Category: Top Story

  • AstraZeneca and HUTCHMED report Phase III results for Tagrisso-Orpathys combination

    AstraZeneca and HUTCHMED report Phase III results for Tagrisso-Orpathys combination

    AstraZeneca (LSE:AZN) and HUTCHMED reported results from the SANOVO Phase III trial in China evaluating Tagrisso in combination with Orpathys as a first-line treatment for certain patients with non-small cell lung cancer.

    The trial showed a statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvement in progression-free survival for the combination compared with Tagrisso alone in treatment-naïve patients with EGFR-mutated, MET-overexpressing non-small cell lung cancer.

    The companies also reported trends in overall survival and said the safety profile of the all-oral combination was consistent with previously reported data.

    SANOVO evaluates combination in first-line setting

    The SANOVO study assessed the Tagrisso-Orpathys combination in patients who had not previously received treatment for EGFR-mutated, MET-overexpressing non-small cell lung cancer.

    The results extend the clinical evaluation of the combination into the first-line setting following the Phase III SAFFRON and SACHI trials, which studied the regimen in previously treated patients.

    The companies did not provide information in the supplied material regarding regulatory submissions or approvals resulting from the SANOVO findings.

    AstraZeneca develops targeted lung cancer therapies

    AstraZeneca is a global biopharmaceutical company with operations across oncology and other disease areas, including the development of treatments for lung cancer.

    Its lung cancer portfolio includes targeted therapies such as Tagrisso and Orpathys, alongside immunotherapies and other agents being developed for different stages of non-small cell lung cancer.

  • Bitcoin could climb to $300,000 by 2029, Bernstein analyst says

    Bitcoin could climb to $300,000 by 2029, Bernstein analyst says

    Bitcoin (COIN:BTCUSD) could reach $300,000 by the end of 2029 as mounting sovereign debt and the prospect of currency debasement increase the appeal of scarce assets, according to Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani.

    The forecast assumes Bitcoin broadly maintains the four-year market cycle that has characterised its historical price movements. Before reaching the projected 2029 peak, Bernstein expects the cryptocurrency to recover to a fresh record of $150,000 by mid-2027.

    “Following our price-to-marginal cost framework, we would expect the next market peak to be $300K by CY2029E and the market recovering to new all-time high of $150,000 by mid-2027E,” Chhugani wrote in a note to clients.

    Higher borrowing costs shape Bernstein’s Bitcoin outlook

    A central part of Bernstein’s argument is that the prolonged period of falling interest rates that characterised the previous 40 years has ended.

    With sovereign debt already at unprecedented levels, governments now face the prospect of substantially higher debt-servicing costs. Bernstein believes rising yields can create a feedback loop in which larger interest expenses widen budget deficits, leading governments to issue additional debt.

    “Faced with the choice between fiscal stress and currency debasement, we believe the policymakers will ultimately favor the latter, as it is politically less disruptive,” the firm said.

    If policymakers ultimately tolerate greater currency debasement to manage fiscal pressures, Bernstein believes investors could increasingly seek assets with structurally limited supply.

    Bernstein sees Bitcoin leading the debasement trade

    Bitcoin stands out as the leading hard asset within this thesis, according to the firm.

    Bernstein estimates that approximately 60% of Bitcoin is held by investors who have demonstrated limited sensitivity to price fluctuations, maintaining their positions even through drawdowns exceeding 50%.

    That relatively stable ownership base is being accompanied by expanding access for institutional and retail investors, potentially providing additional sources of demand during future market cycles.

    Bernstein believes this combination of limited supply, established long-term holders and broader investor access supports its longer-term price projections.

    Strategy target lowered despite Outperform rating

    Alongside its Bitcoin forecast, Bernstein lowered its price target for Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) to $350 from $450.

    The firm nevertheless maintained its Outperform rating, noting that Strategy remains the largest corporate Bitcoin holder globally.

    The company owns approximately 4% of the world’s Bitcoin supply, maintaining significant exposure to future movements in the cryptocurrency’s price.

  • Global oil supply faces unprecedented conflict exposure six months into Iran war

    Global oil supply faces unprecedented conflict exposure six months into Iran war

    More than 43% of global oil supply originates from countries affected by conflict in 2026, according to Reuters calculations, illustrating the unusually high geopolitical exposure currently facing the energy market.

    The situation comes six months after U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran set off what has developed into the largest recorded oil supply crisis, with uncertainty remaining over how long the disruption will continue.

    At the same time, the Russia-Ukraine war has reduced both production and refining activity, with neighbouring Kazakhstan also experiencing cuts during the year.

    Persistent instability in Libya and U.S. restrictions on Venezuelan oil exports introduced earlier in 2026 have placed additional pressure on available global supplies.

    Around 45 million barrels per day exposed to conflict

    Countries affected by these conflicts collectively produced approximately 45 million barrels per day in 2025, according to Reuters calculations based on International Energy Agency data.

    That volume represents more than 43% of worldwide supply, highlighting the extent to which current oil production is concentrated in regions facing geopolitical disruption.

    The situation has increased the importance of U.S. production to the global market. However, American oil supplies have not been entirely immune from disruption, with severe weather occasionally affecting output.

    The overall impact has also been moderated by the fact that the various supply interruptions experienced this year have not all occurred simultaneously.

    Gulf oil flows remain under pressure

    In the Gulf, producers have taken steps to maintain exports despite the disruption. Saudi Arabia has redirected oil towards the Red Sea, while other exporters have continued moving supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.

    Even with those measures, analysts estimate that the current disruption to Gulf oil flows amounts to roughly 5 million to 7 million barrels per day.

    The threat to major shipping routes remains significant. Attacks in the Red Sea and close to Egypt’s Suez Canal during July demonstrated how further escalation could affect important corridors for international oil and fuel shipments.

    The Gulf and Ukraine conflicts have also had a significant effect downstream, reducing global refining capacity by approximately one-tenth.

    Ukraine has repeatedly targeted Russia’s refining infrastructure, including facilities as far away as Omsk, around 2,700 kilometres (1,680 miles) from Ukrainian-held territory.

    Refining disruptions tighten fuel markets

    Russia is now dealing with fuel shortages at home and has banned gasoline and diesel exports, adding further tightness to international refined-product markets.

    Higher fuel prices have increasingly contributed to inflationary pressures, pushing up borrowing costs and helping drive U.S. government debt to a record $40 trillion.

    U.S. diesel prices have reached record highs despite domestic refiners operating at maximum capacity.

    The International Energy Agency has attempted to soften the impact of the supply crisis through record releases from emergency oil stockpiles.

    Most of those releases have now been completed. With global inventories continuing to decline, the market has less of an emergency cushion available if geopolitical disruptions intensify further.

  • Needham says crypto recovery has ‘legs’ as selling pressure eases

    Needham says crypto recovery has ‘legs’ as selling pressure eases

    Needham & Company believes the digital asset recovery is showing signs of durability, prompting the firm to raise its crypto volume forecasts across the trading exchanges and platforms included in its coverage.

    “How sustainable is the crypto rebound? We believe it has legs,” analyst John Todaro wrote, pointing to three developments that could support further improvement in the market.

    Rotation from AI and commodities could benefit crypto

    One potential catalyst is a change in where retail investors are directing their capital.

    Needham said enthusiasm around artificial intelligence stocks has moderated as the sector faces increased regulatory pressure ahead of the midterm elections. Retail participation in commodities such as oil and metals has also cooled.

    With some competing trades attracting less attention, the firm believes crypto could once again stand out as a comparatively appealing destination for speculative capital.

    Record selling could reduce future supply pressure

    Needham’s second argument is that the market may already have absorbed a substantial amount of selling.

    In addition to outflows from ETFs and retail investors, public companies have reduced their bitcoin positions. Digital asset treasury businesses and bitcoin miners collectively sold a record 57,000 bitcoin, valued at roughly $4.2 billion, during the first six months of 2026.

    Total disposals by publicly traded bitcoin companies have reached approximately 69,500 bitcoin since the fourth quarter of 2025 began.

    If much of that selling has already occurred, Needham’s analysis suggests that one source of supply pressure could become less significant as the market attempts to recover.

    Crypto sentiment returns to 2022 levels

    Needham’s final argument comes from investor sentiment, which has fallen to levels last recorded during the previous major crypto downturn.

    The firm’s Crypto Euphoria Needham Diagram currently stands at 13, which Needham categorises as “max disinterest.” It is the lowest reading since the 2022 bear market, and the firm said such extreme levels have historically been associated with market bottoms.

    The indicator provided a contrasting signal in January 2025, reaching euphoric territory as meme coins surged. That period subsequently proved to be the peak of the cycle, according to Needham.

    There remains a potential source of bitcoin supply. Miners that are pivoting towards AI infrastructure still hold around 70,000 bitcoin on their balance sheets, although that has fallen considerably from a record level of approximately 100,000.

  • Could SpaceX’s orbital compute sidestep political pressure on data centers?

    Could SpaceX’s orbital compute sidestep political pressure on data centers?

    Political resistance to data center development is becoming an increasingly bipartisan issue in the US, potentially strengthening the case for SpaceX’s (NASDAQ:SPCX) proposed orbital computing strategy, according to Evercore ISI.

    Analyst Kutgun Mural highlighted signs of growing regulatory scrutiny at the state and local level. Texas has reportedly paused as many as 1,800 projects while audits are carried out, while Pennsylvania is withholding permits until developers have obtained all required local approvals.

    Public sentiment also appears to be shifting. Polling cited by the firm indicates that 75% of Americans would oppose having a data center built near them, compared with 42% a year ago.

    Political debate creates headline risk for AI sector

    With the US midterm elections approaching, Evercore characterised the situation primarily as a headline risk rather than one likely to immediately alter financial estimates.

    “We expect both parties to be loud on the topic into November 3 and would not be surprised if the entire AI complex takes negative headlines along the way,” Mural wrote.

    For its terrestrial operations, Evercore said SpaceX compares relatively well with some of the requirements states are beginning to introduce. The company generates power behind the meter and has committed to financing grid upgrades required by its facilities, reducing the potential for those costs to fall on households.

    However, Evercore stressed that this represents a relative advantage rather than complete insulation from political or regulatory challenges. Issues in Southaven demonstrate that SpaceX can still encounter opposition involving permitting, emissions and environmental-justice concerns.

    Orbital computing could offer a different route

    Evercore believes growing resistance to conventional data centers could make orbital computing more strategically relevant if SpaceX can successfully commercialise the concept.

    “If SPCX can make orbital compute a reality it could have a significant advantage in both cost and speed to market and avoid the political pressure around terrestrial compute altogether,” the firm wrote.

    Evercore estimates that a successful orbital computing strategy could eliminate the need for additional terrestrial capacity beyond 2029.

  • Market Open: Watkin Jones FY26 In Line, Goodwin Profit Surges

    Market Open: Watkin Jones FY26 In Line, Goodwin Profit Surges

    UK markets open little changed as Watkin Jones holds FY26 guidance and Goodwin’s profit surges 118 per cent, while Brent crude extends its pullback.

    Market Overview

    UK shares opened little changed on Friday, with the FTSE 100 essentially flat at 10,792.46 as investors stayed cautious ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole address. The Euronext 100 opened firmer at 1,914.88, up 0.10 per cent, while Frankfurt’s DAX advanced to 26,494.61, a rise of 0.48 per cent, as European sentiment steadied after a volatile week marked by elevated euro-zone bond yields. Wall Street had closed higher on Thursday, with the Nasdaq Composite up 411.15 points, or 1.57 per cent, to 26,541.35, and the S&P 500 gaining 55.29 points, or 0.72 per cent, to 7,730.99, setting a firmer tone into the European session.

    In commodities, copper and gold edged higher while Brent crude slipped further, extending a recent pullback as expanding oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz eased supply concerns despite lingering Iran-related tensions. Natural gas was little changed. Bitcoin softened slightly against sterling, while the pound was broadly steady across major pairs, nudging higher against the dollar, euro and Swiss franc but little changed against the yen and Australian dollar. Attention remained fixed on Warsh’s keynote, with European equities on course for a third successive weekly decline.


    Market Numbers

    FTSE 100: Down (-0.00%), 10,792.46
    Euronext 100: Up (+0.10%), 1,914.88
    DAX: Up (+0.48%), 26,494.61
    NASDAQ: Up, 26,541.35
    S&P 500: Up, 7,730.99


    In the Headlines

    FY26 Guidance Held – Watkin Jones (LSE:WJG)
    Build-to-rent developer Watkin Jones said full-year adjusted operating profit is expected to be broadly in line with the first half, after completing two major schemes in Belfast and Cardiff delivering 1,345 rental units. Several anticipated transactions have slipped beyond the year-end due to geopolitical uncertainty and weaker transactional liquidity, though the group expects year-end net cash to exceed £61 million, underscoring balance-sheet resilience despite the deal delays.

    Trading Profit Jumps – Goodwin (LSE:GDWN)
    Engineering group Goodwin reported trading profit of £77.5 million for the year to April 2026, up 118 per cent, on revenue up 27 per cent to £280 million, and lifted its dividend by 18 per cent. The board has appointed Rothschild & Co to run a sale process for parts of its Mechanical Engineering division — including Steel Castings, International, Noreva, Easat Group and Pumps — with proceeds expected to be substantially returned to shareholders.


    Currencies (vs GBP)

    USD: Up (+0.00%), $1.3597
    CHF: Up (+0.01%), Fr.1.0929
    EUR: Up (+0.01%), €1.1667
    JPY: Flat (+0.00%), ¥216.6055
    AUD: Flat (+0.00%), $1.8897
    Bitcoin (BTC/GBP): Down (-0.13%), £58,986.86

    Commodities

    Copper: Up
    Gold: Up
    Brent Crude: Down
    Natural Gas: Flat

  • U.S. futures steady with Warsh speech, Nvidia rally, PayPal and oil in focus: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street

    U.S. futures steady with Warsh speech, Nvidia rally, PayPal and oil in focus: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street

    U.S. equity futures showed limited movement on Friday as markets awaited Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole address following a technology-led advance in the previous session.

    S&P 500 futures were unchanged, while Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.3% and Dow futures gained 0.2%.

    Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) remained in focus after its shares advanced following the company’s latest results. PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL), meanwhile, dropped in after-hours trading after a reported takeover approach ended, while renewed uncertainty over U.S.-Iran relations contributed to higher oil prices.

    Nvidia shares gain 8.7% following outlook

    Nvidia climbed 8.7% on Thursday after the semiconductor company issued a stronger-than-expected revenue outlook.

    The S&P 500 subsequently closed 0.7% higher, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.6% and the Dow advanced 0.2%.

    Nvidia’s position as a supplier of chips used in artificial intelligence infrastructure means its financial performance is also closely followed by investors assessing spending across the broader AI data centre market.

    Warsh speech puts monetary policy back in focus

    Investors are awaiting Warsh’s keynote speech at the Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming later on Friday.

    Markets will be looking for indications of how the central bank is assessing inflation and the future direction of interest rates.

    Price pressures have remained elevated in recent economic data, while Treasury yields continue to reflect concerns surrounding inflation, government borrowing and monetary policy.

    Warsh’s comments could alter market expectations for interest rates, although any resulting movement in equities or bonds will depend on the substance of his remarks.

    Nvidia financing programme reportedly put on hold

    Nvidia is also facing attention over a financing initiative involving AI cloud companies.

    The Wall Street Journal reported that the chipmaker has paused some transactions under a programme providing credit support to AI cloud businesses purchasing Nvidia chips.

    Under the initiative, participating companies received financing support in exchange for a portion of their revenue.

    The report said some Nvidia employees had raised concerns about potential antitrust scrutiny. The precise reason for pausing the transactions remains unclear from the source material, and the programme could still be modified.

    Chief Executive Jensen Huang has previously defended Nvidia’s investments in AI start-ups, arguing that businesses in the sector require unusually large amounts of capital.

    PayPal drops 12.2% after reported bid is withdrawn

    PayPal shares fell 12.2% in after-hours trading after a consortium led by Advent International and Stripe ended its pursuit of the payments company, Bloomberg reported.

    The prospective buyers had reportedly proposed paying $60.50 per share, implying a valuation of more than $53 billion.

    According to the report, PayPal’s board viewed the price as insufficient and also raised concerns regarding regulatory and financing considerations.

    Reports of potential takeover interest had previously contributed to PayPal’s recovery from a 52-week low of $38.46 after discussions emerged in July.

    Brent moves above $88 as U.S.-Iran uncertainty increases

    Oil prices moved higher after reports of a change in the U.S. administration’s position towards an earlier agreement with Iran.

    The Trump administration has told mediators that it is no longer interested in returning to a memorandum of understanding agreed in June, according to The Wall Street Journal.

    The agreement signed by President Donald Trump at the Palace of Versailles had provided a framework for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and beginning negotiations over Iran’s nuclear programme in return for sanctions relief and access to frozen Iranian assets.

    The Wall Street Journal reported that Washington has since moved towards a maximum economic pressure policy and is not seeking to restore the agreement.

    Brent crude subsequently traded above $88 per barrel.

    The Strait of Hormuz is relevant to international energy markets because of its role in global oil shipments. A sustained change in crude prices could also influence inflation expectations and market assumptions regarding the future direction of monetary policy.

  • European shares rebound ahead of Warsh speech but head for third weekly decline: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European shares rebound ahead of Warsh speech but head for third weekly decline: DAX, CAC, FTSE100

    European equities moved higher on Friday, with the pan-European STOXX 600 gaining 0.6% as investors awaited Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s address at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.

    Despite Friday’s advance, the index remained on course for a weekly decline of approximately 0.4%, which would mark its third consecutive weekly loss and its longest losing run since April 2025.

    European markets faced a combination of higher sovereign bond yields, volatile energy prices and mixed regional economic data during the week.

    Higher bond yields weigh on European markets

    Global sovereign bond yields rose earlier in the week, pushing borrowing costs across both core and peripheral eurozone markets towards multi-month highs.

    Yields subsequently eased following announcements concerning U.S. government debt buybacks and a decline in energy prices.

    Nevertheless, elevated borrowing costs remained a factor for European equity valuations during the week, particularly in interest-rate-sensitive areas such as real estate.

    Energy markets were also volatile as geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz affected crude oil and European wholesale gas prices. Prices subsequently eased as diplomatic developments reduced some immediate concerns towards the end of the week.

    ECB comments remain in focus

    European Central Bank policy expectations also contributed to the week’s market backdrop.

    ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel reiterated that interest rates would need to rise further to bring inflation under control, according to the source material.

    The comments added to investor consideration of the outlook for European monetary policy alongside movements in sovereign bond yields and energy prices.

    Investors await Warsh’s Jackson Hole address

    Attention on Friday turned to Warsh’s first keynote address as Federal Reserve chair at the Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming.

    Investors are looking for indications of whether the Federal Reserve intends to maintain restrictive monetary policy into the autumn amid persistent headline inflation or whether softer labour-market conditions could allow policymakers to pause.

    Movements in U.S. Treasury yields can influence European sovereign bond markets, making the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook relevant for financing conditions across Europe.

    Investors are also watching for comments concerning the Federal Reserve’s balance-sheet strategy as governments continue to issue substantial amounts of debt.

    DAX and CAC 40 join regional advance

    Major European equity indices traded higher alongside the STOXX 600 on Friday.

    Germany’s DAX rose 0.5%, while France’s CAC 40 gained 0.9% after declining sharply during the previous session. London’s FTSE 100 advanced 0.4%.

    Technology-related shares also received support during the session following Nvidia’s earnings outlook earlier in the week.

    Friday’s gains, however, were not sufficient at the time of the source material to reverse the STOXX 600’s decline for the week.

  • FTSE 100 rises as investors await Warsh speech at Jackson Hole

    FTSE 100 rises as investors await Warsh speech at Jackson Hole

    UK stocks moved higher on Friday, with the FTSE 100 gaining 0.4% as investors awaited a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium later in the day.

    Despite the advance, the benchmark was on course to finish a volatile week broadly unchanged. Friday’s move followed a 0.8% decline in the previous session.

    Gains among industrial mining companies and domestically focused mid-cap stocks provided support, while energy majors Shell and BP remained relatively subdued.

    Investors await Federal Reserve signals

    Trading remained relatively restrained ahead of Warsh’s address, with investors looking for further indications on the outlook for U.S. monetary policy.

    The upcoming speech limited significant positioning across sectors as markets awaited the Federal Reserve chair’s comments.

    Meanwhile, UK economic data provided a more positive domestic signal. A Lloyds Bank survey released on Friday showed business confidence increased four percentage points in August to +53%, its highest level since March.

    The reading was above the 12-month average of 47%, with the survey pointing to stronger consumer spending power, improved trading prospects and a more favourable assessment of the UK economic outlook.

    Shell ends talks over German refinery stake

    Shell PLC (LSE:SHEL) has ended negotiations to sell its 37.5% interest in Germany’s PCK Schwedt refinery to Polish energy company Unimot, according to Bloomberg News.

    The refinery has links to Russia, and the source material does not provide further details on why the negotiations ended or Shell’s plans for the stake.

    Shell shares were around 0.4% higher during Friday’s session.

    BP seeks mediation in Whiting refinery labour dispute

    BP PLC (LSE:BP.) called on the leadership of United Steelworkers Local 7-1 to agree to federal mediation and resume formal contract negotiations concerning a months-long labour dispute at its Whiting refinery in Indiana.

    The facility has a processing capacity of 440,000 barrels per day.

    BP shares were also around 0.4% higher on Friday.

    Brent crude heads for weekly decline

    Global crude oil prices declined on Friday, leaving Brent crude on course to end a two-week run of weekly gains.

    The decline followed a higher settlement on Thursday after reports that the U.S. administration remained unwilling to return to previous agreement terms with Iran.

    Movements in oil prices continued to provide a backdrop for trading in the FTSE 100’s major energy companies.

  • Watkin Jones expects FY26 profit broadly in line with first half as transactions are delayed

    Watkin Jones expects FY26 profit broadly in line with first half as transactions are delayed

    Watkin Jones (LSE:WJG) expects adjusted operating profit for FY26 to be broadly in line with the level reported in the first half after indicating that some anticipated transactions are now likely to complete beyond the financial year-end.

    The residential developer said it has continued to focus on cash management and operational delivery during the year against a backdrop of geopolitical uncertainty and reduced transactional liquidity.

    Despite the expected timing shift for some transactions, Watkin Jones forecasts that year-end net cash will exceed the £61 million reported at the half-year stage.

    Build-to-rent projects deliver 1,345 homes

    Watkin Jones recently completed two build-to-rent developments in Belfast and Cardiff, delivering a combined 1,345 rental units.

    The company said aggregate margins from the two schemes were in line with its previous guidance.

    Investor engagement concerning a small number of additional transactions remains ongoing, although the Board now expects some of these deals to move beyond the FY26 year-end.

    As a result, adjusted operating profit for the full year is expected to be at a similar level to that achieved during the first half.

    Building safety work remains a priority

    Building safety rectification continues to form part of the group’s operational programme, with four projects currently on site.

    Watkin Jones expects work on two buildings to be completed during FY26.

    The company said its provisions will continue to be reviewed as investigations progress and discussions with building owners and supply-chain partners continue.

    Year-end net cash expected above £61 million

    Watkin Jones expects to finish FY26 with net cash above the £61 million position reported at the half-year, despite the delay to certain transactions.

    The group continues to develop its business model with the aim of diversifying revenue across its activities.

    Management said it believes the company’s balance sheet leaves it positioned to respond to opportunities in its target rental housing markets as conditions develop, while citing the long-term fundamentals of those sectors.

    Watkin Jones focuses on residential rental developments

    Watkin Jones plc is a UK-based developer and manager of residential properties, with activities including large-scale build-to-rent schemes in urban locations.

    The group is seeking to diversify its sources of revenue across development and management activities while maintaining a focus on cash and cost management.

    Its operations also include building safety remediation work associated with residential properties in the UK.