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  • FTSE 100 slips as Iran tensions and cautious sentiment weigh on markets

    FTSE 100 slips as Iran tensions and cautious sentiment weigh on markets

    UK equities traded lower on Thursday as uncertainty surrounding U.S.-Iran negotiations and a subdued response to Nvidia’s latest earnings kept investors cautious, despite oil prices recovering part of the sharp losses seen in the previous session.

    The FTSE 100 fell 0.40%, while Germany’s DAX declined 0.31% and France’s CAC 40 lost 0.23%. Sterling also eased 0.12% against the dollar to 1.3419 by 07:20 GMT.

    Oil prices rebounded after Wednesday’s near-5% selloff as Donald Trump warned the United States remained prepared to strike Iran if negotiations failed, saying the situation was “right on the borderline” while indicating there was still room to wait “a few days” before taking further action.

    Brent crude settled at US$105.02 a barrel on Wednesday after Trump previously stated Washington was in the “final stages” of reaching a deal with Tehran before later hardening his stance overnight.

    Iran responded by warning it was prepared for escalation, with parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf stating the country must strengthen its “readiness for a decisive and effective response,” describing the confrontation as “a war of wills.”

    Iranian state media nevertheless confirmed officials were still reviewing the latest U.S. proposal. Pakistan’s army chief Asim Munir travelled to Tehran on Thursday to continue mediation efforts, while Iran’s foreign ministry repeated demands for the release of frozen assets and the lifting of the port blockade.

    The Strait of Hormuz remained largely closed, with Iran’s newly established Persian Gulf Strait Authority publishing a map outlining a claimed controlled maritime zone that would require vessels to seek permission before transit.

    U.S. Central Command said 91 ships had been rerouted because of the blockade and confirmed it had boarded and searched an Iranian-flagged tanker before later releasing it.

    The UN Food and Agriculture Organization warned the disruption risks creating “a severe global food price crisis,” noting that before the conflict the Strait of Hormuz handled around one-fifth of global oil shipments and roughly one-third of global fertiliser supply.

    Trump also said Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would do “whatever I want him to do” regarding Iran and added he was “in no hurry” to finalise a deal. Israel’s military chief meanwhile said the IDF remained at its “highest level of alert.”

    UK market round-up

    Smiths Group Plc (LSE:SMIN) cut its FY2026 revenue guidance after the Middle East conflict reduced sales at its John Crane division by around £10 million during the third quarter.

    Close Brothers Group (LSE:CBG) increased its motor finance provision by £30 million in the third quarter but said it remains on track to meet full-year expectations.

    Tate & Lyle (LSE:TATE) described recent financial performance as “disappointing” and forecast only modest revenue growth for 2027 following a recent takeover approach from Ingredion.

    Ibstock Plc (LSE:IBST) said full-year earnings should broadly meet expectations but warned that cost inflation pressures are expected to continue into the second half.

    AJ Bell plc (LSE:AJB) said full-year profit is running ahead of guidance and announced a new share buyback programme after posting record net inflows and 12% first-half revenue growth.

  • ICG shares ease despite stronger-than-expected fund management performance (ICG)

    ICG shares ease despite stronger-than-expected fund management performance (ICG)

    ICG (LSE:ICG) shares slipped 1.8% on Thursday after the alternative asset manager reported full-year 2026 results that beat expectations in its fund management operations but disappointed on investment returns.

    The group’s Fund Management Company division delivered pre-tax profit that was 26% ahead of company-compiled analyst consensus. The stronger performance was driven by management fees that exceeded forecasts by 12%, while operating expenses came in 9% lower than expected. ICG said management fee growth benefited from around £51.4 million in catch-up fees during the year, alongside a continued shift toward higher-return investment strategies.

    However, performance from the Investment Company segment fell short of expectations after a 2% negative return in the debt portfolio weighed on net investment returns. The decline was mainly linked to mark-to-market movements within collateralised loan obligations, although other asset classes generated annual returns of between 5% and 8%.

    Fee-paying assets under management rose to US$86.5 billion, around 2% ahead of analyst consensus, supported by fundraising of US$7.6 billion during the period. Across fiscal year 2025, the company raised roughly US$40 billion, equivalent to around 73% of its target to raise at least US$55 billion between fiscal years 2025 and 2028.

    Much of the latest fundraising activity was driven by Europe IX, which is expected to become ICG’s first commingled investment fund to exceed €10 billion in size. Fourth-quarter fundraising alone totalled US$3.2 billion.

    The company also updated its medium-term financial guidance to include expectations for expansion in fee-related earnings margins, excluding catch-up fees. ICG maintained its target of raising at least US$55 billion over the four-year period ending March 2028, while reiterating guidance for performance fees to contribute around 10% to 20% of total fee income.

    Management indicated that fundraising activity in fiscal year 2027 is expected to come in below the levels achieved in fiscal year 2026.

    More about ICG

    ICG is a global alternative asset management firm specialising in private debt, credit and structured capital strategies. The company manages investments across corporate, real asset and secondary markets for institutional clients worldwide, generating revenue through management fees, investment returns and performance-related income.

  • Autotrader shares fall after annual results and outlook miss expectations (AUTO)

    Autotrader shares fall after annual results and outlook miss expectations (AUTO)

    Autotrader (LSE:AUTO) shares moved lower on Thursday after the UK automotive marketplace operator reported full-year results that fell short of company-compiled consensus forecasts amid continued pressure in the used car market.

    The stock declined more than 3% in early London trading following the release of results for the year ended 31 March 2026.

    Group revenue increased 4% to £624.3 million, including £585.3 million from the core Autotrader platform and £39.0 million from Autorama. Operating profit also rose 4% to £392.7 million, while the main Autotrader business maintained an operating margin of 70%.

    However, both revenue and operating profit came in below analyst expectations. Average revenue per retailer increased 5% to £2,995, while profit before tax rose 3% to £388.8 million. Basic earnings per share climbed 8% to 34.17 pence.

    “We continued to grow both revenue and profits this year, despite a challenging backdrop,” chief executive Nathan Coe said. “Our competitive position has strengthened, with six times more time spent on Autotrader than all our main competitors combined.”

    Looking ahead, the company forecast FY2027 group operating profit in the range of £395 million to £415 million, with the midpoint slightly below analyst consensus of £418 million.

    Management said it expects the stock lever to recover to between minus £30 million and minus £40 million over the full year, while average retailer forecourts are forecast to decline by 1% to 2%. The product lever is expected to contribute between £65 million and £75 million to ARPR growth, and Autorama is anticipated to deliver a small profit during FY2027.

    “FY27 guidance is also softer than expected, with ARPR growth expected to come in below consensus, mainly due to a weaker stock lever in ARPR,” Citi analysts noted.

    Autotrader also announced plans to return around £600 million to shareholders through a combination of approximately £500 million in share buybacks and dividends equivalent to one-third of net income. Total shareholder returns across FY2026 and FY2027 are expected to exceed £1 billion.

    The board proposed a final dividend of 7.8 pence per share, taking the full-year payout to 11.6 pence, compared with 10.6 pence in the previous year.

    During the year, the company returned £463.2 million to shareholders through dividends and an accelerated share buyback programme, repurchasing 58.5 million shares, equivalent to 6.6% of issued share capital. The group also drew £165 million from its debt facility, leaving leverage at 0.3 times.

    More about Autotrader

    Auto Trader Group plc operates the UK’s largest digital automotive marketplace, connecting car buyers, retailers and manufacturers through online vehicle advertising and data-driven services. The company generates revenue primarily through retailer subscriptions, advertising products and automotive software solutions, while also expanding into vehicle leasing through its Autorama division.

  • Smiths Group lowers FY26 growth guidance after Middle East disruption hits sales (SMIN)

    Smiths Group lowers FY26 growth guidance after Middle East disruption hits sales (SMIN)

    Smiths Group Plc (LSE:SMIN) has reduced its full-year FY2026 organic revenue growth forecast to around 2%, down from previous guidance of 3% to 4%, after disruption linked to the Middle East conflict negatively affected third-quarter trading.

    The revised outlook fell short of analyst expectations of 2.8% organic growth, although it remained ahead of Jefferies’ forecast of 1.8%.

    For the third quarter ended 2 May, organic revenue growth from continuing operations — comprising John Crane and Flex-Tek — was flat compared with the previous year. Across the first nine months of the financial year, organic revenue growth stood at 0.2%, while reported revenue growth reached 1.6%, supported by acquisitions.

    Chief executive Roland Carter said, “Whilst this moderates growth in the near term, it is set against a backdrop of increasing global demand for energy security and resilience, and we are well positioned to support our customers. This underpins our confidence in the strength of our medium-term growth outlook.”

    Smiths said the Middle East conflict reduced John Crane sales by approximately £10 million during the quarter, with disruption lasting around two months. Despite this, the division still delivered organic revenue growth of 2.8%, while management highlighted continued strength in the order book and a positive book-to-bill ratio.

    “JC was impacted by the ME, although the order book strengthened and book-to-bill was positive, while Flex-Tek saw ongoing sales declines yoy given a tough comp and challenging US construction market. There is nothing in here that should be a surprise to the Street, in our view, although sales expectations were a touch high,” said analysts at Jefferies.

    Flex-Tek recorded an organic revenue decline of 3.9% during the quarter against a strong prior-year comparison. The construction segment continued to be affected by weakness in the U.S. residential housing market, although the company said sequential improvement from the second quarter is expected to continue into the fourth quarter, supported by pricing initiatives.

    Within Thermal Solutions, revenue declined mainly due to the completion of a major ultra-high heating project in the prior year. Aerospace operations, however, delivered strong growth driven by execution of the order book and improved pricing and volumes following contract renewals.

    On profitability, management now expects FY2026 headline operating margins to come in slightly above 20%, compared with previous guidance of around 20%. The updated forecast is marginally ahead of analyst consensus expectations of 20.1%.

    Smiths also confirmed that the disposal of Smiths Interconnect to Mole was completed on 1 April and that £506 million of its planned £1 billion share buyback linked to the transaction has already been executed.

    The regulatory approval process for the proposed sale of Smiths Detection remains ongoing, with completion currently anticipated during the second half of calendar year 2026.

    More about Smiths Group

    Smiths Group Plc is a UK-based engineering and technology group serving energy, industrial, aerospace and infrastructure markets. Through businesses including John Crane and Flex-Tek, the company provides engineered components, industrial technologies and specialised systems focused on energy efficiency, safety, connectivity and operational resilience across global markets.

  • QinetiQ shares surge after profit beats forecasts and U.S. business review announced (QQ.)

    QinetiQ shares surge after profit beats forecasts and U.S. business review announced (QQ.)

    British defence and technology group QinetiQ Group Plc (LSE:QQ.) saw its shares climb more than 8% on Thursday after reporting stronger-than-expected full-year earnings and confirming it is reviewing the future of its U.S. operations, with “all options under active review”.

    For the year ended 31 March, underlying operating profit increased 18% to £218 million from £185 million a year earlier, ahead of analyst expectations of £211.3 million. Underlying earnings per share rose to 31.5 pence, beating the market consensus of 30.9 pence, while revenue came in at £1.92 billion, broadly matching forecasts of £1.93 billion.

    “QinetiQ’s FY results show a company fighting to regain market confidence,” said analysts at Jefferies in a note.

    The board proposed a full-year dividend of 11 pence per share, up from 8.85 pence the previous year and above the consensus estimate of 9.6 pence. The increase reflects a revised dividend policy targeting payouts of between 35% and 40% of underlying earnings per share.

    “We have delivered a resilient performance in more challenging markets, with organic revenue growth, margin expansion and strong cash generation driven by disciplined execution and restructuring,” chief executive Steve Wadey said in a statement.

    QinetiQ said its U.S. business generated revenue of £393.4 million during the year, down from £453.9 million previously, following restructuring measures that included the disposal of its Federal IT portfolio. The company stated that the business has now been stabilised but added it is evaluating its strategic role within the wider group.

    The company said it recognises the “need to deliver enhanced value for shareholders and are actively assessing the strategic fit of the US business within the Group, including a review of all options.”

    “What grabs the attention more, however, is confirmation that the group is assessing the strategic fit of the US business, with “all options under review,” Jeffries added.

    “Seen as lower quality, more volatile, exiting this business whilst likely painful relative to the price paid for it, would leave QinetiQ a higher quality organisation in our view, with a much cleaner strategy,” the broker added.

    Within the group’s divisions, EMEA Services generated revenue of £1.53 billion and underlying operating profit of £182.3 million, producing an operating margin of 11.9%. Global Solutions reported underlying operating profit of £35.6 million and improved margins of 9%, compared with 3.6% in the prior year.

    Free cash flow increased 41% to £159 million, while net debt stood at £159 million, equivalent to leverage of 0.5 times net debt to EBITDA.

    Order intake reached £3.57 billion, supported by a £1.70 billion extension to the company’s Long-Term Partnering Agreement, resulting in a record year-end order backlog of £4.80 billion. Excluding LTPA-related activity, the book-to-bill ratio was 1.14 times.

    QinetiQ also announced a £200 million extension to its share buyback programme, with £100 million planned annually through to the end of the 2029 financial year.

    Looking ahead, the company expects revenue growth of between 3% and 5% in the coming year, alongside operating margins of 11% to 11.5% and underlying earnings per share growth of 8% to 10%. Management also forecast cash conversion above 90% and free cash flow exceeding £550 million across financial years 2027 to 2029.

    More about QinetiQ

    QinetiQ Group Plc is a UK-based defence and security technology company providing advanced research, testing, engineering and advisory services to government and commercial customers. The group operates across defence, aerospace, cybersecurity and critical infrastructure markets, with operations spanning the UK, Europe, Australia and the United States.

  • BTG Consulting expects record annual performance ahead of market forecasts (BTG)

    BTG Consulting expects record annual performance ahead of market forecasts (BTG)

    BTG Consulting plc (LSE:BTG) said trading for the year ended 30 April 2026 is expected to come in above the upper end of market expectations, supported by broad-based strength across its advisory operations. The company forecasts revenue of around £169 million, adjusted EBITDA of approximately £33.3 million and adjusted pre-tax profit of £25 million.

    Management said performance was driven by roughly 8% organic growth alongside strong demand across its restructuring, real estate and financial advisory businesses. The group also highlighted its position as the UK’s leading firm for corporate restructuring appointments during the year.

    Activity levels remained robust across several divisions, including property auctions and valuation services, while recent acquisitions within the real estate business contributed to growth. BTG said it expects its diversified advisory model and expanding restructuring pipeline to position the business well against a backdrop of increasing macroeconomic uncertainty.

    The company added that ongoing capital returns to shareholders, combined with recent strategic acquisitions, continue to support its long-term growth strategy and reinforce its track record of profitable expansion.

    BTG’s outlook remains supported primarily by strong financial performance and favourable recent corporate developments. However, management acknowledged that technical indicators suggest a more cautious market backdrop, while valuation metrics imply the shares may already reflect a significant portion of the company’s growth prospects. Even so, strategic expansion initiatives and a solid dividend yield continue to provide support for the investment case.

    More about BTG Consulting

    BTG Consulting plc is a UK-based financial and property advisory company providing services across restructuring, corporate finance, real estate consultancy, planning, property valuation, building consultancy and property auctions. The group has built a leading presence in UK corporate restructuring while continuing to expand its footprint across regional and southern England real estate markets through a diversified advisory model.

  • Hardide delivers record first-half performance on strong energy-sector demand (HDD)

    Hardide delivers record first-half performance on strong energy-sector demand (HDD)

    Hardide (LSE:HDD) reported record first-half results for the six months ended 31 March 2026, with revenue rising 71% to £4.8 million as demand from the energy sector continued to strengthen. Gross margins improved to 65%, while operating profit reached £1.3 million, resulting in positive earnings per share for the period.

    The company said growth was driven largely by increased business from a major new North American energy customer, alongside operational efficiency improvements that helped lift operating margins to 26.8%. Cash balances also increased to £1.5 million despite higher working capital requirements linked to expanding activity levels.

    Management expects momentum to continue into the second half of the financial year, supported by an additional £1.8 million order from the energy sector. The group also anticipates revenue contributions from the transition of an aerospace cargo door coating contract into production, as well as its first industrial turbine blade order since 2022.

    Hardide is continuing to invest in infrastructure and process improvements at its Martinsville facility in the United States. The company said these upgrades are expected to increase annual production capacity toward approximately £20 million of revenue without requiring significant additional capital expenditure.

    The group added that current trading momentum positions it to exceed its objective of doubling FY24 revenue ahead of schedule while improving long-term returns on capital.

    The company’s broader outlook continues to be supported by improving profitability, positive free cash flow generation and a stronger financial trajectory. However, these positives are tempered by relatively thin margins and higher leverage levels. Technical indicators remain supportive through a longer-term upward trend, while valuation metrics are viewed favourably due to the shares’ relatively low price-to-earnings ratio.

    More about Hardide

    Hardide plc is a UK-based engineering technology company specialising in advanced tungsten carbide and tungsten metal matrix coating solutions for components operating in demanding industrial environments. Its patented coating technologies are designed to improve resistance to abrasion, erosion and corrosion while maintaining toughness and precision application across complex engineering parts. Hardide serves industries including energy, aerospace, industrial gas turbines, valve and pump manufacturing, and precision engineering.

  • SDI Group says full-year earnings remain in line with expectations (SDI)

    SDI Group says full-year earnings remain in line with expectations (SDI)

    SDI Group plc (LSE:SDI) said it expects earnings for the year ended 30 April 2026 to meet market forecasts, supported by stronger operating margins and an acceleration in organic growth during the second half of the financial year. Revenue is anticipated to come in toward the lower end of expectations, although management said profitability improvements helped offset softer sales performance.

    The specialist industrial and scientific instrumentation group reported net debt of £24 million following the acquisition of PRP Optoelectronics. Despite broader macroeconomic uncertainty, SDI said it enters FY27 with confidence, supported by a strong order book and approximately £4 million of undrawn banking facilities.

    Operationally, the company highlighted healthy order intake across several portfolio businesses. Significant contract activity was reported at Sentek, Scientific Vacuum Systems, LTE Scientific, Safelab Systems and Severn Thermal Solutions, while Fraser Anti-Static Techniques and InspecVision continued to experience strong international demand.

    During the year, SDI completed two acquisitions — Severn Thermal Solutions and PRP Optoelectronics — both of which management described as earnings accretive. The group said the transactions align with its long-standing strategy of combining organic expansion with targeted acquisitions to increase exposure to specialist industrial, scientific and defence-related markets.

    The company’s broader outlook remains supported by resilient financial performance, strategic acquisitions and positive management commentary regarding future trading. However, these strengths are partly offset by weaker technical indicators, moderate valuation metrics and concerns around increased leverage and competitive market conditions.

    More about SDI Group

    SDI Group plc is a UK-based buy-and-build group focused on acquiring and developing specialist industrial and scientific technology businesses. Its portfolio companies manufacture laboratory equipment, scientific sensors and industrial instrumentation serving sectors including aerospace, defence, manufacturing, healthcare, life sciences and astronomy. SDI’s strategy centres on combining acquisitive growth with operational improvement across niche, high-value technology markets.

  • AJ Bell raises guidance after strong customer growth and record inflows (AJB)

    AJ Bell raises guidance after strong customer growth and record inflows (AJB)

    AJ Bell (LSE:AJB) delivered strong interim results for the six months ended 31 March 2026, with revenue rising 19% to £183 million and underlying pre-tax profit increasing 15% to £79 million. Performance was supported by record customer growth and robust net inflows, while statutory profit also benefited from a £13.8 million exceptional gain. Revenue margins improved during the period despite increased investment in branding and product development.

    The investment platform added a record 79,000 new customers, taking its total customer base to 723,000. Platform assets under administration increased 5% to £108.7 billion, helped by £4.2 billion of net inflows alongside supportive market movements.

    The board increased shareholder distributions through an 11% rise in the interim dividend and continued share buyback activity, including the launch of a new £15 million repurchase programme. AJ Bell also completed its exit from legacy non-platform SIPP operations while continuing to invest in AI-enabled technology and platform enhancements aimed at strengthening its market position.

    Management upgraded full-year expectations and now anticipates revenue margin, profitability and operating margins to come in ahead of previous guidance. The company said it plans to increase marketing expenditure during the second half after seeing strong returns from recent brand investment campaigns.

    AJ Bell also voiced concerns regarding uncertainty surrounding UK pension and ISA policy, warning that speculation over possible tax changes has contributed to more than £1 billion of additional pension withdrawals across its platform. The company called for greater policy stability and improved consultation processes to encourage long-term retail investment participation.

    The group’s outlook continues to be supported by strong financial performance, customer growth and profitability trends. However, weaker technical indicators and bearish market momentum remain a moderating factor, while valuation metrics are viewed as reasonable rather than deeply compelling.

    More about AJ Bell plc

    AJ Bell plc is one of the UK’s largest investment platform providers, offering online investment, pension and wealth management services to retail investors and financial advisers. The company focuses on growing platform-based assets under administration while expanding its investment management operations, using scalable technology and customer service capabilities to capture a larger share of the UK savings and retirement market.

  • Sage raises full-year expectations as cloud and AI services drive growth (SGE)

    Sage raises full-year expectations as cloud and AI services drive growth (SGE)

    Sage (LSE:SGE) delivered strong first-half results for the six months ended 31 March 2026, supported by continued momentum in its cloud-based software operations and expanding adoption of AI-enabled products. Underlying revenue increased 11% to £1.36 billion, while operating profit rose 15% alongside further margin expansion, reflecting broad-based demand growth and disciplined cost management.

    Annualised recurring revenue climbed 11% to £2.73 billion, with recurring income now accounting for 97% of total group revenue. Revenue generated from Sage Business Cloud advanced 15%, driven by new customer additions and increased uptake of AI-powered capabilities across the platform.

    The software group said it is continuing to integrate artificial intelligence into key finance, payroll and HR workflows through products including Sage Copilot and a range of intelligent automation agents. Management noted that these technologies are contributing to stronger customer retention and supporting accelerated growth in products such as Sage Intacct across North America, the UK & Ireland, and Europe.

    Supported by strong cash generation and a solid balance sheet, Sage has also expanded shareholder returns through higher dividends and additional share buybacks. Reflecting the company’s performance and trading momentum, management upgraded its full-year guidance and now expects organic total revenue growth to exceed 9% for the year.

    Sage said its strategy remains focused on strengthening its position within the small and medium-sized business software market through cloud-native applications and embedded AI functionality designed to improve customer productivity, compliance and cash flow management.

    The company’s broader outlook continues to benefit from strong recurring revenue growth, improving margins and positive earnings momentum. However, these strengths are partly offset by weak technical indicators and a valuation that remains relatively elevated on a price-to-earnings basis despite offering a moderate dividend yield.

    More about Sage Group plc

    Sage Group plc is a global provider of finance, payroll and human resources software for small and medium-sized businesses. Through its Sage Business Cloud platform, the company delivers cloud-native and cloud-connected applications that help businesses manage accounting, payroll, compliance and operational workflows, increasingly enhanced by AI-driven automation and productivity tools.