Author: Fiona Craig

  • Mila Resources doubles Coffey gold resource at Kathleen Valley Project

    Mila Resources doubles Coffey gold resource at Kathleen Valley Project

    Mila Resources (LSE:MILA) has announced a significant increase in the JORC-compliant Mineral Resource Estimate for the Coffey Gold Deposit at its Kathleen Valley Gold Project in Western Australia.

    The updated Inferred Mineral Resource contains 599,000 tonnes grading 2.1 grams per tonne of gold for approximately 41,300 ounces of contained gold. Compared with the previous 2020 estimate, both tonnage and contained gold have roughly doubled following additional drilling across the deposit.

    The revised resource also contains notable silver and zinc grades, adding further potential value to the mineralised system at Coffey.

    Updated estimate strengthens Kathleen Valley potential

    The expanded resource provides additional support for the development potential of both the Coffey deposit and Mila’s wider Kathleen Valley position within Western Australia’s Wiluna-Norseman Belt.

    Exploration upside remains beyond the currently defined resource, with several gold targets yet to be fully tested. The project area also contains mapped lithium-bearing pegmatites, providing another potential exploration opportunity alongside its established precious and base metal mineralisation.

    There is also scope for the mineralised system to extend towards neighbouring properties, offering the possibility of further resource growth if geological continuity can be demonstrated through future exploration.

    Strategic review to assess options for Kathleen Valley

    Following the resource upgrade, Mila is undertaking a strategic review to determine the most effective way to generate value from its Kathleen Valley interest.

    The company currently holds rights to 30% of the project and has an option that could increase its ownership to 80%. The review comes as Mila simultaneously advances its portfolio of exploration assets in Queensland.

    While the Coffey resource increase represents an important project milestone, Mila’s broader outlook remains constrained by its financial position. The company currently generates no revenue and continues to record losses and negative free cash flow.

    Share-price technical indicators also remain under pressure, with the stock trading below major moving averages and MACD remaining negative. Conventional valuation measures provide limited support while earnings are negative and no dividend yield is available.

    More about Mila Resources

    Mila Resources Plc is a London-listed post-discovery gold and copper resource development company focused on Australian mineral projects.

    Its portfolio includes the Kathleen Valley Gold Project in Western Australia, where Mila holds rights to a 30% interest with an option to increase its ownership to 80%. The company is also progressing a portfolio of exploration projects in Queensland as it seeks to build exposure to gold, copper and other prospective mineral resources.

  • S&U lending book reaches record £616 million as securitisation nears

    S&U lending book reaches record £616 million as securitisation nears

    S&U plc (LSE:SUS) delivered a strong second quarter as its lending portfolio expanded to a record level, supported by growth across its motor and property finance operations and continued solid credit quality.

    Group capital receivables increased 20% year on year to £616 million, while borrowings stood at £285 million, remaining within the company’s existing funding facilities.

    S&U is also approaching completion of a significant securitisation and refinancing programme intended to provide additional capacity for future expansion. Details of the new funding arrangements are expected to be announced alongside the group’s half-year results in late September.

    Advantage Finance accelerates lending despite weaker market

    Advantage Finance continued to outperform the wider UK motor finance market, with year-to-date deal volumes increasing by 50%.

    Advances reached £105 million during the first half, despite the broader UK car finance market contracting by approximately 3%. Collections also improved, while bad debts were reduced by almost 20%.

    Operational improvements are contributing to greater efficiency across the division. S&U reported a 50% increase in productivity within customer relations following the targeted introduction of artificial intelligence, alongside continued cost controls.

    Management expects the financial benefits from these efficiency measures to become more visible during the second half of the year and into 2027/28.

    Aspen Bridging grows loan book in subdued property market

    Aspen Bridging experienced slower near-term profit growth as conditions in the UK property market remained subdued and regulatory pressures continued to affect the rental sector.

    Despite these challenges, capital receivables increased to £208 million, representing growth of almost one-third compared with the previous year.

    The business has adjusted its lending mix towards longer-duration loans for more experienced customers. While this approach results in slower repayment cycles, S&U said it helps maintain the quality of the lending book.

    Late and beyond-term customers remained broadly stable at approximately 7% of Aspen’s portfolio.

    Refinancing expected to support next stage of growth

    Chairman Anthony Coombs pointed to S&U’s ability to perform consistently through differing economic environments. He also noted increasing interest from strategic and US investors in smaller UK financial businesses despite relatively subdued domestic sentiment.

    The forthcoming securitisation and refinancing arrangements are expected to mark an important stage in the group’s development, providing a more flexible funding platform to support further expansion.

    S&U’s investment outlook continues to benefit from strong reported profitability, an attractive earnings multiple and a relatively high dividend yield. However, inconsistent cash-flow generation and increased leverage remain potential constraints, while share-price technical indicators are broadly neutral.

    More about S&U plc

    S&U plc is a UK specialist lender operating primarily through Advantage Finance and Aspen Bridging.

    Advantage Finance provides motor finance to consumers and has continued to expand deal volumes despite contraction in the wider UK car finance market. Aspen Bridging specialises in property-backed lending and has adapted its product offering to changing conditions in the housing and rental markets while maintaining a focus on credit quality.

    The group currently has record capital receivables of £616 million and borrowings of £285 million against £330 million of available facilities. Its securitisation and refinancing strategy is designed to provide more flexible and competitively priced funding to support continued growth across its specialist lending businesses.

  • Gelion sulfur cathode technology passes high-power drone testing with QinetiQ

    Gelion sulfur cathode technology passes high-power drone testing with QinetiQ

    Gelion (LSE:GELN) has successfully completed an Advanced Propulsion Centre UK-funded programme evaluating its Nano-Encapsulated Sulfur cathode technology in lithium-sulfur pouch cells designed for demanding drone applications.

    The battery materials company conducted the programme alongside defence and aerospace specialist QinetiQ, which independently manufactured and tested cells incorporating Gelion’s technology. The cells use sulfur in place of cathode materials dependent on critical minerals while targeting the high energy density and power required for unmanned aerial systems.

    Cells complete demanding drone mission profiles

    Testing subjected the lithium-sulfur cells to operating conditions designed to replicate drone missions, including repeated high-power requirements during take-off and landing.

    The cells demonstrated stable cycling for more than 200 cycles at a 1C rate. They also delivered strong performance at higher 3C and 6C discharge rates, with limited degradation recorded during testing.

    According to Gelion, the results provide further evidence that its Nano-Encapsulated Sulfur, or NES™, technology can address important challenges traditionally associated with lithium-sulfur batteries, including the polysulfide shuttle effect.

    Successful independent testing also strengthens the company’s efforts to position NES™ for applications where battery weight, energy density and high-power delivery are particularly important.

    Results support defence and aerospace commercial strategy

    Gelion sees potential applications for the technology across defence, aerospace, unmanned systems and other lightweight mobility markets.

    Completion of the QinetiQ programme provides additional technical validation as Gelion continues discussions with prospective commercial and development partners.

    The company’s wider investment outlook nevertheless remains affected by continuing losses and cash consumption, while negative earnings limit support from conventional valuation measures.

    These financial challenges are partly balanced by more constructive share-price technical indicators, including trading above key moving averages and a positive MACD signal. Recent company updates have also pointed to progress against technical and commercial milestones and an improvement in EBITDA losses, although execution and commercialisation timelines remain important risks.

    More about Gelion PLC

    Gelion plc is an advanced battery materials company developing next-generation cathode technologies for lithium-ion and lithium-sulfur batteries.

    Its proprietary Nano-Encapsulated Sulfur (NES™) cathode technology is designed to replace cathodes reliant on critical minerals with more abundant sulfur while retaining compatibility with established battery manufacturing infrastructure.

    Gelion’s commercialisation strategy centres on partnerships with industrial companies and battery manufacturers serving automotive, defence, electronics and other high-performance applications. Its collaborations include TDK and Mitsui Kinzoku in Japan, QinetiQ and Nissan in the UK, the National Laboratory of the Rockies in the US and Germany’s Max Planck Institute of Colloids and Interfaces.

  • Shuka Minerals identifies high-grade zinc discovery at Kabwe

    Shuka Minerals identifies high-grade zinc discovery at Kabwe

    Shuka Minerals (LSE:SKA) has completed the eleventh and final drill hole of its initial exploration campaign at the Kabwe project in Zambia, identifying a new near-surface zinc orebody to the south of the Speaks and Mine Club zones.

    Drill hole KBDD11 encountered two high-grade mineralised intervals, including a 27.1-metre section grading 19.6% zinc. Peak readings approached 70% zinc, while the drilling also returned notable concentrations of lead, copper and vanadium.

    The results provide further evidence of significant mineralisation outside the previously established Kabwe zones and could expand the project’s overall mineralised footprint.

    Discovery could represent extension of historic orebodies

    Shuka believes the newly identified mineralisation may be geologically associated with Kabwe’s major No. 1 and No. 2 orebodies.

    Initial interpretation suggests the discovery could form part of a steeply dipping, pipe-like mineralised structure. If confirmed by further drilling, this could materially increase the scale of the mineralised system currently being evaluated at Kabwe.

    Management highlighted the potential importance of locating exceptionally high-grade zinc close to surface. Mineralisation that is both high grade and readily accessible could provide opportunities for earlier-stage development while improving the broader economic potential of the project.

    The company plans to undertake a second phase of drilling once laboratory assays have been received to confirm the results generated using portable XRF equipment.

    Kabwe catalysts offset financial challenges

    Exploration progress at Kabwe and financing-related developments provide positive corporate catalysts for Shuka, while improving near-term technical momentum offers additional support.

    However, the company’s broader outlook continues to be constrained by weak financial performance, including persistent losses, negative gross profit and recurring cash consumption alongside volatile revenue.

    Traditional valuation measures also provide limited support while earnings remain negative and the company does not pay a dividend. As a result, progress at Kabwe and confirmation of the latest drilling results remain important factors for the investment case.

    More about Shuka Minerals Plc

    Shuka Minerals Plc is an Africa-focused mine operator and developer with a primary listing on London’s AIM market and a secondary listing on the JSE’s AltX market.

    The company is advancing the Kabwe Zinc-Lead-Copper Project in Zambia, where it is targeting near-surface and deeper mineralisation containing zinc, lead, copper, silver and vanadium.

    Kabwe includes the Speaks and Mine Club orebodies, which were previously covered by an NI 43-101 report containing multimillion-tonne indicated and inferred resources. Shuka’s current exploration programme is extending modern drilling into southern areas of the project to improve its geological models, establish mineralisation continuity and potentially expand the existing resource inventory.

  • Empresaria returns to growth as first-half profitability improves

    Empresaria returns to growth as first-half profitability improves

    Empresaria (LSE:EMR) returned to growth during the first half of 2026, recording higher net fee income and a sharp improvement in adjusted operating profit as performance strengthened across several of its divisions.

    Net fee income increased by 5%, while adjusted operating profit climbed 135%. The improvement was led by strong contributions from the group’s global workforce solutions and operational outsourcing businesses.

    Specialist recruitment also made progress after previously weighing on group earnings. Cost reductions and restructuring measures helped the division return to profitability, contributing to higher adjusted profit before tax and greater stability in net debt.

    Following the stronger first-half performance, management has increased its expectations for full-year profit.

    Skillhouse disposal supports balance sheet

    Empresaria completed the disposal of its Skillhouse business in April, generating a profit from the transaction and releasing cash that could be used to reduce borrowings and provide additional working capital.

    The transaction forms part of management’s broader approach to capital allocation and cost control, with the group continuing to address businesses that are failing to generate acceptable returns.

    Management is also targeting improved employee productivity as it seeks to establish profitable growth across each of Empresaria’s operating divisions.

    Despite the progress made during the first half, geopolitical uncertainty and difficult market conditions continue to affect the global recruitment industry and remain potential obstacles to further growth.

    Financial challenges remain despite operational progress

    The improvement in adjusted profitability provides a more positive operational backdrop, although Empresaria’s overall investment outlook remains constrained by continuing net losses and a more leveraged balance sheet.

    Share-price technical indicators offer some support, with the stock trading above major moving averages. However, valuation support remains limited while reported earnings are negative and the shares do not currently provide a dividend yield.

    More about Empresaria

    Empresaria Group plc is an international specialist staffing and recruitment business listed on AIM. The group provides global workforce solutions, operational outsourcing and specialist recruitment services across its portfolio.

    Its strategy centres on improving productivity, controlling costs and increasing profitability across its different service lines while navigating challenging conditions in global labour markets.

  • Arkadian opens new access at Clogau mine to advance gold exploration

    Arkadian opens new access at Clogau mine to advance gold exploration

    Arkadian Strategic Metals (LSE:AKN) has completed the installation of ladders and platforms at its Clogau-St David’s Gold Mine in north Wales, creating staged access between the Tyn y Cornel Level and the historic Jack Williams stope.

    The newly established route will enable the company to carry out detailed geological inspections, mapping and systematic sampling across the westernmost historically worked section of the Main Lode. Arkadian identified the area as an important exploration target following drilling conducted in 2020 and 2021 and subsequent three-dimensional geological modelling.

    Existing workings provide cost-effective exploration route

    Rather than immediately developing new underground crosscuts, Arkadian intends to use the existing mine infrastructure to investigate the continuity of the geology and assess gold mineralisation within the Main Vein around the Jack Williams workings.

    The programme is designed to provide additional geological information before the company decides whether more extensive underground development is justified in the area.

    Results from the Jack Williams work will be considered alongside an ongoing mineralogical review of Level 5 at Lower Llechfraith. The combined information will feed into a broader technical assessment covering the Clogau mine.

    Arkadian plans to use this assessment to prioritise underground exploration targets and determine where future work and development should be concentrated.

    Financial position remains a key consideration

    While continued progress at Clogau provides evidence of project execution, Arkadian’s broader outlook remains constrained by its financial performance. The company currently generates no revenue and continues to report losses and cash outflows.

    Longer-term technical indicators also remain weak. With the company loss-making and no stated dividend, its valuation case continues to depend heavily on exploration progress and the potential of its underlying mineral assets.

    More about Arkadian Strategic Metals Plc

    Arkadian Strategic Metals Plc is an AIM-listed mining and exploration company focused on strategic metals and gold, with Welsh gold forming an important part of its portfolio.

    The company owns 100% of the Clogau-St David’s, Dolgellau and Gwynfynydd gold projects in Wales. Its wider portfolio also includes interests in critical metals, graphite, oil and rare earths projects located across Greenland, England and Sweden.

  • Nexteq’s Densitron secures strategic EV display contract as it enters automotive market

    Nexteq’s Densitron secures strategic EV display contract as it enters automotive market

    Nexteq’s (LSE:NXQ) Densitron business has secured a strategic design contract with a new customer in the automotive electronics industry, marking the technology group’s entry into the automotive and transportation market.

    Under the agreement, Densitron will develop customised display and human-machine interface solutions for a new electric delivery vehicle platform. The programme requires bespoke engineering work and further refinement of product specifications ahead of the planned production phase.

    Manufacturing is expected to begin during the second half of fiscal 2026. Nexteq anticipates volumes will increase significantly over the following three years as the electric vehicle platform is rolled out more widely.

    Automotive deal broadens Nexteq’s market exposure

    The contract represents an important expansion for Nexteq beyond its established industrial markets, providing the group with exposure to the automotive and transportation sector.

    Management said the project demonstrates Densitron’s ability to provide higher-value technology solutions tailored to individual customer requirements. It also reinforces the brand’s position as an outsourcing partner for businesses seeking specialist display, engineering and human-machine interface expertise.

    The new relationship could provide an additional source of revenue growth as production volumes increase, while potentially establishing a longer-term partnership with the automotive electronics customer.

    Nexteq enters this new market with a strong balance sheet and relatively low debt levels. However, the investment picture continues to reflect pressure from tighter margins and weaker or more volatile cash generation.

    From a technical perspective, the shares remain below important moving averages despite indicators suggesting oversold conditions. Meanwhile, the valuation is supported by a relatively high dividend yield, although the earnings multiple remains moderate.

    More about Nexteq plc

    Nexteq plc is a technology solutions provider focused on selected industrial markets, helping electronic equipment manufacturers outsource the design, development and supply of technology components that are not considered core to their operations.

    The group operates through its Quixant and Densitron brands, combining expertise across electronic hardware, software, displays and mechanical engineering. Nexteq operates across six countries and serves more than 500 customers worldwide, with Taiwan playing an important role in its manufacturing and supply chain operations.

  • Wall Street Futures Rise as Oil Sell-Off Eases Inflation Concerns: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq

    Wall Street Futures Rise as Oil Sell-Off Eases Inflation Concerns: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq

    U.S. stock futures moved higher on Tuesday, pointing to a positive start on Wall Street after the major averages finished the previous session mostly lower.

    A renewed decline in crude oil prices helped improve market sentiment, with traders reassessing the potential impact of Washington’s latest economic measures against Iran. Oil had already fallen by more than 2% on Monday, ending a six-session winning streak, before U.S. crude futures extended the retreat by more than 3% on Tuesday.

    The sharp reversal in energy prices has also helped bring Treasury yields down from recent highs, providing additional support for equity valuations.

    Washington Unveils New Iran Sanctions Campaign

    The latest move in oil followed the U.S. Treasury Department’s announcement of “Operation Economic Outcast,” which it described as an unprecedented, government-wide economic campaign targeting Iran and its “enablers.”

    The U.S. imposed sanctions on nearly 60 entities, individuals and vessels that authorities said “enable the Iranian regime’s recklessness.”

    However, the measures stopped short of immediately applying secondary sanctions to countries maintaining commercial relationships with Iran. That appeared to reassure commodity markets, which had been preparing for potentially tougher action capable of disrupting global oil flows.

    With crude prices retreating, Treasury yields also continued to ease, helping strengthen the case for an initially positive session on Wall Street.

    Nvidia and Inflation Data Remain Key Market Tests

    Investors may nevertheless be reluctant to make aggressive moves ahead of several major events later this week.

    Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is due to release its second-quarter results after Wednesday’s closing bell, making the report an important test of investor confidence in artificial intelligence and semiconductor spending.

    Closely watched U.S. inflation figures are also approaching, while attention will turn to the Jackson Hole economic symposium and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks on Friday.

    These events could influence expectations for monetary policy and determine whether the recent improvement in risk appetite can be sustained.

    Technology Weakness Weighs on Monday’s Session

    Wall Street endured a mixed session on Monday, with stocks recovering from their early lows but generally remaining under pressure.

    The Nasdaq fell 200.26 points, or 0.8%, to 25,980.19, leaving the technology-heavy index at its lowest closing level in three weeks.

    The S&P 500 declined 21.51 points, or 0.3%, to 7,652.86.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average bucked the broader trend, advancing 140.15 points, or 0.3%, to 53,417.16 as gains in Visa (NYSE:V), Walmart (NYSE:WMT) and Disney (NYSE:DIS) provided support.

    Nvidia Slides Ahead of Quarterly Results

    Technology shares were responsible for much of Monday’s weakness, with semiconductor stocks suffering particularly heavy selling.

    The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped 2.7%, while Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) lost 2.9% as investors positioned themselves ahead of the AI chipmaker’s earnings announcement.

    Computer hardware and networking stocks also came under pressure. Energy shares weakened alongside crude oil, although overall market activity remained relatively subdued as traders waited for the week’s major catalysts.

    Investors Look to Warsh for Clues on Fed Strategy

    Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole appearance on Friday is expected to attract significant attention as markets assess the outlook for inflation and interest rates.

    “[Fed Chair Kevin] Warsh is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks on Friday, and markets will be looking for greater clarity on both his assessment of inflation and the broader “regime change” he has advocated at the Fed,” said Daniela Hathorn, Senior Market Analyst at Capital.com.

    She added, “He has been reluctant to provide conventional forward guidance, meaning the speech may focus more heavily on the Fed’s reaction function and longer-term philosophy than explicitly signaling what policymakers will do in September.”

    With few major U.S. economic releases immediately available, some investors may remain cautious until Wednesday’s consumer inflation figures provide a clearer picture of price pressures.

    For now, the combination of falling crude prices, lower Treasury yields and stronger futures is creating a more constructive backdrop for Wall Street, although Nvidia, inflation and Jackson Hole could determine the market’s next major move.

  • European Stocks Edge Higher as U.S. Treasury Yields Retreat: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European Stocks Edge Higher as U.S. Treasury Yields Retreat: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equities moved modestly higher on Tuesday as U.S. Treasury yields pulled back from recent peaks, easing some of the pressure that higher borrowing costs have placed on global stock markets.

    Bond yields declined following reports that the U.S. Treasury could draw on its nearly $1 trillion General Account to help finance its recently announced bond buyback programme. The prospect of using existing cash reserves provided some relief to debt markets and supported sentiment across European equities.

    Iran Sanctions Prove Less Severe Than Feared

    Investors also responded positively to a U.S. sanctions package targeting Iran that was less aggressive than some market participants had anticipated.

    Washington warned countries against continuing business with Iran, threatening secondary sanctions against those that fail to comply. However, the Treasury Department stopped short of immediately imposing penalties.

    The absence of more severe measures helped reduce concerns that the latest sanctions campaign could cause an immediate disruption to crude oil supplies.

    Against this backdrop, Germany’s DAX Index gained 0.8%, France’s CAC 40 advanced 0.3% and the UK’s FTSE 100 rose 0.1%.

    German Economy Expands Faster Than Initially Estimated

    Economic data also provided some encouragement after Destatis reported that Germany’s economy performed better than previously estimated during the second quarter, supported by resilient exports despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.

    Gross domestic product increased 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, revised higher from the preliminary estimate of 0.2%. The economy had expanded by 0.4% during the first quarter.

    On an annual basis, German GDP growth accelerated to 1.0% in the second quarter from 0.7% during the previous three months.

    The figures provided further support to European markets by suggesting that the region’s largest economy maintained momentum despite challenging global conditions.

    Technology Stocks Gain Ahead of Nvidia and Marvell Earnings

    Technology shares were among the stronger performers, with ASML Holding (EU:ASML) and Infineon Technologies (TG:IFX) advancing as investors prepared for important semiconductor earnings later this week.

    Attention is particularly focused on Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), whose results are expected to provide fresh insight into demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure and semiconductor spending.

    Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL) is also due to report this week, adding to a busy period for the chip industry and potentially providing further indications of demand across data centres and AI-related markets.

    The combination of lower U.S. Treasury yields, reduced concerns surrounding Iran sanctions and encouraging German economic data helped European equities maintain a modestly positive tone during Tuesday’s session.

  • Gold Retreats From Three-Month Peak as Markets Look to U.S. Inflation and Warsh

    Gold Retreats From Three-Month Peak as Markets Look to U.S. Inflation and Warsh

    Gold prices moved lower on Tuesday after briefly reaching their highest level in more than three months, with investors taking some profits while awaiting U.S. inflation data and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s speech for fresh signals on monetary policy.

    At 01:00 ET (05:00 GMT), XAU/USD declined 0.3% to $4,688.96 an ounce. Gold futures, meanwhile, were up 1.0% at $4,746.09. XAG/USD gained 0.8% to $69.51 an ounce, while XPT/USD advanced 0.5% to $1,889.32. The U.S. Dollar Index was broadly steady at 98.98.

    The modest pullback comes after gold extended its recent rally to a more-than-three-month high, supported by renewed concerns over U.S. fiscal policy and the longer-term outlook for the dollar.

    U.S. Treasury Strategy Revives Debasement Concerns

    Gold’s recent momentum accelerated after the U.S. Treasury announced last week that it planned to at least double purchases of longer-dated government debt in an effort to contain elevated yields.

    The announcement pushed Treasury yields lower and weakened the dollar, improving the affordability of gold for buyers using other currencies. At the same time, the intervention raised fresh questions about U.S. government finances and whether attempts to directly influence borrowing costs could undermine confidence in the dollar.

    Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has indicated that purchases of longer-dated debt could be expanded further, although he provided no new indication of additional action on Monday. He has also said the administration is preparing a fiscal initiative designed to address high government borrowing costs.

    The developments have revived interest in the so-called debasement trade, a theme that helped gold surge roughly 65% during 2025.

    Under this strategy, investors turn to assets such as gold as protection against the possibility that expansionary fiscal policies and easier financial conditions could gradually erode the purchasing power of the dollar.

    Markets are now looking towards upcoming U.S. inflation figures and Warsh’s first speech at Jackson Hole. Softer inflation could reinforce expectations of a more accommodative Federal Reserve, potentially benefiting gold, while a hawkish message from Warsh could challenge the rally because the precious metal does not offer a yield.

    Geopolitical and Trade Risks Add to Gold’s Appeal

    International trade and geopolitical tensions are providing another reason for investors to consider gold as a portfolio diversifier.

    Washington has threatened economic penalties against countries that continue trading with Iran as part of its campaign to isolate Tehran. Separately, trade tensions between the U.S. and Canada have escalated following unsuccessful negotiations, with Washington imposing 50% tariffs on certain Canadian goods and threatening equivalent duties on Canadian cars, trucks and automotive components from January 2027.

    The combination of fiscal uncertainty, geopolitical risk, trade friction and questions surrounding monetary policy has strengthened attention on gold’s traditional role as an alternative store of value.

    Tony Sycamore, senior market analyst at IG, said recent price action suggests gold has likely established a floor around its late-June low near $3,942.

    According to Sycamore, the initial rally in August was partly driven by optimism that diplomatic progress in the Middle East could lower oil prices and reduce pressure on central banks to raise interest rates.

    Those expectations did not materialise, but gold continued to climb as Treasury intervention brought the debasement trade back into focus and provided the market with a fresh catalyst.

    Sycamore noted that gold has broken through trendline resistance around $4,420 and moved above its 200-day moving average near $4,515, strengthening the technical outlook. He expects declines to attract buying interest as traders turn their attention towards the next major resistance zone between $4,900 and $5,000.