Category: Market Summary

  • Brent briefly hits $100 as investors track Gulf conflict and interest rate outlook: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    Brent briefly hits $100 as investors track Gulf conflict and interest rate outlook: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    Brent crude briefly reached $100 a barrel on Wednesday as investors monitored further military exchanges involving the United States and Iran, while U.S. equity futures showed limited movement ahead of upcoming inflation data and central bank meetings.

    At 02:48 ET (06:48 GMT), S&P 500 futures were 6 points higher, equivalent to 0.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 57 points, or 0.2%. Dow futures were little changed.

    The moves followed a lower close for U.S. equities on Tuesday amid attacks involving the U.S. and Iran and strikes on Saudi Arabia by Iranian-backed Houthi forces in Yemen.

    Artificial intelligence developments also influenced trading. Market reaction to OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra model weighed on software and services shares, while some semiconductor and data centre-related companies attracted buying interest.

    Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remained just below 5%, close to its highest level in almost 20 years.

    The U.S. Treasury is due to implement an increase in longer-duration debt buybacks on Wednesday, with the size of purchases set to at least double to $4 billion per operation.

    Vital Knowledge analysts said the eventual repurchase amounts could exceed that level and be “perhaps as large as $10 billion.”

    Military activity continues around the Gulf

    Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it attacked a military base in Jordan used by U.S. forces and targeted 10 vessels on Wednesday.

    Iran said the strikes caused heavy damage, while Jordanian officials provided a different account. They said 18 of 20 Iranian missiles were intercepted, with two landing in unpopulated areas.

    The IRGC separately said two U.S. vessels and eight oil tankers had been targeted while attempting to pass through a section of the Strait of Hormuz that it described as “prohibited and unsafe.”

    According to the supplied report, commercial shipping through the Strait has effectively remained closed during the conflict.

    The attacks followed U.S. strikes that destroyed five Iranian oil tankers.

    U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, speaking during a visit to Colombia, indicated that further exchanges could occur, saying Iran will “lose tankers” when it tries to “hit U.S. naval ships.”

    Oil markets monitor Hormuz developments

    Brent crude futures briefly traded at $100 a barrel before easing slightly to $99.91 at 03:16 ET, still up 2.0% on the session.

    Vital Knowledge analysts said continued U.S. efforts to transport non-Iranian crude through the Strait of Hormuz and expectations surrounding a possible shipping arrangement between Iran and Oman had moderated some of the upward pressure on prices.

    Oil prices are also being watched for their potential implications for inflation ahead of upcoming central bank decisions.

    The European Central Bank is expected to increase borrowing costs at its Thursday meeting as policymakers assess energy-related inflation pressures.

    Market pricing also indicated an approximately 60% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its meeting next week.

    US-Canada trade measures take effect this month

    Trade policy was another focus after U.S. President Donald Trump signed orders restricting imports of certain Canadian goods.

    The measures cover products including alcoholic beverages, motorcycles and dairy products and are scheduled to take effect on September 29.

    The U.S. action followed retaliatory Canadian tariffs on American products that took effect on Tuesday. Those measures followed the introduction by Washington last month of 50% tariffs covering $20 billion of Canadian goods.

    Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has said Canada should consider broadening its trade relationships beyond the United States as the dispute continues.

    Yen trades close to strongest level since February

    In foreign exchange markets, the Japanese yen remained near its strongest level in seven months.

    USD/JPY was trading around 153.18 after reaching 152.89 on Tuesday. The yen has appreciated by approximately 4% during September.

    Markets have been assessing expectations for additional monetary tightening from the Bank of Japan, the possibility of Japanese investors bringing overseas funds back into the country and U.S. pressure for a stronger Japanese currency.

    The U.S. dollar index remained close to a nearly two-week low as investors awaited Friday’s U.S. inflation report and next week’s Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan meetings.

  • Market Open: Mortgage Advice Bureau Cuts Guidance, Anpario Grows

    Market Open: Mortgage Advice Bureau Cuts Guidance, Anpario Grows

    UK markets open cautiously as Gulf tensions pressure shares, Mortgage Advice Bureau cuts guidance and Anpario reports earnings growth.

    Market Overview

    The FTSE 100 opened broadly unchanged at 10,811.44, down 0.002 per cent from its previous close, as escalating Middle East strikes and renewed concerns over regional oil supplies weighed on sentiment. The Euronext 100 gained 0.04 per cent to 1,921.92, while Germany’s DAX fell 0.57 per cent to 25,858.82 as investors also weighed the prospect of further ECB tightening. In the US, the Nasdaq closed lower at 26,421.41 and the S&P 500 declined to 7,673.52.

    Commodity moves were mixed, with copper and Brent crude lower at the market open, gold unchanged and natural gas slightly higher. Oil remained a key macro focus as escalating attacks in the Middle East heightened concerns over regional supply disruption. Against sterling, the US dollar, Swiss franc, euro and Australian dollar strengthened marginally, while the Japanese yen weakened slightly. Bitcoin was up.


    Market Numbers

    FTSE 100: Down (-0.002%), 10,811.44
    Euronext 100: Up (+0.04%), 1,921.92
    DAX: Down (-0.57%), 25,858.82
    NASDAQ: Down, 26,421.41
    S&P 500: Down, 7,673.52


    In the Headlines

    Guidance lowered – Mortgage Advice Bureau (LSE:MAB1)
    Mortgage Advice Bureau lowered its full-year 2026 adjusted profit before tax guidance to around £38 million, below market consensus, citing softer housing conditions and delayed lead flows at Fluent. The mortgage intermediary expects the delayed Fluent profit contribution to shift into 2027.

    Earnings growth – Anpario (LSE:ANP)
    Animal feed additives manufacturer Anpario reported first-half revenue growth of 7% to £24.3 million, while adjusted EBITDA increased 22% to £5.0 million. Growth in key brands and the Americas supported the performance, although weaker Asian demand and the Iran conflict created regional headwinds.


    Currencies (vs GBP)

    USD: Up (+0.01%), $1.3544
    CHF: Up (+0.004%), Fr.1.0958
    EUR: Up (+0.01%), €1.1648
    JPY: Down (-0.01%), ¥207.837
    AUD: Up (+0.003%), $1.8756
    Bitcoin (BTC/GBP): Up, £58,428.84


    Commodities

    Copper: Down
    Gold: Unchanged
    Brent Crude: Down
    Natural Gas: Up

  • FTSE 100 falls as Gulf conflict pushes Brent close to $100 a barrel

    FTSE 100 falls as Gulf conflict pushes Brent close to $100 a barrel

    The FTSE 100 moved lower on Wednesday as investors assessed further military developments involving the United States and Iran, while Brent crude approached $100 a barrel.

    The UK benchmark was down 0.28% as of 03:18 ET (07:18 GMT). Elsewhere in Europe, Germany’s DAX declined 0.52% and France’s CAC 40 fell 0.70%.

    Sterling gained 0.19% against the U.S. dollar to $1.3567.

    Oil prices continued to rise, with Brent crude up 2.1% at $99.97 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate gaining 1.71% to $94.64.

    Precious metals also moved higher. Gold futures increased 0.22% to $4,448.94, while spot gold was up 1.14% at $4,404.93.

    The market moves came as the United States and Iran reported further military activity in and around the Gulf.

    U.S. Central Command said it had destroyed five Iranian crude carriers after Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps twice fired ballistic missiles at a U.S. Navy warship. CENTCOM said the vessel avoided both missile attacks and that no U.S. personnel were injured.

    The IRGC said its forces had targeted two U.S. vessels, eight oil tankers and 10 other “violating ships” in the Strait of Hormuz.

    The IRGC also said it had carried out missile strikes against the U.S. al-Azraq base in Jordan, targeting facilities associated with F-35, F-16 and F-15 aircraft. Jordan’s military said it intercepted 18 of 20 missiles fired at its territory, with the remaining two landing in open areas without causing damage.

    Separately, Reuters-sourced reporting indicated that Oman and Iran are expected to announce a temporary shipping corridor through the Strait of Hormuz within days.

    CENTCOM also released footage showing an Iranian vessel sinking in the Gulf of Oman. Shipping data for the Strait of Hormuz showed six commodity vessels transited the waterway on Tuesday, compared with a 10-day average of 12.

    Jefferies’ Mohit Kumar said “Middle East tensions continue to dominate markets” and that a rise in Brent toward $100 “could also draw some optimism that oil prices are reaching a pain point which would make Trump more willing to do a deal.”

    ING strategists said “recent developments only reinforce the view that we’re still some way from a restart in talks,” adding that the market “is likely to continue to price in a sizeable risk premium.”

    UK company news

    Aberdeen (LSE:ABDN) appointed former Sampo chief executive Torbjörn Magnusson as chair-designate and non-executive director. He is set to succeed Douglas Flint, who plans to step down at the company’s annual general meeting in April. Magnusson previously led Sampo and oversaw its £1.7 billion acquisition of Hastings Group.

    Energean (LSE:ENOG) reported a 45% increase in first-half profit, supported by the recognition of deferred tax assets in Italy. The company maintained its annual production guidance following the restart of its Israeli operations.

  • European energy shares rise as Middle East conflict lifts Brent toward $100

    European energy shares rise as Middle East conflict lifts Brent toward $100

    European oil and gas shares moved higher on Tuesday as an escalation in the Middle East coincided with crude prices reaching their highest levels since late July.

    Brent crude futures gained 2.1% to $99.93 a barrel by 04:09 ET (08:09 GMT), putting the international benchmark close to $100. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.4% to $94.31 a barrel.

    The STOXX Europe 600 Oil & Gas Index advanced 0.8%, making energy one of the leading sectors within the broader European market.

    Among individual companies, TotalEnergies (EU:TTE), Eni (BIT:ENI), Neste (TG:NEF) and Galp Energia (EU:GALP) gained between 1.2% and 1.9%. Maurel & Prom (EU:MAU) rose 0.8%, while Equinor (TG:DNQ) advanced 3.1% and Repsol (TG:REP) increased 2.1%.

    UK-listed energy companies also moved higher, with Shell (LSE:SHEL) gaining 1.2% and BP (LSE:BP.) rising 1.8%.

    The market moves followed a further escalation in the six-month conflict in the Middle East. Iranian-backed Houthi forces in Yemen carried out strikes on several Saudi cities, while U.S. forces struck multiple Iranian oil tankers. Iran also targeted a U.S. base in Jordan and shipping vessels.

    The developments added to existing disruptions affecting Middle Eastern energy infrastructure and shipping routes, increasing uncertainty surrounding regional oil supplies.

    Brent crude has risen by approximately 25% since early August as fighting in the region resumed and expectations for a lasting resolution to the conflict diminished.

  • U.S. Stock Futures Retreat as Oil Rally Revives Inflation Concerns: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street

    U.S. Stock Futures Retreat as Oil Rally Revives Inflation Concerns: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street

    U.S. equity futures moved lower on Tuesday as investors returned from the Labor Day holiday facing another surge in oil prices, escalating tensions in the Middle East and renewed uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s next interest-rate decision.

    Crude prices provided a major source of pressure, with U.S. oil futures climbing nearly 2% following another escalation between Washington and Tehran.

    The United States struck three Iranian crude oil carriers over the weekend after Iran fired ballistic missiles towards two U.S. Navy warships operating in regional waters.

    Iran subsequently warned that further attacks on its assets would trigger retaliation. Saudi-led coalition forces also pledged a firm response following a wave of attacks by Houthi forces.

    At the same time, Tehran said an agreement with Oman concerning shipping arrangements through the Strait of Hormuz was imminent. Investors nevertheless remained concerned about the possibility of further disruption along the strategically important energy corridor.

    Strong Jobs Report Revives Fed Rate-Hike Expectations

    The weaker futures performance also followed Friday’s unexpectedly strong U.S. employment figures, which prompted investors to increase expectations for another Federal Reserve rate rise.

    Nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, comfortably exceeding forecasts for 55,000 new jobs. July’s employment figure was revised to a gain of 21,000 from the initially reported loss of 23,000.

    The stronger labour market data pushed Treasury yields higher as traders considered whether the Fed could have more room to tighten monetary policy while attempting to bring persistent inflation under control.

    The CME Group FedWatch Tool showed the probability of a quarter-point rate increase at 58.4%, after the implied likelihood had fallen below 50% on Thursday.

    Charlie Ripley, Senior Investment Strategist at Allianz Investment Management, said: “While today’s labor report shifted September hike expectations sharply, the outcome is not a sure bet and additional signals that confirm inflation has peaked will make the Fed’s decision to hike even tougher at the September meeting.”

    Inflation Reports Could Shape September Fed Decision

    Attention is now shifting towards U.S. consumer and producer inflation reports due later in the week.

    The figures could prove important for expectations ahead of the Fed’s next monetary policy meeting, particularly after the employment report revived speculation about another increase in borrowing costs.

    Higher oil prices could further complicate the outlook by adding to energy-driven inflation pressures just as policymakers assess whether underlying price growth is cooling sufficiently.

    Wall Street Pulled Back on Friday

    U.S. stocks finished lower on Friday after gaining strongly over the previous two sessions.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 271.86 points, or 0.5%, to 53,414.25. The Nasdaq Composite fell 77.07 points, or 0.3%, to 26,506.99, while the S&P 500 dropped 29.11 points, or 0.4%, to 7,718.60.

    Weekly performance was more resilient. The Dow declined 0.3%, but the S&P 500 edged 0.1% higher and the Nasdaq gained 0.4%.

    Semiconductor Strength Helps Offset Sector Weakness

    Friday’s session produced sharp differences between individual sectors.

    Software stocks reversed some of their previous session’s gains, sending the Dow Jones U.S. Software Index down 2.2%.

    Gold-related shares also weakened as bullion prices declined, with the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index falling 1.8%. Pharmaceutical and biotechnology shares were among the other notable laggards.

    Semiconductors were a major exception. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surged 3.4%, while computer hardware and airline shares also recorded strong gains and helped contain the broader market decline.

    With Middle East tensions supporting oil prices and important inflation figures approaching, the interaction between energy costs, Treasury yields and Federal Reserve expectations is likely to remain a key driver for Wall Street.

  • European Stocks Fall as Oil Prices and German Political Uncertainty Weigh: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European Stocks Fall as Oil Prices and German Political Uncertainty Weigh: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equities moved lower on Tuesday as elevated energy prices, political uncertainty in Germany and caution ahead of key U.S. inflation data weighed on investor sentiment.

    Markets were also looking ahead to Thursday’s European Central Bank meeting, where an interest-rate increase is expected.

    The pan-European STOXX 600 fell 0.4% to 647.12 after finishing broadly unchanged on Monday. Germany’s DAX declined 0.6%, France’s CAC 40 lost 0.5% and the UK’s FTSE 100 slipped 0.3%.

    German Political Developments Pressure Sentiment

    Political uncertainty in Germany increased after the far-right AfD secured a historic victory in a state election, adding another source of caution for investors.

    German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said he was “deeply shocked” by the result.

    “Not only did something change in Saxony-Anhalt yesterday but throughout all Germany. It will have repercussions, including on the international stage,” Merz said.

    The political developments came alongside fresh economic data showing weaker German trade activity.

    Exports declined 0.8% month-on-month in July, reversing a 0.9% increase in June, according to Destatis. It marked the first monthly decline in exports since January.

    Imports fell more sharply, dropping 5.7% after increasing 4.5% in June. As a result, Germany’s trade surplus widened by more than expected despite the decline in exports.

    ECB Decision and U.S. Inflation Data in Focus

    Investors remained cautious ahead of the ECB’s policy decision on Thursday, with markets expecting policymakers to raise interest rates.

    Attention is also turning toward upcoming U.S. consumer price inflation data, which could influence expectations for Federal Reserve monetary policy and global bond yields.

    Elevated energy prices are adding another layer of uncertainty for European markets by increasing concerns that inflation could remain persistent and put additional pressure on corporate costs.

    Dunelm Slides While Sandoz Advances

    Among individual stocks, James Fisher and Sons shares fell 1.5% after the British marine services company reported modest first-half revenue growth.

    Dunelm Group (LSE:DNLM) dropped 12% after the homewares retailer said unusually hot weather and weak consumer confidence had affected trading at the beginning of its new financial year.

    Sandoz (LSE:0SAN), meanwhile, gained 3% after the Swiss pharmaceutical company announced plans to invest around $300 million in a new biosimilar manufacturing facility in Ljubljana, Slovenia.

    The combination of political uncertainty, higher energy costs and upcoming monetary policy and inflation events kept investors defensive across European markets.

  • FTSE 100 opens flat as Gulf tensions persist, while Dunelm launches a growth strategy, Journeo revenue rises and copper advances

    FTSE 100 opens flat as Gulf tensions persist, while Dunelm launches a growth strategy, Journeo revenue rises and copper advances

    Market Overview

    The FTSE 100 opened broadly unchanged at 10,822.26, up 0.001 per cent from its previous close, as disrupted Strait of Hormuz shipping and renewed threats to Gulf energy infrastructure kept investors cautious. The Euronext 100 slipped 0.01 per cent to 1,916.81, while Germany’s DAX was down 0.26 per cent at 25,939.98. In the US, the markets were closed for Labor Day.

    Commodity markets were mixed, with copper higher while gold, Brent crude and natural gas moved lower in the provided market data, despite continuing concerns over Middle East energy supplies. Bitcoin fell against sterling. The pound strengthened marginally against the US dollar but weakened slightly against the Swiss franc, euro, Japanese yen and Australian dollar, as markets monitored geopolitical risks and upcoming economic and central bank developments.


    Market Numbers

    FTSE 100: Up (+0.001%), 10,822.26
    Euronext 100: Down (-0.01%), 1,916.81
    DAX: Down (-0.26%), 25,939.98
    NASDAQ: Closed
    S&P 500: Closed


    In the Headlines

    Growth strategy – Dunelm Group (LSE:DNLM)
    The homewares retailer reported FY26 sales up 3.1% to £1.83 billion, while profit before tax was unchanged at £211 million. Dunelm also launched its Winning Hearts & Homes growth strategy, although unusually hot weather contributed to softer trading at the start of FY27.

    Revenue growth – Journeo (LSE:JNEO)
    The transport technology group reported a 53% rise in first-half revenue to £37.6 million, supported by organic growth and acquisitions. Its sales pipeline has reached £200 million, providing visibility over potential future opportunities as the group continues integrating acquired businesses.


    Currencies (vs GBP)

    USD: Down (-0.00%), $1.3547
    CHF: Up (+0.01%), Fr.1.0958
    EUR: Up (+0.00%), €1.165
    JPY: Up (+0.04%), ¥208.3665
    AUD: Up (+0.00%), $1.8759
    Bitcoin (BTC/GBP): Down, £58,016.20


    Commodities

    Copper: Up
    Gold: Down
    Brent Crude: Down
    Natural Gas: Down

  • Oil Approaches $100 as Iran Tensions and Rate Outlook Shape Markets: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    Oil Approaches $100 as Iran Tensions and Rate Outlook Shape Markets: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures

    U.S. stock futures traded in different directions on Tuesday as markets reopened after the Labor Day holiday, with investors monitoring crude oil prices, Treasury yields, economic data and expectations for the Federal Reserve’s September meeting.

    Middle East developments remained another focus for markets, alongside the implications of a stronger-than-expected U.S. employment report for the path of interest rates.

    Dow and S&P 500 Futures Decline

    Dow Jones Futures were down 0.8% at 53,013 points, while S&P 500 Futures declined 0.3% to 7,691.3 points. Nasdaq 100 Futures were unchanged at 29,593 points.

    The moves followed August employment figures that exceeded expectations, prompting markets to reassess the outlook for U.S. monetary policy.

    Oil prices have also risen, adding another consideration for investors assessing inflation and the Federal Reserve’s potential policy response.

    Labour Data and Treasury Auction Awaited

    Markets are awaiting the weekly ADP Employment Change report, which uses a four-week moving average of private-sector employment to provide an additional measure of labour-market conditions.

    The U.S. Treasury is also due to sell three-year notes. Investor demand at the auction will provide an indication of appetite for U.S. government securities following recent selling in global bond markets.

    Bond prices move inversely to yields, meaning lower prices result in higher borrowing costs for issuers.

    U.S. national debt has exceeded $40 trillion, with the government regularly issuing Treasury securities to fund spending and refinance existing obligations. Higher yields increase the cost associated with that borrowing.

    Treasury yields also influence mortgage rates, corporate financing costs and equity valuations, making developments in government bond markets relevant across a range of financial assets.

    Trump Calls for Bombardier U.S. Sales to End

    President Donald Trump on Monday called for Bombardier (TSX:BBD.B) to stop selling aircraft in the United States.

    Bombardier, which also trades in the U.S. under the symbol BDRAF, generates more than half of its revenue from the U.S. market, according to the supplied information.

    The Canadian aircraft manufacturer is expected to generate approximately $10.2 billion in revenue during 2026. Based on the geographic exposure provided, U.S.-related sales would account for approximately $5 billion or more of that amount.

    No specific policy action implementing Trump’s statement was identified in the supplied material. The financial consequences for Bombardier would therefore depend on whether restrictions are introduced and their eventual terms.

    Iran Warns of Persian Gulf Maritime Exclusion Zone

    Iran has threatened to establish a maritime exclusion zone across the Persian Gulf in response to what it described as U.S. “economic warfare.”

    Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, said Iran’s latest missile attacks represented a warning and that further economic pressure would result in an exclusion zone extending across the Gulf towards the perimeter of the U.S. blockade.

    Rezaei also said Iran’s posture towards U.S. warships and military bases had been “fundamentally recalibrated.”

    Separately, attacks by Iranian-backed Houthi forces on Saudi Arabia have increased attention on the security of regional energy facilities and shipping routes.

    Any disruption to Persian Gulf energy shipments could affect global oil supplies and prices. The eventual impact would depend on the nature, scale and duration of any disruption.

    Brent Extends Rally Towards $100

    Brent crude rose 1.4% on Tuesday to its highest level in six weeks, extending its advance to a third consecutive session.

    The international benchmark has recently traded around $99 a barrel amid U.S.-Iran tensions and concerns about possible disruption to energy supplies in the region.

    Higher crude prices can feed into transportation and production costs and affect inflation. However, their eventual influence on Federal Reserve policy would depend on how long prices remain elevated, broader inflation trends and other economic data.

    Investors are consequently monitoring whether Brent reaches the $100-a-barrel level alongside developments in U.S. bond markets, economic data and the Middle East.

  • European Stocks Fall as Oil Prices Extend Gains on Iranian Threats: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European Stocks Fall as Oil Prices Extend Gains on Iranian Threats: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equities moved lower on Tuesday as crude oil prices extended their recent advance and investors assessed expectations for an interest-rate increase from the European Central Bank later this week.

    The pan-European STOXX 600 fell 0.2%, with declines across several major markets and sectors, including growth stocks, industrials and consumer discretionary companies.

    Germany’s DAX and London’s FTSE 100 both declined 0.2%, while France’s CAC 40 fell 0.4%.

    Iranian Threats Add to Oil Supply Concerns

    Crude oil benchmarks advanced for a third consecutive session, extending a multi-day increase that has kept Brent crude above $90 a barrel.

    The latest move followed statements from Iranian military officials warning that Iran would retaliate against further U.S. or allied strikes by targeting energy infrastructure in the Persian Gulf, including U.S. oil and gas assets in the region.

    The statements came as markets continued to monitor disruption around the Strait of Hormuz, a major transit route for global energy supplies.

    For European companies and economies that depend on imported energy, sustained increases in oil prices could raise input costs and contribute to inflation. The extent of any effect on corporate earnings or economic activity will depend on the duration and scale of the increase.

    Markets Price in ECB Rate Increase

    Investors were also preparing for Thursday’s European Central Bank Governing Council meeting.

    Money markets were pricing in a high probability of a 25-basis-point interest-rate increase.

    Expectations for higher rates followed preliminary August Eurozone inflation data showing headline consumer prices rising 3.3% year-on-year. Energy prices increased 14.3%.

    With energy prices continuing to rise, some investment banks, including Deutsche Bank, have begun factoring in the possibility of additional ECB tightening after September, including another increase before the end of the year.

    German 10-year Bund yields were trading near multi-year highs of 3.36%. Higher bond yields can increase borrowing costs for companies and affect the relative valuations of equities and fixed-income assets.

    U.S. CPI Data Could Influence Federal Reserve Expectations

    Investors are also awaiting U.S. Consumer Price Index data scheduled for later in the week.

    The inflation report follows U.S. nonfarm payroll figures showing the economy added 162,000 jobs in August.

    Markets are assessing whether the inflation data will alter expectations for the Federal Reserve’s Sept. 15-16 policy meeting, including the possibility of a 25-basis-point rate increase.

    A higher-than-expected inflation reading could increase market expectations for tighter monetary policy, while softer inflation could reduce expectations for additional rate increases. The eventual policy decision remains subject to incoming data and the Federal Reserve’s assessment.

  • FTSE 100 Flat as Strait of Hormuz Tensions Keep Energy Markets in Focus

    FTSE 100 Flat as Strait of Hormuz Tensions Keep Energy Markets in Focus

    The FTSE 100 was broadly unchanged on Tuesday as investors monitored disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and reports of further Houthi attacks on energy infrastructure in Saudi Arabia.

    The FTSE 100 was up 0.02% at 03:28 ET (07:28 GMT). Elsewhere in Europe, Germany’s DAX declined 0.15%, while France’s CAC 40 fell 0.27%.

    Sterling was down 0.03% against the U.S. dollar at 1.3535.

    Houthi Attacks and Hormuz Shipping Remain in Focus

    Houthi forces struck several energy facilities in southern Saudi Arabia early on Tuesday, according to the Saudi Energy Ministry, which reported fires at multiple sites and injuries to personnel.

    The Saudi-led coalition said 73 people, including women and children, had been injured in recent Houthi attacks on civilian and economic sites, describing the attacks as a “dangerous escalation.”

    Shipping data compiled by Kpler showed seven commodity vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Monday, compared with eight on Sunday. The 10-day average stood at 10 vessels, its lowest level since May.

    Qatar Foreign Ministry spokesperson Majed Al-Ansari told U.S. media that reopening the strait remained the priority and warned of an “industrial catastrophe” if the disruption continued.

    Iraqi prime ministerial financial adviser Mazhar Muhammad Salih said diversifying pipeline routes had become formal “state strategy” as Iraq seeks to protect exports of approximately 3.4 million barrels per day.

    Iran and U.S. Exchange Statements Over Naval Blockade

    Iran’s acting defence minister, Brigadier General Majid Ibn Reza, told state broadcaster IRIB that Iran had the technology to strike U.S. warships enforcing the naval blockade.

    The U.S. State Department said Washington would take “decisive measures” and would not allow Iran to “hold the global economy hostage.”

    Investors were also awaiting the return of U.S. markets following Monday’s Labor Day holiday, alongside several economic and monetary policy events scheduled later in the week.

    Jefferies strategist Mohit Kumar said positioning in U.S. Treasuries and Bunds had reached stretched levels and indicated that a benign U.S. CPI reading on Friday could prompt a rally in rates markets.

    The European Central Bank is due to hold its monetary policy meeting on Thursday.

    UK Government Set to Announce Israeli Settlement Trade Ban

    The UK government was expected to announce a ban on trade in goods from Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank.

    The Foreign Secretary was due to address Parliament on the measure on Tuesday.

    Copper Reaches Record as Oil Prices Rise

    Copper reached a record $14,626 a tonne on the London Metal Exchange before trading 0.71% higher at $14,619.95.

    The move came amid tight global supply and expectations of expanded U.S. tariffs on copper imports. Chile also reduced its full-year copper production forecast for a second consecutive quarter.

    Brent crude increased 1.72% to $98.67 a barrel, while WTI crude rose 2.94% to $94.17.

    December gold futures declined 0.5566% to $4,447.10 an ounce, while spot gold was little changed at $4,403.95.

    UK Company Round-Up

    Computacenter (LSE:CCC) said it expects 2026 profit to exceed previous forecasts, supported by demand in its North American operations associated with artificial intelligence infrastructure.

    Dunelm (LSE:DNLM) launched a three-year growth plan that includes £100 million of planned cost reductions.