company Solvay (EU:SOLB) climbed 3.4% after the group reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings ahead of analyst forecasts.

  • Oil advances toward multi-month highs as US-Iran tensions support prices

    Oil advances toward multi-month highs as US-Iran tensions support prices

    Oil prices moved higher on Tuesday, approaching levels last seen nearly seven months ago as traders monitored rising geopolitical risks ahead of another round of nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran.

    Brent crude futures added 48 cents, or 0.7%, to $71.97 per barrel by 0658 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained 45 cents, also 0.7%, to $66.76 per barrel.

    Brent is currently trading at its strongest level since July 31, while WTI has reached its highest level since August 1.

    “At this stage, geopolitics is clearly doing most of the heavy lifting for oil prices, with the current firmness largely driven by anticipation rather than actual supply loss,” said Phillip Nova senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva.

    “The risk of possible military escalation in the Middle East is gaining traction, and thus, traders appear to hedge against worst-case scenarios.”

    A third round of nuclear talks between Iran and the United States is scheduled to take place in Geneva on Thursday, Oman’s Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi confirmed on Sunday.

    Washington continues to press Tehran to abandon its nuclear ambitions, while Iran has firmly rejected the demand and insists it is not pursuing nuclear weapons.

    Amid mounting concerns over a potential military confrontation, the U.S. State Department has begun withdrawing non-essential staff and family members from the American embassy in Beirut, according to a senior official on Monday.

    U.S. President Donald Trump warned in a social media post that it would be a “very bad day” for Iran if negotiations fail to produce an agreement.

    “In the near-term, geopolitical factors related to the U.S.-Iran conflict are likely to be the primary driver for oil prices,” said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

    “For now, WTI crude oil is evolving in a short-term bullish dynamic, holding above its 20-day moving average, acting as a key short-term support at $63.90/barrel.”

    Trade developments also remained a key focus. Trump cautioned countries on Monday against backing away from recently negotiated trade agreements after the Supreme Court struck down his emergency tariffs, warning that significantly higher duties could be imposed under alternative trade legislation.

    “U.S. President Donald Trump created uncertainty for global growth and fuel demand with a new round of tariff hikes,” UOB Bank analysts said in a client note.

    Trump said on Saturday that a temporary tariff on imports into the United States from all countries would be increased to 15% from 10%, the maximum level permitted under existing law.

  • Gold eases after recent rally as stronger dollar and tariff concerns weigh

    Gold eases after recent rally as stronger dollar and tariff concerns weigh

    Gold prices edged lower on Tuesday, pulling back from a three-week high and ending a four-session winning streak as investors took profits while the U.S. dollar strengthened amid renewed uncertainty surrounding American trade tariffs.

    At 04:30 ET (09:30 GMT), spot gold declined 1.1% to $5,170.51 per ounce after earlier reaching its strongest level since late January. U.S. gold futures also moved lower, falling 0.7% to $5,190.44 per ounce.

    The precious metal had surged 2.5% in the previous session as concerns over U.S. trade policy resurfaced. Silver followed a similar pattern, retreating nearly 2% to $86.55 per ounce on Tuesday after posting gains across the prior four sessions.

    Firmer dollar pressures bullion prices

    The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.1% on Tuesday, recovering after a roughly 0.5% decline earlier and ending Monday broadly unchanged. A stronger dollar typically weighs on gold demand by increasing the metal’s cost for buyers using other currencies.

    Last week, the U.S. Supreme Court invalidated President Donald Trump’s earlier sweeping tariff measures, prompting the administration to quickly introduce new duties of up to 15%, reviving concerns about escalating global trade tensions.

    Trump warned on Monday that countries that “play games” with U.S. trade agreements would face higher tariffs, signalling the potential for further action despite ongoing legal challenges.

    Geopolitical developments also remained in focus. The United States and Iran are expected to hold a third round of nuclear negotiations in Geneva on Thursday, while military tensions and regional pressures continue to linger.

    UBS reiterates bullish view, targets $6,200 per ounce

    Despite Tuesday’s pullback, UBS maintained a constructive outlook for gold, projecting prices could rise to $6,200 per ounce in the months ahead, arguing that the fundamental drivers supporting the rally remain intact.

    From a geopolitical standpoint, the bank expects elevated uncertainty to persist. Increased U.S. military activity in the Middle East and a tightening timeline for a nuclear agreement with Iran raise the likelihood of further market volatility. UBS noted that although geopolitical shocks often have short-lived impacts on broader markets, they frequently trigger sharp volatility spikes — conditions that typically increase demand for hedging assets such as gold.

    Macroeconomic trends are also viewed as supportive. UBS expects the Federal Reserve to continue easing monetary policy, forecasting two 25-basis-point rate cuts by the end of September. A softer U.S. dollar and declining real yields would further strengthen gold’s appeal, particularly if inflation continues to moderate and the Fed adopts a more dovish stance later this year.

  • Bitcoin drops under $63k as risk sentiment weakens; losses deepen from October peak

    Bitcoin drops under $63k as risk sentiment weakens; losses deepen from October peak

    Bitcoin (COIN:BTCUSD) declined again on Tuesday, extending its recent downturn and leaving the cryptocurrency trading roughly 50% below its record high reached in October, as uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy continued to weigh on investor risk appetite.

    The wider cryptocurrency market also remained under pressure, with both institutional and retail participants trimming positions. Escalating geopolitical tensions tied to Iran, combined with a technology-led selloff on Wall Street driven by artificial intelligence concerns, further dampened sentiment across digital assets.

    Bitcoin fell close to 4% to $63,131.3 at 01:13 ET (06:13 GMT), after earlier slipping to an intraday low of $62,758.2.

    Bitcoin retreats sharply from record levels amid tariff worries

    Following the latest decline, Bitcoin is now trading about 50% below its early-October peak of $126,272.

    The world’s largest cryptocurrency has struggled to regain momentum since then, as tighter U.S. regulatory developments and continued accumulation by major corporate holder Strategy have failed to stabilise market confidence.

    Strategy announced on Monday that it had purchased an additional 592 Bitcoin. The company is currently facing sizeable unrealised losses, with Bitcoin trading below its average acquisition price of $76,020.

    Blockchain data from CryptoQuant and Coinglass indicated that large holders — commonly referred to as “whales” — have continued transferring significant quantities of Bitcoin to exchanges, signalling potential further selling activity.

    At the same time, buying interest appears limited. Glassnode data showed institutional investors recorded a fifth consecutive week of outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds as of Monday, highlighting ongoing institutional selling pressure.

    Trade policy uncertainty adds pressure as new tariffs begin

    Bitcoin’s latest weakness has largely been attributed to uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy after the Supreme Court struck down much of President Donald Trump’s tariff framework.

    Trump responded by proposing universal tariffs of 15% under an alternative legal structure, although the measures initially took effect at a 10% rate starting at midnight Tuesday.

    The president now faces increased legal scrutiny over future tariff actions but has shown little sign of retreating from his trade agenda. He also warned that countries attempting to renegotiate recently agreed trade deals with the United States could face higher tariffs, cautioning partners not to “play games.”

    Although cryptocurrencies are not directly impacted by trade measures, they tend to move in line with broader shifts in market sentiment given their speculative nature. The uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariffs has therefore contributed to rising risk aversion across global markets.

    Crypto market today: altcoins remain under pressure

    Most alternative cryptocurrencies followed Bitcoin lower on Tuesday, with the sector showing limited signs of recovery after weeks of declines.

    Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market value, fell 2.8% to $1,826.75, remaining close to levels last seen in early February.

    XRP and BNB dropped 2.6% and 1.4%, respectively, while Cardano and Solana declined 3.3% and 2.8%.

    Among meme tokens, Dogecoin slid 3.6%, while $TRUMP edged down 0.9%.

  • Markets watch AI disruption risks and new Trump tariffs as earnings season gathers pace: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    Markets watch AI disruption risks and new Trump tariffs as earnings season gathers pace: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    U.S. equity futures traded in a narrow range on Tuesday as investors balanced concerns about artificial intelligence–related disruption with anticipation ahead of a busy slate of corporate earnings. Market sentiment was also influenced by the rollout of President Donald Trump’s new 10% global tariff regime following a Supreme Court ruling that overturned earlier emergency trade measures. Separately, Paramount Skydance (NASDAQ:PSKY) has reportedly increased its bid for Warner Bros Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD), while Home Depot (NYSE:HD) is set to publish its latest quarterly results.

    Futures hold near unchanged levels

    Futures linked to major U.S. benchmarks remained close to flat as traders prepared for upcoming earnings announcements, including results from AI leader Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA).

    At 03:03 ET, Dow futures were higher by 47 points, or 0.1%, S&P 500 futures rose 10 points, or 0.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 38 points, or 0.2%.

    Wall Street’s primary indices declined in the previous session amid persistent anxiety over how rapidly advancing AI technologies could reshape multiple industries. Some analysts pointed to a recent Citrini Research report outlining a severe hypothetical scenario in which widespread AI adoption could trigger large-scale white-collar job losses, weaken consumer demand, increase credit defaults and ultimately push the economy into recession.

    Citrini stressed that the analysis represented a “scenario, not a prediction,” though markets remained unsettled amid broader concerns about heavy spending by mega-cap technology firms on AI infrastructure.

    “As has been the case for weeks, AI is clearly a net negative for the equity market as hyperscalers get weighed down [free cash flow] fears while disruption worries eviscerate software and several other sectors,” analysts at Vital Knowledge said in a note.

    Trump’s global tariffs begin

    President Trump’s latest round of global tariffs came into force at midnight Tuesday at a 10% rate, following a Supreme Court ruling last week that struck down his previously imposed “reciprocal” duties.

    The tariff level was communicated through the U.S. Customs and Border Protection messaging system and remains below the 15% rate Trump signalled after the court decision, which found his use of emergency economic powers to implement sweeping global surcharges unlawful.

    Trump initially introduced a universal 10% tariff after the ruling before warning that the rate could rise to 15%. Bloomberg News reported that the White House is preparing a formal order to implement that increase.

    The tariffs, introduced under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, will remain in place for 150 days, after which Congress will determine whether they should continue.

    Uncertainty persists around trade agreements negotiated prior to the court ruling. Responding to reports that some countries may reconsider existing arrangements, Trump cautioned partners via social media not to “play games.”

    Paramount reportedly sweetens offer for Warner Bros Discovery

    Paramount Skydance (NASDAQ:PSKY) has submitted a revised and improved proposal for Warner Bros Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD), according to Reuters, as it attempts to persuade the media group to abandon its agreement with Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX).

    Reuters, citing a source familiar with the discussions, reported that the updated bid improves on Paramount’s earlier $30-per-share proposal, which valued Warner Bros at approximately $108.4 billion. Warner Bros previously argued the offer undervalued the company and granted Paramount a seven-day deadline — ending February 23 — to submit a revised bid.

    Netflix has separately agreed a deal worth $27.75 per share in cash, valuing the relevant Warner studios and streaming assets at roughly $82.7 billion.

    Variety reported that Warner Bros is expected to review Paramount’s latest proposal while continuing to seek shareholder backing for the Netflix agreement.

    Central to the takeover battle is control of Warner Bros’ valuable intellectual property portfolio, including franchises such as “Game of Thrones” and “Harry Potter.”

    Home Depot earnings in focus

    Home Depot (NYSE:HD) is scheduled to release quarterly earnings before the opening bell on Tuesday.

    The home-improvement retailer previously issued cautious forecasts for fiscal 2026, pointing to modest comparable sales growth and profit expectations amid subdued demand for large-ticket renovation products.

    During a December investor day, chief financial officer Richard McPhail warned that consumer caution tied to cost-of-living pressures is expected to persist, noting there has not yet been “a catalyst or an inflection in housing activity.”

    Elevated home prices and slower hiring trends have contributed to uneven housing demand in the U.S., despite signs that interest rates and mortgage costs may be stabilising.

    Home Depot expects comparable-store sales growth ranging from flat to 2% in fiscal 2026, while adjusted earnings per share are projected to increase between flat and 4%, both below LSEG forecasts cited by Reuters.

    Oil prices hover near multi-month highs

    Oil prices moved slightly higher, trading close to seven-month highs ahead of another round of nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran later this week.

    Brent crude futures rose 0.2% to $71.28 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained 0.3% to $66.51 per barrel. Both benchmarks remain near levels last seen in early August 2025.

    The United States and Iran are scheduled to hold a third round of nuclear talks in Geneva on Thursday, amid growing concerns about potential military escalation as Washington pushes for an end to Iran’s nuclear programme.

  • European stocks edge lower as trade uncertainty weighs while earnings remain in focus: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European stocks edge lower as trade uncertainty weighs while earnings remain in focus: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equities moved slightly lower on Tuesday as investors evaluated shifting global trade conditions following the implementation of new worldwide tariffs introduced by U.S. President Donald Trump.

    At 08:05 GMT, Germany’s DAX index declined 0.1%, France’s CAC 40 fell 0.2%, and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 slipped 0.2%.

    New tariff environment adds uncertainty

    The latest round of global trade tariffs announced by President Trump has taken effect at a 10% rate after a U.S. Supreme Court ruling invalidated a large portion of earlier levies, adding fresh uncertainty to international trade dynamics.

    The 10% tariff level was communicated via the U.S. Customs and Border Protection messaging system. Media reports indicate the White House is now considering increasing the tariff to 15%, a level Trump signalled over the weekend following the court decision.

    Investors are questioning whether trade agreements negotiated prior to the Supreme Court ruling remain valid. A European Union assessment suggested the revised tariff framework could push duties on certain EU exports beyond levels allowed under existing trade arrangements.

    Trump is expected to address trade policy during his State of the Union speech to Congress later Tuesday, having already warned trading partners not to “play games” by withdrawing from recently negotiated agreements.

    Earnings season continues across Europe

    Corporate earnings remained a key focus for markets as companies continued reporting results during a busy week for financial updates.

    Standard Chartered (LSE:STAN) announced a 16% increase in full-year pre-tax profit, supported by strong performances in its global banking and wealth divisions. The lender also unveiled a $1.5 billion share buyback programme and raised its full-year dividend by 65% compared with the previous year.

    Telefonica (BIT:1TEF) reported a fourth-quarter net loss after recognising €2.8 billion in restructuring charges, which outweighed improvements in operating performance as the telecom group reshaped its portfolio and exited several Latin American markets.

    Fresenius Medical Care (TG:FME) posted a sharp increase in fourth-quarter operating income, helped by accelerating cost-saving measures and favourable reimbursement trends.

    Croda International (LSE:CRDA) also reported improved adjusted earnings for 2025, with growth driven by solid performance in its Consumer Care and Life Sciences divisions.

    The European automotive sector drew attention as well after data from industry body ACEA showed regional new car sales declined year-on-year in January for the first time since June. Total EU registrations fell 3.9%, although battery-electric vehicles increased their market share to 19.3% from 14.9% a year earlier. Hybrid-electric vehicles remained the dominant powertrain at 38.6% of registrations, while petrol and diesel vehicles continued to lose market share.

    Oil prices hover near seven-month highs

    Oil prices edged higher on Tuesday, trading close to seven-month highs ahead of another round of nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran later this week.

    Brent crude futures rose 0.3% to $71.33 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained 0.4% to $66.55 per barrel. Both benchmarks are currently trading near levels last seen in early August 2025.

    Iran and the United States are scheduled to hold a third round of nuclear talks in Geneva on Thursday, amid growing concerns about the risk of military escalation as Washington pushes for an end to Iran’s nuclear programme.

  • FTSE 100 opens lower as AI concerns weigh on sentiment; Standard Chartered in focus

    FTSE 100 opens lower as AI concerns weigh on sentiment; Standard Chartered in focus

    UK equities edged lower at Tuesday’s open, with investor sentiment remaining cautious amid ongoing concerns about artificial intelligence–driven disruption and broader geopolitical uncertainty. Market participants are expected to keep a close watch on developments linked to the AI theme, which analysts say continues to influence global risk appetite.

    Sterling slipped below the $1.34 level as trading began, while attention also turned to monetary policy developments. Four Bank of England rate-setters are scheduled to appear before parliament later in the day, with investors looking for clues on the likelihood of a potential interest rate cut in March as policymakers remain divided on the outlook.

    As of 08:11 GMT, the FTSE 100 index was down 0.2%, while GBP/USD fell 0.1% to 1.3475. European markets also weakened, with Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 both declining by around 0.3%.

    UK market movers

    Standard Chartered PLC (LSE:STAN) reported fourth-quarter results that missed analyst expectations, as higher costs and flat revenue growth weighed on performance. The Asia-focused bank posted underlying pre-tax profit of $1.24 billion for the three months to 31 December, below Bloomberg consensus estimates of $1.38 billion, although still 18% higher than the $1.05 billion recorded a year earlier. Operating income remained broadly unchanged at $4.85 billion, with growth in wealth solutions and global banking offset by weaker episodic trading income within markets.

    Croda International PLC (LSE:CRDA) reported improved adjusted earnings for 2025, supported by strong performance in its Consumer Care and Life Sciences divisions. Group sales rose to £1.70 billion, representing a 6.6% increase at constant currency, driven mainly by a 9.6% rise in volumes. Adjusted operating profit climbed 7.9% to £295.3 million, lifting margins to 17.4%, while adjusted profit before tax increased 8.4% to £276.2 million. Adjusted basic earnings per share rose slightly to 146.2 pence from 142.6 pence a year earlier.

    Unite Group PLC (LSE:UTG) reported a 2% decline in net asset value for 2025 and issued more cautious earnings guidance for the year ahead, reflecting weaker occupancy trends and moderating rental growth despite continued demand from higher-tariff universities. The student accommodation provider recorded net asset value of 955 pence per share, below Jefferies’ forecast of 988 pence. Adjusted earnings per share increased 2% year-on-year to 47.5 pence, marginally below expectations, while the company declared a dividend of 37.7 pence per share, slightly under consensus forecasts.

  • Standard Chartered shares fall after Q4 profit misses expectations amid higher costs

    Standard Chartered shares fall after Q4 profit misses expectations amid higher costs

    Standard Chartered (LSE:STAN) reported fourth-quarter results that fell short of market expectations as increased costs and weaker market-related income offset continued strength in wealth management and deposit growth, sending the bank’s shares lower.

    The Asia-focused lender posted underlying pre-tax profit of $1.24 billion for the three months to 31 December, below the $1.38 billion consensus estimate compiled by Bloomberg. Despite the miss, profit still rose 18% year-on-year from $1.05 billion. Operating income remained broadly stable at $4.85 billion compared with $4.83 billion in the same period a year earlier.

    Analysts at Jefferies attributed much of the shortfall to weaker episodic income within the Financial Markets division, estimating that deal timing and market-related inventory effects reduced income by roughly $150 million versus expectations. This softer performance partly offset solid growth in wealth solutions and global banking activities.

    Net interest income declined 1% year-on-year to approximately $2.95 billion, reflecting margin pressure from lower interest rates. The bank reported a net interest margin of 209 basis points, up 15 basis points quarter-on-quarter but 11 basis points lower than a year earlier. Jefferies noted that net interest income nevertheless exceeded its forecasts, supported by higher HIBOR rates, improved CASA pass-through and favourable treasury income timing. Deposits increased 12% year-on-year, exceeding consensus expectations by $14.7 billion.

    Operating expenses rose 5% to $3.43 billion, driven by ongoing investment spending, transformation initiatives and higher performance-related compensation. The figure also included $121 million linked to regulatory changes. Excluding this item, Jefferies estimated costs rose 4% year-on-year and 12% quarter-on-quarter, with the cost-to-income ratio reaching 71%, up 13 percentage points from the previous quarter.

    Credit impairment charges increased to $145 million from $130 million a year earlier, mainly reflecting retail provisions. Analysts estimated the quarter’s cost of risk at roughly 20 basis points, while noting reduced retail impairments following portfolio optimisation measures.

    Chief executive Bill Winters said the group continued to benefit from structural growth trends across its Asia, Africa and Middle East markets and had begun 2026 on a solid footing. Wealth performance remained steady, with investment product income rising 22% year-on-year and new money inflows of $10 billion, broadly unchanged from the prior year.

    The bank ended the quarter with a common equity tier 1 ratio of 14.1%, in line with expectations and 10 basis points lower sequentially. Tangible net asset value per share increased 12% year-on-year to 1,730 cents. Standard Chartered also announced a $1.5 billion share buyback programme, exceeding consensus expectations of $1.39 billion.

    For the full year, underlying pre-tax profit rose 18% to $7.9 billion from $6.8 billion, while return on tangible equity improved to 14.7% from 11.7%. The board proposed a final dividend of 49 cents per share, bringing the total annual payout to 61 cents — a 65% increase year-on-year.

    Looking ahead, the bank has shifted its reporting and guidance to a reported basis. For 2026, it expects net interest income to remain broadly flat at constant currency, with reported revenue toward the lower end of a 5–7% growth range. Reported costs are forecast to be broadly unchanged year-on-year, while management targets a reported return on tangible equity above 12%, equivalent to roughly 13.5% on an underlying basis according to Jefferies. The bank added that trading in the first quarter has started strongly across corporate and investment banking as well as wealth management, with analysts viewing the 2026 outlook as modestly ahead of consensus expectations.

  • Brooks Macdonald beats profit forecasts despite softer revenue performance

    Brooks Macdonald beats profit forecasts despite softer revenue performance

    Brooks Macdonald (LSE:BRK) reported first-half results for 2026 showing profits ahead of market expectations, although revenue came in slightly below forecasts. The wealth manager delivered underlying pre-tax profit of £13.6 million, representing a 12% decline year-on-year but exceeding consensus estimates by around 5%, supported by earlier-than-expected benefits from cost control measures.

    Revenue for the period reached £58 million, up 12% compared with the prior year but approximately 3% below analyst expectations. The average revenue yield linked to funds under management fell to 50.6 basis points from 59.4 basis points in fiscal 2025, largely reflecting weaker transactional income within the business performance services division. Excluding transaction-related impacts, revenues declined 5% year-on-year while costs increased by 3%.

    The group reported a profit margin of 23.4%, while earnings per share totalled 64.2 pence — down 7% from the previous year but around 4% ahead of forecasts. An interim dividend of 31 pence per share was declared, representing a 3% increase year-on-year and meeting market expectations.

    Cash balances declined to £27 million from £54 million, reflecting higher capital expenditure, continued investment activity and mergers and acquisitions spending. The company’s capital surplus also reduced to £12.0 million from £15.6 million at the end of fiscal 2025.

    Looking ahead, Brooks Macdonald expects full-year 2026 performance to align with current market expectations. Management anticipates first-half revenue yield trends will persist into the second half, with operating costs broadly similar to first-half levels before the Financial Services Compensation Scheme levy. The firm also plans to continue investing organically and remains open to further acquisitions in financial planning as part of its growth strategy.